Realized P&L
-$13.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$102
Hit rate
54.8%
Resolved
21,089
Trades
113,220
lifetime
Volume
$593.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.50K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 10-25 01:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 190 days
Categories
Other
71% 46% -$11,422
Politics
20% 53% -$802
Sports
6% 44% -$1,222
Tech
1% 58% +$152
Crypto
1% 41% +$191
Pop-Culture
0% 37% +$27
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 1239 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No -401 -$316 91¢ $-367 -$50 09-26 02:44
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -458 -$298 66¢ $-300 -$2 09-22 20:47
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -99 -$81 94¢ $-93 -$12 05-06 18:43
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -93 -$82 97¢ $-90 -$8 07-02 02:32
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? Yes -456 -$68 15¢ $-68 +$0 09-23 19:08
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -82 -$60 76¢ $-63 -$3 09-22 22:27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -84 -$41 62¢ $-52 -$11 09-23 18:15
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +44 $37 94¢ $41 +$4 06-03 16:39
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -39 -$35 89¢ $-34 +$0 09-22 23:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -39 -$21 86¢ $-33 -$12 05-07 08:31
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -33 -$25 97¢ $-32 -$7 09-01 03:30
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? No +32 $29 96¢ $31 +$1 10-06 08:51
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -29 -$24 98¢ $-28 -$4 07-15 07:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -163 -$41 17¢ $-28 +$13 09-22 18:53
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -27 -$26 97¢ $-26 -$1 09-22 18:18
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -33 -$9 62¢ $-21 -$12 07-16 12:00
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -25 -$15 81¢ $-20 -$6 09-22 18:06
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -139 -$20 14¢ $-20 $0 09-22 21:34
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -18 -$14 97¢ $-17 -$3 06-14 11:06
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -17 -$18 94¢ $-16 +$2 09-14 19:36
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -16 -$15 96¢ $-15 -$1 09-26 15:42
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -18 -$15 82¢ $-15 +$0 09-22 20:21
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -16 -$17 91¢ $-15 +$3 09-24 05:01
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -13 -$18 97¢ $-13 +$6 09-25 13:55
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes -18 -$16 67¢ $-12 +$4 09-27 08:42
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -13 -$12 92¢ $-12 +$0 09-26 14:25
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? Yes +12 $4 96¢ $12 +$7 10-22 01:13
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -48 $2 20¢ $-10 -$12 09-22 23:26
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -8 -$8 97¢ $-8 +$0 10-06 04:44
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -8 -$7 92¢ $-7 -$1 09-22 21:28