Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
open
Total volume
$6,693
$30 in 24h
Trades
489
Unique wallets
119
Liquidity
$4,540
Latest YES mid
18¢
Latest NO mid
82¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-18 12:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-24.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $456
vs crowd: 24% YES on $3.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $103 | $1.6K | $1.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 24 | $533 | $498 | +$34 |
| 🐟 Fish | 33 | $246 | $730 | $484 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 48 | $61 | $146 | $85 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $456 | $456 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $140 | $1.3K | $1.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $75 | $172 | $98 |
| Median | 11 | $3 | $242 | $239 |
| Below median | 23 | $450 | $245 | +$205 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | — | $25 | $25 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $211 | $57 | +$154 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $15 | $152 | $136 |
| unranked | 43 | $48 | $339 | $291 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | +727 | $456 | $456 | 3 | 06-06 19:02 |
| Gummy-Movement 0x4d45…652a | Yes | +723 | $212 | $212 | 24 | 07-09 10:02 |
| Wan-Fusarium 0x7623…6cb6 | Yes | +325 | $108 | $108 | 3 | 06-10 10:41 |
| Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | +200 | $134 | $134 | 2 | 07-05 13:15 |
| Ripe-Cake 0xeec5…b6fe | No | +198 | $-1 | $1,923 | 30 | 08-13 11:00 |
| Flawless-Policeman 0x9ad9…7e66 | Yes | +185 | $83 | $141 | 30 | 08-17 05:53 |
| Unnatural-Energy 0xac6a…2ed3 | No | +169 | $115 | $309 | 36 | 08-16 17:55 |
| Idealistic-Valance 0x191e…ef6b | No | +168 | $121 | $211 | 9 | 08-17 05:53 |
| Descriptive-Overshoot 0x0785…ecb4 | Yes | +157 | $42 | $42 | 2 | 07-13 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x11e8…5b74 | No | +126 | $102 | $102 | 3 | 08-14 05:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | +107 | $90 | $90 | 2 | 08-09 04:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xce38…1325 | No | +64 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-05 23:00 |
| cheng 0xfb66…5e13 | No | +50 | $38 | $68 | 4 | 08-09 04:19 |
| Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | Yes | +43 | $13 | $22 | 2 | 07-05 15:02 |
| Keen-Nectar 0x736e…a144 | Yes | +36 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-06 09:46 |
| Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | No | +36 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 06-06 19:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x1aeb…0189 | Yes | +32 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-25 12:11 |
| Slippery-Apartment 0x2567…e51d | No | +32 | $27 | $64 | 5 | 07-12 23:04 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +25 | $21 | $45 | 3 | 08-18 12:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 5 | 08-08 06:13 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +16 | $9 | $48 | 5 | 06-01 13:56 |
| Brilliant-Laparoscope 0x3ffe…e125 | No | +15 | $-1 | $62 | 8 | 06-10 07:16 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +13 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 07-01 15:04 |
| Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | +13 | $3 | $9 | 5 | 08-17 05:53 |
| Gummy-Yang 0x53f8…5ce0 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-23 14:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x34a9…4cfd | No | +12 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-06 18:20 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-10 10:41 |
| Petty-Theft 0x5af2…5a5b | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-12 19:45 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 07-17 21:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +8 | $5 | $31 | 10 | 08-09 04:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-06 19:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 03:22 |
| Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | Yes | +8 | $1 | $4 | 3 | 08-13 16:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xf976…881e | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-30 15:34 |
| Warm-Whisker 0x69d8…8cc0 | Yes | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-28 23:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xa12d…7442 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-31 07:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xef1d…028e | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-27 10:51 |
| Conscious-Possession 0xb79a…4bb8 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-04 18:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x96fe…7546 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 08-06 08:36 |
| Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $4 | 3 | 06-22 15:49 |
| Watery-Licence 0x691e…1295 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 17:47 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-30 22:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +4 | $2 | $9 | 4 | 06-06 19:19 |
| Hasty-Farmer 0xe9e3…b7de | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 21:56 |
| Worthy-Physical 0xab90…d5ad | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 22:55 |
| Ajar-Storey 0xd0c8…e944 | No | +2 | $1 | $7 | 3 | 05-28 20:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 12:39:28 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x626adc… |
| 08-18 12:39:28 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x626adc… |
| 08-18 12:38:42 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x913514… |
| 08-18 12:38:42 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x913514… |
| 08-17 05:53:37 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x09aad3… |
| 08-17 05:53:37 | Idealistic-Valance 0x191e…ef6b | No | SELL | 54 | 84¢ | $45 | 0x09aad3… |
| 08-17 05:53:37 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x09aad3… |
| 08-17 05:53:37 | Flawless-Policeman 0x9ad9…7e66 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 16¢ | $7 | 0x09aad3… |
| 08-16 17:55:16 | Unnatural-Energy 0xac6a…2ed3 | No | SELL | 25 | 85¢ | $21 | 0xeaa85a… |
| 08-16 17:55:16 | Oily-Barracks 0xbf03…6aea | Yes | SELL | 25 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xeaa85a… |
| 08-14 18:36:51 | Flawless-Policeman 0x9ad9…7e66 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x0ceae2… |
| 08-14 18:36:51 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x0ceae2… |
| 08-14 18:36:22 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0x30e288… |
| 08-14 18:36:22 | Flawless-Policeman 0x9ad9…7e66 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 16¢ | $11 | 0x30e288… |
| 08-14 18:36:22 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x30e288… |
| 08-14 18:36:22 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x30e288… |
| 08-14 18:36:22 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x30e288… |
| 08-14 11:03:15 | Huge-Stamen 0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x7a0d76… |
| 08-14 11:03:15 | (anonymous) 0x41b1…cca7 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 17¢ | $4 | 0x7a0d76… |
| 08-14 11:03:15 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x7a0d76… |
| 08-14 11:03:15 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x7a0d76… |
| 08-14 11:03:15 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x7a0d76… |
| 08-14 05:04:36 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x1f5585… |
| 08-14 05:04:36 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x1f5585… |
| 08-14 05:04:36 | Orderly-Venture 0xd48a…6e90 | No | SELL | 38 | 81¢ | $31 | 0x1f5585… |
| 08-14 05:04:36 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x1f5585… |
| 08-14 05:04:36 | (anonymous) 0x11e8…5b74 | No | BUY | 18 | 80¢ | $15 | 0x1f5585… |
| 08-13 16:02:00 | (anonymous) 0x11e8…5b74 | No | BUY | 8 | 80¢ | $6 | 0x4cc208… |
| 08-13 16:02:00 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x4cc208… |
| 08-13 16:02:00 | Unnatural-Energy 0xac6a…2ed3 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x4cc208… |
| 08-13 16:02:00 | (anonymous) 0x41b1…cca7 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 19¢ | $5 | 0x4cc208… |
| 08-13 11:00:31 | Ripe-Cake 0xeec5…b6fe | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x063a7c… |
| 08-13 11:00:31 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x063a7c… |
| 08-09 04:19:52 | Ripe-Cake 0xeec5…b6fe | No | SELL | 138 | 84¢ | $116 | 0x366dd4… |
| 08-09 04:19:52 | Unnatural-Energy 0xac6a…2ed3 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x366dd4… |
| 08-09 04:19:52 | Amused-Appreciation 0x6f46…2cd1 | Yes | SELL | 78 | 16¢ | $12 | 0x366dd4… |
| 08-09 04:19:52 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0x366dd4… |
| 08-09 04:19:46 | Ripe-Cake 0xeec5…b6fe | No | SELL | 1,000 | 85¢ | $847 | 0x350582… |
| 08-09 04:19:46 | Amused-Appreciation 0x6f46…2cd1 | Yes | SELL | 259 | 16¢ | $42 | 0x350582… |
| 08-09 04:19:46 | Playful-Collateral 0xc662…b919 | Yes | SELL | 514 | 15¢ | $77 | 0x350582… |
| 08-09 04:19:46 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x350582… |
| 08-09 04:19:46 | Unnatural-Energy 0xac6a…2ed3 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x350582… |
| 08-09 04:19:46 | (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | BUY | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0x350582… |
| 08-09 04:19:46 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 3 | 85¢ | $3 | 0x350582… |
| 08-09 04:19:46 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x350582… |
| 08-09 04:19:46 | cheng 0xfb66…5e13 | No | BUY | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0x350582… |
| 08-08 06:54:43 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x79f917… |
| 08-08 06:54:43 | (anonymous) 0xa12d…7442 | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x79f917… |
| 08-08 06:52:03 | (anonymous) 0xa12d…7442 | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xdf282e… |
| 08-08 06:52:03 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xdf282e… |
| 08-08 06:13:07 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 2 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x1e5738… |
| 08-08 06:13:07 | (anonymous) 0xa12d…7442 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x1e5738… |
| 08-08 06:13:07 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 0 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x1e5738… |
| 08-06 08:36:29 | (anonymous) 0x96fe…7546 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xfb9384… |
| 08-06 08:36:29 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xfb9384… |
| 08-06 08:36:29 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xfb9384… |
| 08-06 08:36:08 | (anonymous) 0x96fe…7546 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x4a0601… |
| 08-06 08:36:08 | Ripe-Cake 0xeec5…b6fe | No | BUY | 11 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x4a0601… |
| 08-05 11:01:21 | Ripe-Cake 0xeec5…b6fe | No | BUY | 3 | 84¢ | $2 | 0xef05e8… |
| 08-05 11:01:21 | (anonymous) 0x4ea4…00e9 | No | SELL | 3 | 84¢ | $2 | 0xef05e8… |
| 08-04 18:08:26 | Ripe-Cake 0xeec5…b6fe | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xd01098… |
| 08-04 18:08:26 | Conscious-Possession 0xb79a…4bb8 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xd01098… |
| 08-03 08:37:26 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x12555d… |
| 08-03 08:37:26 | Ripe-Cake 0xeec5…b6fe | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x12555d… |
| 08-03 08:36:54 | Ripe-Cake 0xeec5…b6fe | No | BUY | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0x7837d2… |
| 08-03 08:36:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x7837d2… |
| 08-01 14:35:08 | Unwelcome-Accident 0xac8f…fedd | Yes | SELL | 3 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x5e6277… |
| 08-01 14:35:08 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x5e6277… |
| 07-31 14:00:50 | Ripe-Cake 0xeec5…b6fe | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x77eade… |
| 07-31 14:00:50 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x77eade… |
| 07-31 14:00:47 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x783548… |
| 07-31 14:00:47 | Ripe-Cake 0xeec5…b6fe | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x783548… |
| 07-31 07:05:47 | (anonymous) 0xa12d…7442 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x3764f4… |
| 07-31 07:05:47 | (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | BUY | 7 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x3764f4… |
| 07-30 22:44:03 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xfa1642… |
| 07-30 22:44:03 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xfa1642… |
| 07-30 18:29:27 | Unnatural-Energy 0xac6a…2ed3 | No | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x99582e… |
| 07-30 18:29:27 | Flawless-Policeman 0x9ad9…7e66 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x99582e… |
| 07-30 15:34:00 | Unnatural-Energy 0xac6a…2ed3 | No | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x655171… |
| 07-30 15:34:00 | (anonymous) 0xf976…881e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x655171… |
| 07-27 12:26:16 | Ripe-Cake 0xeec5…b6fe | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x43cc14… |
| 07-27 12:26:16 | Merry-Gadget 0x73a4…6692 | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x43cc14… |
| 07-27 10:51:13 | Ripe-Cake 0xeec5…b6fe | No | BUY | 7 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x6c1cfa… |
| 07-27 10:51:13 | (anonymous) 0xef1d…028e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x6c1cfa… |
| 07-26 04:19:22 | Unnatural-Energy 0xac6a…2ed3 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x4e89c5… |
| 07-26 04:19:22 | Playful-Collateral 0xc662…b919 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 19¢ | $20 | 0x4e89c5… |
| 07-26 04:19:22 | (anonymous) 0x11e8…5b74 | No | BUY | 100 | 81¢ | $81 | 0x4e89c5… |
| 07-25 19:32:54 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xee201f… |
| 07-25 19:32:54 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xee201f… |
| 07-25 17:27:00 | Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | No | SELL | 16 | 81¢ | $13 | 0xcc939f… |
| 07-25 17:27:00 | Ripe-Cake 0xeec5…b6fe | No | BUY | 16 | 81¢ | $13 | 0xcc939f… |
| 07-23 14:02:24 | Gummy-Yang 0x53f8…5ce0 | No | BUY | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0xd98e5e… |
| 07-23 14:02:24 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xd98e5e… |
| 07-19 16:38:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 14 | 83¢ | $11 | 0xade2e7… |
| 07-19 16:38:48 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 4 | 85¢ | $3 | 0xade2e7… |
| 07-19 16:38:48 | Short-Tunic 0x4c6a…97be | Yes | SELL | 18 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xade2e7… |
| 07-19 05:43:34 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 40 | 82¢ | $33 | 0x295d17… |
| 07-19 05:43:34 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x295d17… |
| 07-19 05:43:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x295d17… |
| 07-17 21:42:09 | Unnatural-Energy 0xac6a…2ed3 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xa1bc7b… |