Ironclad-Housework — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$338.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$14.2K

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

12,187

Trades

536,619

lifetime

Volume

$69.6M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$130

Open exposure

$423.0K

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 14:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 257 days

Categories

Other

63% 51% -$97,430

Sports

36% 51% +$412,019

Politics

1% 96% +$24,020

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 2974 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+41,594	$38,233	96¢	$39.8K	+$1,531	10-22 13:25
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No		+39,794	$32,563	73¢	$29.0K	-$3,513	10-22 00:45
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No		+28,686	$18,826	74¢	$21.1K	+$2,259	07-26 16:10
2026 Balance of Power: Other	No		+20,686	$20,516	100¢	$20.7K	+$149	06-06 16:29
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No		+22,867	$20,130	88¢	$20.2K	+$106	10-28 00:30
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No		+20,940	$19,319	96¢	$20.2K	+$836	10-22 13:37
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+27,843	$19,876	72¢	$19.9K	+$32	10-26 00:54
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+22,916	$19,999	86¢	$19.8K	-$177	10-27 18:43
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No		+25,000	$15,750	68¢	$16.9K	+$1,125	10-21 09:57
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		+16,336	$16,157	99¢	$16.2K	+$33	07-28 17:37
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No		+15,387	$15,295	100¢	$15.3K	+$54	07-14 03:07
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No		+16,349	$12,918	92¢	$15.0K	+$2,042	05-17 15:44
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No		+41,807	$22,948	34¢	$14.0K	-$8,943	06-22 12:26
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+20,309	$10,668	66¢	$13.5K	+$2,838	10-22 10:39
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No		+12,879	$10,759	92¢	$11.9K	+$1,154	05-09 05:33
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	No		+21,063	$13,109	56¢	$11.9K	-$1,208	10-10 11:30
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No		+11,533	$11,475	100¢	$11.5K	+$40	07-17 11:25
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes		+15,959	$6,805	66¢	$10.6K	+$3,808	06-24 13:27
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-57,283	-$11,434	18¢	$-10454	+$979	08-05 17:50
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+10,919	$9,957	92¢	$10.0K	+$34	10-27 23:54
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes		-10,184	-$869	91¢	$-9253	-$8,384	08-30 02:44
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No		+44,367	$15,076	20¢	$9.1K	-$5,981	10-26 19:50
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	No		+10,289	$8,951	84¢	$8.7K	-$257	10-20 16:36
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No		+8,028	$7,978	99¢	$7.9K	-$63	05-18 11:18
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No		+11,759	$5,302	66¢	$7.8K	+$2,518	06-11 19:39
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes		+36,693	$13,298	20¢	$7.5K	-$5,776	10-26 19:26
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes		+10,983	$7,277	65¢	$7.2K	-$100	10-26 19:00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+6,991	$5,548	92¢	$6.4K	+$849	05-28 13:02
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No		+5,811	$5,742	99¢	$5.8K	+$14	06-15 05:33
Maple Leafs vs. Kraken	Kraken	—	+12,071	$5,565	44¢	$5.4K	-$193	10-28 13:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	1,710	$406.2K	569,845	+569,845	No	+$72,823	06-26 18:55
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	1,161	$300.5K	385,551	+385,551	No	+$85,047	06-22 16:52
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	1,238	$274.9K	316,587	+316,587	No	+$18,027	06-23 19:57
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	2,193	$250.7K	314,878	+314,878	No	+$63,480	06-26 18:13
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	1,672	$249.9K	359,114	+359,114	No	+$106,643	06-27 19:57
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	1,294	$247.7K	258,488	+258,488	No	+$10,820	07-03 17:05
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2,404	$237.6K	330,649	+330,649	No	+$65,545	07-06 18:53
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	1,333	$236.9K	500,678	+500,678	Spain	-$19,100	07-06 18:58
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	610	$231.3K	464,659	+464,659	Belgium	-$34,963	07-06 23:54
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	960	$230.2K	458,896	+458,896	No	-$113,050	06-26 01:39
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?	710	$229.2K	257,300	+257,300	No	+$27,614	06-28 01:58
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	859	$228.9K	427,889	+427,889	Norway	-$58,695	07-05 19:59
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	696	$222.7K	413,002	+413,002	Yes	-$160,784	06-28 01:25
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?	888	$222.6K	299,181	+299,181	No	+$76,182	06-26 23:24
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	1,688	$222.4K	338,889	+338,889	Yes	-$147,307	07-05 19:26
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	1,315	$216.3K	287,204	+287,204	No	+$41,125	06-27 20:55
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	1,308	$215.3K	246,781	+246,781	No	+$10,599	07-04 20:57
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?	730	$215.1K	304,101	+304,101	Yes	-$206,096	06-26 01:39
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	1,605	$213.9K	277,340	+277,340	No	+$16,377	06-21 15:36
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?	596	$210.9K	342,378	+342,378	No	+$96,315	06-26 22:58
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	732	$209.3K	445,674	+445,674	England	-$207,741	07-05 23:51
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	1,905	$207.5K	383,816	+383,816	No	+$90,029	06-30 00:30
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	269	$205.3K	257,939	+257,939	No	+$42,583	07-04 16:48
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	2,303	$198.6K	283,089	+283,089	No	+$84,539	06-19 00:24
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	639	$195.1K	242,070	+242,070	No	+$16,090	07-07 15:57
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	1,759	$194.6K	433,343	+433,343	Yes	-$95,006	06-26 18:21
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	2,285	$191.2K	341,127	+341,127	Yes	-$135,306	06-24 18:54
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	1,163	$189.7K	396,826	+396,826	Yes	-$60,243	07-04 15:34
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	2,496	$187.5K	422,683	+422,683	Yes	-$129,961	06-29 16:59
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	815	$183.9K	230,795	+230,795	No	+$28,120	06-26 23:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:38:31	Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)	Wizards	BUY	3,073	48¢	$1,475	0xe9aff9…
10-28 15:38:29	Will Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc6a2e8…
10-28 15:35:13	Will Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x5bdcf7…
10-28 15:35:11	Will Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	No	BUY	58	83¢	$48	0xa8be9b…
10-28 15:33:29	Will Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	No	BUY	464	83¢	$385	0x9b9133…
10-28 15:32:44	Flyers vs. Capitals	Flyers	BUY	2,499	31¢	$775	0xd83864…
10-28 15:31:11	Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x726645…
10-28 15:30:32	Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xc62279…
10-28 15:30:10	Will Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x755384…
10-28 15:30:10	Will Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x1d987a…
10-28 15:30:08	Will Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	No	BUY	119	83¢	$99	0x4e8736…
10-28 15:29:16	Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	188	50¢	$94	0x0bd252…
10-28 15:27:46	Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	89	48¢	$43	0x2711fd…
10-28 15:27:34	Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	128	65¢	$83	0x33bb33…
10-28 15:27:02	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Nuggets	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x301ee9…
10-28 15:26:10	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	327	22¢	$72	0xba183e…
10-28 15:26:10	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	815	22¢	$179	0xac0227…
10-28 15:26:10	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	264	22¢	$58	0x6cbc78…
10-28 15:26:10	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	1,611	22¢	$354	0x02cc0a…
10-28 15:26:08	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	705	22¢	$155	0xaab3f7…
10-28 15:24:40	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Nuggets	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xd0f177…
10-28 15:22:11	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	1,091	72¢	$786	0xa68c47…
10-28 15:21:05	Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)	Juventus FC	BUY	270	26¢	$70	0x09ea04…
10-28 15:19:52	Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)	Juventus FC	BUY	60	26¢	$16	0x0600e6…
10-28 15:18:53	Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)	Juventus FC	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x3b2f27…
10-28 15:18:08	Will Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x548a34…
10-28 15:16:44	Panthers vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xc10af9…
10-28 15:11:55	Spread: New England Revolution (-1.5)	New England Revolution	BUY	55	27¢	$15	0xc19d67…
10-28 15:11:55	Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	137	71¢	$97	0xbff7b4…
10-28 15:08:26	Will Republicans win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?	No	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0xbdfda5…
10-28 15:08:26	Will Democrats win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Republicans win Iowa?	No	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x728903…
10-28 15:08:26	Will Republicans win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Iowa?	No	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x1c8a08…
10-28 15:05:26	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Nuggets	BUY	811	63¢	$511	0xc41515…
10-28 15:02:35	Will Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xbe7a31…
10-28 14:58:04	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	18	47¢	$9	0x303752…
10-28 14:56:46	Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	102	50¢	$51	0x53806f…
10-28 14:56:43	Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd68f57…
10-28 14:56:35	Will Democrats win the Texas and Kansas Senate seats, and an independent win Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0xcdbeb3…
10-28 14:55:28	Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xaabbe2…
10-28 14:55:23	Will Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	No	BUY	56	83¢	$46	0xa0bab0…
10-28 14:54:19	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x81eb90…
10-28 14:52:23	Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	240	30¢	$72	0xecdb79…
10-28 14:49:38	Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)	Juventus FC	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0xa6df10…
10-28 14:49:10	Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	78	17¢	$13	0x61ee14…
10-28 14:38:35	Will AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x7fd45d…
10-28 14:34:26	Guangzhou Open: Anna Bondar vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Kaitlin Quevedo	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x24fae4…
10-28 14:33:59	Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)	AC Milan	BUY	196	29¢	$57	0xc764a5…
10-28 14:33:55	Flyers vs. Capitals	Capitals	BUY	762	67¢	$511	0x6a24c1…
10-28 14:32:31	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xb16f39…
10-28 14:32:14	Spread: New York City FC (-1.5)	New York City FC	BUY	103	32¢	$33	0x17611f…
10-28 14:30:37	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Nuggets	BUY	477	63¢	$301	0x5146e0…
10-28 14:30:05	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Nuggets	BUY	61	63¢	$38	0xce201c…
10-28 14:28:41	Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)	AC Milan	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0x279854…
10-28 14:23:23	Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x78d2db…
10-28 14:23:01	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	46	35¢	$16	0xfc9332…
10-28 14:22:05	Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)	Wizards	BUY	2,728	48¢	$1,309	0xa9b25d…
10-28 14:19:43	Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)	FC Cincinnati	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xadbc1c…
10-28 14:11:43	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	59	88¢	$52	0x1b679c…
10-28 14:02:08	Will Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x1fba5a…
10-28 13:58:52	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	127	22¢	$28	0x2b8431…
10-28 13:58:13	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	304	22¢	$67	0x4f9e49…
10-28 13:57:53	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	1,000	22¢	$220	0xc8f1fb…
10-28 13:57:49	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	304	22¢	$67	0x596fb1…
10-28 13:56:07	Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	41	32¢	$13	0x49a95c…
10-28 13:52:22	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xf02823…
10-28 13:52:20	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x9b878f…
10-28 13:52:16	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	160	22¢	$35	0x48160b…
10-28 13:50:20	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	304	22¢	$67	0xe3504c…
10-28 13:49:38	Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	217	44¢	$95	0xbc45ed…
10-28 13:49:25	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	304	22¢	$67	0xa4078f…
10-28 13:48:17	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	304	22¢	$67	0xa80ccd…
10-28 13:47:34	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	218	22¢	$48	0x656e46…
10-28 13:47:04	Miami (FL) vs. North Carolina	Miami (FL)	BUY	70	84¢	$59	0x17add0…
10-28 13:46:53	St. Louis City SC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x8e3728…
10-28 13:46:26	Flames vs. Oilers	Flames	BUY	2,479	37¢	$917	0xe5d2f3…
10-28 13:46:11	Flames vs. Oilers	Flames	BUY	191	37¢	$71	0xfe682f…
10-28 13:46:02	Flames vs. Oilers	Flames	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x6a53ba…
10-28 13:45:55	Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x574cfb…
10-28 13:45:38	Flames vs. Oilers	Flames	BUY	2,766	37¢	$1,024	0x9f30e5…
10-28 13:45:32	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken	Maple Leafs	BUY	4,714	56¢	$2,640	0xe76626…
10-28 13:45:29	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x51b853…
10-28 13:44:20	Devils vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	3,443	59¢	$2,031	0xe43864…
10-28 13:44:17	Devils vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	265	59¢	$156	0x9c0ecc…
10-28 13:35:47	Will FC Dallas win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	66	43¢	$28	0xcb674c…
10-28 13:35:20	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken	Kraken	BUY	145	45¢	$65	0x40a6ab…
10-28 13:35:19	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken	Kraken	BUY	2,000	45¢	$900	0x4a670d…
10-28 13:35:13	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken	Kraken	BUY	49	45¢	$22	0x1cdc94…
10-28 13:35:11	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken	Kraken	BUY	924	45¢	$416	0x0ed103…
10-28 13:33:55	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken	Kraken	BUY	3,372	46¢	$1,551	0x933dd3…
10-28 13:33:26	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken	Kraken	BUY	1,261	46¢	$580	0x21c00b…
10-28 13:32:37	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken	Kraken	BUY	903	47¢	$424	0x43e315…
10-28 13:32:35	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken	Kraken	BUY	1,268	47¢	$596	0x7a3acd…
10-28 13:32:35	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken	Kraken	BUY	46	47¢	$22	0x66928d…
10-28 13:32:35	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken	Kraken	BUY	1,058	47¢	$497	0x0e3002…
10-28 13:31:02	Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xc5cf3a…
10-28 13:30:11	Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-10-30?	No	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xa0d315…
10-28 13:27:56	Will Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x561b96…
10-28 13:27:49	Will Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	No	BUY	87	83¢	$72	0xb734d4…
10-28 13:27:49	Will Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	No	BUY	67	83¢	$56	0x0a1d88…
10-28 13:27:46	Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)	AC Milan	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0xd8a529…