Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa3282d…fb4977 Create alert
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$8.92K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.33K
Hit rate
89.3%
Resolved
29,348
Trades
116,926
lifetime
Volume
$4.41M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$165.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-02
last 11-13 19:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 226 days
Categories
Other
70% 85% +$7,218
Politics
19% 82% +$1,428
Sports
8% 90% +$1,432
Tech
2% 74% -$1,521
Crypto
1% 85% +$359
Pop-Culture
0% 88% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 786 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +12,742 $12,689 100¢ $12.7K +$8 11-13 19:05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +12,742 $12,553 99¢ $12.7K +$106 11-13 19:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +12,746 $9,298 97¢ $12.4K +$3,110 11-13 19:05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +12,742 $12,493 90¢ $11.5K -$999 11-13 19:05
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +7,970 $7,925 99¢ $7.9K +$1 11-06 15:17
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +11,777 $8,238 65¢ $7.6K -$612 11-12 07:00
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +7,354 $7,339 100¢ $7.3K +$4 11-06 03:28
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +5,960 $5,941 100¢ $6.0K +$12 08-28 02:25
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +5,960 $5,945 100¢ $6.0K +$5 08-28 02:25
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +5,960 $5,930 100¢ $6.0K +$20 08-28 02:25
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +5,946 $5,875 100¢ $5.9K +$61 08-28 02:25
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +5,960 $5,750 100¢ $5.9K +$180 08-28 02:25
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +5,962 $5,240 99¢ $5.9K +$681 08-28 02:25
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +8,153 $1,724 54¢ $4.4K +$2,679 11-06 15:17
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4,379 $4,312 100¢ $4.4K +$55 11-12 13:20
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4,364 $4,337 99¢ $4.3K -$4 11-12 13:20
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4,364 $3,848 99¢ $4.3K +$478 11-12 13:20
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +4,219 $2,815 100¢ $4.2K +$1,385 10-12 23:42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4,629 $1,650 90¢ $4.2K +$2,539 11-12 13:20
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +11,686 $3,499 34¢ $4.0K +$533 11-12 07:00
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +8,381 $6,663 48¢ $4.0K -$2,631 11-06 15:17
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +4,862 $2,532 73¢ $3.5K +$1,017 11-07 03:51
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +3,725 $2,959 71¢ $2.7K -$307 11-12 08:02
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,547 $2,542 100¢ $2.5K +$3 11-08 16:42
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,547 $2,540 100¢ $2.5K +$3 11-08 16:42
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,547 $2,544 100¢ $2.5K -$1 11-08 16:42
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,547 $2,532 100¢ $2.5K +$6 11-08 16:42
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,521 $2,519 100¢ $2.5K -$1 11-08 16:42
Will Indonesia win on 2026-11-13? No +2,478 $2,461 99¢ $2.5K +$2 11-12 19:40
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,388 $2,386 100¢ $2.4K -$1 11-06 00:32