China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$63,672
$23 in 24h
Trades
1,288
Unique wallets
568
Liquidity
$10,959
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-10 01:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+92.8¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $23
vs crowd: 7% YES on $32.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $69 | $493 | $424 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $12 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 46 | $90 | $6.0K | $5.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 493 | $2.2K | $22.4K | $20.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $23 | — | +$23 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 17 | $105 | $2.0K | $1.9K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 17 | $78 | $3.4K | $3.4K |
| Median | 70 | $146 | $2.2K | $2.0K |
| Below median | 48 | $116 | $1.8K | $1.7K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $75 | $862 | $788 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $229 | $2.1K | $1.9K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $28 | $18 | +$11 |
| unranked | 396 | $1.5K | $17.8K | $16.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uniform-Pith 0x836d…af5d | Yes | +732 | $68 | $68 | 16 | 06-06 12:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x86e5…c8eb | No | +603 | $560 | $560 | 1 | 06-30 02:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf48…6f40 | No | +575 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-16 11:58 |
| Shadowy-Eve 0xed7b…1ba9 | No | +546 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-01 15:34 |
| Bony-Dependency 0x4cbe…100a | No | +451 | $469 | $2,049 | 17 | 06-16 11:58 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +300 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 07-08 09:03 |
| Rusty-Writing 0xbdd2…0bd8 | No | +300 | $276 | $276 | 1 | 07-08 09:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a08…36db | No | +300 | $249 | $249 | 1 | 06-16 04:25 |
| Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | +216 | $203 | $203 | 2 | 07-05 16:29 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +201 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-16 11:58 |
| Blue-Tab 0xfe2d…a830 | No | +161 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 07-08 14:11 |
| Bossy-Meridian 0xec0e…1e4e | Yes | +161 | $1 | $91 | 16 | 07-08 16:18 |
| Right-Sweatsuit-Jailhouse 0x6f6f…ce33 | No | +112 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-28 03:28 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +76 | $10 | $10 | 5 | 06-21 13:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xd92d…e838 | Yes | +52 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-08 15:15 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +42 | $5 | $11 | 8 | 06-23 17:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | +32 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-05 00:21 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +32 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 07-05 00:21 |
| Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | +31 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 07-08 18:20 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +29 | $3 | $8 | 11 | 06-22 01:27 |
| Sane-Scientist 0x29d1…bc53 | No | +28 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-29 08:39 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +25 | $23 | $46 | 5 | 07-07 20:56 |
| Gullible-Med 0x1a92…48f9 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 07-02 11:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +23 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-21 19:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 06-03 08:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 06-03 09:54 |
| Celebrated-Midnight 0x785f…5c30 | No | +22 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-16 02:55 |
| Submissive-Zipper 0x3395…06a0 | No | +21 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 06-16 02:10 |
| Fat-Admin 0x3a91…a770 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-07 10:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b20…029b | Yes | +20 | $2 | $4 | 3 | 07-08 03:47 |
| Trim-Caution 0x5ddd…0014 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-29 20:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc37…cc37 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 06-16 15:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x56e6…924a | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-30 08:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b70…ff96 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 07-09 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-07 22:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x988b…6a1f | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 08:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xd29e…fade | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-11 05:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a63…b4ef | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 11:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x363e…ba42 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 03:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x9570…961b | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-01 11:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xc001…fb32 | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-01 08:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a8f…35b1 | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 07-06 16:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d4a…5370 | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 22:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb21…a156 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 09:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xc1c5…3af6 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 02:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x314e…7d32 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 14:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a4c…8f55 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 07-07 09:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6e6…3049 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 17:00 |
| Composed-Intervention-Representation 0xee9d…9bcb | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 00:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x0fb5…8726 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 06:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x3e61…775e | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 21:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e28…a65f | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 14:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 01:10:55 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xc44ffd… |
| 07-10 01:10:55 | Timely-Swanling 0x20cf…a918 | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xc44ffd… |
| 07-10 01:10:55 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xc44ffd… |
| 07-10 00:50:43 | Composed-Intervention-Representation 0xee9d…9bcb | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xeb7833… |
| 07-10 00:50:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xeb7833… |
| 07-09 17:56:17 | Glorious-Muffin 0xa184…5740 | No | SELL | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x036230… |
| 07-09 17:56:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x036230… |
| 07-09 00:57:11 | (anonymous) 0xd5ae…61b4 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x6d1fd2… |
| 07-09 00:57:11 | (anonymous) 0x3b70…ff96 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x6d1fd2… |
| 07-08 20:23:58 | (anonymous) 0xf574…a46d | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xf09d8e… |
| 07-08 20:23:58 | (anonymous) 0xd5ae…61b4 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xf09d8e… |
| 07-08 20:16:49 | (anonymous) 0xd0a7…df8b | No | SELL | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x10cbec… |
| 07-08 20:16:49 | (anonymous) 0x2c3c…6977 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x10cbec… |
| 07-08 18:20:52 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xf50ced… |
| 07-08 18:20:52 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xf50ced… |
| 07-08 18:20:52 | Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xf50ced… |
| 07-08 18:20:52 | (anonymous) 0x8785…2d8c | No | SELL | 12 | 91¢ | $11 | 0xf50ced… |
| 07-08 16:18:23 | (anonymous) 0x83d6…8d3e | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x766663… |
| 07-08 16:18:23 | Bossy-Meridian 0xec0e…1e4e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x766663… |
| 07-08 15:52:23 | (anonymous) 0xcf1f…60a4 | No | SELL | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xd68164… |
| 07-08 15:52:23 | (anonymous) 0x4821…6810 | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xd68164… |
| 07-08 15:36:41 | (anonymous) 0xef95…45d0 | No | SELL | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x40246c… |
| 07-08 15:36:41 | (anonymous) 0xdc16…f75e | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x40246c… |
| 07-08 15:15:59 | Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | BUY | 28 | 90¢ | $26 | 0xdcfad6… |
| 07-08 15:15:59 | (anonymous) 0xcf1f…60a4 | No | BUY | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0xdcfad6… |
| 07-08 15:15:59 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xdcfad6… |
| 07-08 15:15:59 | (anonymous) 0xd92d…e838 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xdcfad6… |
| 07-08 15:15:59 | (anonymous) 0xef95…45d0 | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xdcfad6… |
| 07-08 14:11:35 | Bossy-Meridian 0xec0e…1e4e | Yes | BUY | 156 | 7¢ | $11 | 0x3208ac… |
| 07-08 14:11:35 | Blue-Tab 0xfe2d…a830 | No | BUY | 161 | 93¢ | $150 | 0x3208ac… |
| 07-08 14:11:35 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x3208ac… |
| 07-08 13:26:17 | (anonymous) 0x995c…edf0 | No | SELL | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x23779a… |
| 07-08 13:26:17 | (anonymous) 0xddd2…32be | No | BUY | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x23779a… |
| 07-08 11:46:40 | (anonymous) 0x6386…b565 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xcefb82… |
| 07-08 11:46:40 | (anonymous) 0xf574…a46d | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xcefb82… |
| 07-08 11:23:08 | (anonymous) 0x1d6b…a574 | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xab4e3d… |
| 07-08 11:23:08 | (anonymous) 0x08a5…bc55 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xab4e3d… |
| 07-08 09:03:26 | Rusty-Writing 0xbdd2…0bd8 | No | BUY | 300 | 92¢ | $276 | 0xba7774… |
| 07-08 09:03:26 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 8¢ | $24 | 0xba7774… |
| 07-08 03:47:16 | (anonymous) 0x3b20…029b | Yes | SELL | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x2d0a09… |
| 07-08 03:47:16 | (anonymous) 0x363e…ba42 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x2d0a09… |
| 07-08 02:18:11 | (anonymous) 0x6c79…c835 | No | SELL | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x9c755c… |
| 07-08 02:18:11 | Melodic-Cria 0xf971…0a57 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x9c755c… |
| 07-07 22:40:14 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xdbf7ef… |
| 07-07 22:40:14 | Indolent-Dogwood 0x4ab7…5b3e | No | BUY | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0xdbf7ef… |
| 07-07 22:40:14 | Bossy-Meridian 0xec0e…1e4e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xdbf7ef… |
| 07-07 22:14:28 | (anonymous) 0x6c79…c835 | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x137166… |
| 07-07 22:14:28 | (anonymous) 0x7c3c…49e1 | No | SELL | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x137166… |
| 07-07 20:56:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xa76bba… |
| 07-07 20:56:10 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa76bba… |
| 07-07 18:00:10 | (anonymous) 0x2290…7b81 | No | SELL | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0xd820ee… |
| 07-07 18:00:10 | (anonymous) 0x3b70…ff96 | No | BUY | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0xd820ee… |
| 07-07 17:50:29 | Bossy-Meridian 0xec0e…1e4e | Yes | SELL | 60 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x82f243… |
| 07-07 17:50:29 | (anonymous) 0x9987…2561 | No | SELL | 60 | 91¢ | $54 | 0x82f243… |
| 07-07 15:06:32 | Bossy-Meridian 0xec0e…1e4e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xa30a12… |
| 07-07 15:06:32 | Rotating-Collapse 0xe4b3…2ac6 | No | SELL | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0xa30a12… |
| 07-07 14:13:22 | (anonymous) 0x7c67…faea | No | SELL | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0xc88390… |
| 07-07 14:13:22 | Bossy-Meridian 0xec0e…1e4e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xc88390… |
| 07-07 14:06:32 | (anonymous) 0xe280…eab4 | No | SELL | 12 | 92¢ | $11 | 0x228d58… |
| 07-07 14:06:32 | (anonymous) 0xaa4f…ec8d | No | BUY | 12 | 92¢ | $11 | 0x228d58… |
| 07-07 13:31:59 | (anonymous) 0xed9b…e7b0 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xc6075c… |
| 07-07 13:31:59 | (anonymous) 0xd000…5482 | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xc6075c… |
| 07-07 13:23:28 | (anonymous) 0x349c…78fb | No | SELL | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0xd7cdf7… |
| 07-07 13:23:28 | (anonymous) 0xceff…c073 | No | BUY | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0xd7cdf7… |
| 07-07 10:07:28 | Bossy-Meridian 0xec0e…1e4e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x40e6d6… |
| 07-07 10:07:28 | Fat-Admin 0x3a91…a770 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x40e6d6… |
| 07-07 09:01:29 | (anonymous) 0x6239…1738 | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xf31bcb… |
| 07-07 09:01:29 | (anonymous) 0x0a4c…8f55 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xf31bcb… |
| 07-07 07:56:58 | (anonymous) 0x5299…bcae | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xc19064… |
| 07-07 07:56:58 | (anonymous) 0xde82…f7d8 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xc19064… |
| 07-07 04:23:37 | (anonymous) 0xdc55…3e64 | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xe3b8b6… |
| 07-07 04:23:37 | (anonymous) 0x45b4…c978 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xe3b8b6… |
| 07-07 02:02:16 | (anonymous) 0xdc55…3e64 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xe020f8… |
| 07-07 02:02:16 | (anonymous) 0x6fb8…08fa | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xe020f8… |
| 07-06 23:49:56 | (anonymous) 0x6239…1738 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x717d30… |
| 07-06 23:49:56 | (anonymous) 0xdfe8…cde0 | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x717d30… |
| 07-06 19:33:13 | (anonymous) 0x7648…bc5f | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xcb5226… |
| 07-06 19:33:13 | (anonymous) 0xf25e…129c | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xcb5226… |
| 07-06 16:17:10 | (anonymous) 0x4a8f…35b1 | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x681348… |
| 07-06 16:17:10 | (anonymous) 0x19f3…634c | No | SELL | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x681348… |
| 07-06 15:08:35 | (anonymous) 0x64d3…a745 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xcbd893… |
| 07-06 15:08:35 | (anonymous) 0x7648…bc5f | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xcbd893… |
| 07-06 13:06:49 | (anonymous) 0x64d3…a745 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x38616a… |
| 07-06 13:06:49 | (anonymous) 0x995c…edf0 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x38616a… |
| 07-06 13:03:46 | Primary-Extremist 0xf316…c97f | No | SELL | 86 | 91¢ | $78 | 0x6fd594… |
| 07-06 13:03:46 | Bossy-Meridian 0xec0e…1e4e | Yes | SELL | 86 | 9¢ | $8 | 0x6fd594… |
| 07-06 13:02:53 | Safe-Amnesty 0x5c0f…dfa6 | No | SELL | 43 | 91¢ | $39 | 0xf3c6cb… |
| 07-06 13:02:53 | Bossy-Meridian 0xec0e…1e4e | Yes | SELL | 43 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xf3c6cb… |
| 07-06 13:01:38 | Growling-Jade 0x316b…8d96 | No | SELL | 55 | 91¢ | $50 | 0x4081a5… |
| 07-06 13:01:38 | Bossy-Meridian 0xec0e…1e4e | Yes | SELL | 55 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x4081a5… |
| 07-06 12:55:08 | Bossy-Meridian 0xec0e…1e4e | Yes | SELL | 26 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x7c2061… |
| 07-06 12:55:08 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x7c2061… |
| 07-06 12:55:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0x7c2061… |
| 07-06 12:55:08 | Bad-Surface 0x76fd…ab71 | No | SELL | 62 | 92¢ | $57 | 0x7c2061… |
| 07-06 12:54:08 | Able-Culvert 0x5605…5962 | No | SELL | 54 | 91¢ | $50 | 0x467326… |
| 07-06 12:54:08 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x467326… |
| 07-06 12:54:08 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x467326… |
| 07-06 12:54:08 | Bossy-Meridian 0xec0e…1e4e | Yes | SELL | 38 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x467326… |
| 07-06 12:50:47 | Bossy-Meridian 0xec0e…1e4e | Yes | SELL | 42 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x8736f4… |
| 07-06 12:50:47 | Hairy-Clef 0x967d…ddd4 | No | SELL | 66 | 91¢ | $60 | 0x8736f4… |