Realized P&L
+$9.03K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.54K
Hit rate
89.4%
Resolved
29,139
Trades
116,421
lifetime
Volume
$4.38M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$163.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-02
last 11-10 20:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 223 days
Categories
Other
69% 85% +$7,086
Politics
19% 82% +$1,400
Sports
9% 90% +$1,707
Tech
2% 74% -$1,523
Crypto
1% 85% +$359
Pop-Culture
0% 88% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 943 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +12,692 $12,639 100¢ $12.7K +$21 11-06 14:29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +12,692 $12,503 100¢ $12.6K +$144 11-06 14:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +12,696 $9,249 96¢ $12.2K +$2,996 11-06 14:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +12,692 $12,448 89¢ $11.3K -$1,146 11-06 14:29
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +7,970 $7,925 99¢ $7.9K -$19 11-06 15:17
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +11,342 $7,956 65¢ $7.4K -$589 11-09 19:06
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +7,354 $7,339 100¢ $7.3K -$4 11-06 03:28
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +5,960 $5,941 100¢ $6.0K +$12 08-28 02:25
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +5,960 $5,930 100¢ $6.0K +$20 08-28 02:25
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +5,960 $5,945 100¢ $6.0K +$5 08-28 02:25
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +5,946 $5,875 100¢ $5.9K +$61 08-28 02:25
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +5,960 $5,750 100¢ $5.9K +$183 08-28 02:25
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +5,962 $5,240 99¢ $5.9K +$684 08-28 02:25
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +8,153 $1,724 52¢ $4.3K +$2,557 11-06 15:17
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +4,219 $2,815 99¢ $4.2K +$1,353 10-12 23:42
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4,112 $4,045 100¢ $4.1K +$60 11-09 18:12
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +8,381 $6,663 49¢ $4.1K -$2,577 11-06 15:17
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4,097 $3,582 100¢ $4.1K +$496 11-09 18:12
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4,097 $4,071 99¢ $4.0K -$30 11-09 18:12
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +11,251 $3,351 34¢ $3.9K +$530 11-09 19:06
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4,362 $1,420 88¢ $3.9K +$2,440 11-09 18:12
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +4,862 $2,532 78¢ $3.8K +$1,236 11-07 03:51
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,547 $2,542 100¢ $2.5K +$3 11-08 16:42
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,547 $2,544 100¢ $2.5K -$1 11-08 16:42
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,547 $2,540 100¢ $2.5K +$3 11-08 16:42
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,547 $2,532 99¢ $2.5K -$3 11-08 16:42
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,521 $2,519 100¢ $2.5K -$1 11-08 16:42
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,388 $2,386 100¢ $2.4K -$1 11-06 00:32
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,560 $1,924 92¢ $2.4K +$444 11-08 16:42
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +3,290 $2,688 71¢ $2.3K -$343 10-15 14:10