Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
24
lifetime
Volume
$406
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$252
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 20:35
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
78%
Politics
22%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on May 5? No +63 $54 100¢ $63 +$9 05-05 01:50
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? No +58 $53 89¢ $52 $-2 05-05 18:26
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 6? No +53 $50 95¢ $50 +$1 05-05 10:01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 6? No +31 $29 92¢ $29 $-1 05-05 16:17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5? No +23 $18 99¢ $23 +$5 05-05 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 5? No +12 $10 98¢ $12 +$1 05-05 12:00
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? No -7 $-0 94¢ $-7 $-6 05-05 13:22
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? No -10 $-2 58¢ $-6 $-4 05-04 20:09
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes -5 $-5 95¢ $-5 $-0 05-05 18:24
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 6? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 05-05 19:27
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in May? No -2 $-1 66¢ $-1 $-0 05-05 20:35
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May? No -5 $-2 20¢ $-1 +$1 05-05 13:35
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Yes -5 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-05 16:57