Will Nikola Jokic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
open
Total volume
$13,155
$4,155 in 24h
Trades
539
Unique wallets
99
Liquidity
$57,075
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2027-07-01
First seen
2026-10-16
last 11-05 23:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.5¢
(top1%: 11% YES on $5.1K
vs crowd: 12% YES on $13.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 48 | $177 | $11.0K | $10.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 29 | $1.1K | $824 | +$289 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $162 | $269 | $107 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $272 | $13 | +$259 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 35 | $559 | $4.5K | $4.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $629 | $196 | +$433 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $3 | $111 | $109 |
| Median | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| Below median | 8 | $82 | $67 | +$15 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 10 | $228 | $703 | $475 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $81 | $118 | $37 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 22 | $140 | $6.4K | $6.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buzzing-Associate 0xda16…ac2b | Yes | +6,553 | $539 | $539 | 37 | 11-05 23:06 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +3,746 | $3,395 | $3,395 | 40 | 11-05 04:07 |
| Cruel-Trafficker 0x454c…bd22 | Yes | +3,061 | $269 | $269 | 59 | 11-05 15:05 |
| Trivial-Ravioli 0xccd8…f4de | No | +1,906 | $1,713 | $1,713 | 5 | 11-05 06:16 |
| Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | Yes | +1,352 | $144 | $144 | 44 | 11-05 08:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +825 | $710 | $710 | 21 | 11-02 04:31 |
| Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | Yes | +819 | $74 | $74 | 3 | 11-01 23:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xe08f…f991 | Yes | +741 | $65 | $65 | 3 | 11-05 20:55 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +735 | $664 | $664 | 8 | 11-05 23:06 |
| Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | +540 | $501 | $501 | 1 | 11-02 12:15 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +458 | $412 | $412 | 6 | 11-05 23:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | No | +428 | $396 | $396 | 7 | 11-05 23:06 |
| Ironclad-Housework 0x9703…69c2 | No | +325 | $299 | $299 | 2 | 11-05 20:55 |
| Late-Sash 0x5520…6938 | Yes | +287 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 10-21 17:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +268 | $241 | $241 | 8 | 11-05 12:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | +257 | $233 | $480 | 10 | 10-31 01:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | +255 | $26 | $29 | 4 | 10-31 01:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x863f…29d6 | Yes | +250 | $40 | $70 | 2 | 11-05 08:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xb4ad…58be | Yes | +250 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-03 15:04 |
| Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | +231 | $211 | $211 | 7 | 11-05 15:05 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +209 | $182 | $182 | 2 | 10-28 12:38 |
| Bland-Hold 0x7a8f…d72e | Yes | +200 | $53 | $53 | 2 | 10-19 15:47 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +185 | $156 | $156 | 5 | 11-05 12:41 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | +177 | $15 | $15 | 6 | 10-31 16:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +145 | $119 | $119 | 6 | 10-26 23:06 |
| Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | +130 | $109 | $109 | 6 | 10-27 10:47 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +123 | $109 | $109 | 3 | 11-05 23:06 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +123 | $103 | $103 | 7 | 10-26 23:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xfbed…a665 | No | +121 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 11-02 03:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cff…a463 | No | +115 | $106 | $106 | 9 | 11-02 03:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | +111 | $100 | $100 | 4 | 11-05 08:51 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +103 | $9 | $28 | 12 | 10-31 04:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +102 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 11-03 17:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +100 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-30 19:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | +100 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 10-30 19:29 |
| Overlooked-Insight 0xda34…91da | Yes | +100 | $15 | $15 | 7 | 10-22 12:52 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +93 | $79 | $79 | 5 | 10-28 11:47 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +92 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-19 14:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xc1b5…5d85 | No | +83 | $77 | $77 | 1 | 11-02 04:31 |
| Rare-Azimuth 0x4868…a1c1 | No | +83 | $77 | $77 | 1 | 11-02 04:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xa278…3369 | No | +74 | $70 | $70 | 3 | 11-05 08:51 |
| Feline-Department 0x671a…2f1e | No | +73 | $63 | $63 | 8 | 10-31 17:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | No | +72 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 11-03 17:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +70 | $9 | $14 | 5 | 10-30 19:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | +67 | $57 | $57 | 2 | 10-23 05:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ac8…6ed1 | Yes | +62 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-05 18:48 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +60 | $56 | $56 | 3 | 11-03 18:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xf4d2…a642 | Yes | +60 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-05 13:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | +50 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 10-21 16:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | Yes | +34 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-20 09:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bac…5b0e | Yes | +30 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 10-19 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +24 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-29 00:46 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | +20 | $11 | $41 | 7 | 10-21 15:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x42b5…b5b6 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-16 18:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-29 00:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +19 | $4 | $5 | 3 | 10-23 18:01 |
| Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-31 16:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xeaf5…5718 | Yes | +18 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-17 03:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | +13 | $1 | $8 | 9 | 11-02 12:15 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-16 18:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-05 23:06:57 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | BUY | 64 | 93¢ | $60 | 0x0794f6… |
| 11-05 23:06:57 | Buzzing-Associate 0xda16…ac2b | Yes | BUY | 64 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x0794f6… |
| 11-05 23:06:54 | Buzzing-Associate 0xda16…ac2b | Yes | BUY | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x722ea7… |
| 11-05 23:06:54 | (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | No | BUY | 65 | 93¢ | $60 | 0x32776f… |
| 11-05 23:06:54 | Buzzing-Associate 0xda16…ac2b | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xdfdc2b… |
| 11-05 23:06:54 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0xdfdc2b… |
| 11-05 23:06:54 | Buzzing-Associate 0xda16…ac2b | Yes | BUY | 65 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x32776f… |
| 11-05 23:06:54 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 40 | 93¢ | $37 | 0x722ea7… |
| 11-05 22:04:40 | Buzzing-Associate 0xda16…ac2b | Yes | BUY | 49 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x5a3006… |
| 11-05 22:04:40 | Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x5a3006… |
| 11-05 20:55:49 | Ironclad-Housework 0x9703…69c2 | No | BUY | 188 | 92¢ | $172 | 0x8d3301… |
| 11-05 20:55:49 | (anonymous) 0xe08f…f991 | Yes | BUY | 188 | 8¢ | $15 | 0x8d3301… |
| 11-05 19:58:01 | Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | SELL | 59 | 8¢ | $5 | 0xea5274… |
| 11-05 19:58:01 | Ironclad-Housework 0x9703…69c2 | No | BUY | 138 | 92¢ | $127 | 0xea5274… |
| 11-05 19:58:01 | (anonymous) 0xe08f…f991 | Yes | BUY | 375 | 8¢ | $30 | 0xea5274… |
| 11-05 19:58:01 | (anonymous) 0xf322…ebf9 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0xea5274… |
| 11-05 19:58:01 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 78 | 8¢ | $6 | 0xea5274… |
| 11-05 18:48:22 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x3b40c6… |
| 11-05 18:48:22 | (anonymous) 0x4ac8…6ed1 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x3b40c6… |
| 11-05 15:05:10 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xd49c85… |
| 11-05 15:05:10 | Cruel-Trafficker 0x454c…bd22 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd49c85… |
| 11-05 13:19:07 | (anonymous) 0xf4d2…a642 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 8¢ | $5 | 0xdb13af… |
| 11-05 13:19:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xdb13af… |
| 11-05 13:19:07 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 60 | 8¢ | $5 | 0xdb13af… |
| 11-05 12:41:21 | Cruel-Trafficker 0x454c…bd22 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x72782c… |
| 11-05 12:41:21 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0xc7be31… |
| 11-05 12:41:21 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x72782c… |
| 11-05 12:41:21 | Cruel-Trafficker 0x454c…bd22 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xc7be31… |
| 11-05 08:51:15 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0xae91fa… |
| 11-05 08:51:15 | (anonymous) 0xa278…3369 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x1d534e… |
| 11-05 08:51:15 | Cruel-Trafficker 0x454c…bd22 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x1d534e… |
| 11-05 08:51:15 | Cruel-Trafficker 0x454c…bd22 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xae91fa… |
| 11-05 08:51:07 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0xd25e10… |
| 11-05 08:51:07 | Cruel-Trafficker 0x454c…bd22 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xd25e10… |
| 11-05 08:51:06 | (anonymous) 0xa278…3369 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x927fcb… |
| 11-05 08:51:06 | Cruel-Trafficker 0x454c…bd22 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x927fcb… |
| 11-05 08:43:07 | Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x186bf7… |
| 11-05 08:43:07 | Cruel-Trafficker 0x454c…bd22 | Yes | BUY | 249 | 6¢ | $15 | 0x186bf7… |
| 11-05 08:43:07 | (anonymous) 0x863f…29d6 | Yes | SELL | 250 | 6¢ | $15 | 0x186bf7… |
| 11-05 08:39:43 | Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xe36894… |
| 11-05 08:39:43 | Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x495b72… |
| 11-05 08:39:43 | (anonymous) 0xa278…3369 | No | BUY | 34 | 94¢ | $32 | 0x495b72… |
| 11-05 08:39:43 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0xe36894… |
| 11-05 07:53:06 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x85aed3… |
| 11-05 07:53:06 | Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x85aed3… |
| 11-05 06:25:57 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | BUY | 28 | 94¢ | $26 | 0x71b0c1… |
| 11-05 06:25:57 | Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x71b0c1… |
| 11-05 06:17:36 | Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x18e83b… |
| 11-05 06:17:36 | (anonymous) 0x7fca…24c1 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x18e83b… |
| 11-05 06:16:54 | Trivial-Ravioli 0xccd8…f4de | No | BUY | 152 | 93¢ | $141 | 0x10af59… |
| 11-05 06:16:54 | Buzzing-Associate 0xda16…ac2b | Yes | BUY | 152 | 7¢ | $11 | 0x10af59… |
| 11-05 04:07:04 | Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | SELL | 71 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x69acc4… |
| 11-05 04:07:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 58 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x69acc4… |
| 11-05 04:07:04 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 200 | 92¢ | $184 | 0x69acc4… |
| 11-05 04:07:04 | Buzzing-Associate 0xda16…ac2b | Yes | BUY | 429 | 8¢ | $34 | 0x69acc4… |
| 11-05 04:01:06 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 100 | 92¢ | $92 | 0x5ecd6e… |
| 11-05 04:01:06 | Buzzing-Associate 0xda16…ac2b | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 8¢ | $80 | 0x5ecd6e… |
| 11-05 04:01:06 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 115 | 8¢ | $9 | 0x5ecd6e… |
| 11-05 04:01:06 | Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | SELL | 85 | 8¢ | $7 | 0x5ecd6e… |
| 11-05 03:58:13 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 200 | 8¢ | $16 | 0x53da40… |
| 11-05 03:58:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x53da40… |
| 11-05 03:58:13 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 200 | 92¢ | $184 | 0x53da40… |
| 11-05 03:58:13 | (anonymous) 0xf322…ebf9 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x53da40… |
| 11-05 03:58:13 | Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x53da40… |
| 11-05 03:58:13 | Buzzing-Associate 0xda16…ac2b | Yes | BUY | 1,300 | 8¢ | $104 | 0x53da40… |
| 11-05 00:49:54 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xcc0c80… |
| 11-05 00:49:54 | Buzzing-Associate 0xda16…ac2b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xcc0c80… |
| 11-04 20:00:48 | Broken-Umbrella 0xecd9…ebc3 | Yes | SELL | 1,010 | 7¢ | $71 | 0x66f6ed… |
| 11-04 20:00:48 | Buzzing-Associate 0xda16…ac2b | Yes | BUY | 1,010 | 7¢ | $71 | 0x66f6ed… |
| 11-04 02:48:31 | Buzzing-Associate 0xda16…ac2b | Yes | BUY | 130 | 7¢ | $9 | 0x55d91b… |
| 11-04 02:48:31 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | Yes | SELL | 130 | 7¢ | $9 | 0x55d91b… |
| 11-03 18:03:34 | Buzzing-Associate 0xda16…ac2b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x4c1bdd… |
| 11-03 18:03:34 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x4c1bdd… |
| 11-03 17:43:37 | Buzzing-Associate 0xda16…ac2b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xb3fb19… |
| 11-03 17:43:37 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xb3fb19… |
| 11-03 17:07:18 | Cruel-Trafficker 0x454c…bd22 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xdf2742… |
| 11-03 17:07:18 | (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | No | BUY | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0xb9cfeb… |
| 11-03 17:07:18 | Cruel-Trafficker 0x454c…bd22 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xb9cfeb… |
| 11-03 17:07:18 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 102 | 93¢ | $95 | 0x04f359… |
| 11-03 17:07:18 | Cruel-Trafficker 0x454c…bd22 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x04f359… |
| 11-03 17:07:18 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | No | BUY | 72 | 93¢ | $67 | 0x4059ec… |
| 11-03 17:07:18 | Buzzing-Associate 0xda16…ac2b | Yes | BUY | 58 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x04f359… |
| 11-03 17:07:18 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 158 | 93¢ | $147 | 0x171f39… |
| 11-03 17:07:18 | Cruel-Trafficker 0x454c…bd22 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x4059ec… |
| 11-03 17:07:18 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xdf2742… |
| 11-03 17:07:18 | Cruel-Trafficker 0x454c…bd22 | Yes | BUY | 158 | 7¢ | $11 | 0x171f39… |
| 11-03 15:04:30 | (anonymous) 0xb4ad…58be | Yes | BUY | 250 | 8¢ | $20 | 0x32ceb5… |
| 11-03 15:04:30 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 250 | 8¢ | $20 | 0x32ceb5… |
| 11-03 06:48:30 | Cruel-Trafficker 0x454c…bd22 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xa68531… |
| 11-03 06:48:30 | (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xa68531… |
| 11-03 05:35:45 | (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | No | BUY | 40 | 93¢ | $37 | 0x39f9ab… |
| 11-03 05:35:45 | Cruel-Trafficker 0x454c…bd22 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x39f9ab… |
| 11-02 12:16:09 | Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | Yes | BUY | 87 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x34461a… |
| 11-02 12:16:09 | Close-Overnighter 0xe26c…48f5 | Yes | SELL | 87 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x34461a… |
| 11-02 12:15:57 | Cheerful-Cesspool 0x18c9…0079 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x0206df… |
| 11-02 12:15:57 | Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x0206df… |
| 11-02 12:15:55 | Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x3db1be… |
| 11-02 12:15:55 | Incomparable-Zone-Birdbath 0x1e31…594b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x3db1be… |
| 11-02 12:15:42 | Incomparable-Zone-Birdbath 0x1e31…594b | Yes | BUY | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xf5617c… |
| 11-02 12:15:42 | Close-Overnighter 0xe26c…48f5 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xf5617c… |