Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$2,993
Trades
171
Unique wallets
61
Liquidity
$9,940
Latest YES mid
20¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-07 02:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+50.9¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $331
vs crowd: 49% YES on $1.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $275 | $136 | +$139 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $230 | $575 | $344 |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $146 | $49 | +$97 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $92 | $11 | +$81 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $331 | — | +$331 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $0 | $9 | $8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| Median | 2 | $35 | $1 | +$34 |
| Below median | 8 | $9 | $107 | $98 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $29 | — | +$29 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $249 | $462 | $213 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $136 | $136 |
| unranked | 26 | $79 | $56 | +$23 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | +1,926 | $270 | $270 | 4 | 06-30 23:30 |
| Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | Yes | +1,036 | $139 | $139 | 1 | 06-07 08:53 |
| Daring-Pirate 0x5446…18f6 | Yes | +400 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 05-29 19:35 |
| Aromatic-Carter 0xde28…2115 | Yes | +240 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 05-30 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3de…111a | Yes | +229 | $35 | $35 | 4 | 06-30 23:30 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +170 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-07 08:53 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | +170 | $148 | $148 | 1 | 06-07 08:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x179f…218b | Yes | +77 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 15:59 |
| Colorful-Priest 0x3dd8…8c69 | Yes | +62 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-29 00:33 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +60 | $51 | $221 | 7 | 06-29 23:09 |
| Boring-Jiffy 0x8fc4…8e00 | Yes | +58 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-07 02:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x3669…b4bd | Yes | +47 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-23 17:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x5cc1…b855 | Yes | +47 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-23 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb5a…8008 | Yes | +40 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-11 22:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x28b8…5e00 | Yes | +38 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 06-29 23:13 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-23 19:30 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +20 | $17 | $188 | 11 | 06-29 23:09 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-29 19:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x9297…358b | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-23 17:29 |
| Each-Caliber 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-29 23:09 |
| Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-07 02:20 |
| Infamous-Risk 0xd501…1814 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-23 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x6006…8b2d | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 12:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f22…4784 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 23:31 |
| Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | +7 | $6 | $15 | 3 | 06-20 22:18 |
| Busy-Bat 0xce50…1e2d | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 23:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xf22e…dbd8 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 23:09 |
| Grim-Reprocessing 0xeee4…503a | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 21:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xa909…500d | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 23:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x8dd1…b39d | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-23 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-23 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-21 18:26 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-07 02:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-06 22:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 02:20:28 | Boring-Jiffy 0x8fc4…8e00 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 17¢ | $10 | 0xf1f638… |
| 07-07 02:20:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xf1f638… |
| 07-07 02:20:28 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $9 | 0xf1f638… |
| 07-07 02:20:28 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xf1f638… |
| 07-07 02:20:28 | Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xf1f638… |
| 07-03 00:20:26 | (anonymous) 0x40cd…a8e1 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x5640fe… |
| 07-03 00:20:26 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x5640fe… |
| 07-01 01:52:17 | (anonymous) 0x9807…6569 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x32bb61… |
| 07-01 01:52:17 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x32bb61… |
| 06-30 23:31:34 | (anonymous) 0x21cf…b0c9 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x1398fc… |
| 06-30 23:31:34 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 0 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x1398fc… |
| 06-30 23:31:34 | (anonymous) 0x1f22…4784 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x1398fc… |
| 06-30 23:30:26 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x4dbf49… |
| 06-30 23:30:26 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xa5b800… |
| 06-30 23:30:26 | (anonymous) 0xa3de…111a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x4dbf49… |
| 06-30 23:30:26 | (anonymous) 0x21cf…b0c9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xa5b800… |
| 06-30 23:30:25 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xc4d86d… |
| 06-30 23:30:25 | (anonymous) 0x21cf…b0c9 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xc4d86d… |
| 06-30 00:10:26 | (anonymous) 0x40cd…a8e1 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x3ae291… |
| 06-30 00:10:26 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x3ae291… |
| 06-29 23:13:44 | (anonymous) 0x28b8…5e00 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xcd199d… |
| 06-29 23:13:44 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xcd199d… |
| 06-29 23:13:37 | (anonymous) 0xa909…500d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x1d9864… |
| 06-29 23:13:37 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x1d9864… |
| 06-29 23:13:35 | (anonymous) 0xa3de…111a | Yes | BUY | 65 | 15¢ | $10 | 0x86ba99… |
| 06-29 23:13:35 | (anonymous) 0x21cf…b0c9 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x043691… |
| 06-29 23:13:35 | Conventional-Guide 0x6312…f94e | Yes | SELL | 43 | 15¢ | $6 | 0x86ba99… |
| 06-29 23:13:35 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 22 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x86ba99… |
| 06-29 23:13:35 | Conventional-Guide 0x6312…f94e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x043691… |
| 06-29 23:13:34 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 151 | 14¢ | $21 | 0x24a8a7… |
| 06-29 23:13:34 | Conventional-Guide 0x6312…f94e | Yes | SELL | 151 | 14¢ | $21 | 0x24a8a7… |
| 06-29 23:09:50 | Conventional-Guide 0x6312…f94e | Yes | SELL | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xd3692d… |
| 06-29 23:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x28b8…5e00 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xd3692d… |
| 06-29 23:09:46 | Each-Caliber 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x65b671… |
| 06-29 23:09:46 | Conventional-Guide 0x6312…f94e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xecdddf… |
| 06-29 23:09:46 | (anonymous) 0xf22e…dbd8 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xecdddf… |
| 06-29 23:09:46 | Conventional-Guide 0x6312…f94e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x65b671… |
| 06-29 23:09:41 | Busy-Bat 0xce50…1e2d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xe2ad27… |
| 06-29 23:09:41 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x9cef1f… |
| 06-29 23:09:41 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x9cef1f… |
| 06-29 23:09:41 | Conventional-Guide 0x6312…f94e | Yes | SELL | 67 | 15¢ | $10 | 0x6d8598… |
| 06-29 23:09:41 | (anonymous) 0x21cf…b0c9 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x59c202… |
| 06-29 23:09:41 | (anonymous) 0xa3de…111a | Yes | BUY | 67 | 15¢ | $10 | 0x6d8598… |
| 06-29 23:09:41 | Conventional-Guide 0x6312…f94e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xe2ad27… |
| 06-29 23:09:41 | Conventional-Guide 0x6312…f94e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x59c202… |
| 06-29 23:09:38 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 61 | 85¢ | $52 | 0xc15347… |
| 06-29 23:09:38 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 34 | 85¢ | $28 | 0xc15347… |
| 06-29 23:09:38 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0xc15347… |
| 06-29 23:09:38 | Conventional-Guide 0x6312…f94e | Yes | SELL | 144 | 15¢ | $22 | 0xc15347… |
| 06-29 00:33:10 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 62 | 16¢ | $10 | 0x28caab… |
| 06-29 00:33:10 | Colorful-Priest 0x3dd8…8c69 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 16¢ | $10 | 0x28caab… |
| 06-27 16:05:07 | (anonymous) 0xaa4f…b174 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xf93861… |
| 06-27 16:05:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 11 | 85¢ | $9 | 0xf93861… |
| 06-27 02:15:05 | (anonymous) 0xb170…928c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x010315… |
| 06-27 02:15:05 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 15 | 85¢ | $13 | 0x010315… |
| 06-23 19:30:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x1229f3… |
| 06-23 19:30:46 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x1229f3… |
| 06-23 19:30:37 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x6780e7… |
| 06-23 19:30:37 | Grim-Injoke 0x86ee…511f | Yes | SELL | 189 | 15¢ | $28 | 0x6780e7… |
| 06-23 19:30:37 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x6780e7… |
| 06-23 19:30:37 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x6780e7… |
| 06-23 19:30:37 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 148 | 15¢ | $22 | 0x6780e7… |
| 06-23 17:30:17 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x10bcca… |
| 06-23 17:30:17 | (anonymous) 0x28b8…5e00 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x10bcca… |
| 06-23 17:30:11 | (anonymous) 0x3669…b4bd | Yes | BUY | 47 | 17¢ | $8 | 0x635396… |
| 06-23 17:30:11 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x635396… |
| 06-23 17:30:08 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 80 | 84¢ | $67 | 0x01a611… |
| 06-23 17:30:08 | Grim-Injoke 0x86ee…511f | Yes | BUY | 189 | 16¢ | $30 | 0x01a611… |
| 06-23 17:30:08 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x01a611… |
| 06-23 17:30:08 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 89 | 16¢ | $14 | 0x01a611… |
| 06-23 17:29:49 | (anonymous) 0x9807…6569 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x236378… |
| 06-23 17:29:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x43f5b3… |
| 06-23 17:29:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 31 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x236378… |
| 06-23 17:29:49 | (anonymous) 0x8dd1…b39d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x43f5b3… |
| 06-23 17:29:47 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xeb6a1e… |
| 06-23 17:29:47 | Each-Caliber 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x0091af… |
| 06-23 17:29:47 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 22 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xeb6a1e… |
| 06-23 17:29:47 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xeb6a1e… |
| 06-23 17:29:47 | (anonymous) 0x5cc1…b855 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 15¢ | $7 | 0xeb6a1e… |
| 06-23 17:29:47 | Infamous-Risk 0xd501…1814 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xe03892… |
| 06-23 17:29:47 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x0091af… |
| 06-23 17:29:47 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xe03892… |
| 06-23 17:29:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x62c416… |
| 06-23 17:29:46 | (anonymous) 0xaa4f…b174 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x62c416… |
| 06-23 17:29:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 67 | 15¢ | $10 | 0x70193e… |
| 06-23 17:29:46 | (anonymous) 0xa3de…111a | Yes | BUY | 67 | 15¢ | $10 | 0x70193e… |
| 06-23 17:29:44 | (anonymous) 0x9297…358b | Yes | BUY | 16 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xdeb2e8… |
| 06-23 17:29:44 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 15 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x04aa43… |
| 06-23 17:29:44 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 1,709 | 14¢ | $239 | 0x5997ef… |
| 06-23 17:29:44 | Genuine-Dynamite 0x0cca…65eb | Yes | SELL | 1,709 | 14¢ | $239 | 0x5997ef… |
| 06-23 17:29:44 | (anonymous) 0xb170…928c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x04aa43… |
| 06-23 17:29:44 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 16 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xdeb2e8… |
| 06-21 18:26:43 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x16ddac… |
| 06-21 18:26:43 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x16ddac… |
| 06-20 22:20:58 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x7ff504… |
| 06-20 22:20:58 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 25 | 86¢ | $22 | 0x7ff504… |
| 06-20 22:18:49 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0x68280d… |
| 06-20 22:18:49 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x68280d… |
| 06-20 22:18:46 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x226923… |
| 06-20 22:18:46 | Feline-Sprat 0x7a89…ff1d | Yes | SELL | 100 | 14¢ | $14 | 0x226923… |