Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$16,664
Trades
471
Unique wallets
133
Liquidity
$9,940
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-17 00:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.2¢
(top1%: 23% YES on $5.7K
vs crowd: 19% YES on $14.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $1.2K | $6.7K | $5.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 36 | $716 | $4.5K | $3.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 30 | $284 | $203 | +$81 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 54 | $511 | $142 | +$369 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $1.3K | $4.4K | $3.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $43 | $248 | $205 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $16 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| Median | 6 | $47 | $75 | $28 |
| Below median | 25 | $56 | $384 | $328 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $61 | $330 | $268 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 14 | $325 | $3.3K | $3.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $73 | $801 | $729 |
| unranked | 62 | $730 | $442 | +$288 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | +7,541 | $956 | $956 | 6 | 08-10 05:02 |
| Solid-Porcelain 0xe0db…f44e | No | +5,000 | $4,400 | $4,400 | 2 | 08-10 05:02 |
| Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | +3,300 | $2,903 | $2,903 | 12 | 08-17 00:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x8ce7…22b0 | Yes | +2,253 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 08-06 11:41 |
| Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | +1,469 | $1,241 | $1,759 | 3 | 07-16 19:11 |
| Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | Yes | +1,036 | $139 | $139 | 1 | 06-07 08:53 |
| Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | Yes | +1,000 | $114 | $114 | 3 | 08-17 00:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4f7…73bb | Yes | +700 | $84 | $84 | 3 | 08-17 00:32 |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | Yes | +600 | $78 | $78 | 3 | 08-12 17:43 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +545 | $477 | $705 | 12 | 08-10 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf45…c0b6 | Yes | +525 | $68 | $68 | 2 | 08-13 13:21 |
| Daring-Pirate 0x5446…18f6 | Yes | +400 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 05-29 19:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x93a9…0b88 | Yes | +333 | $47 | $47 | 7 | 07-17 05:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x43b9…5db9 | Yes | +299 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 08-10 05:02 |
| Aromatic-Carter 0xde28…2115 | Yes | +240 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 05-30 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3de…111a | Yes | +229 | $35 | $35 | 4 | 06-30 23:30 |
| Decimal-Trooper 0x97af…9bc6 | Yes | +210 | $27 | $27 | 3 | 08-13 15:07 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +207 | $186 | $186 | 1 | 07-28 18:44 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +170 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-07 08:53 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | +170 | $148 | $148 | 1 | 06-07 08:53 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +157 | $22 | $33 | 4 | 08-10 05:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x0159…1bac | Yes | +140 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 08-08 17:19 |
| Quarterly-Comeback 0x5a22…17a6 | No | +112 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-25 10:26 |
| Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | +95 | $86 | $94 | 2 | 08-04 14:46 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +94 | $84 | $84 | 3 | 08-02 22:23 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +84 | $75 | $146 | 3 | 08-06 11:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x179f…218b | Yes | +77 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 15:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x3669…b4bd | Yes | +69 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 07-17 14:15 |
| Colorful-Priest 0x3dd8…8c69 | Yes | +62 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-29 00:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x9297…358b | Yes | +62 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 08-10 05:02 |
| Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | +50 | $43 | $134 | 2 | 07-25 20:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x5cc1…b855 | Yes | +47 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-23 17:29 |
| Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | +44 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 07-23 23:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb5a…8008 | Yes | +40 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-11 22:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | +37 | $4 | $12 | 7 | 08-17 00:32 |
| Stiff-Calculation 0x9ba0…f24d | Yes | +36 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-13 15:02 |
| Unkempt-Mini 0x686d…1a68 | Yes | +35 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 07-18 01:31 |
| Insubstantial-Parchment 0x025d…5b22 | Yes | +29 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-16 19:14 |
| Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | +24 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-10 05:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x9028…8608 | Yes | +24 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-10 05:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 08-11 04:26 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-23 19:30 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +20 | $17 | $188 | 11 | 06-29 23:09 |
| Immaterial-Advantage 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 08-10 08:23 |
| Courteous-Cloak 0x3e6e…99ea | No | +15 | $13 | $305 | 5 | 08-10 05:02 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-10 05:02 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-07 02:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-13 15:13 |
| Nice-Choker 0xdc4d…f2c9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 01:34 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 00:32:04 | (anonymous) 0xd4f7…73bb | Yes | BUY | 346 | 12¢ | $42 | 0x1ee36b… |
| 08-17 00:32:04 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 900 | 88¢ | $792 | 0x1ee36b… |
| 08-17 00:32:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 125 | 12¢ | $15 | 0x1ee36b… |
| 08-17 00:32:04 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | Yes | BUY | 400 | 12¢ | $48 | 0x1ee36b… |
| 08-17 00:32:04 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 29 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x1ee36b… |
| 08-16 14:51:42 | Impossible-Reject 0x420e…e3c9 | Yes | SELL | 333 | 12¢ | $40 | 0xc7c052… |
| 08-16 14:51:42 | (anonymous) 0xd4f7…73bb | Yes | BUY | 333 | 12¢ | $40 | 0xc7c052… |
| 08-14 05:08:07 | (anonymous) 0xd4f7…73bb | Yes | BUY | 21 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x60fdfd… |
| 08-14 05:08:07 | (anonymous) 0x2fb8…8e47 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x60fdfd… |
| 08-13 15:07:48 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 100 | 87¢ | $87 | 0xca0c48… |
| 08-13 15:07:48 | Decimal-Trooper 0x97af…9bc6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 13¢ | $13 | 0xca0c48… |
| 08-13 15:06:36 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 100 | 87¢ | $87 | 0x18ae68… |
| 08-13 15:06:36 | Decimal-Trooper 0x97af…9bc6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 13¢ | $13 | 0x18ae68… |
| 08-13 15:02:12 | Stiff-Calculation 0x9ba0…f24d | Yes | BUY | 36 | 14¢ | $5 | 0xac8004… |
| 08-13 15:02:12 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 36 | 14¢ | $5 | 0xac8004… |
| 08-13 13:21:49 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 379 | 86¢ | $326 | 0x84129c… |
| 08-13 13:21:49 | (anonymous) 0xbf45…c0b6 | Yes | BUY | 392 | 14¢ | $55 | 0x84129c… |
| 08-13 13:21:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 13 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x84129c… |
| 08-13 05:04:57 | (anonymous) 0x2fb8…8e47 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x288cc9… |
| 08-13 05:04:57 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 21 | 86¢ | $18 | 0x288cc9… |
| 08-12 17:43:52 | (anonymous) 0x286e…7d04 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 13¢ | $13 | 0x5ea365… |
| 08-12 17:43:52 | Decimal-Trooper 0x97af…9bc6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x5ea365… |
| 08-12 17:43:52 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 13¢ | $12 | 0x5ea365… |
| 08-11 20:23:06 | Lustrous-Republic 0x1798…fbf4 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x3d0e6e… |
| 08-11 20:23:06 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x3d0e6e… |
| 08-11 04:26:13 | Live-Numismatist 0xdf3b…880a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xf1ed89… |
| 08-11 04:26:13 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 13¢ | $65 | 0x43e278… |
| 08-11 04:26:13 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | BUY | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0xf1ed89… |
| 08-11 04:26:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xf1ed89… |
| 08-11 04:26:13 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 500 | 87¢ | $435 | 0x43e278… |
| 08-10 15:50:51 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x4c7fdb… |
| 08-10 15:50:51 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x4c7fdb… |
| 08-10 11:18:43 | (anonymous) 0xb275…6cb2 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xf18f49… |
| 08-10 11:18:43 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xf18f49… |
| 08-10 08:35:22 | (anonymous) 0xdd57…9e24 | No | SELL | 18 | 86¢ | $16 | 0x9a4711… |
| 08-10 08:35:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 18 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x9a4711… |
| 08-10 08:34:15 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 21 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x1beab4… |
| 08-10 08:34:15 | (anonymous) 0x29c2…97aa | No | SELL | 21 | 86¢ | $18 | 0x1beab4… |
| 08-10 08:23:52 | Immaterial-Advantage 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x92e203… |
| 08-10 08:23:52 | (anonymous) 0xdd57…9e24 | No | BUY | 19 | 87¢ | $16 | 0x92e203… |
| 08-10 08:17:43 | (anonymous) 0x29c2…97aa | No | BUY | 21 | 87¢ | $18 | 0x88c08b… |
| 08-10 08:17:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x88c08b… |
| 08-10 08:17:43 | Immaterial-Advantage 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x88c08b… |
| 08-10 05:16:10 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x72960e… |
| 08-10 05:16:10 | Idle-Pineapple 0x5fa5…b7a7 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x72960e… |
| 08-10 05:02:24 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 40 | 14¢ | $6 | 0xbd8581… |
| 08-10 05:02:24 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 40 | 86¢ | $34 | 0xbd8581… |
| 08-10 05:02:15 | (anonymous) 0x43b9…5db9 | Yes | BUY | 299 | 13¢ | $39 | 0xb8b5b7… |
| 08-10 05:02:15 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | BUY | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0xb8b5b7… |
| 08-10 05:02:15 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 259 | 87¢ | $225 | 0xb8b5b7… |
| 08-10 05:02:10 | (anonymous) 0xc0b6…d8a1 | No | SELL | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0x44b4eb… |
| 08-10 05:02:10 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0x44b4eb… |
| 08-10 05:02:09 | Courteous-Cloak 0x3e6e…99ea | No | BUY | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0x671b81… |
| 08-10 05:02:09 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 140 | 87¢ | $122 | 0x671b81… |
| 08-10 05:02:09 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 125 | 13¢ | $16 | 0x671b81… |
| 08-10 05:02:06 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x38aa56… |
| 08-10 05:02:06 | Solid-Porcelain 0xe0db…f44e | No | BUY | 4,652 | 88¢ | $4,094 | 0x946711… |
| 08-10 05:02:06 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x3f1b24… |
| 08-10 05:02:06 | (anonymous) 0xc0b6…d8a1 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x946711… |
| 08-10 05:02:06 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x946711… |
| 08-10 05:02:06 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 148 | 12¢ | $18 | 0x946711… |
| 08-10 05:02:06 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x3f1b24… |
| 08-10 05:02:06 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 22 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x479d22… |
| 08-10 05:02:06 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 4,986 | 12¢ | $598 | 0x946711… |
| 08-10 05:02:06 | (anonymous) 0x9297…358b | Yes | BUY | 46 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x479d22… |
| 08-10 05:02:06 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x479d22… |
| 08-10 05:02:06 | (anonymous) 0x9028…8608 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x38aa56… |
| 08-10 05:02:06 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 140 | 88¢ | $123 | 0x946711… |
| 08-10 05:02:06 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x3f1b24… |
| 08-10 05:02:06 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x3f1b24… |
| 08-10 03:50:49 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x199dbe… |
| 08-10 03:50:49 | Careful-Sorrow 0x443e…8055 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x199dbe… |
| 08-10 00:50:40 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x0ad152… |
| 08-10 00:50:40 | Careful-Sorrow 0x443e…8055 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x0ad152… |
| 08-09 07:57:15 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x7f543e… |
| 08-09 07:57:15 | Quarterly-Theory 0x6a66…f9a9 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x7f543e… |
| 08-09 03:50:42 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | BUY | 12 | 89¢ | $11 | 0xca51aa… |
| 08-09 03:50:42 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 12 | 89¢ | $11 | 0xca51aa… |
| 08-08 18:51:03 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x6586b4… |
| 08-08 18:51:03 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | SELL | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x6586b4… |
| 08-08 17:19:24 | (anonymous) 0x0159…1bac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x70a1e1… |
| 08-08 17:19:24 | Evergreen-Grill 0x08ce…f301 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x70a1e1… |
| 08-08 17:19:22 | (anonymous) 0x0159…1bac | Yes | BUY | 36 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x4451c6… |
| 08-08 17:19:22 | (anonymous) 0x0159…1bac | Yes | BUY | 64 | 11¢ | $7 | 0x823c3f… |
| 08-08 17:19:22 | Evergreen-Grill 0x08ce…f301 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x4451c6… |
| 08-08 17:19:22 | Evergreen-Grill 0x08ce…f301 | Yes | SELL | 64 | 11¢ | $7 | 0x823c3f… |
| 08-08 06:50:40 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | SELL | 19 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x6db3ad… |
| 08-08 06:50:40 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | SELL | 19 | 89¢ | $17 | 0x6db3ad… |
| 08-08 03:57:27 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 62 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x957441… |
| 08-08 03:57:27 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 38 | 90¢ | $34 | 0x957441… |
| 08-08 03:57:27 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x957441… |
| 08-07 04:35:24 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 140 | 11¢ | $15 | 0xf77e0f… |
| 08-07 04:35:24 | (anonymous) 0x2354…46e5 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x998ca0… |
| 08-07 04:35:24 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 128 | 11¢ | $14 | 0xf77e0f… |
| 08-07 04:35:24 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 12 | 89¢ | $11 | 0xf77e0f… |
| 08-07 04:35:24 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 28 | 89¢ | $25 | 0x998ca0… |
| 08-07 04:35:24 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 12 | 89¢ | $11 | 0x998ca0… |
| 08-07 04:35:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x83c8d4… |
| 08-07 04:35:22 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x83c8d4… |
| 08-07 04:35:21 | Solid-Porcelain 0xe0db…f44e | No | BUY | 348 | 88¢ | $306 | 0x8c8f3b… |