Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.12% in November? open
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Trades Price moves Resolution
← all wallets
Total volume
$158
Trades
17
Unique wallets
11
Liquidity
$259
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-01
First seen
2026-11-04
last 11-05 23:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +12.5¢ (top1%: 29% YES on $24 vs crowd: 17% YES on $155)
By volume tier
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🐋 Whale 2 $20 — +$20
🐬 Dolphin 3 $5 $51 $47
🐟 Fish 5 $1 $72 $71
🦐 Shrimp 1 — $5 $5
By P&L percentile
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🎯 Top 1% 2 $7 $17 $10
🏆 Top 5% 2 $0 $15 $15
Median 1 — $5 $5
Below median 1 — $4 $4
⚠️ Bottom 10% 1 — $53 $53
🔻 Bottom 5% 3 $5 $34 $29
💀 Bottom 1% 1 $13 — +$13
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
Wallet Side Net shares Cost basis Volume Trades Last activity
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 Yes +86 $13 $13 4 11-05 23:47
(anonymous) 0xd5f9…308f No +60 $53 $53 1 11-05 19:33
Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c Yes +40 $5 $10 2 11-05 23:47
Third-Odyssey 0xa53b…4021 No +21 $17 $17 1 11-04 23:06
(anonymous) 0xbb15…626c Yes +20 $5 $5 1 11-04 23:06
(anonymous) 0x5768…3bae No +20 $15 $15 1 11-04 23:06
Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 No +20 $18 $18 1 11-05 23:22
(anonymous) 0xbb15…626c No +20 $16 $16 1 11-04 23:06
(anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 Yes +5 $0 $0 1 11-05 16:32
True-Bone 0x3923…6833 No +5 $4 $4 1 11-04 23:19
(anonymous) 0x06fb…bfdb No +5 $5 $5 1 11-05 16:32