Realized P&L
-$361
Unrealized P&L
-$2.06K
Hit rate
53.6%
Resolved
504
Trades
5,454
lifetime
Volume
$298.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$112.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-10
last 10-27 00:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Other
50% 76% -$269
Politics
46% 66% -$580
Crypto
1% — —
Sports
1% 100% +$511
Tech
1% 89% +$14
Pop-Culture
0% 67% -$38
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 463 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +45,864 $29,254 94¢ $42.9K +$13,629 10-26 16:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +9,199 $7,133 78¢ $7.2K +$89 10-19 15:58
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +6,893 $4,798 68¢ $4.7K -$76 10-26 10:22
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +8,593 $7,645 50¢ $4.3K -$3,344 10-26 20:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -4,425 -$1,854 94¢ $-4160 -$2,305 10-15 01:00
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +5,809 $3,746 66¢ $3.8K +$59 10-18 00:42
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +4,091 $2,988 82¢ $3.4K +$387 10-27 00:48
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +2,984 $2,810 95¢ $2.8K +$20 10-27 01:06
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +4,380 $2,753 64¢ $2.8K +$72 10-26 20:53
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +2,624 $2,453 98¢ $2.6K +$127 10-19 01:40
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +3,453 $2,707 69¢ $2.4K -$324 10-25 06:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +9,289 $2,306 25¢ $2.3K +$16 10-19 15:59
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +2,816 $2,176 82¢ $2.3K +$133 10-24 18:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +36,906 $13,756 6¢ $2.2K -$11,541 10-26 16:36
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +6,893 $2,037 32¢ $2.2K +$169 10-26 10:22
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +2,247 $2,010 90¢ $2.0K +$1 10-26 20:12
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +5,809 $2,005 34¢ $2.0K -$1 10-18 00:42
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +2,021 $1,872 98¢ $2.0K +$114 10-16 04:50
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +1,916 $1,822 98¢ $1.9K +$57 10-24 19:05
Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV? No +1,720 $1,666 96¢ $1.7K -$15 10-07 05:02
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,775 $1,650 91¢ $1.6K -$37 10-26 19:29
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,901 $1,489 81¢ $1.5K +$52 10-26 19:30
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +1,559 $1,239 96¢ $1.5K +$252 10-26 21:18
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,808 $1,409 36¢ $1.4K -$57 10-26 20:53
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +1,339 $1,192 92¢ $1.2K +$33 10-19 13:48
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? No +1,247 $1,106 96¢ $1.2K +$85 10-07 05:02
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,218 $1,158 94¢ $1.1K -$10 10-09 23:36
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +3,461 $745 32¢ $1.1K +$369 10-25 06:30
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +1,399 $1,119 78¢ $1.1K -$21 10-26 20:13
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,791 $1,052 59¢ $1.1K +$5 10-26 19:29