Realized P&L
+$1.16K
Unrealized P&L
-$410
Hit rate
92.3%
Resolved
59
Trades
1,035
lifetime
Volume
$20.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$3.53K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-02
last 10-09 18:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Politics
41% 50% +$1,160
Other
23% 36% -$6
Crypto
20% — —
Sports
16% 55% +$5
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 269 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +982 -$175 96¢ $938 +$1,113 08-25 07:38
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,875 $1,348 32¢ $591 -$757 10-09 05:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,016 $754 8¢ $226 -$528 08-23 16:45
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +220 $206 98¢ $215 +$9 08-12 00:17
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +150 $89 98¢ $147 +$58 08-19 00:32
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +150 $122 93¢ $140 +$18 08-14 01:06
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes +226 $67 51¢ $116 +$49 10-08 03:45
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? No +196 $102 56¢ $111 +$9 10-09 02:13
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +100 $97 99¢ $99 +$3 08-22 17:15
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes +200 $57 48¢ $97 +$40 10-04 20:14
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +219 $114 44¢ $95 -$19 08-13 14:57
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +714 $196 12¢ $86 -$110 10-07 13:15
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? Yes +168 $75 44¢ $73 -$2 10-07 02:24
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +85 $63 83¢ $70 +$7 10-07 06:07
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +300 $124 22¢ $64 -$59 10-05 14:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +86 $61 59¢ $51 -$10 08-14 02:15
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,073 $145 4¢ $48 -$97 08-25 07:38
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +91 $60 52¢ $47 -$14 10-05 03:29
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +110 $41 41¢ $45 +$4 08-20 12:29
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +804 $43 5¢ $38 -$5 10-06 01:02
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +124 $51 29¢ $35 -$15 08-24 03:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +370 $108 10¢ $35 -$72 08-24 15:38
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +37 $25 72¢ $26 +$1 10-09 14:57
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +50 $35 49¢ $24 -$11 10-05 00:26
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes +63 $13 34¢ $22 +$9 10-04 21:05
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $41 22¢ $22 -$20 10-05 14:47
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50 $22 42¢ $21 -$1 10-05 09:13
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +28 $23 66¢ $18 -$4 10-04 20:13
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +140 $15 13¢ $18 +$3 08-08 17:19
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship? Yes +315 $23 5¢ $15 -$7 10-06 16:21