Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,897
Trades
114
Unique wallets
38
Liquidity
$9,918
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-27 13:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+82.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $117
vs crowd: 18% YES on $1.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $8 | $225 | $217 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $171 | $1.0K | $844 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $42 | $22 | +$20 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $59 | $28 | +$30 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $117 | — | +$117 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| Median | 3 | $6 | $11 | $5 |
| Below median | 6 | $25 | $74 | $49 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $18 | — | +$18 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $14 | $34 | $20 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| unranked | 14 | $80 | $61 | +$19 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresh-Cowboy 0x8365…e9a6 | No | +1,027 | $896 | $896 | 2 | 07-08 12:23 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +777 | $97 | $137 | 29 | 07-27 09:20 |
| Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | +249 | $214 | $214 | 2 | 07-07 10:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xee54…f617 | Yes | +239 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 07-23 20:13 |
| Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | +160 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 07-08 12:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x3157…7ebd | Yes | +133 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 07-23 02:02 |
| Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | +26 | $23 | $23 | 5 | 07-27 13:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 07-23 20:13 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 07-11 07:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 13:30:27 | (anonymous) 0x1a33…1677 | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x953e6a… |
| 07-27 13:30:27 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x953e6a… |
| 07-27 09:20:30 | (anonymous) 0x1a33…1677 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x9070bc… |
| 07-27 09:20:30 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x9070bc… |
| 07-27 08:12:42 | (anonymous) 0x0a46…77a8 | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x3a1c8d… |
| 07-27 08:12:42 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x3a1c8d… |
| 07-27 04:10:19 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xa2cdc7… |
| 07-27 04:10:19 | (anonymous) 0x9244…169c | No | SELL | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xa2cdc7… |
| 07-27 02:53:31 | (anonymous) 0x0a46…77a8 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x13d2bf… |
| 07-27 02:53:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x13d2bf… |
| 07-26 22:02:07 | (anonymous) 0x9244…169c | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0xb80102… |
| 07-26 22:02:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xb80102… |
| 07-26 13:13:43 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 7 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x8ead43… |
| 07-26 13:13:43 | (anonymous) 0x0107…e385 | No | SELL | 7 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x8ead43… |
| 07-26 09:16:45 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x8b3977… |
| 07-26 09:16:45 | (anonymous) 0x40ef…fef6 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x8b3977… |
| 07-26 07:05:25 | (anonymous) 0x0107…e385 | No | BUY | 7 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xb54041… |
| 07-26 07:05:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb54041… |
| 07-26 05:08:04 | (anonymous) 0x40ef…fef6 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $4 | 0xba4ac4… |
| 07-26 05:08:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xba4ac4… |
| 07-23 20:13:42 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x0a42d4… |
| 07-23 20:13:42 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x0a42d4… |
| 07-23 20:13:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 33 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x8769ee… |
| 07-23 20:13:40 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 33 | 89¢ | $30 | 0x8769ee… |
| 07-23 20:13:40 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x8769ee… |
| 07-23 20:13:39 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 37 | 90¢ | $33 | 0xa19b31… |
| 07-23 20:13:39 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0xa19b31… |
| 07-23 20:13:39 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | BUY | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xa19b31… |
| 07-23 20:13:21 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 22 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x5ea122… |
| 07-23 20:13:21 | (anonymous) 0xee54…f617 | Yes | BUY | 239 | 10¢ | $24 | 0x5ea122… |
| 07-23 20:13:21 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 53 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x5ea122… |
| 07-23 20:13:21 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 76 | 10¢ | $8 | 0x5ea122… |
| 07-23 20:13:21 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 70 | 90¢ | $63 | 0x5ea122… |
| 07-23 20:13:21 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | BUY | 18 | 90¢ | $16 | 0x5ea122… |
| 07-23 02:02:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 131 | 10¢ | $13 | 0xca7e89… |
| 07-23 02:02:13 | (anonymous) 0x3157…7ebd | Yes | BUY | 133 | 10¢ | $13 | 0xca7e89… |
| 07-23 02:02:13 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xca7e89… |
| 07-21 01:47:52 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x45a646… |
| 07-21 01:47:52 | Raw-Contributor 0xc624…ee24 | No | SELL | 95 | 91¢ | $87 | 0x45a646… |
| 07-21 01:47:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x45a646… |
| 07-21 01:47:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x45a646… |
| 07-16 10:58:23 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 23 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xaf7451… |
| 07-16 10:58:23 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 27 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xaf7451… |
| 07-16 10:58:23 | (anonymous) 0xfb11…7901 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xaf7451… |
| 07-14 04:38:14 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x93e49b… |
| 07-14 04:38:14 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x93e49b… |
| 07-14 01:43:32 | Reckless-Compassionate 0x3ea7…7fc0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x5ed0bb… |
| 07-14 01:43:32 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x5ed0bb… |
| 07-12 14:58:01 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x6327c5… |
| 07-12 14:58:01 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 28 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x6327c5… |
| 07-12 14:58:01 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 53 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x6327c5… |
| 07-12 10:46:49 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 46 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xe45d71… |
| 07-12 10:46:49 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 46 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xe45d71… |
| 07-11 07:31:50 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xa3c7eb… |
| 07-11 07:31:50 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xa3c7eb… |
| 07-11 05:18:35 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x9605b1… |
| 07-11 05:18:35 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 33 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x9605b1… |
| 07-11 05:18:35 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x9605b1… |
| 07-09 16:56:26 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 19 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x47fdcf… |
| 07-09 16:56:26 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x47fdcf… |
| 07-09 15:57:19 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x30de9b… |
| 07-09 15:57:19 | (anonymous) 0x50f4…04d4 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x30de9b… |
| 07-08 16:02:37 | (anonymous) 0xab78…c611 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x45d861… |
| 07-08 16:02:37 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x45d861… |
| 07-08 12:26:01 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xe520e2… |
| 07-08 12:26:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 31 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xe520e2… |
| 07-08 12:25:58 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x089ef6… |
| 07-08 12:25:58 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x089ef6… |
| 07-08 12:25:56 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x1a0303… |
| 07-08 12:25:56 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x1a0303… |
| 07-08 12:24:56 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xa46459… |
| 07-08 12:24:56 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xa46459… |
| 07-08 12:23:40 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xed52ae… |
| 07-08 12:23:40 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xed52ae… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | (anonymous) 0x50f4…04d4 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | Fresh-Cowboy 0x8365…e9a6 | No | BUY | 814 | 88¢ | $716 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | (anonymous) 0xfb11…7901 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | Reckless-Compassionate 0x3ea7…7fc0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 131 | 12¢ | $16 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | (anonymous) 0xab78…c611 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 12¢ | $7 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-07 10:10:37 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 74 | 14¢ | $10 | 0x385ff8… |
| 07-07 10:10:37 | Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | BUY | 74 | 86¢ | $64 | 0x385ff8… |
| 07-04 23:02:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x1ee136… |
| 07-04 23:02:46 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0x1ee136… |
| 07-04 21:11:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xd3f8f8… |
| 07-04 21:11:40 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xd3f8f8… |
| 07-04 21:11:05 | Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | BUY | 175 | 86¢ | $150 | 0xa6dc8d… |
| 07-04 21:11:05 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 125 | 14¢ | $17 | 0xa6dc8d… |
| 07-04 21:11:05 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xa6dc8d… |
| 06-21 18:26:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xe6a015… |
| 06-21 18:26:28 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xe6a015… |
| 06-17 17:26:02 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x5c6fda… |