Realized P&L
+$152
Unrealized P&L
+$87
Hit rate
62.4%
Resolved
122
Trades
16,328
lifetime
Volume
$156.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$1.56K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 06-10 00:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
48% 45% +$80
Politics
35% 48% +$71
Sports
14% 50% $-0
Tech
2%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 1344 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +119 $72 100¢ $119 +$47 06-07 21:05
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T No +123 $113 94¢ $116 +$4 06-09 20:07
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes -110 $-108 98¢ $-108 $-1 06-09 00:44
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +129 $83 80¢ $103 +$20 06-04 18:12
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +124 $54 68¢ $84 +$31 06-09 22:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -86 $-84 98¢ $-84 $-0 06-02 21:20
New pandemic in 2026? No -93 $-81 88¢ $-82 $-1 06-04 13:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $67 68¢ $68 +$1 06-09 16:45
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +70 $63 88¢ $62 $-2 06-08 19:06
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +57 $39 100¢ $57 +$18 06-05 23:09
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +64 $55 86¢ $55 $-0 06-05 18:02
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +69 $53 77¢ $53 +$1 06-08 04:44
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -62 $-53 84¢ $-53 +$0 06-03 16:39
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +52 $49 96¢ $50 +$1 06-04 14:27
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +77 $54 60¢ $47 $-7 06-05 21:15
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -46 $-40 90¢ $-41 $-1 06-10 00:48
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +42 $37 94¢ $39 +$2 06-08 00:35
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +338 $32 11¢ $35 +$3 06-09 12:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No -44 $-36 72¢ $-32 +$4 06-09 01:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No -33 $-25 93¢ $-30 $-5 05-27 20:52
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +31 $29 95¢ $30 +$1 06-05 18:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -90 $-23 32¢ $-29 $-6 06-09 00:20
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +28 $51 94¢ $26 $-25 06-08 18:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +35 $14 70¢ $24 +$10 05-28 23:17
Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027? No +26 $23 90¢ $23 +$0 06-02 21:37
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +36 $23 64¢ $23 +$0 06-06 19:18
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +26 $23 88¢ $23 +$0 06-10 03:40
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +25 $21 86¢ $22 +$0 06-06 06:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? No +83 $29 26¢ $21 $-7 06-10 02:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +75 $22 28¢ $21 $-2 06-06 22:48