Natural Disaster in 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,692
$429 in 24h
Trades
216
Unique wallets
85
Liquidity
$1,987
Latest YES mid
22¢
Latest NO mid
78¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-18 16:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $62 | $87 | $25 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $243 | $17 | +$226 |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $123 | $225 | $102 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 53 | $205 | $25 | +$179 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $148 | $9 | +$140 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $152 | $39 | +$113 |
| Median | 7 | $41 | $8 | +$33 |
| Below median | 18 | $98 | — | +$98 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $31 | $56 | $26 |
| unranked | 42 | $162 | $242 | $80 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pushy-Expectancy 0x980e…9ce0 | Yes | +400 | $100 | $100 | 6 | 06-09 06:01 |
| Rotten-Watch-Short 0x6fd4…4fa0 | No | +267 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-09 06:01 |
| Sinful-Trowel 0x18ad…1952 | Yes | +207 | $33 | $212 | 22 | 06-14 15:11 |
| Discrete-Flung 0x5745…aa5e | Yes | +118 | $34 | $34 | 3 | 06-04 19:14 |
| Granular-Footstep 0x9794…01c8 | Yes | +107 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-04 21:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a4c…a538 | Yes | +100 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-14 15:11 |
| Oily-Meeting 0x0fac…b5b4 | Yes | +74 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-12 05:56 |
| Willing-Push 0xa5d3…3c28 | Yes | +58 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 06-01 07:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c60…c9be | Yes | +40 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-18 15:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x9081…a692 | Yes | +38 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-17 15:13 |
| Bruised-Retrospectivity 0xbdf9…0e7c | Yes | +37 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 06-16 21:37 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +34 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 06-17 16:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d76…64b9 | Yes | +27 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-04 16:47 |
| Huge-Meeting 0x7a23…155a | Yes | +26 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-07 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xe408…08db | Yes | +22 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-06 23:55 |
| Delightful-Burden-Cream 0xce7e…02db | Yes | +21 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-17 16:23 |
| Dark-Hatbox 0xeb1f…4b42 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-18 16:42 |
| Loyal-Exam 0xd8dc…b4d2 | Yes | +19 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-11 23:41 |
| Key-Impression 0x418f…7b8f | Yes | +18 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-03 03:22 |
| Untried-Prostacyclin 0x239b…3998 | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-12 21:51 |
| Inferior-Championship 0xd211…6eaa | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-14 15:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b17…9701 | Yes | +14 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-15 15:46 |
| Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | +13 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-12 00:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x327a…cf42 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-10 19:23 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +13 | $3 | $26 | 6 | 06-16 21:37 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-28 10:51 |
| Prime-Browsing 0x7d33…c15f | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-08 23:10 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 06-14 16:27 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $7 | $32 | 6 | 06-18 15:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc86…1a14 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-09 06:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xd8ab…fe9f | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 01:31 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | +7 | $6 | $17 | 3 | 06-17 16:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xc29d…776d | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-07 16:23 |
| Dreary-Encouragement 0x6ccc…653f | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 16:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x819f…547b | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 16:34 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +4 | $3 | $61 | 4 | 06-09 06:01 |
| Healthy-Costume 0xb047…16b1 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 21:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xab55…e1a4 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +4 | $2 | $9 | 4 | 06-17 16:23 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +2 | $1 | $43 | 3 | 06-05 15:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa86…8830 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 12:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 16:42:50 | Dark-Hatbox 0xeb1f…4b42 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x5b686b… |
| 06-18 16:42:50 | Frosty-Clave 0x9849…8166 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x5b686b… |
| 06-18 16:42:34 | Dark-Hatbox 0xeb1f…4b42 | No | SELL | 6 | 75¢ | $5 | 0xc46d10… |
| 06-18 16:42:34 | Frosty-Clave 0x9849…8166 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xc46d10… |
| 06-18 15:18:46 | Frosty-Clave 0x9849…8166 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 25¢ | $8 | 0x7a2977… |
| 06-18 15:18:46 | (anonymous) 0x8c60…c9be | Yes | BUY | 40 | 25¢ | $10 | 0x7a2977… |
| 06-18 15:18:46 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0x7a2977… |
| 06-17 16:23:46 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 11 | 76¢ | $8 | 0x6651d6… |
| 06-17 16:23:46 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 9 | 76¢ | $7 | 0x6651d6… |
| 06-17 16:23:46 | Delightful-Burden-Cream 0xce7e…02db | Yes | BUY | 21 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x6651d6… |
| 06-17 16:23:46 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x6651d6… |
| 06-17 16:00:38 | Doting-Apparatus 0xd927…2570 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x71e9a2… |
| 06-17 16:00:38 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 3 | 82¢ | $3 | 0x71e9a2… |
| 06-17 15:13:02 | Frosty-Clave 0x9849…8166 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 25¢ | $9 | 0xc44c99… |
| 06-17 15:13:02 | (anonymous) 0x9081…a692 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 25¢ | $9 | 0xc44c99… |
| 06-17 02:00:30 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x3695db… |
| 06-17 02:00:30 | Naughty-Dart 0xbe50…fda4 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x3695db… |
| 06-17 02:00:30 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x3695db… |
| 06-17 00:09:58 | (anonymous) 0xab55…e1a4 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x8f09ba… |
| 06-17 00:09:58 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 4 | 75¢ | $3 | 0x8f09ba… |
| 06-16 21:37:44 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xf6ce2c… |
| 06-16 21:37:44 | Bruised-Retrospectivity 0xbdf9…0e7c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xf6ce2c… |
| 06-15 15:46:18 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x46ca23… |
| 06-15 15:46:18 | (anonymous) 0x1b17…9701 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 28¢ | $4 | 0x46ca23… |
| 06-15 15:46:18 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x46ca23… |
| 06-15 15:04:13 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x75f446… |
| 06-15 15:04:13 | Dark-Hatbox 0xeb1f…4b42 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x75f446… |
| 06-14 16:27:39 | (anonymous) 0xb3b8…5952 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xe97a49… |
| 06-14 16:27:39 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xe97a49… |
| 06-14 16:02:34 | French-Spokesman 0x2f20…f150 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xd715d5… |
| 06-14 16:02:34 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xd715d5… |
| 06-14 15:21:15 | Inferior-Championship 0xd211…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 15 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x0a50c4… |
| 06-14 15:21:15 | Unacceptable-Art 0x2bac…f238 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x0a50c4… |
| 06-14 15:11:04 | Unacceptable-Art 0x2bac…f238 | Yes | SELL | 199 | 20¢ | $40 | 0xa1d0e0… |
| 06-14 15:11:04 | Sinful-Trowel 0x18ad…1952 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 20¢ | $20 | 0xa1d0e0… |
| 06-14 15:11:04 | (anonymous) 0x7a4c…a538 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 20¢ | $20 | 0xa1d0e0… |
| 06-14 12:03:22 | (anonymous) 0x7a4c…a538 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x3e15f5… |
| 06-14 12:03:22 | (anonymous) 0xfa86…8830 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x3e15f5… |
| 06-13 16:34:00 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x23d2ad… |
| 06-13 16:34:00 | (anonymous) 0x819f…547b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x23d2ad… |
| 06-12 21:51:48 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x3d0f97… |
| 06-12 21:51:48 | Untried-Prostacyclin 0x239b…3998 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x3d0f97… |
| 06-12 05:56:39 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 23 | 22¢ | $5 | 0xe16573… |
| 06-12 05:56:39 | Oily-Meeting 0x0fac…b5b4 | Yes | BUY | 74 | 21¢ | $16 | 0xe16573… |
| 06-12 05:56:39 | (anonymous) 0xaa05…69e3 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 22¢ | $43 | 0xe16573… |
| 06-12 05:56:39 | Sinful-Trowel 0x18ad…1952 | Yes | BUY | 88 | 22¢ | $19 | 0xe16573… |
| 06-12 05:56:39 | Last-Era 0x6c28…1041 | No | SELL | 15 | 78¢ | $12 | 0xe16573… |
| 06-12 00:40:37 | Sinful-Trowel 0x18ad…1952 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x4bd4d0… |
| 06-12 00:40:37 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | BUY | 6 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x4bd4d0… |
| 06-12 00:40:37 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 22 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x4bd4d0… |
| 06-12 00:40:37 | (anonymous) 0xf9de…22b0 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 23¢ | $9 | 0x4bd4d0… |
| 06-11 23:41:19 | Sinful-Trowel 0x18ad…1952 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x1267a8… |
| 06-11 23:41:19 | Loyal-Exam 0xd8dc…b4d2 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x1267a8… |
| 06-11 22:15:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 15 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x43ef37… |
| 06-11 22:15:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x43ef37… |
| 06-11 22:15:43 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x43ef37… |
| 06-11 21:23:03 | Healthy-Costume 0xb047…16b1 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xbe5cbb… |
| 06-11 21:23:03 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xbe5cbb… |
| 06-11 20:51:33 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x8da63d… |
| 06-11 20:51:33 | (anonymous) 0x7739…cdfd | Yes | SELL | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x8da63d… |
| 06-11 05:01:00 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 11 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x93f869… |
| 06-11 05:01:00 | (anonymous) 0x1950…13dc | Yes | SELL | 11 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x93f869… |
| 06-11 01:31:27 | (anonymous) 0xd8ab…fe9f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x4ba914… |
| 06-11 01:31:27 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x4ba914… |
| 06-10 21:47:07 | Pale-Interpretation 0x4cfb…3990 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x524819… |
| 06-10 21:47:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x524819… |
| 06-10 19:23:27 | cheng 0xfb66…5e13 | No | SELL | 11 | 78¢ | $9 | 0x714291… |
| 06-10 19:23:27 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 2 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x714291… |
| 06-10 19:23:27 | (anonymous) 0x327a…cf42 | No | BUY | 13 | 78¢ | $10 | 0x714291… |
| 06-10 18:03:09 | Untried-Prostacyclin 0x239b…3998 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x8ab258… |
| 06-10 18:03:09 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x8ab258… |
| 06-09 22:24:37 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x75100b… |
| 06-09 22:24:37 | (anonymous) 0x4bb3…6e74 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x75100b… |
| 06-09 11:29:52 | cheng 0xfb66…5e13 | No | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xf10476… |
| 06-09 11:29:52 | Cheap-Attainment 0xc166…fbc7 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xf10476… |
| 06-09 06:24:43 | Superb-Fellow 0x7cb6…a366 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 23¢ | $4 | 0x74051e… |
| 06-09 06:24:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 19 | 23¢ | $4 | 0x74051e… |
| 06-09 06:19:16 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 19 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xaaa4f0… |
| 06-09 06:19:16 | Superb-Fellow 0x7cb6…a366 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xaaa4f0… |
| 06-09 06:01:58 | Sinful-Trowel 0x18ad…1952 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 26¢ | $26 | 0x4c4dbb… |
| 06-09 06:01:58 | Rotten-Watch-Short 0x6fd4…4fa0 | No | BUY | 267 | 75¢ | $200 | 0x4c4dbb… |
| 06-09 06:01:58 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0x4c4dbb… |
| 06-09 06:01:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 25¢ | $10 | 0x4c4dbb… |
| 06-09 06:01:58 | Pushy-Expectancy 0x980e…9ce0 | Yes | BUY | 68 | 25¢ | $17 | 0x4c4dbb… |
| 06-09 06:01:58 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 22 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x4c4dbb… |
| 06-09 06:01:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 6 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x4c4dbb… |
| 06-09 06:01:58 | cheng 0xfb66…5e13 | No | SELL | 21 | 78¢ | $17 | 0x4c4dbb… |
| 06-09 06:01:58 | (anonymous) 0xbc86…1a14 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x4c4dbb… |
| 06-08 23:22:27 | Giddy-Takeover 0x0b37…f48e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xa0da74… |
| 06-08 23:22:27 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xa0da74… |
| 06-08 23:20:06 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 3 | 71¢ | $2 | 0x44a58a… |
| 06-08 23:20:06 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | BUY | 3 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x44a58a… |
| 06-08 23:15:48 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 3 | 71¢ | $2 | 0xfe530a… |
| 06-08 23:15:48 | Giddy-Takeover 0x0b37…f48e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xfe530a… |
| 06-08 23:10:34 | Pushy-Expectancy 0x980e…9ce0 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 25¢ | $3 | 0x2daaee… |
| 06-08 23:10:34 | Prime-Browsing 0x7d33…c15f | No | BUY | 11 | 75¢ | $8 | 0x2daaee… |
| 06-08 16:53:30 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xad11f6… |
| 06-08 16:53:30 | Dreary-Encouragement 0x6ccc…653f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xad11f6… |
| 06-08 06:18:27 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0xdc6589… |
| 06-08 06:18:27 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xdc6589… |