China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$88,057
$23 in 24h
Trades
1,743
Unique wallets
695
Liquidity
$10,959
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-06 03:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+93.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $103
vs crowd: 7% YES on $49.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 21 | $580 | $2.3K | $1.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 28 | $195 | $5.6K | $5.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 67 | $290 | $16.6K | $16.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 579 | $2.4K | $21.5K | $19.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $103 | — | +$103 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 21 | $200 | $2.1K | $1.9K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 19 | $270 | $3.4K | $3.2K |
| Median | 87 | $631 | $11.5K | $10.8K |
| Below median | 58 | $126 | $2.0K | $1.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 9 | $77 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $231 | $2.9K | $2.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $52 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| unranked | 480 | $1.8K | $21.5K | $19.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shadowy-Eve 0xed7b…1ba9 | No | +7,049 | $6,500 | $6,500 | 3 | 08-06 00:54 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | +3,819 | $322 | $540 | 39 | 08-06 00:54 |
| Uniform-Pith 0x836d…af5d | Yes | +2,582 | $217 | $217 | 36 | 08-06 00:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xab01…2558 | No | +2,014 | $1,812 | $1,812 | 1 | 08-05 20:49 |
| Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | Yes | +1,000 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 08-06 00:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x8cd1…ea75 | No | +839 | $756 | $844 | 2 | 08-05 03:22 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +806 | $49 | $89 | 5 | 08-06 00:54 |
| Indolent-Dogwood 0x4ab7…5b3e | No | +716 | $656 | $656 | 3 | 07-20 13:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | +700 | $620 | $984 | 6 | 07-20 16:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf48…6f40 | No | +575 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-16 11:58 |
| Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | +540 | $52 | $309 | 27 | 08-05 15:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x34a1…7622 | No | +531 | $473 | $473 | 7 | 08-02 15:18 |
| Bossy-Meridian 0xec0e…1e4e | Yes | +511 | $18 | $178 | 43 | 08-06 00:54 |
| Giddy-Sweatshop 0xf6c7…8366 | Yes | +455 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 08-01 11:02 |
| Bony-Dependency 0x4cbe…100a | No | +451 | $469 | $2,049 | 17 | 06-16 11:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x7489…3c11 | No | +310 | $288 | $288 | 1 | 07-20 04:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a08…36db | No | +300 | $249 | $249 | 1 | 06-16 04:25 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +298 | $25 | $34 | 16 | 08-06 00:54 |
| Breakable-Bottomline 0x51de…9e4a | No | +253 | $224 | $322 | 4 | 07-27 15:43 |
| Critical-Nut 0xc312…bfe9 | No | +237 | $209 | $209 | 6 | 07-28 10:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x78d9…b4f9 | Yes | +231 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-21 20:07 |
| Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | +216 | $203 | $203 | 2 | 07-05 16:29 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +201 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-16 11:58 |
| Blue-Tab 0xfe2d…a830 | No | +161 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 07-08 14:11 |
| Klutzy-Punch 0x8535…25df | No | +113 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 07-26 11:34 |
| Right-Sweatsuit-Jailhouse 0x6f6f…ce33 | No | +112 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-28 03:28 |
| Rotten-Watch-Short 0x6fd4…4fa0 | No | +108 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-13 15:03 |
| Avaricious-Fruit 0xbab9…e027 | Yes | +100 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-31 12:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ef6…92e4 | Yes | +92 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-25 06:44 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +76 | $10 | $10 | 5 | 06-21 13:44 |
| Fat-Admin 0x3a91…a770 | Yes | +60 | $4 | $9 | 7 | 08-06 00:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xd92d…e838 | Yes | +52 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-08 15:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x41de…deed | No | +50 | $45 | $45 | 3 | 07-18 23:20 |
| Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | +46 | $42 | $42 | 2 | 07-15 16:33 |
| Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | No | +42 | $38 | $125 | 7 | 07-31 10:09 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +42 | $5 | $11 | 8 | 06-23 17:18 |
| Creative-Consensus 0x225e…05b1 | Yes | +40 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 08-06 00:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | +32 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-05 00:21 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +32 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 07-05 00:21 |
| Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | +31 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 07-08 18:20 |
| Frivolous-Charm 0xed19…cb5e | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-06 03:53 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +29 | $3 | $8 | 11 | 06-22 01:27 |
| Sane-Scientist 0x29d1…bc53 | No | +28 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-29 08:39 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +25 | $23 | $46 | 5 | 07-07 20:56 |
| Gullible-Med 0x1a92…48f9 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 07-02 11:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 06-03 08:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 06-03 09:54 |
| Submissive-Zipper 0x3395…06a0 | No | +21 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 06-16 02:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b20…029b | Yes | +20 | $2 | $4 | 3 | 07-08 03:47 |
| Trim-Caution 0x5ddd…0014 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-29 20:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc37…cc37 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 06-16 15:37 |
| Rubbery-Penny 0x5df5…e8cc | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-25 15:57 |
| Fickle-Version 0x7761…f504 | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-21 00:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-07 22:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x988b…6a1f | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 08:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x363e…ba42 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 03:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 03:53:45 | Frivolous-Charm 0xed19…cb5e | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x5062f7… |
| 08-06 03:53:45 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x5062f7… |
| 08-06 03:15:05 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x160f72… |
| 08-06 03:15:05 | Internal-Hail 0x2884…d0c3 | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x160f72… |
| 08-06 00:54:38 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 7¢ | $70 | 0x5da8d3… |
| 08-06 00:54:38 | (anonymous) 0x81e5…e9bc | No | SELL | 225 | 94¢ | $211 | 0x5da8d3… |
| 08-06 00:54:38 | Fat-Admin 0x3a91…a770 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x5da8d3… |
| 08-06 00:54:38 | (anonymous) 0x2e0e…4a73 | No | SELL | 23 | 92¢ | $21 | 0x5da8d3… |
| 08-06 00:54:38 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 406 | 6¢ | $24 | 0x5da8d3… |
| 08-06 00:54:38 | Uniform-Pith 0x836d…af5d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x5da8d3… |
| 08-06 00:54:38 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 143 | 7¢ | $10 | 0x5da8d3… |
| 08-06 00:54:38 | Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 8¢ | $80 | 0x5da8d3… |
| 08-06 00:54:38 | Bossy-Meridian 0xec0e…1e4e | Yes | BUY | 300 | 7¢ | $21 | 0x5da8d3… |
| 08-06 00:54:38 | Shadowy-Eve 0xed7b…1ba9 | No | BUY | 4,310 | 93¢ | $4,000 | 0x5da8d3… |
| 08-06 00:53:42 | Uniform-Pith 0x836d…af5d | Yes | BUY | 300 | 9¢ | $27 | 0x71c427… |
| 08-06 00:53:42 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x71c427… |
| 08-06 00:53:42 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 405 | 8¢ | $32 | 0x71c427… |
| 08-06 00:53:42 | Fat-Admin 0x3a91…a770 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x71c427… |
| 08-06 00:53:42 | Shadowy-Eve 0xed7b…1ba9 | No | BUY | 2,193 | 91¢ | $2,000 | 0x71c427… |
| 08-06 00:53:42 | Creative-Consensus 0x225e…05b1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x71c427… |
| 08-06 00:53:42 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | SELL | 247 | 91¢ | $225 | 0x71c427… |
| 08-06 00:53:42 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | SELL | 488 | 91¢ | $444 | 0x71c427… |
| 08-05 20:49:32 | Rusty-Writing 0xbdd2…0bd8 | No | SELL | 1,759 | 90¢ | $1,583 | 0x08a475… |
| 08-05 20:49:32 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x08a475… |
| 08-05 20:49:32 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 45 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x08a475… |
| 08-05 20:49:32 | (anonymous) 0xab01…2558 | No | BUY | 2,014 | 90¢ | $1,812 | 0x08a475… |
| 08-05 20:49:32 | Uniform-Pith 0x836d…af5d | Yes | BUY | 200 | 10¢ | $20 | 0x08a475… |
| 08-05 20:49:32 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x08a475… |
| 08-05 20:17:50 | Rusty-Writing 0xbdd2…0bd8 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x8fbc1d… |
| 08-05 20:17:50 | Pastel-Distributor 0xea41…0782 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x8fbc1d… |
| 08-05 15:36:20 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xaf0e6f… |
| 08-05 15:36:20 | (anonymous) 0x0ced…8192 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xaf0e6f… |
| 08-05 14:03:06 | Rusty-Writing 0xbdd2…0bd8 | No | SELL | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xae94a8… |
| 08-05 14:03:06 | (anonymous) 0xf758…42fb | No | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xae94a8… |
| 08-05 13:18:54 | Rusty-Writing 0xbdd2…0bd8 | No | SELL | 4 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xeb8fc8… |
| 08-05 13:18:54 | Cluttered-Gloom 0x4aee…14d8 | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xeb8fc8… |
| 08-05 08:35:33 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 21 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x71f594… |
| 08-05 08:35:33 | Back-Daddy 0x3287…a2b2 | No | SELL | 21 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x71f594… |
| 08-05 08:08:27 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x782780… |
| 08-05 08:08:27 | (anonymous) 0x0dc6…85b9 | No | SELL | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x782780… |
| 08-05 07:58:17 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa9eb30… |
| 08-05 07:58:17 | (anonymous) 0x7450…4f05 | No | SELL | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0xa9eb30… |
| 08-05 03:22:11 | (anonymous) 0x8cd1…ea75 | No | BUY | 889 | 90¢ | $800 | 0x283667… |
| 08-05 03:22:11 | Rusty-Writing 0xbdd2…0bd8 | No | SELL | 616 | 90¢ | $555 | 0x283667… |
| 08-05 03:22:11 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | SELL | 273 | 90¢ | $245 | 0x283667… |
| 08-05 02:45:00 | (anonymous) 0xab30…bdeb | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $3 | 0x6dbf97… |
| 08-05 02:45:00 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | SELL | 4 | 90¢ | $3 | 0x6dbf97… |
| 08-05 02:44:51 | (anonymous) 0xab30…bdeb | No | SELL | 4 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x8faa7d… |
| 08-05 02:44:51 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x8faa7d… |
| 08-04 16:09:26 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x0851ea… |
| 08-04 16:09:26 | Annual-Makeup 0x57d5…0790 | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x0851ea… |
| 08-04 15:57:47 | (anonymous) 0x62ce…2032 | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xd9099c… |
| 08-04 15:57:47 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | SELL | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xd9099c… |
| 08-04 15:55:47 | (anonymous) 0x9576…0c4c | No | SELL | 3 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xcc345a… |
| 08-04 15:55:47 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 3 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xcc345a… |
| 08-04 11:19:17 | Capital-Leap 0xc59b…e4ce | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x994113… |
| 08-04 11:19:17 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x994113… |
| 08-04 11:06:35 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | SELL | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0xc6f237… |
| 08-04 11:06:35 | (anonymous) 0x928e…de2f | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0xc6f237… |
| 08-04 08:04:33 | Qualified-Fen 0x4044…b7eb | No | SELL | 3 | 89¢ | $3 | 0x4783d2… |
| 08-04 08:04:33 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 3 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x4783d2… |
| 08-04 07:48:05 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 19 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xea9439… |
| 08-04 07:48:05 | (anonymous) 0xf8f5…394c | Yes | SELL | 55 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xea9439… |
| 08-04 07:48:05 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | SELL | 35 | 90¢ | $32 | 0xea9439… |
| 08-04 07:29:21 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x60ca63… |
| 08-04 07:29:21 | (anonymous) 0xf8f5…394c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x60ca63… |
| 08-04 07:23:21 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 45 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xc7fa5e… |
| 08-04 07:23:21 | (anonymous) 0xf8f5…394c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xc7fa5e… |
| 08-04 05:24:21 | Sad-Spasm 0x5a60…35fa | No | SELL | 3 | 89¢ | $3 | 0xa89472… |
| 08-04 05:24:21 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 3 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xa89472… |
| 08-04 04:37:48 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x669351… |
| 08-04 04:37:48 | Salty-Doubt 0x455a…bde1 | No | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0x669351… |
| 08-04 04:31:00 | Splendid-Downstairs 0xf7b5…5d9c | No | SELL | 4 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x6ca112… |
| 08-04 04:31:00 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x6ca112… |
| 08-04 02:24:59 | Timely-Swanling 0x20cf…a918 | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xba088e… |
| 08-04 02:24:59 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xba088e… |
| 08-04 02:10:39 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa1b676… |
| 08-04 02:10:39 | (anonymous) 0x346f…4d26 | No | SELL | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0xa1b676… |
| 08-03 23:24:54 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xf25d39… |
| 08-03 23:24:54 | (anonymous) 0xea9d…2ea8 | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xf25d39… |
| 08-03 05:52:00 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 3 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x06912d… |
| 08-03 05:52:00 | Probable-Boudoir 0xe32a…e5f1 | No | SELL | 3 | 89¢ | $3 | 0x06912d… |
| 08-02 17:51:24 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe8fee0… |
| 08-02 17:51:24 | (anonymous) 0x7a63…b4ef | Yes | SELL | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe8fee0… |
| 08-02 15:18:35 | Oblong-Cocktail 0xf91a…5a4b | No | SELL | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x0692e5… |
| 08-02 15:18:35 | (anonymous) 0x34a1…7622 | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x0692e5… |
| 08-02 07:00:27 | (anonymous) 0x34a1…7622 | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0xb434bc… |
| 08-02 07:00:27 | (anonymous) 0x0a79…1cd5 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb434bc… |
| 08-02 01:36:29 | (anonymous) 0x34a1…7622 | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x767424… |
| 08-02 01:36:29 | (anonymous) 0x889d…8342 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x767424… |
| 08-01 17:41:41 | (anonymous) 0x34a1…7622 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xda1569… |
| 08-01 17:41:41 | Different-Windshield 0xb220…5f71 | No | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xda1569… |
| 08-01 11:02:27 | (anonymous) 0x34a1…7622 | No | BUY | 455 | 89¢ | $405 | 0xa9cbd5… |
| 08-01 11:02:27 | Giddy-Sweatshop 0xf6c7…8366 | Yes | BUY | 455 | 11¢ | $50 | 0xa9cbd5… |
| 08-01 03:02:03 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x80ec27… |
| 08-01 03:02:03 | Internal-Hail 0x2884…d0c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x80ec27… |
| 07-31 15:57:33 | (anonymous) 0xf8f5…394c | No | SELL | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x131ced… |
| 07-31 15:57:33 | (anonymous) 0x34a1…7622 | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x131ced… |
| 07-31 12:44:41 | (anonymous) 0x34a1…7622 | No | BUY | 48 | 89¢ | $43 | 0xe6aab3… |
| 07-31 12:44:41 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | BUY | 52 | 89¢ | $46 | 0xe6aab3… |