Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$703
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
97,001
lifetime
Volume
$606.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$4.13K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 07-20 18:51
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Sports
48%
Crypto
28%
Other
23%
Politics
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 6107 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,616 $1,198 98¢ $1.6K +$393 07-10 20:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,738 $419 46¢ $791 +$372 07-07 06:16
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? No +214 $184 90¢ $194 +$10 07-14 01:23
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No +211 $180 92¢ $193 +$13 06-16 11:31
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +200 $148 72¢ $143 $-5 07-10 00:54
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? No +150 $124 91¢ $137 +$13 07-16 00:33
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? No +147 $112 90¢ $133 +$21 07-08 13:33
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +163 $108 78¢ $126 +$18 06-16 08:58
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026? No +144 $123 88¢ $126 +$3 07-18 16:55
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +328 $175 38¢ $123 $-52 06-22 08:47
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No +154 $78 57¢ $88 +$11 07-15 17:19
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? No +70 $33 92¢ $64 +$31 06-18 10:42
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? Yes +250 $47 25¢ $63 +$16 07-17 20:36
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? Yes +196 $36 28¢ $54 +$18 07-15 14:50
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No +52 $47 95¢ $50 +$3 07-19 01:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +2,800 $168 $43 $-125 07-07 20:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +50 $12 62¢ $31 +$19 06-21 03:06
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +307 $56 $26 $-30 06-17 09:24
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? Yes +283 $40 $24 $-16 07-12 12:32
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? No +23 $18 92¢ $21 +$3 06-18 14:42
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +240 $29 $20 $-8 07-02 06:06
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +20 $18 90¢ $18 $-0 07-19 22:21
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? Yes +214 $15 $17 +$2 07-17 02:00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +220 $13 $14 +$1 07-12 18:22
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026? Yes +60 $17 19¢ $11 $-5 07-20 18:51
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? Yes +217 $12 $9 $-3 06-28 23:38
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? Yes +146 $8 $7 $-1 07-14 00:52
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 92¢ $5 +$2 07-02 05:15
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? Yes +104 $3 $3 +$0 06-18 18:06
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? Yes +22 $2 $2 +$0 07-08 22:10