Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,618
Trades
58
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$9,940
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
85¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-12 21:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+69.1¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $32
vs crowd: 31% YES on $938)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | — | $69 | $69 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $195 | $531 | $337 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $48 | $45 | +$3 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $47 | $3 | +$45 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $32 | — | +$32 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 2 | — | $69 | $69 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $29 | $146 | $117 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $211 | $316 | $105 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $69 | $69 |
| unranked | 11 | $18 | $48 | $29 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | Yes | +1,036 | $139 | $139 | 1 | 06-07 08:53 |
| Daring-Pirate 0x5446…18f6 | Yes | +400 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 05-29 19:35 |
| Aromatic-Carter 0xde28…2115 | Yes | +240 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 05-30 23:59 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +170 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-07 08:53 |
| Courteous-Cloak 0x3e6e…99ea | No | +170 | $146 | $146 | 1 | 06-07 08:53 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | +170 | $148 | $148 | 1 | 06-07 08:53 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +80 | $69 | $69 | 5 | 06-11 22:55 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +80 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 06-07 08:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x179f…218b | Yes | +77 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 15:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb5a…8008 | Yes | +40 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-11 22:55 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-29 19:35 |
| Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-12 21:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x6006…8b2d | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 12:22 |
| Grim-Reprocessing 0xeee4…503a | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 21:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-06 22:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 21:34:01 | Grim-Reprocessing 0xeee4…503a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x9839ce… |
| 06-12 21:34:01 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x9839ce… |
| 06-11 22:55:40 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x25fb24… |
| 06-11 22:55:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x25fb24… |
| 06-11 22:55:33 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xbf1d64… |
| 06-11 22:55:33 | (anonymous) 0xfb5a…8008 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 15¢ | $6 | 0xbf1d64… |
| 06-11 22:55:33 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xbf1d64… |
| 06-11 12:15:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 103 | 14¢ | $14 | 0xbbd805… |
| 06-11 12:15:55 | (anonymous) 0x830d…be50 | Yes | SELL | 103 | 14¢ | $14 | 0xbbd805… |
| 06-08 04:37:18 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 25 | 85¢ | $22 | 0xecb59b… |
| 06-08 04:37:18 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xecb59b… |
| 06-08 04:37:18 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xecb59b… |
| 06-07 08:53:46 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 148 | 85¢ | $125 | 0x2d8441… |
| 06-07 08:53:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 148 | 15¢ | $22 | 0x2d8441… |
| 06-07 08:53:09 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | BUY | 170 | 14¢ | $24 | 0x2504f9… |
| 06-07 08:53:09 | Courteous-Cloak 0x3e6e…99ea | No | BUY | 170 | 86¢ | $146 | 0x2504f9… |
| 06-07 08:53:07 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x508ffd… |
| 06-07 08:53:07 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 121 | 13¢ | $16 | 0x508ffd… |
| 06-07 08:53:07 | Evergreen-Grill 0x08ce…f301 | Yes | SELL | 156 | 14¢ | $22 | 0x508ffd… |
| 06-07 08:53:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 148 | 14¢ | $21 | 0x508ffd… |
| 06-07 08:53:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 80 | 86¢ | $69 | 0x508ffd… |
| 06-07 08:53:07 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | Yes | BUY | 1,036 | 13¢ | $139 | 0x508ffd… |
| 06-07 08:53:07 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 173 | 87¢ | $151 | 0x508ffd… |
| 06-07 08:53:07 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x508ffd… |
| 06-07 08:53:07 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | BUY | 170 | 87¢ | $148 | 0x508ffd… |
| 06-06 22:23:18 | Second-Cottage 0x5053…0bff | Yes | SELL | 148 | 12¢ | $18 | 0x32d1c1… |
| 06-06 22:23:18 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x32d1c1… |
| 06-06 22:23:18 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 144 | 12¢ | $17 | 0x32d1c1… |
| 06-06 04:48:40 | (anonymous) 0xbeff…da9f | No | SELL | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0x7d2990… |
| 06-06 04:48:40 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x7d2990… |
| 06-05 22:37:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xc861d9… |
| 06-05 22:37:40 | (anonymous) 0xbeff…da9f | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0xc861d9… |
| 06-05 22:21:24 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x0a3f87… |
| 06-05 22:21:24 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x0a3f87… |
| 06-05 22:21:24 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x0a3f87… |
| 06-05 22:19:30 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0x6d4c97… |
| 06-05 22:19:30 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 29 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x6d4c97… |
| 06-05 22:19:30 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x6d4c97… |
| 06-05 17:16:46 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 11 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x83de4e… |
| 06-05 17:16:46 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x83de4e… |
| 06-02 15:59:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 77 | 13¢ | $10 | 0x272706… |
| 06-02 15:59:07 | (anonymous) 0x179f…218b | Yes | BUY | 77 | 13¢ | $10 | 0x272706… |
| 06-02 12:22:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x8a88bc… |
| 06-02 12:22:07 | (anonymous) 0x6006…8b2d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x8a88bc… |
| 05-30 23:59:40 | Aromatic-Carter 0xde28…2115 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 12¢ | $13 | 0xbbebc3… |
| 05-30 23:59:40 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 65 | 12¢ | $8 | 0xbbebc3… |
| 05-30 23:59:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xbbebc3… |
| 05-30 21:59:46 | Aromatic-Carter 0xde28…2115 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 12¢ | $16 | 0x468666… |
| 05-30 21:59:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 130 | 12¢ | $16 | 0x468666… |
| 05-29 19:35:37 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd6de20… |
| 05-29 19:35:37 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xd6de20… |
| 05-29 19:35:37 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd6de20… |
| 05-29 19:35:37 | Daring-Pirate 0x5446…18f6 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 12¢ | $48 | 0xd6de20… |
| 05-29 19:35:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 82 | 12¢ | $10 | 0xd6de20… |
| 05-29 15:02:37 | Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | SELL | 271 | 89¢ | $241 | 0x5e7375… |
| 05-29 15:02:37 | Jam-Packed-Theft 0x2d5b…5d41 | Yes | SELL | 271 | 11¢ | $30 | 0x5e7375… |
| 05-28 07:54:31 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xdcf154… |
| 05-28 07:54:31 | Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xdcf154… |