Realized P&L
+$3.14K
Unrealized P&L
+$28.2K
Hit rate
59.1%
Resolved
19,299
Trades
275,985
lifetime
Volume
$3.55M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$167.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 10-27 23:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 163 days
Categories
Other
42% 49% +$5,212
Politics
26% 50% -$532
Sports
25% 52% +$2,459
Crypto
5% 47% -$3,833
Tech
1% 50% -$169
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 13672 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +22,471 $9,525 88¢ $19.9K +$10,362 10-20 05:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +20,470 $14,756 94¢ $19.2K +$4,486 10-27 01:11
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583 No +14,764 $11,500 100¢ $14.7K +$3,228 10-25 10:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +15,013 $4,668 44¢ $6.5K +$1,862 10-27 23:29
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +9,498 $7,225 66¢ $6.2K -$1,004 10-25 23:04
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +8,397 $5,225 68¢ $5.7K +$443 10-26 20:53
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +7,707 $4,882 70¢ $5.4K +$513 10-25 02:00
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5,220 $3,626 100¢ $5.2K +$1,586 10-27 23:09
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +11,502 $4,865 44¢ $5.1K +$254 10-23 19:26
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +5,055 $4,250 96¢ $4.8K +$580 10-11 02:52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +8,703 $4,420 56¢ $4.8K +$410 10-27 23:09
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5,558 $2,987 86¢ $4.8K +$1,821 10-27 23:09
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +11,819 $5,775 40¢ $4.7K -$1,089 10-28 00:07
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +4,719 $3,268 95¢ $4.5K +$1,226 10-27 22:49
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +4,252 $3,065 98¢ $4.2K +$1,101 10-28 00:10
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +6,271 $4,460 65¢ $4.1K -$368 10-27 19:22
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +4,307 $3,826 94¢ $4.1K +$244 10-15 16:30
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +4,828 $3,046 79¢ $3.8K +$768 10-22 00:11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +3,925 $2,472 96¢ $3.8K +$1,296 10-26 06:03
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +4,171 $3,683 90¢ $3.7K +$56 10-25 20:22
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +4,943 $3,636 74¢ $3.6K -$3 10-26 02:57
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +5,182 $3,906 66¢ $3.4K -$461 10-27 22:50
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,796 $3,483 90¢ $3.4K -$69 10-26 03:04
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,481 $3,197 95¢ $3.3K +$107 10-25 18:59
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +4,104 $3,599 80¢ $3.3K -$315 10-27 22:49
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +3,666 $3,038 88¢ $3.2K +$173 10-27 04:34
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +3,776 $2,966 85¢ $3.2K +$238 10-25 17:03
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +3,505 $2,603 90¢ $3.1K +$534 10-27 23:56
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +2,856 $2,811 100¢ $2.9K +$41 10-26 20:02
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,028 $2,693 94¢ $2.8K +$152 10-19 00:21