Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
40
lifetime
Volume
$340
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$87
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 07-03 06:17
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
54%
Politics
43%
Tech
2%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +58 $17 18¢ $11 $-6 06-01 07:30
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 06-21 07:37
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-1 06-17 06:31
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-9 92¢ $-9 $-0 06-02 16:57
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No -10 $-9 90¢ $-9 $-0 05-28 06:32
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +30 $9 27¢ $8 $-1 06-21 07:40
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? Yes +10 $9 77¢ $8 $-1 05-29 07:35
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No -10 $-6 72¢ $-7 $-1 05-29 07:37
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +114 $9 $7 $-2 06-06 05:58
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $7 $5 $-2 07-03 06:17
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes +80 $8 $4 $-4 06-14 07:08