Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,381
Trades
52
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$9,918
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-08 16:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+84.4¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $95
vs crowd: 16% YES on $1.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $8 | $220 | $212 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $132 | $896 | $764 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $39 | $5 | +$34 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $28 | $5 | +$23 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $95 | — | +$95 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| Median | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| Below median | 3 | $30 | — | +$30 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $6 | $6 | $0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| unranked | 11 | $51 | $10 | +$40 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresh-Cowboy 0x8365…e9a6 | No | +1,027 | $896 | $896 | 2 | 07-08 12:23 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +734 | $95 | $95 | 14 | 07-08 16:02 |
| Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | +249 | $214 | $214 | 2 | 07-07 10:10 |
| Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | +160 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 07-08 12:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | +74 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-07 10:10 |
| Reckless-Compassionate 0x3ea7…7fc0 | Yes | +50 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-08 12:23 |
| Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | +50 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-08 12:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x50f4…04d4 | Yes | +50 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-08 12:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb11…7901 | Yes | +50 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-08 12:23 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +50 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-08 12:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +23 | $3 | $7 | 3 | 06-17 17:25 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-17 17:26 |
| Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | +19 | $3 | $9 | 2 | 07-08 12:26 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-04 23:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-21 18:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 16:02:37 | (anonymous) 0xab78…c611 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x45d861… |
| 07-08 16:02:37 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x45d861… |
| 07-08 12:26:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 31 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xe520e2… |
| 07-08 12:26:01 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xe520e2… |
| 07-08 12:25:58 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x089ef6… |
| 07-08 12:25:58 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x089ef6… |
| 07-08 12:25:56 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x1a0303… |
| 07-08 12:25:56 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x1a0303… |
| 07-08 12:24:56 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xa46459… |
| 07-08 12:24:56 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xa46459… |
| 07-08 12:23:40 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xed52ae… |
| 07-08 12:23:40 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xed52ae… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | (anonymous) 0xab78…c611 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 131 | 12¢ | $16 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 12¢ | $7 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | (anonymous) 0xfb11…7901 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | Reckless-Compassionate 0x3ea7…7fc0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | Fresh-Cowboy 0x8365…e9a6 | No | BUY | 814 | 88¢ | $716 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-08 12:23:31 | (anonymous) 0x50f4…04d4 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x7e1e5e… |
| 07-07 10:10:37 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 74 | 14¢ | $10 | 0x385ff8… |
| 07-07 10:10:37 | Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | BUY | 74 | 86¢ | $64 | 0x385ff8… |
| 07-04 23:02:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x1ee136… |
| 07-04 23:02:46 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0x1ee136… |
| 07-04 21:11:40 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xd3f8f8… |
| 07-04 21:11:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xd3f8f8… |
| 07-04 21:11:05 | Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | BUY | 175 | 86¢ | $150 | 0xa6dc8d… |
| 07-04 21:11:05 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 125 | 14¢ | $17 | 0xa6dc8d… |
| 07-04 21:11:05 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xa6dc8d… |
| 06-21 18:26:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xe6a015… |
| 06-21 18:26:28 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xe6a015… |
| 06-17 17:26:02 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x5c6fda… |
| 06-17 17:26:02 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x5c6fda… |
| 06-17 17:25:59 | Fresh-Cowboy 0x8365…e9a6 | No | BUY | 213 | 85¢ | $181 | 0xabf50a… |
| 06-17 17:25:59 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xabf50a… |
| 06-17 17:25:59 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 9 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xabf50a… |
| 06-17 17:25:59 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 131 | 15¢ | $20 | 0xabf50a… |
| 06-17 17:25:59 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 34 | 15¢ | $5 | 0xabf50a… |
| 06-16 16:51:10 | (anonymous) 0x2d8b…3b41 | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xec62ad… |
| 06-16 16:51:10 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xec62ad… |
| 06-04 00:26:48 | Unlawful-Tectonics 0xd594…9d1b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x36aece… |
| 06-04 00:26:48 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x36aece… |
| 05-31 23:28:31 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xe392cf… |
| 05-31 23:28:31 | Immediate-Killer 0x67bb…fe9f | No | SELL | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xe392cf… |
| 05-31 23:27:03 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x884439… |
| 05-31 23:27:03 | Immediate-Killer 0x67bb…fe9f | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x884439… |