Ironclad-Housework 0x970367…9a69c2
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$340.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$8.10K
Hit rate
60.1%
Resolved
12,127
Trades
535,771
lifetime
Volume
$69.5M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$130
Open exposure
$430.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 04:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 256 days
Categories
Other
63% 51% -$92,442
Sports
36% 51% +$409,323
Politics
1% 96% +$24,020
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2974 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +41,594 $38,233 96¢ $39.8K +$1,593 10-22 13:25
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +39,794 $32,563 78¢ $31.2K -$1,325 10-22 00:45
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +28,686 $18,826 74¢ $21.1K +$2,259 07-26 16:10
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +20,686 $20,516 100¢ $20.7K +$139 06-06 16:29
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +20,940 $19,319 96¢ $20.2K +$836 10-22 13:37
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +27,843 $19,876 72¢ $20.0K +$171 10-26 00:54
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +22,803 $19,902 86¢ $19.6K -$291 10-26 20:39
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +22,536 $19,846 86¢ $19.4K -$465 10-27 02:02
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +25,000 $15,750 66¢ $16.6K +$875 10-21 09:57
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +16,336 $16,157 99¢ $16.2K +$33 07-28 17:37
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +15,387 $15,295 100¢ $15.3K +$54 07-14 03:07
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +16,349 $12,918 92¢ $15.0K +$2,042 05-17 15:44
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +41,807 $22,948 36¢ $14.8K -$8,107 06-22 12:26
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +20,309 $10,668 66¢ $13.3K +$2,635 10-22 10:39
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +44,367 $15,076 28¢ $12.4K -$2,653 10-26 19:50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +12,879 $10,759 92¢ $11.9K +$1,154 05-09 05:33
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +11,533 $11,475 100¢ $11.5K +$40 07-17 11:25
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +21,063 $13,109 54¢ $11.5K -$1,630 10-10 11:30
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -57,283 -$11,434 19¢ $-10970 +$464 08-05 17:50
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +15,959 $6,805 64¢ $10.3K +$3,489 06-24 13:27
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +36,693 $13,298 28¢ $10.3K -$3,024 10-26 19:26
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,904 $9,943 92¢ $10.0K +$89 10-27 00:43
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes -10,184 -$869 97¢ $-9884 -$9,015 08-30 02:44
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +10,289 $8,951 84¢ $8.7K -$257 10-20 16:36
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +8,028 $7,978 99¢ $7.9K -$59 05-18 11:18
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +11,759 $5,302 66¢ $7.7K +$2,400 06-11 19:39
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +10,983 $7,277 68¢ $7.5K +$246 10-26 19:00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6,991 $5,548 92¢ $6.4K +$849 05-28 13:02
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5,811 $5,742 99¢ $5.7K -$9 06-15 05:33
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -48,255 -$3,881 9¢ $-4512 -$631 08-28 22:40