Realized P&L
-$68
Unrealized P&L
+$25
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
553
lifetime
Volume
$8.27K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$2.48K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 09:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
65% 0% $-68
Other
24%
Crypto
8%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +742 $683 94¢ $702 +$19 06-19 21:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +250 $237 96¢ $241 +$4 06-26 11:23
Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -240 $-229 96¢ $-230 $-0 06-11 13:06
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +240 $189 82¢ $196 +$6 06-24 01:41
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +212 $186 88¢ $186 $-1 06-24 23:15
Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -121 $-108 88¢ $-107 +$1 06-21 18:26
Trump out as President before 2027? No -100 $-91 90¢ $-90 +$0 06-15 01:03
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +90 $84 94¢ $84 +$0 06-25 08:15
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +800 $65 10¢ $76 +$11 06-20 01:37
Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027? No -73 $-70 96¢ $-69 +$0 06-30 09:13
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +77 $62 80¢ $62 +$0 06-24 23:14
Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027? No -60 $-58 98¢ $-59 $-1 06-08 02:47
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -60 $-49 88¢ $-52 $-3 06-11 22:40
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? No +60 $51 84¢ $50 $-1 06-19 21:35
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +48 $43 98¢ $47 +$3 06-19 21:35
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -300 $-41 12¢ $-38 +$3 06-24 23:13
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +25 $23 94¢ $24 +$0 06-15 15:44
Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +25 $21 92¢ $23 +$2 06-24 23:15
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? No -22 $-22 99¢ $-22 $-0 06-02 17:45
Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027? No -20 $-19 96¢ $-19 +$0 05-31 11:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +18 $15 92¢ $16 +$1 05-31 22:54
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -220 $-13 $-12 +$1 06-24 23:14
Trump out as President by June 30? Yes +10,000 $31 $10 $-21 06-24 23:23
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-02 17:42
Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -10 $-10 99¢ $-10 $-0 06-03 09:54
Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 06-28 12:50
Paris Hilton pregnant in 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-07 16:31
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-07 16:31
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 06-08 22:22
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +25 $10 34¢ $8 $-2 06-11 13:21