Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$6,545
Trades
302
Unique wallets
100
Liquidity
$9,940
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-26 20:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+72.6¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $606
vs crowd: 27% YES on $4.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $432 | $1.7K | $1.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 23 | $512 | $1.5K | $1.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 26 | $207 | $158 | +$49 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 42 | $148 | $72 | +$76 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $606 | — | +$606 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $25 | $9 | +$17 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $16 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| Median | 4 | $41 | $5 | +$36 |
| Below median | 18 | $43 | $178 | $135 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $46 | $257 | $211 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $270 | $1.1K | $846 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $39 | $236 | $197 |
| unranked | 45 | $212 | $132 | +$80 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | +2,555 | $358 | $358 | 5 | 07-16 19:11 |
| Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | +1,469 | $1,241 | $1,759 | 3 | 07-16 19:11 |
| Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | Yes | +1,036 | $139 | $139 | 1 | 06-07 08:53 |
| Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | +858 | $763 | $763 | 3 | 07-26 20:51 |
| Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | Yes | +600 | $66 | $66 | 2 | 07-25 20:48 |
| Daring-Pirate 0x5446…18f6 | Yes | +400 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 05-29 19:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x93a9…0b88 | Yes | +333 | $47 | $47 | 7 | 07-17 05:43 |
| Aromatic-Carter 0xde28…2115 | Yes | +240 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 05-30 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3de…111a | Yes | +229 | $35 | $35 | 4 | 06-30 23:30 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +170 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-07 08:53 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | +170 | $148 | $148 | 1 | 06-07 08:53 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +163 | $7 | $357 | 60 | 07-25 20:48 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +132 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 07-16 19:11 |
| Quarterly-Comeback 0x5a22…17a6 | No | +112 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-25 10:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x179f…218b | Yes | +77 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 15:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x3669…b4bd | Yes | +69 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 07-17 14:15 |
| Colorful-Priest 0x3dd8…8c69 | Yes | +62 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-29 00:33 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +60 | $51 | $221 | 7 | 06-29 23:09 |
| Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | +50 | $43 | $134 | 2 | 07-25 20:48 |
| Careful-Sorrow 0x443e…8055 | Yes | +50 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-21 06:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x5cc1…b855 | Yes | +47 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-23 17:29 |
| Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | +46 | $6 | $11 | 3 | 07-16 19:31 |
| Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | +44 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 07-23 23:13 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +43 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 07-19 03:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb5a…8008 | Yes | +40 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-11 22:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x28b8…5e00 | Yes | +38 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 06-29 23:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | +37 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-17 15:09 |
| Unkempt-Mini 0x686d…1a68 | Yes | +35 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 07-18 01:31 |
| Insubstantial-Parchment 0x025d…5b22 | Yes | +29 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-16 19:14 |
| 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | +28 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 07-15 06:24 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-23 19:30 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +20 | $17 | $188 | 11 | 06-29 23:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-25 20:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x9297…358b | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-23 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x724b…8cd9 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-16 19:11 |
| Each-Caliber 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-29 23:09 |
| Lustrous-Republic 0x1798…fbf4 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-26 20:51 |
| Infamous-Risk 0xd501…1814 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-23 17:29 |
| Quarterly-Theory 0x6a66…f9a9 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-26 11:24 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +8 | $4 | $32 | 3 | 07-16 19:14 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-07 02:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-13 15:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xf143…4ef2 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-07 20:13 |
| Nice-Choker 0xdc4d…f2c9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 01:34 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 20:51:52 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xf4ea42… |
| 07-26 20:51:52 | Lustrous-Republic 0x1798…fbf4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf4ea42… |
| 07-26 11:24:42 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x02fb17… |
| 07-26 11:24:42 | Quarterly-Theory 0x6a66…f9a9 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x02fb17… |
| 07-25 20:48:48 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x83735e… |
| 07-25 20:48:48 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x83735e… |
| 07-25 20:48:48 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 90 | 10¢ | $9 | 0x83735e… |
| 07-25 20:48:48 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0x83735e… |
| 07-25 20:48:46 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xa36680… |
| 07-25 20:48:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xa36680… |
| 07-25 20:48:43 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 11¢ | $10 | 0x5cfe2f… |
| 07-25 20:48:43 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 17 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x5cfe2f… |
| 07-25 20:48:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 46 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x5cfe2f… |
| 07-25 20:48:43 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 148 | 11¢ | $16 | 0x5cfe2f… |
| 07-25 20:48:43 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 838 | 89¢ | $746 | 0x5cfe2f… |
| 07-25 20:48:43 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x5cfe2f… |
| 07-25 20:48:43 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | Yes | BUY | 508 | 11¢ | $56 | 0x5cfe2f… |
| 07-25 10:26:48 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 0 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x2c4b31… |
| 07-25 10:26:48 | Quarterly-Comeback 0x5a22…17a6 | No | BUY | 112 | 89¢ | $100 | 0x2c4b31… |
| 07-25 10:26:48 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x2c4b31… |
| 07-25 10:26:48 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | Yes | BUY | 92 | 11¢ | $10 | 0x2c4b31… |
| 07-23 23:13:30 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | BUY | 44 | 88¢ | $39 | 0x087e9a… |
| 07-23 23:13:30 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 44 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x087e9a… |
| 07-23 23:07:18 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x455c8a… |
| 07-23 23:07:18 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x455c8a… |
| 07-21 06:28:45 | Careful-Sorrow 0x443e…8055 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xffe4a1… |
| 07-21 06:28:45 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0xffe4a1… |
| 07-21 06:28:45 | Boring-Jiffy 0x8fc4…8e00 | Yes | SELL | 58 | 12¢ | $7 | 0xffe4a1… |
| 07-21 06:28:45 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xffe4a1… |
| 07-21 06:28:45 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xffe4a1… |
| 07-21 01:34:33 | Nice-Choker 0xdc4d…f2c9 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x0ecf82… |
| 07-21 01:34:33 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x0ecf82… |
| 07-20 13:13:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x4a4e9c… |
| 07-20 13:13:46 | (anonymous) 0xc911…a7ff | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x4a4e9c… |
| 07-20 13:13:42 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 25 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x97c17c… |
| 07-20 13:13:42 | (anonymous) 0x07bb…fcca | No | SELL | 25 | 86¢ | $21 | 0x97c17c… |
| 07-20 03:53:33 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xe6340f… |
| 07-20 03:53:33 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xe6340f… |
| 07-19 21:17:52 | (anonymous) 0x39e1…2c83 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 13¢ | $9 | 0x84b730… |
| 07-19 21:17:52 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 66 | 13¢ | $9 | 0x84b730… |
| 07-19 21:17:52 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 4 | 87¢ | $3 | 0x84b730… |
| 07-19 09:13:09 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | SELL | 46 | 85¢ | $39 | 0xe06447… |
| 07-19 09:13:09 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 46 | 15¢ | $7 | 0xe06447… |
| 07-19 03:10:27 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | SELL | 35 | 86¢ | $30 | 0xbda64d… |
| 07-19 03:10:27 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 35 | 86¢ | $30 | 0xbda64d… |
| 07-18 22:20:09 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 31 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x0bc617… |
| 07-18 22:20:09 | (anonymous) 0x571a…1668 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x0bc617… |
| 07-18 01:31:54 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x68d294… |
| 07-18 01:31:54 | Unkempt-Mini 0x686d…1a68 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x68d294… |
| 07-17 21:36:15 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xf2ea90… |
| 07-17 21:36:15 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xf2ea90… |
| 07-17 19:10:15 | (anonymous) 0x39e1…2c83 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 14¢ | $10 | 0x295954… |
| 07-17 19:10:15 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x295954… |
| 07-17 19:10:15 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x295954… |
| 07-17 15:09:00 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | BUY | 32 | 86¢ | $28 | 0xf928a0… |
| 07-17 15:09:00 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 37 | 14¢ | $5 | 0xf928a0… |
| 07-17 15:09:00 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xf928a0… |
| 07-17 14:15:04 | (anonymous) 0x3669…b4bd | Yes | BUY | 22 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xe8114e… |
| 07-17 14:15:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 22 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xe8114e… |
| 07-17 05:43:21 | Jumbo-Providence 0x9592…a8fd | Yes | SELL | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x408468… |
| 07-17 05:43:21 | (anonymous) 0x93a9…0b88 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x408468… |
| 07-17 05:41:39 | Ripe-Phase 0xb042…14f3 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 14¢ | $8 | 0x71b5c4… |
| 07-17 05:41:39 | (anonymous) 0x93a9…0b88 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 14¢ | $8 | 0x71b5c4… |
| 07-17 03:52:01 | (anonymous) 0x93a9…0b88 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 14¢ | $8 | 0xbd2b00… |
| 07-17 03:52:01 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 14¢ | $8 | 0xbd2b00… |
| 07-16 23:57:02 | (anonymous) 0x93a9…0b88 | Yes | BUY | 89 | 14¢ | $12 | 0x7103d5… |
| 07-16 23:57:02 | Grim-Injoke 0x86ee…511f | Yes | SELL | 89 | 14¢ | $12 | 0x7103d5… |
| 07-16 21:56:05 | (anonymous) 0x93a9…0b88 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xc3ac5a… |
| 07-16 21:56:05 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | Yes | SELL | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xc3ac5a… |
| 07-16 20:24:38 | (anonymous) 0x93a9…0b88 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 14¢ | $6 | 0x9c57c9… |
| 07-16 20:24:38 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 14¢ | $6 | 0x9c57c9… |
| 07-16 19:48:25 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd90a40… |
| 07-16 19:48:25 | (anonymous) 0x93a9…0b88 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd90a40… |
| 07-16 19:31:40 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | SELL | 31 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xff9023… |
| 07-16 19:31:40 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xff9023… |
| 07-16 19:17:31 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x88a2a0… |
| 07-16 19:17:31 | (anonymous) 0x8c8f…b385 | Yes | SELL | 67 | 13¢ | $9 | 0x88a2a0… |
| 07-16 19:17:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 32 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x88a2a0… |
| 07-16 19:15:41 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | Yes | SELL | 100 | 14¢ | $14 | 0xfd3f55… |
| 07-16 19:15:41 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 14¢ | $14 | 0xfd3f55… |
| 07-16 19:14:16 | Insubstantial-Parchment 0x025d…5b22 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xbf2cad… |
| 07-16 19:14:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xbf2cad… |
| 07-16 19:13:05 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xf075d3… |
| 07-16 19:13:05 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xf075d3… |
| 07-16 19:11:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 14 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xd52ed4… |
| 07-16 19:11:49 | Grim-Injoke 0x86ee…511f | Yes | BUY | 89 | 14¢ | $12 | 0x5b6475… |
| 07-16 19:11:49 | (anonymous) 0x724b…8cd9 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xd52ed4… |
| 07-16 19:11:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 89 | 14¢ | $12 | 0x5b6475… |
| 07-16 19:11:23 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 36 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x324ea0… |
| 07-16 19:11:23 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x324ea0… |
| 07-16 19:11:22 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0xc3004d… |
| 07-16 19:11:22 | Ripe-Phase 0xb042…14f3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0xc3004d… |
| 07-16 19:11:17 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x938317… |
| 07-16 19:11:17 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 132 | 16¢ | $21 | 0x938317… |
| 07-16 19:11:17 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x938317… |
| 07-16 19:11:17 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x938317… |
| 07-16 19:11:17 | Jumbo-Providence 0x9592…a8fd | Yes | BUY | 30 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x938317… |
| 07-16 19:11:17 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x938317… |
| 07-16 19:11:17 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 629 | 14¢ | $88 | 0x938317… |
| 07-16 19:11:17 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 141 | 15¢ | $21 | 0x938317… |