0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d6514…c23781
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Realized P&L
-$68
Unrealized P&L
-$211
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
712
lifetime
Volume
$12.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$3.67K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 04:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
69% 0% $-68
Other
23% — —
Crypto
6% — —
Sports
2% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +742 $683 96¢ $709 +$26 06-19 21:34
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1,050 $593 34¢ $357 $-236 07-15 02:02
Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -260 $-231 97¢ $-251 $-20 07-08 12:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +250 $237 98¢ $244 +$8 06-26 11:23
Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -240 $-229 96¢ $-231 $-2 06-11 13:06
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +240 $189 88¢ $212 +$23 06-24 01:41
Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -200 $-194 97¢ $-195 $-0 07-07 18:14
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027? No -150 $-135 98¢ $-147 $-12 07-16 19:09
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? No -142 $-131 94¢ $-134 $-3 07-18 01:09
Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +125 $111 98¢ $122 +$12 07-06 03:56
Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027? No -120 $-115 96¢ $-114 +$1 07-15 15:00
Trump out as President before 2027? No -100 $-91 92¢ $-92 $-2 06-15 01:03
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +90 $84 94¢ $84 +$0 06-25 08:15
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No -125 $-68 66¢ $-82 $-14 07-21 04:06
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +1,000 $80 8¢ $75 $-5 07-18 01:18
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +80 $64 88¢ $71 +$6 07-01 00:22
Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027? No +65 $60 94¢ $61 +$2 07-07 10:10
Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027? No -60 $-58 99¢ $-59 $-2 06-08 02:47
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -60 $-49 94¢ $-56 $-7 06-11 22:40
Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027? No -51 $-49 96¢ $-49 +$0 07-20 14:48
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No -49 $-45 96¢ $-47 $-1 07-09 19:40
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +48 $43 96¢ $46 +$3 06-19 21:35
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? No -40 $-39 96¢ $-38 +$1 07-18 01:06
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -35 $-33 96¢ $-33 +$0 07-12 10:40
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +32 $15 92¢ $30 +$14 07-20 22:19
Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -30 $-28 100¢ $-29 $-1 07-09 14:36
Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -28 $-27 94¢ $-27 +$0 07-17 03:54
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027? No -25 $-23 99¢ $-25 $-2 07-13 06:19
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027? No -25 $-23 98¢ $-25 $-2 07-16 11:48
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +28 $23 87¢ $24 +$1 07-15 06:24