(anonymous) 0xa169f8…e21b73 Create alert
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$700
Unrealized P&L
-$1.64K
Hit rate
64.0%
Resolved
709
Trades
9,445
lifetime
Volume
$340.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$30.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-10
last 11-06 03:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
55% 58% -$2,057
Politics
36% 56% +$100
Tech
7% 62% +$1,262
Crypto
1% 50% -$3
Sports
1% 100% +$3
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 1195 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +5,297 $3,882 66¢ $3.5K -$412 11-05 21:22
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +2,767 $1,996 81¢ $2.2K +$245 11-05 19:28
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? No +2,148 $2,055 97¢ $2.1K +$28 11-05 20:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,717 $1,675 99¢ $1.7K +$32 11-05 15:29
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,577 $2,118 66¢ $1.7K -$418 11-06 03:29
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? No +1,665 $1,477 87¢ $1.4K -$29 11-04 07:48
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +4,698 $2,121 30¢ $1.4K -$689 11-05 11:56
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +4,650 $2,046 30¢ $1.4K -$674 11-04 23:02
Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? No +1,354 $1,194 86¢ $1.2K -$29 11-05 19:24
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? No +3,441 $1,049 34¢ $1.2K +$103 11-05 19:24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,018 $1,014 100¢ $1.0K -$1 10-31 08:09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,018 $1,011 99¢ $1.0K -$2 10-31 08:09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +1,350 $971 74¢ $1.0K +$35 11-03 16:46
Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30? Yes +1,235 $1,073 77¢ $957 -$116 11-05 08:27
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +1,179 $791 70¢ $820 +$29 11-06 00:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,215 $966 66¢ $796 -$170 10-28 18:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,888 $332 34¢ $651 +$319 11-05 21:22
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +2,019 $329 32¢ $636 +$307 11-06 03:29
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +829 $261 76¢ $634 +$373 11-04 01:59
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +3,060 $760 19¢ $581 -$179 11-05 19:28
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? No +2,431 $907 23¢ $559 -$348 11-05 23:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +843 $629 66¢ $552 -$77 10-23 14:08
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? Yes +1,156 $282 45¢ $518 +$236 10-25 03:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +572 $510 90¢ $518 +$8 11-04 11:50
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +744 $483 68¢ $509 +$26 11-06 04:11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? No +570 $368 77¢ $439 +$70 11-05 23:38
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? Yes +1,156 $698 36¢ $422 -$276 10-25 03:26
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +417 $403 95¢ $398 -$6 11-01 19:44
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +416 $400 87¢ $361 -$39 10-30 23:09
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +438 $348 81¢ $355 +$7 11-05 22:15