Realized P&L
+$3.11K
Unrealized P&L
+$25.6K
Hit rate
59.1%
Resolved
19,295
Trades
269,124
lifetime
Volume
$3.40M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$154.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 10-27 11:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 163 days
Categories
Other
43% 49% +$5,211
Sports
27% 52% +$2,459
Politics
24% 49% -$557
Crypto
5% 47% -$3,833
Tech
1% 50% -$169
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 13672 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +22,471 $9,525 88¢ $19.9K +$10,362 10-20 05:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +20,470 $14,756 94¢ $19.2K +$4,486 10-27 01:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +14,764 $11,500 100¢ $14.7K +$3,213 10-25 10:57
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +9,498 $7,225 66¢ $6.3K -$957 10-25 23:04
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +8,397 $5,225 66¢ $5.6K +$359 10-26 20:53
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +7,707 $4,882 70¢ $5.4K +$475 10-25 02:00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +11,502 $4,865 46¢ $5.3K +$484 10-23 19:26
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +5,055 $4,250 97¢ $4.9K +$651 10-11 02:52
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +5,435 $3,902 88¢ $4.8K +$867 10-27 11:50
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +8,405 $4,260 54¢ $4.5K +$237 10-27 11:47
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +4,307 $3,826 94¢ $4.1K +$244 10-15 16:30
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +4,828 $3,046 84¢ $4.0K +$986 10-22 00:11
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +5,786 $4,144 68¢ $4.0K -$180 10-27 06:54
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +4,171 $3,683 90¢ $3.7K +$65 10-25 20:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +3,925 $2,472 94¢ $3.7K +$1,198 10-26 06:03
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +4,943 $3,636 74¢ $3.6K -$3 10-26 02:57
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,796 $3,483 90¢ $3.4K -$71 10-26 03:04
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +4,964 $3,765 68¢ $3.4K -$365 10-26 23:09
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,481 $3,197 95¢ $3.3K +$105 10-25 18:59
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +3,666 $3,038 88¢ $3.2K +$175 10-27 04:34
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +3,776 $2,966 85¢ $3.2K +$234 10-25 17:03
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +2,856 $2,811 100¢ $2.9K +$41 10-26 20:02
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,028 $2,693 94¢ $2.8K +$149 10-19 00:21
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +3,943 $2,725 68¢ $2.7K -$23 10-09 05:57
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +2,778 $139 97¢ $2.7K +$2,557 10-12 02:48
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +4,361 $2,994 62¢ $2.7K -$312 10-25 22:57
Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +2,632 $2,608 99¢ $2.6K +$3 10-26 20:01
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +3,114 $2,057 84¢ $2.6K +$543 10-27 06:23
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,578 $2,491 100¢ $2.6K +$83 10-11 19:47
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +2,961 $2,521 86¢ $2.5K +$11 10-26 20:01