Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$2,577
Trades
169
Unique wallets
45
Liquidity
$9,918
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 08-17 13:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+81.7¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $146
vs crowd: 18% YES on $2.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $22 | $225 | $203 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 18 | $247 | $1.2K | $961 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $24 | $286 | $262 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $106 | $57 | +$49 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $146 | — | +$146 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $27 | — | +$27 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| Median | 4 | $6 | $17 | $11 |
| Below median | 8 | $60 | $79 | $19 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $11 | $286 | $275 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $6 | $205 | $199 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| unranked | 16 | $129 | $80 | +$50 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresh-Cowboy 0x8365…e9a6 | No | +1,027 | $896 | $896 | 2 | 07-08 12:23 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +845 | $102 | $190 | 38 | 08-17 13:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x0159…1bac | Yes | +542 | $47 | $47 | 9 | 08-17 13:10 |
| 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | +315 | $286 | $286 | 5 | 08-12 04:47 |
| Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | +249 | $214 | $214 | 2 | 07-07 10:10 |
| Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | +215 | $194 | $194 | 13 | 08-10 11:06 |
| Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | +160 | $18 | $26 | 5 | 08-17 13:10 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +127 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 08-12 18:09 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +80 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 08-13 02:08 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +41 | $3 | $19 | 8 | 08-12 04:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 07-23 20:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x0159…1bac | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 08-08 22:08 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 07-11 07:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +9 | $1 | $14 | 6 | 08-13 02:08 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-07 20:16 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-08 02:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 13:10:33 | (anonymous) 0x0159…1bac | Yes | BUY | 49 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x869bb2… |
| 08-17 13:10:33 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 49 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x869bb2… |
| 08-17 13:10:31 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xcdb09d… |
| 08-17 13:10:31 | (anonymous) 0x0159…1bac | Yes | BUY | 150 | 8¢ | $12 | 0xcdb09d… |
| 08-17 13:10:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 150 | 8¢ | $12 | 0xc3c94d… |
| 08-17 13:10:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0xcdb09d… |
| 08-17 13:10:31 | (anonymous) 0x0159…1bac | Yes | BUY | 150 | 8¢ | $12 | 0xc3c94d… |
| 08-13 02:08:15 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 38 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x9a73e1… |
| 08-13 02:08:15 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x9a73e1… |
| 08-13 02:08:15 | (anonymous) 0xee54…f617 | Yes | SELL | 239 | 7¢ | $17 | 0x9a73e1… |
| 08-13 02:08:15 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 131 | 7¢ | $9 | 0x9a73e1… |
| 08-13 02:08:15 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x9a73e1… |
| 08-12 18:09:22 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x21e56c… |
| 08-12 18:09:22 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x21e56c… |
| 08-12 18:09:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 109 | 8¢ | $9 | 0x21e56c… |
| 08-12 18:09:22 | (anonymous) 0x3157…7ebd | Yes | SELL | 133 | 8¢ | $11 | 0x21e56c… |
| 08-12 04:47:27 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x061cd7… |
| 08-12 04:47:27 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $13 | 0x061cd7… |
| 08-10 11:06:16 | (anonymous) 0x62bc…d69c | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xa0ddd5… |
| 08-10 11:06:16 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xa0ddd5… |
| 08-10 06:02:39 | (anonymous) 0x62bc…d69c | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x4c5b17… |
| 08-10 06:02:39 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x4c5b17… |
| 08-08 22:08:51 | (anonymous) 0x0159…1bac | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xbb28cc… |
| 08-08 22:08:51 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xbb28cc… |
| 08-08 02:55:36 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 70 | 90¢ | $63 | 0xa6bf59… |
| 08-08 02:55:36 | Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xa6bf59… |
| 08-08 02:55:36 | (anonymous) 0x0159…1bac | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0xa6bf59… |
| 08-08 02:55:36 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | BUY | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0xa6bf59… |
| 08-07 20:16:24 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xbf4730… |
| 08-07 20:16:24 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xbf4730… |
| 08-07 20:16:24 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | BUY | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0xbf4730… |
| 08-07 10:32:30 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x5da3c2… |
| 08-07 10:32:30 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x5da3c2… |
| 08-06 12:51:14 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 13 | 90¢ | $12 | 0xc90bed… |
| 08-06 12:51:14 | (anonymous) 0x0159…1bac | Yes | BUY | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xc90bed… |
| 08-06 12:44:08 | (anonymous) 0x0159…1bac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xd09158… |
| 08-06 12:44:08 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xd09158… |
| 08-06 12:43:47 | (anonymous) 0x0159…1bac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x586176… |
| 08-06 12:43:47 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x586176… |
| 08-06 12:43:32 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xcc0b58… |
| 08-06 12:43:32 | (anonymous) 0x0159…1bac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xcc0b58… |
| 08-06 05:27:32 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x8ff4e7… |
| 08-06 05:27:32 | (anonymous) 0x0159…1bac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x8ff4e7… |
| 08-06 01:19:09 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xc23468… |
| 08-06 01:19:09 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xed3d7f… |
| 08-06 01:19:09 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xc23468… |
| 08-06 01:19:09 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xed3d7f… |
| 08-06 01:19:08 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 124 | 9¢ | $11 | 0xb845c3… |
| 08-06 01:19:08 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 144 | 9¢ | $13 | 0xb845c3… |
| 08-06 01:19:08 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xb845c3… |
| 08-06 01:19:05 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 145 | 9¢ | $13 | 0xac2c1d… |
| 08-06 01:19:05 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xac2c1d… |
| 08-06 01:19:05 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | BUY | 150 | 91¢ | $136 | 0xac2c1d… |
| 08-02 18:00:48 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | BUY | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0x5fb5c2… |
| 08-02 18:00:48 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x5fb5c2… |
| 07-27 13:30:27 | (anonymous) 0x1a33…1677 | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x953e6a… |
| 07-27 13:30:27 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x953e6a… |
| 07-27 09:20:30 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x9070bc… |
| 07-27 09:20:30 | (anonymous) 0x1a33…1677 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x9070bc… |
| 07-27 08:12:42 | (anonymous) 0x0a46…77a8 | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x3a1c8d… |
| 07-27 08:12:42 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x3a1c8d… |
| 07-27 04:10:19 | (anonymous) 0x9244…169c | No | SELL | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xa2cdc7… |
| 07-27 04:10:19 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xa2cdc7… |
| 07-27 02:53:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x13d2bf… |
| 07-27 02:53:31 | (anonymous) 0x0a46…77a8 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x13d2bf… |
| 07-26 22:02:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xb80102… |
| 07-26 22:02:07 | (anonymous) 0x9244…169c | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0xb80102… |
| 07-26 13:13:43 | (anonymous) 0x0107…e385 | No | SELL | 7 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x8ead43… |
| 07-26 13:13:43 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 7 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x8ead43… |
| 07-26 09:16:45 | (anonymous) 0x40ef…fef6 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x8b3977… |
| 07-26 09:16:45 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x8b3977… |
| 07-26 07:05:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb54041… |
| 07-26 07:05:25 | (anonymous) 0x0107…e385 | No | BUY | 7 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xb54041… |
| 07-26 05:08:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xba4ac4… |
| 07-26 05:08:04 | (anonymous) 0x40ef…fef6 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $4 | 0xba4ac4… |
| 07-23 20:13:42 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x0a42d4… |
| 07-23 20:13:42 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x0a42d4… |
| 07-23 20:13:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 33 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x8769ee… |
| 07-23 20:13:40 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 33 | 89¢ | $30 | 0x8769ee… |
| 07-23 20:13:40 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x8769ee… |
| 07-23 20:13:39 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | BUY | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xa19b31… |
| 07-23 20:13:39 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 37 | 90¢ | $33 | 0xa19b31… |
| 07-23 20:13:39 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0xa19b31… |
| 07-23 20:13:21 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | BUY | 18 | 90¢ | $16 | 0x5ea122… |
| 07-23 20:13:21 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 70 | 90¢ | $63 | 0x5ea122… |
| 07-23 20:13:21 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 76 | 10¢ | $8 | 0x5ea122… |
| 07-23 20:13:21 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 22 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x5ea122… |
| 07-23 20:13:21 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 53 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x5ea122… |
| 07-23 20:13:21 | (anonymous) 0xee54…f617 | Yes | BUY | 239 | 10¢ | $24 | 0x5ea122… |
| 07-23 02:02:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 131 | 10¢ | $13 | 0xca7e89… |
| 07-23 02:02:13 | (anonymous) 0x3157…7ebd | Yes | BUY | 133 | 10¢ | $13 | 0xca7e89… |
| 07-23 02:02:13 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xca7e89… |
| 07-21 01:47:52 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x45a646… |
| 07-21 01:47:52 | Raw-Contributor 0xc624…ee24 | No | SELL | 95 | 91¢ | $87 | 0x45a646… |
| 07-21 01:47:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x45a646… |
| 07-21 01:47:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x45a646… |
| 07-16 10:58:23 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 27 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xaf7451… |
| 07-16 10:58:23 | (anonymous) 0xfb11…7901 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xaf7451… |
| 07-16 10:58:23 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 23 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xaf7451… |
| 07-14 04:38:14 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x93e49b… |