Realized P&L
+$152
Unrealized P&L
+$80
Hit rate
62.4%
Resolved
122
Trades
42,459
lifetime
Volume
$284.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$1.55K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 07-20 18:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
60% 45% +$80
Politics
27% 48% +$71
Sports
10% 50% $-0
Tech
2%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 935 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +115 $100 94¢ $108 +$8 07-14 16:13
New pandemic in 2026? No -93 $-81 94¢ $-87 $-6 06-04 13:50
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +99 $77 80¢ $79 +$3 07-03 22:54
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +83 $72 89¢ $74 +$2 07-04 02:54
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +74 $67 96¢ $71 +$4 06-24 03:55
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +81 $64 82¢ $66 +$2 07-03 20:12
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +69 $65 95¢ $66 +$0 07-19 02:18
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes +67 $61 97¢ $65 +$3 06-30 22:54
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +58 $55 96¢ $56 +$1 07-08 18:41
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +61 $51 89¢ $54 +$3 07-19 06:45
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? No +59 $48 92¢ $54 +$6 06-24 21:26
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -62 $-53 86¢ $-53 $-0 06-03 16:39
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes -56 $-48 92¢ $-51 $-3 06-26 04:35
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +52 $49 96¢ $50 +$1 06-04 14:27
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +55 $47 90¢ $49 +$2 07-17 04:58
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +120 $47 40¢ $48 +$1 07-20 13:16
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -49 $-46 92¢ $-46 +$0 06-24 22:06
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No +49 $46 92¢ $46 $-0 07-19 07:54
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +50 $36 86¢ $43 +$7 07-01 09:53
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -53 $-41 80¢ $-43 $-2 07-03 10:04
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +43 $40 94¢ $41 +$1 07-03 01:53
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -44 $-39 90¢ $-39 $-1 07-18 14:08
Trump out as President before GTA VI? Yes +74 $36 50¢ $37 +$1 06-24 11:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +36 $31 98¢ $35 +$4 06-24 16:41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No -44 $-36 78¢ $-35 +$2 06-09 01:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +35 $14 98¢ $34 +$20 05-28 23:17
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +39 $34 86¢ $33 $-1 07-11 19:47
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +31 $29 97¢ $30 +$1 06-05 18:48
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +36 $23 82¢ $29 +$7 06-06 19:18
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +35 $17 82¢ $29 +$12 06-17 08:39