Realized P&L
+$152
Unrealized P&L
+$33
Hit rate
62.4%
Resolved
122
Trades
28,073
lifetime
Volume
$226.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$1.77K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 06-30 12:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
54% 45% +$80
Politics
31% 48% +$71
Sports
12% 50% $-0
Tech
2%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 1344 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +158 $141 100¢ $158 +$16 06-19 12:19
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +117 $110 99¢ $115 +$6 06-19 02:20
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes -110 $-108 100¢ $-110 $-2 06-09 00:44
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No -94 $-83 99¢ $-93 $-10 06-22 20:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -86 $-84 100¢ $-86 $-2 06-02 21:20
New pandemic in 2026? No -93 $-81 90¢ $-84 $-3 06-04 13:50
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +84 $75 86¢ $72 $-3 06-30 07:38
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +74 $67 92¢ $68 +$1 06-24 03:55
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -66 $-65 100¢ $-66 $-0 06-15 04:43
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +70 $54 84¢ $59 +$5 06-22 12:57
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +64 $55 89¢ $57 +$2 06-05 18:02
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes -56 $-48 95¢ $-53 $-5 06-26 04:35
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -62 $-53 86¢ $-53 $-0 06-03 16:39
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +60 $47 86¢ $52 +$5 06-18 19:57
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -51 $-51 100¢ $-51 +$0 06-21 01:23
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +52 $49 97¢ $51 +$2 06-04 14:27
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? No +59 $48 82¢ $48 +$0 06-24 21:26
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +48 $25 99¢ $48 +$23 06-27 22:56
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +48 $45 95¢ $45 +$0 06-23 11:27
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -49 $-46 91¢ $-45 +$1 06-24 22:06
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No -44 $-36 90¢ $-40 $-4 06-09 01:28
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -44 $-39 90¢ $-39 $-1 06-22 04:23
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? No +39 $37 99¢ $38 +$2 06-26 18:08
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +44 $38 87¢ $38 +$0 06-29 17:03
Trump out as President before GTA VI? Yes +74 $36 50¢ $37 +$0 06-24 11:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +36 $31 96¢ $35 +$4 06-24 16:41
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +39 $33 87¢ $34 +$1 06-23 00:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No -33 $-25 100¢ $-32 $-7 05-27 20:52
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +31 $29 95¢ $30 +$1 06-05 18:48
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +70 $28 42¢ $29 +$1 06-15 19:06