0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d6514…c23781
cold 10W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.49K
Unrealized P&L
-$781
Hit rate
71.3%
Resolved
500
Trades
2,752
lifetime
Volume
$73.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$10.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 21:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 150 days
Categories
Politics
82% 52% -$1,078
Other
14% 44% -$242
Crypto
2% 77% +$26
Sports
1% 33% -$242
Tech
0% 29% +$61
Pop-Culture
0% 45% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +6,500 $925 20¢ $1.3K +$408 10-27 04:54
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -1,000 -$650 97¢ $-965 -$315 08-20 19:52
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +3,000 $925 30¢ $915 -$10 09-26 16:01
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +8,257 $2,697 8¢ $702 -$1,995 10-24 05:18
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -650 -$616 98¢ $-640 -$24 05-19 23:52
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +6,250 $581 10¢ $594 +$13 10-27 02:44
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +1,250 $390 38¢ $469 +$78 10-13 02:14
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,000 $98 9¢ $467 +$370 10-24 20:23
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,260 $487 32¢ $409 -$77 10-22 22:14
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,500 $397 26¢ $382 -$15 10-25 00:00
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +1,250 $360 28¢ $350 -$10 10-13 22:43
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +750 $266 40¢ $296 +$30 10-27 06:09
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? No +590 $202 42¢ $251 +$49 10-22 19:24
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +550 $222 42¢ $228 +$6 10-22 23:49
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +300 $202 70¢ $210 +$7 10-23 12:34
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +481 $145 42¢ $200 +$54 10-26 05:06
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,500 -$283 13¢ $-195 +$88 08-09 21:07
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,900 $184 10¢ $190 +$6 10-22 14:42
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? No — +320 $188 55¢ $174 -$14 10-25 14:27
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +250 $153 62¢ $155 +$2 10-25 06:25
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $133 15¢ $146 +$14 07-31 17:28
Trump out as President before 2027? No -150 -$138 96¢ $-144 -$5 09-01 05:51
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +250 -$313 54¢ $136 +$449 10-22 22:25
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +1,000 $128 14¢ $135 +$8 10-25 23:10
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +170 $135 79¢ $134 $0 10-21 06:34
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +400 $140 34¢ $134 -$6 09-22 12:57
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -130 -$135 94¢ $-121 +$13 07-26 03:47
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No -125 -$68 92¢ $-114 -$46 07-21 04:06
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -1,273 -$341 8¢ $-108 +$233 09-19 03:07
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +1,400 $196 8¢ $105 -$91 08-30 13:50