Realized P&L
+$8.80K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.98K
Hit rate
89.3%
Resolved
29,242
Trades
116,629
lifetime
Volume
$4.39M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$163.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-02
last 11-12 08:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 225 days
Categories
Other
69% 85% +$7,112
Politics
19% 82% +$1,416
Sports
8% 90% +$1,430
Tech
2% 74% -$1,522
Crypto
1% 85% +$359
Pop-Culture
0% 88% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 943 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +12,692 $12,639 100¢ $12.7K +$21 11-06 14:29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +12,692 $12,503 100¢ $12.6K +$144 11-06 14:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +12,696 $9,249 96¢ $12.2K +$2,977 11-06 14:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +12,692 $12,448 91¢ $11.5K -$956 11-06 14:29
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +7,970 $7,925 99¢ $7.9K -$11 11-06 15:17
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +11,777 $8,238 65¢ $7.7K -$577 11-12 07:00
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +7,354 $7,339 100¢ $7.3K +$0 11-06 03:28
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +5,960 $5,941 100¢ $6.0K +$12 08-28 02:25
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +5,960 $5,750 100¢ $6.0K +$201 08-28 02:25
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +5,960 $5,930 100¢ $6.0K +$20 08-28 02:25
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +5,960 $5,945 100¢ $6.0K +$5 08-28 02:25
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +5,946 $5,875 100¢ $5.9K +$61 08-28 02:25
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +5,962 $5,240 99¢ $5.9K +$684 08-28 02:25
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +8,381 $6,663 52¢ $4.4K -$2,271 11-06 15:17
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +4,219 $2,815 99¢ $4.2K +$1,377 10-12 23:42
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4,112 $4,045 100¢ $4.1K +$60 11-09 18:12
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4,097 $3,582 99¢ $4.1K +$492 11-09 18:12
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4,097 $4,071 99¢ $4.1K -$6 11-09 18:12
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +11,686 $3,499 34¢ $4.0K +$533 11-12 07:00
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +8,153 $1,724 48¢ $4.0K +$2,231 11-06 15:17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4,362 $1,420 82¢ $3.6K +$2,135 11-09 18:12
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +4,862 $2,532 72¢ $3.5K +$968 11-07 03:51
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,547 $2,542 100¢ $2.5K +$3 11-08 16:42
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,547 $2,544 100¢ $2.5K -$1 11-08 16:42
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,547 $2,540 100¢ $2.5K +$3 11-08 16:42
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,547 $2,532 99¢ $2.5K +$0 11-08 16:42
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,521 $2,519 100¢ $2.5K -$1 11-08 16:42
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,560 $1,924 94¢ $2.4K +$470 11-08 16:42
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,388 $2,386 100¢ $2.4K -$1 11-06 00:32
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +3,725 $2,959 63¢ $2.4K -$598 11-12 08:02