0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

983

lifetime

Volume

$21.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 05:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

68% 0% $-68

Other

28% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	33	$2.7K	6,600	325	+6,275	open	—	08-09 22:38
will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	20	$1.2K	610	610	+0	open	—	08-08 12:29
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?	6	$1.1K	1,093	304	+788	open	—	08-10 04:14
will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	4	$897	500	500	-0	open	—	08-09 19:43
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	5	$850	433	449	-16	open	—	06-05 01:39
mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	7	$665	400	300	+100	open	—	07-30 15:11
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	22	$563	10,010	10	+10,000	open	—	03-04 01:35
will retirement plan win best animated short film at the 98th academy awards	6	$552	650	0	+650	open	—	03-10 20:32
Trump out as President before 2027?	21	$501	2,500	1,600	+900	open	—	07-18 01:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	3	$484	250	250	+0	open	—	07-30 15:02
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?	2	$474	16	511	-495	open	—	08-07 20:17
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	7	$455	384	369	+16	open	—	08-11 05:16
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	12	$442	256	276	-20	open	—	07-26 03:47
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?	7	$414	232	220	+12	open	—	07-30 13:07
Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?	7	$364	125	263	-138	open	—	08-04 13:53
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?	4	$273	300	0	+300	open	—	08-08 02:55
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	6	$259	10,100	100	+10,000	open	—	03-04 01:41
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?	6	$258	130	164	-34	open	—	08-06 01:19
Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?	7	$239	0	246	-246	open	—	08-04 14:11
Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027?	2	$239	0	250	-250	open	—	07-25 22:43
Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027?	4	$231	0	260	-260	open	—	07-08 12:23
Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027?	24	$230	0	240	-240	open	—	08-04 14:12
btc updown 5m 1771478700	17	$218	162	161	+2	open	—	02-19 05:30
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?	2	$192	0	200	-200	open	—	07-22 04:32
Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027?	9	$190	0	200	-200	open	—	07-27 08:53
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	5	$178	100	100	+0	open	—	07-13 05:59
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$162	250	0	+250	open	—	04-01 21:45
Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027?	10	$155	65	100	-35	open	—	08-04 14:12
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	4	$149	50	150	-100	open	—	07-09 21:28
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	4	$144	102	50	+52	open	—	08-06 01:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 05:16:46	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	252	93¢	$235	0x81c446…
08-10 20:56:09	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by september 30 20260806194218452	Yes	BUY	78	12¢	$9	0x6c81b7…
08-10 13:54:30	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x91b75b…
08-10 06:50:54	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by september 30 20260806194218452	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xabf192…
08-10 04:51:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xe71f48…
08-10 04:14:22	Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	350	95¢	$333	0x0b62df…
08-10 04:13:03	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by september 30 20260806194218452	Yes	BUY	29	12¢	$3	0x5fbb03…
08-10 04:12:42	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by september 30 20260806194218452	Yes	BUY	123	12¢	$15	0x88b96b…
08-09 22:38:45	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	1,000	26¢	$260	0xde2677…
08-09 19:43:54	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0x2e8ae2…
08-09 12:35:54	Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	Yes	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0xa9074c…
08-09 05:48:39	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xdcc485…
08-09 04:18:54	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x1dd698…
08-09 03:51:03	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xf7269a…
08-08 20:31:30	Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	Yes	SELL	99	65¢	$64	0x4bcd1d…
08-08 17:46:09	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	BUY	5,000	1¢	$35	0xdad9d5…
08-08 17:41:28	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	71	22¢	$16	0xf71a7f…
08-08 17:41:07	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	BUY	303	94¢	$284	0x3d7cc0…
08-08 17:40:30	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 8 20260730202035444	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xa56b39…
08-08 14:23:21	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by august 31 20260729184249668	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3541d1…
08-08 12:48:52	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xf114c4…
08-08 12:29:10	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	No	SELL	610	100¢	$609	0x1b4257…
08-08 08:38:07	will bill cassidy vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821979	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xb1ddf3…
08-08 03:57:27	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	38	90¢	$34	0x957441…
08-08 02:55:36	Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0xa6bf59…
08-07 21:04:15	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	27	48¢	$13	0x9874ea…
08-07 21:01:06	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xa6aa5d…
08-07 21:00:10	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	BUY	185	58¢	$107	0xc19b48…
08-07 20:54:13	will john fetterman vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821982	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xdb4d7c…
08-07 20:51:31	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	No	BUY	90	97¢	$88	0xee96e8…
08-07 20:17:54	Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x9e0c39…
08-07 20:17:10	Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	511	90¢	$460	0xa7829a…
08-07 20:16:24	Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0xbf4730…
08-07 20:15:31	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x004c32…
08-07 20:13:30	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	73	93¢	$68	0x9f72b8…
08-07 18:44:19	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xa62130…
08-07 18:30:28	will bill cassidy vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821979	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x6b723c…
08-07 18:30:21	will bill cassidy vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821979	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x973787…
08-07 18:14:34	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	241	27¢	$65	0x583341…
08-07 18:06:12	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0xc72a8a…
08-07 17:53:13	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 7 20260730202035443	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x659105…
08-07 08:40:13	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	25	30¢	$7	0x1c2272…
08-07 08:38:13	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x0eeaed…
08-07 00:22:24	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 8 20260730202035444	No	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0xc83ad8…
08-06 22:47:30	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 8 20260730202035444	No	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x0cd6db…
08-06 20:48:18	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 6 20260730202035442	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x0e62d6…
08-06 20:47:45	Tim Walz in jail by December 31?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x214c57…
08-06 18:41:23	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	250	27¢	$67	0x2610a6…
08-06 01:22:05	Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x6b68a7…
08-06 01:19:50	Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x66fb14…
08-06 01:19:05	Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	150	91¢	$136	0xac2c1d…
08-06 01:17:06	James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x16b656…
08-05 16:30:30	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xbab948…
08-05 15:38:18	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	No	BUY	122	95¢	$116	0xd6bd2f…
08-05 14:59:12	Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?	No	SELL	92	75¢	$69	0x9a7f6e…
08-05 09:30:59	Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x5139de…
08-05 09:30:00	Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$15	0xd83230…
08-05 09:16:45	will lisa murkowski vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821975	No	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0x512385…
08-05 07:15:42	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x550adf…
08-05 06:52:41	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8ea4d7…
08-05 05:45:27	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	BUY	133	1¢	$1	0xfc57eb…
08-05 05:13:12	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xcbae87…
08-05 04:39:51	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	BUY	2,187	1¢	$17	0xd4d987…
08-05 04:34:08	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	No	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x18f587…
08-04 21:49:51	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	No	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x1c598c…
08-04 21:46:17	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	No	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0xb7b60b…
08-04 19:35:29	Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	SELL	65	75¢	$49	0x65918e…
08-04 17:30:35	Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xf14d71…
08-04 17:29:20	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x22b622…
08-04 17:28:59	EU dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x0f8712…
08-04 16:31:11	Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	No	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x1caa4a…
08-04 16:20:06	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by august 31 20260729184249668	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x60f2f1…
08-04 16:01:14	Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x326efd…
08-04 16:00:24	will trump say racist or lebron james during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421456	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x761d0b…
08-04 15:56:51	will trump say warren buffett during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421453	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8a3852…
08-04 15:56:36	will trump say bitcoin crypto or cryptocurrency during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421460	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x6d4ccb…
08-04 15:51:57	will trump say rural health or rural healthcare during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421450	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x5ce7ce…
08-04 14:44:18	Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x01418b…
08-04 14:17:41	Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x002953…
08-04 14:16:56	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x229694…
08-04 14:13:27	Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$47	0x521a4c…
08-04 14:13:18	Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0x83083d…
08-04 14:13:05	Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0xd2e23d…
08-04 14:12:29	Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	61	96¢	$59	0xcf6ae3…
08-04 14:12:06	Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$47	0xa03819…
08-04 14:11:32	Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x49e2ed…
08-04 14:11:24	Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xa9ff05…
08-04 14:10:57	Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$98	0x7a27fb…
08-04 13:56:21	Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	SELL	35	75¢	$26	0x5f3add…
08-04 13:55:47	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xe7ef6a…
08-04 13:53:18	Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	182	96¢	$174	0x12d2ac…
08-03 20:40:32	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xe5f7bb…
08-03 20:40:06	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	SELL	186	0¢	$0	0x2c0743…
08-03 20:36:56	will trump speak to elon musk in july 20260626154217440	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe3de36…
08-03 20:36:18	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	750	1¢	$8	0x7882ab…
08-03 20:35:29	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x5822f3…
08-03 00:26:17	Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	84	95¢	$80	0xb703df…
08-03 00:22:47	mlb bos lad 2026 08 02	Boston Red Sox	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x04190a…
08-02 18:24:42	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xbdd78f…
08-02 18:00:48	Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x5fb5c2…