Realized P&L
-$68
Unrealized P&L
-$116
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
479
lifetime
Volume
$5.58K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$422
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 23:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
55% 0% $-68
Other
31%
Crypto
11%
Sports
2%
Pop-Culture
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Katie Porter advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No -100 $-100 100¢ $-100 +$0 06-02 17:41
Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027? No -60 $-58 98¢ $-59 $-1 06-08 02:47
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -69 $-57 84¢ $-57 $-0 06-03 01:08
Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027? No -24 $-23 96¢ $-23 +$0 06-03 09:06
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? No -22 $-22 98¢ $-22 +$0 06-02 17:45
Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027? No -20 $-19 96¢ $-19 +$0 05-31 11:51
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +24 $18 78¢ $18 $-0 06-09 23:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +18 $15 86¢ $16 +$0 05-31 22:54
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes -15 $-14 100¢ $-15 $-1 06-07 16:33
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +16 $14 76¢ $12 $-2 05-31 22:59
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +12 $11 88¢ $11 +$0 05-31 22:58
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-02 17:37
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No -10 $-10 99¢ $-10 $-0 06-02 17:42
Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -10 $-10 99¢ $-10 $-0 06-03 09:54
Paris Hilton pregnant in 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-07 16:31
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 $-0 06-07 16:31
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 $-0 06-08 22:22
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? No +8 $6 82¢ $7 +$1 06-08 22:02
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? Yes +100 $4 $4 +$1 05-31 22:55
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -10 $-2 22¢ $-2 +$0 06-08 23:39
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +959 $114 $1 $-113 06-07 20:42
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +5 $2 $0 $-2 06-02 17:36