China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$77,403
$23 in 24h
Trades
1,707
Unique wallets
688
Liquidity
$10,959
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-05 08:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+92.6¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $23
vs crowd: 7% YES on $41.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 20 | $372 | $2.3K | $1.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 25 | $192 | $3.7K | $3.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 68 | $202 | $10.6K | $10.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 575 | $2.3K | $21.5K | $19.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $23 | — | +$23 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 21 | $176 | $2.1K | $1.9K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 18 | $270 | $3.4K | $3.1K |
| Median | 88 | $469 | $5.5K | $5.1K |
| Below median | 57 | $116 | $2.0K | $1.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $75 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $221 | $2.9K | $2.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $39 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| unranked | 476 | $1.7K | $19.7K | $18.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | +2,127 | $194 | $412 | 35 | 08-04 07:48 |
| Uniform-Pith 0x836d…af5d | Yes | +1,182 | $103 | $103 | 30 | 07-20 07:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x8cd1…ea75 | No | +839 | $756 | $844 | 2 | 08-05 03:22 |
| Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | +813 | $722 | $1,596 | 19 | 08-05 03:22 |
| Indolent-Dogwood 0x4ab7…5b3e | No | +716 | $656 | $656 | 3 | 07-20 13:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | +700 | $620 | $984 | 6 | 07-20 16:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf48…6f40 | No | +575 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-16 11:58 |
| Shadowy-Eve 0xed7b…1ba9 | No | +546 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-01 15:34 |
| Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | +545 | $52 | $308 | 26 | 08-05 08:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x34a1…7622 | No | +531 | $473 | $473 | 7 | 08-02 15:18 |
| Giddy-Sweatshop 0xf6c7…8366 | Yes | +455 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 08-01 11:02 |
| Bony-Dependency 0x4cbe…100a | No | +451 | $469 | $2,049 | 17 | 06-16 11:58 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +400 | $25 | $65 | 4 | 07-20 13:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x7489…3c11 | No | +310 | $288 | $288 | 1 | 07-20 04:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a08…36db | No | +300 | $249 | $249 | 1 | 06-16 04:25 |
| Breakable-Bottomline 0x51de…9e4a | No | +253 | $224 | $322 | 4 | 07-27 15:43 |
| Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | +247 | $220 | $220 | 11 | 07-31 12:44 |
| Critical-Nut 0xc312…bfe9 | No | +237 | $209 | $209 | 6 | 07-28 10:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x78d9…b4f9 | Yes | +231 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-21 20:07 |
| Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | +216 | $203 | $203 | 2 | 07-05 16:29 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +201 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-16 11:58 |
| Blue-Tab 0xfe2d…a830 | No | +161 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 07-08 14:11 |
| Klutzy-Punch 0x8535…25df | No | +113 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 07-26 11:34 |
| Right-Sweatsuit-Jailhouse 0x6f6f…ce33 | No | +112 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-28 03:28 |
| Rotten-Watch-Short 0x6fd4…4fa0 | No | +108 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-13 15:03 |
| Avaricious-Fruit 0xbab9…e027 | Yes | +100 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-31 12:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ef6…92e4 | Yes | +92 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-25 06:44 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +76 | $10 | $10 | 5 | 06-21 13:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xd92d…e838 | Yes | +52 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-08 15:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x41de…deed | No | +50 | $45 | $45 | 3 | 07-18 23:20 |
| Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | +46 | $42 | $42 | 2 | 07-15 16:33 |
| Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | No | +42 | $38 | $125 | 7 | 07-31 10:09 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +42 | $5 | $11 | 8 | 06-23 17:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | +32 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-05 00:21 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +32 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 07-05 00:21 |
| Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | +31 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 07-08 18:20 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +29 | $3 | $8 | 11 | 06-22 01:27 |
| Sane-Scientist 0x29d1…bc53 | No | +28 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-29 08:39 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +25 | $23 | $46 | 5 | 07-07 20:56 |
| Gullible-Med 0x1a92…48f9 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 07-02 11:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 06-03 08:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 06-03 09:54 |
| Submissive-Zipper 0x3395…06a0 | No | +21 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 06-16 02:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b20…029b | Yes | +20 | $2 | $4 | 3 | 07-08 03:47 |
| Trim-Caution 0x5ddd…0014 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-29 20:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc37…cc37 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 06-16 15:37 |
| Fickle-Version 0x7761…f504 | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-21 00:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-07 22:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x988b…6a1f | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 08:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x363e…ba42 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 03:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb21…a156 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 09:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d4a…5370 | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 22:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 08:35:33 | Back-Daddy 0x3287…a2b2 | No | SELL | 21 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x71f594… |
| 08-05 08:35:33 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 21 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x71f594… |
| 08-05 08:08:27 | (anonymous) 0x0dc6…85b9 | No | SELL | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x782780… |
| 08-05 08:08:27 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x782780… |
| 08-05 07:58:17 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa9eb30… |
| 08-05 07:58:17 | (anonymous) 0x7450…4f05 | No | SELL | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0xa9eb30… |
| 08-05 03:22:11 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | SELL | 273 | 90¢ | $245 | 0x283667… |
| 08-05 03:22:11 | (anonymous) 0x8cd1…ea75 | No | BUY | 889 | 90¢ | $800 | 0x283667… |
| 08-05 03:22:11 | Rusty-Writing 0xbdd2…0bd8 | No | SELL | 616 | 90¢ | $555 | 0x283667… |
| 08-05 02:45:00 | (anonymous) 0xab30…bdeb | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $3 | 0x6dbf97… |
| 08-05 02:45:00 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | SELL | 4 | 90¢ | $3 | 0x6dbf97… |
| 08-05 02:44:51 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x8faa7d… |
| 08-05 02:44:51 | (anonymous) 0xab30…bdeb | No | SELL | 4 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x8faa7d… |
| 08-04 16:09:26 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x0851ea… |
| 08-04 16:09:26 | Annual-Makeup 0x57d5…0790 | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x0851ea… |
| 08-04 15:57:47 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | SELL | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xd9099c… |
| 08-04 15:57:47 | (anonymous) 0x62ce…2032 | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xd9099c… |
| 08-04 15:55:47 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 3 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xcc345a… |
| 08-04 15:55:47 | (anonymous) 0x9576…0c4c | No | SELL | 3 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xcc345a… |
| 08-04 11:19:17 | Capital-Leap 0xc59b…e4ce | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x994113… |
| 08-04 11:19:17 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x994113… |
| 08-04 11:06:35 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | SELL | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0xc6f237… |
| 08-04 11:06:35 | (anonymous) 0x928e…de2f | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0xc6f237… |
| 08-04 08:04:33 | Qualified-Fen 0x4044…b7eb | No | SELL | 3 | 89¢ | $3 | 0x4783d2… |
| 08-04 08:04:33 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 3 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x4783d2… |
| 08-04 07:48:05 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | SELL | 35 | 90¢ | $32 | 0xea9439… |
| 08-04 07:48:05 | (anonymous) 0xf8f5…394c | Yes | SELL | 55 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xea9439… |
| 08-04 07:48:05 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 19 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xea9439… |
| 08-04 07:29:21 | (anonymous) 0xf8f5…394c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x60ca63… |
| 08-04 07:29:21 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x60ca63… |
| 08-04 07:23:21 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 45 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xc7fa5e… |
| 08-04 07:23:21 | (anonymous) 0xf8f5…394c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xc7fa5e… |
| 08-04 05:24:21 | Sad-Spasm 0x5a60…35fa | No | SELL | 3 | 89¢ | $3 | 0xa89472… |
| 08-04 05:24:21 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 3 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xa89472… |
| 08-04 04:37:48 | Salty-Doubt 0x455a…bde1 | No | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0x669351… |
| 08-04 04:37:48 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x669351… |
| 08-04 04:31:00 | Splendid-Downstairs 0xf7b5…5d9c | No | SELL | 4 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x6ca112… |
| 08-04 04:31:00 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x6ca112… |
| 08-04 02:24:59 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xba088e… |
| 08-04 02:24:59 | Timely-Swanling 0x20cf…a918 | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xba088e… |
| 08-04 02:10:39 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa1b676… |
| 08-04 02:10:39 | (anonymous) 0x346f…4d26 | No | SELL | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0xa1b676… |
| 08-03 23:24:54 | (anonymous) 0xea9d…2ea8 | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xf25d39… |
| 08-03 23:24:54 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xf25d39… |
| 08-03 05:52:00 | Probable-Boudoir 0xe32a…e5f1 | No | SELL | 3 | 89¢ | $3 | 0x06912d… |
| 08-03 05:52:00 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | Yes | SELL | 3 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x06912d… |
| 08-02 17:51:24 | (anonymous) 0x7a63…b4ef | Yes | SELL | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe8fee0… |
| 08-02 17:51:24 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe8fee0… |
| 08-02 15:18:35 | Oblong-Cocktail 0xf91a…5a4b | No | SELL | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x0692e5… |
| 08-02 15:18:35 | (anonymous) 0x34a1…7622 | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x0692e5… |
| 08-02 07:00:27 | (anonymous) 0x0a79…1cd5 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb434bc… |
| 08-02 07:00:27 | (anonymous) 0x34a1…7622 | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0xb434bc… |
| 08-02 01:36:29 | (anonymous) 0x889d…8342 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x767424… |
| 08-02 01:36:29 | (anonymous) 0x34a1…7622 | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x767424… |
| 08-01 17:41:41 | Different-Windshield 0xb220…5f71 | No | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xda1569… |
| 08-01 17:41:41 | (anonymous) 0x34a1…7622 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xda1569… |
| 08-01 11:02:27 | Giddy-Sweatshop 0xf6c7…8366 | Yes | BUY | 455 | 11¢ | $50 | 0xa9cbd5… |
| 08-01 11:02:27 | (anonymous) 0x34a1…7622 | No | BUY | 455 | 89¢ | $405 | 0xa9cbd5… |
| 08-01 03:02:03 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x80ec27… |
| 08-01 03:02:03 | Internal-Hail 0x2884…d0c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x80ec27… |
| 07-31 15:57:33 | (anonymous) 0x34a1…7622 | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x131ced… |
| 07-31 15:57:33 | (anonymous) 0xf8f5…394c | No | SELL | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x131ced… |
| 07-31 12:44:41 | Avaricious-Fruit 0xbab9…e027 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0xe6aab3… |
| 07-31 12:44:41 | (anonymous) 0x34a1…7622 | No | BUY | 48 | 89¢ | $43 | 0xe6aab3… |
| 07-31 12:44:41 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | BUY | 52 | 89¢ | $46 | 0xe6aab3… |
| 07-31 11:56:03 | Internal-Hail 0x2884…d0c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x65306b… |
| 07-31 11:56:03 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x65306b… |
| 07-31 10:09:20 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x11957a… |
| 07-31 10:09:20 | Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $6 | 0x11957a… |
| 07-31 10:08:51 | (anonymous) 0xc71d…56fa | No | SELL | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x92f66a… |
| 07-31 10:08:51 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x92f66a… |
| 07-30 14:36:23 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xf0c760… |
| 07-30 14:36:23 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…e4c8 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xf0c760… |
| 07-30 10:10:18 | Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | No | BUY | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xd4d81c… |
| 07-30 10:10:18 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd4d81c… |
| 07-30 10:09:38 | Back-Bandana 0xd05d…5108 | No | SELL | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x6bbf3e… |
| 07-30 10:09:38 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x6bbf3e… |
| 07-30 10:02:23 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 29 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x8eadbe… |
| 07-30 10:02:23 | Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | No | BUY | 29 | 90¢ | $26 | 0x8eadbe… |
| 07-30 10:01:41 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | BUY | 49 | 89¢ | $43 | 0x47e75a… |
| 07-30 10:01:41 | Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | No | SELL | 49 | 89¢ | $43 | 0x47e75a… |
| 07-30 10:01:18 | Neglected-Ethics 0xa163…de8d | No | SELL | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x1173eb… |
| 07-30 10:01:18 | Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | No | BUY | 13 | 90¢ | $12 | 0x1173eb… |
| 07-30 10:01:18 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x1173eb… |
| 07-30 10:00:38 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | BUY | 22 | 89¢ | $19 | 0x72feba… |
| 07-30 10:00:38 | Celebrated-Midnight 0x785f…5c30 | No | SELL | 22 | 89¢ | $19 | 0x72feba… |
| 07-30 09:56:18 | Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | No | BUY | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xc53075… |
| 07-30 09:56:18 | Neglected-Ethics 0xa163…de8d | No | SELL | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xc53075… |
| 07-30 09:55:56 | Young-Killing 0x1c67…c964 | No | SELL | 12 | 89¢ | $11 | 0x323808… |
| 07-30 09:55:56 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | BUY | 12 | 89¢ | $11 | 0x323808… |
| 07-30 05:51:48 | (anonymous) 0x56e6…924a | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xc992e1… |
| 07-30 05:51:48 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xc992e1… |
| 07-29 13:14:08 | Neglected-Ethics 0xa163…de8d | No | SELL | 19 | 90¢ | $17 | 0xbe15af… |
| 07-29 13:14:08 | (anonymous) 0xf8f5…394c | Yes | SELL | 19 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xbe15af… |
| 07-29 10:49:29 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x9b171b… |
| 07-29 10:49:29 | (anonymous) 0xf8f5…394c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x9b171b… |
| 07-29 10:48:47 | Neglected-Ethics 0xa163…de8d | No | SELL | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x4573eb… |
| 07-29 10:48:47 | (anonymous) 0xf8f5…394c | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x4573eb… |
| 07-29 10:29:17 | (anonymous) 0x873e…23a4 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x219a89… |
| 07-29 10:29:17 | Neglected-Ethics 0xa163…de8d | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x219a89… |