China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$58,939
$23 in 24h
Trades
869
Unique wallets
414
Liquidity
$10,959
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
89¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-21 12:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+92.6¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $23
vs crowd: 7% YES on $29.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $57 | $143 | $86 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $12 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 26 | $19 | $4.0K | $4.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 365 | $2.1K | $22.3K | $20.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $23 | — | +$23 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 15 | $78 | $1.7K | $1.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 12 | $75 | $3.3K | $3.2K |
| Median | 50 | $98 | $2.0K | $1.9K |
| Below median | 33 | $113 | $1.6K | $1.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $75 | $862 | $788 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $218 | $2.1K | $1.8K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $33 | $5 | +$28 |
| unranked | 287 | $1.5K | $16.1K | $14.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uniform-Pith 0x836d…af5d | Yes | +732 | $68 | $68 | 16 | 06-06 12:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf48…6f40 | No | +575 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-16 11:58 |
| Shadowy-Eve 0xed7b…1ba9 | No | +546 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-01 15:34 |
| Bony-Dependency 0x4cbe…100a | No | +451 | $469 | $2,049 | 17 | 06-16 11:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a08…36db | No | +300 | $249 | $249 | 1 | 06-16 04:25 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +201 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-16 11:58 |
| Right-Sweatsuit-Jailhouse 0x6f6f…ce33 | No | +112 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-28 03:28 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +54 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 06-16 11:58 |
| Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | +47 | $5 | $15 | 11 | 06-04 04:56 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +46 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 06-16 20:56 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +34 | $3 | $7 | 10 | 06-18 04:19 |
| Sane-Scientist 0x29d1…bc53 | No | +28 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-29 08:39 |
| Nonstop-Erosion 0xf1a2…f1b6 | No | +23 | $21 | $163 | 29 | 06-14 09:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xc228…22c0 | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-14 22:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 06-03 08:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 06-03 09:54 |
| Celebrated-Midnight 0x785f…5c30 | No | +22 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-16 02:55 |
| Submissive-Zipper 0x3395…06a0 | No | +21 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 06-16 02:10 |
| Trim-Caution 0x5ddd…0014 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-29 20:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc37…cc37 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 06-16 15:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a66…d982 | Yes | +17 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-16 09:35 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +17 | $2 | $8 | 4 | 06-17 18:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x988b…6a1f | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 08:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xd29e…fade | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-11 05:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a63…b4ef | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 11:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xc001…fb32 | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-01 08:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x9570…961b | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-01 11:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xc5a3…8bce | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 03:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb21…a156 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 09:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d4a…5370 | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 22:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x314e…7d32 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 14:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x2290…7b81 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-20 05:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xec59…c5ff | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-11 06:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x0fb5…8726 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 06:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6e6…3049 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 17:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xce2c…e861 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 07:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x3e61…775e | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 21:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e28…a65f | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 14:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x11a7…4bd8 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 20:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xc001…fb32 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 08:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x7ee2…275d | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 04:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xd528…82a3 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 10:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f87…3b44 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 14:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xa7d2…de96 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 16:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x3991…3d0f | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-18 23:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8da…2773 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 08:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x500e…e6dc | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 20:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 12:50:46 | Poor-Recapitulation 0x0bf1…9eae | Yes | SELL | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xf69183… |
| 06-21 12:50:46 | Speedy-Knifeedge 0x6954…9729 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xf69183… |
| 06-21 12:45:25 | Poor-Recapitulation 0x0bf1…9eae | Yes | BUY | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x08cb11… |
| 06-21 12:45:25 | Speedy-Knifeedge 0x6954…9729 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x08cb11… |
| 06-21 11:45:23 | (anonymous) 0xcd66…2df5 | No | SELL | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0xe10dca… |
| 06-21 11:45:23 | (anonymous) 0x1c7a…08b6 | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0xe10dca… |
| 06-21 11:40:16 | (anonymous) 0x4fa5…2962 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xe0ed01… |
| 06-21 11:40:16 | (anonymous) 0x292a…9398 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xe0ed01… |
| 06-21 10:54:35 | (anonymous) 0xfcb3…93f6 | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x42dedc… |
| 06-21 10:54:35 | (anonymous) 0xf9bb…4e5c | No | SELL | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x42dedc… |
| 06-21 10:10:32 | (anonymous) 0xd528…82a3 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x95f423… |
| 06-21 10:10:32 | (anonymous) 0x6633…4ea5 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x95f423… |
| 06-21 07:40:47 | (anonymous) 0xf9bb…4e5c | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x952ef9… |
| 06-21 07:40:47 | (anonymous) 0x1e38…4d80 | No | SELL | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x952ef9… |
| 06-21 06:35:26 | (anonymous) 0xaa02…9899 | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x85f397… |
| 06-21 06:35:26 | (anonymous) 0xf8cf…e1c1 | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x85f397… |
| 06-21 06:25:38 | (anonymous) 0xc180…fe6e | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x164290… |
| 06-21 06:25:38 | (anonymous) 0x8ffd…6078 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x164290… |
| 06-21 02:26:25 | (anonymous) 0x10bb…be41 | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x84d47f… |
| 06-21 02:26:25 | (anonymous) 0xe085…cce2 | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x84d47f… |
| 06-21 02:21:23 | (anonymous) 0x2e0e…4a73 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x1d6008… |
| 06-21 02:21:23 | (anonymous) 0x0ced…8192 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x1d6008… |
| 06-20 22:21:04 | (anonymous) 0x515b…9ed1 | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x0826a8… |
| 06-20 22:21:04 | (anonymous) 0xa01a…050f | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x0826a8… |
| 06-20 20:45:28 | (anonymous) 0x6971…77e8 | No | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xea9d84… |
| 06-20 20:45:28 | (anonymous) 0x46ba…34e3 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xea9d84… |
| 06-20 18:35:02 | (anonymous) 0x2056…5845 | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x1804f3… |
| 06-20 18:35:02 | (anonymous) 0x4db3…b748 | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x1804f3… |
| 06-20 16:31:20 | (anonymous) 0x7bb8…7460 | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x726c0b… |
| 06-20 16:31:20 | (anonymous) 0x2056…5845 | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x726c0b… |
| 06-20 14:18:59 | (anonymous) 0xbb33…a5f2 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x83c12f… |
| 06-20 14:18:59 | (anonymous) 0x515b…9ed1 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x83c12f… |
| 06-20 09:57:49 | (anonymous) 0xcf77…51b4 | No | SELL | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x1a3e1b… |
| 06-20 09:57:49 | (anonymous) 0x3dee…fa40 | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x1a3e1b… |
| 06-20 05:18:55 | (anonymous) 0x6161…6911 | No | SELL | 13 | 89¢ | $12 | 0xa9189e… |
| 06-20 05:18:55 | (anonymous) 0x2290…7b81 | No | BUY | 13 | 89¢ | $12 | 0xa9189e… |
| 06-20 00:55:55 | (anonymous) 0x892f…7a4b | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xe0ca94… |
| 06-20 00:55:55 | (anonymous) 0x2ca1…9b4d | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xe0ca94… |
| 06-19 20:55:26 | (anonymous) 0x31a0…348c | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xa8a37b… |
| 06-19 20:55:26 | (anonymous) 0x4f3b…9f30 | No | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xa8a37b… |
| 06-19 15:34:10 | (anonymous) 0xc774…dd23 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x01ddd7… |
| 06-19 15:34:10 | (anonymous) 0x4f3b…9f30 | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x01ddd7… |
| 06-19 10:31:49 | (anonymous) 0xcd66…2df5 | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xc85727… |
| 06-19 10:31:49 | (anonymous) 0xecd2…bb24 | No | SELL | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xc85727… |
| 06-19 06:05:56 | (anonymous) 0x9e8a…0e3e | No | SELL | 9 | 87¢ | $8 | 0x0e59e1… |
| 06-19 06:05:56 | (anonymous) 0x1e38…4d80 | No | BUY | 9 | 87¢ | $8 | 0x0e59e1… |
| 06-19 05:54:50 | (anonymous) 0x0d85…bb44 | No | SELL | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0x271c03… |
| 06-19 05:54:50 | (anonymous) 0xf8cf…e1c1 | No | BUY | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0x271c03… |
| 06-19 02:24:28 | (anonymous) 0x54de…4dcd | No | SELL | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x263012… |
| 06-19 02:24:28 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x263012… |
| 06-19 02:20:16 | (anonymous) 0x6497…7e6a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xc08cc1… |
| 06-19 02:20:16 | (anonymous) 0x6185…e9cf | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xc08cc1… |
| 06-19 00:55:10 | (anonymous) 0x8c02…ea73 | No | SELL | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0xd454a7… |
| 06-19 00:55:10 | (anonymous) 0x92f8…d8eb | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0xd454a7… |
| 06-18 23:24:01 | (anonymous) 0x3991…3d0f | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xce7547… |
| 06-18 23:24:01 | (anonymous) 0x2e0e…4a73 | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xce7547… |
| 06-18 21:29:17 | (anonymous) 0xc911…a7ff | No | BUY | 4 | 91¢ | $4 | 0xea0897… |
| 06-18 21:29:17 | (anonymous) 0x2e0e…4a73 | No | SELL | 4 | 91¢ | $4 | 0xea0897… |
| 06-18 20:03:11 | (anonymous) 0x171e…3647 | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xaba585… |
| 06-18 20:03:11 | (anonymous) 0x6971…77e8 | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xaba585… |
| 06-18 19:36:01 | (anonymous) 0xd8c4…15d6 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xa8d171… |
| 06-18 19:36:01 | (anonymous) 0x6c26…4ca3 | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xa8d171… |
| 06-18 15:55:52 | (anonymous) 0xd341…f215 | No | SELL | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0xc37112… |
| 06-18 15:55:52 | (anonymous) 0x7bb8…7460 | No | BUY | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0xc37112… |
| 06-18 13:36:53 | (anonymous) 0x67f9…aa60 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x75deca… |
| 06-18 13:36:53 | (anonymous) 0x2e0e…4a73 | No | SELL | 2 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x75deca… |
| 06-18 11:50:31 | (anonymous) 0xf704…0cba | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x395757… |
| 06-18 11:50:31 | (anonymous) 0xd341…f215 | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x395757… |
| 06-18 10:21:52 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xd13d35… |
| 06-18 10:21:52 | (anonymous) 0x294d…a327 | No | SELL | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xd13d35… |
| 06-18 10:21:34 | (anonymous) 0x2e0e…4a73 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x7d8e37… |
| 06-18 10:21:34 | (anonymous) 0x294d…a327 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x7d8e37… |
| 06-18 08:16:07 | (anonymous) 0xf8cf…e1c1 | No | SELL | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x5c03e7… |
| 06-18 08:16:07 | (anonymous) 0xd341…f215 | No | BUY | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x5c03e7… |
| 06-18 08:03:37 | (anonymous) 0xba6a…2c06 | No | SELL | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xaad6f1… |
| 06-18 08:03:37 | (anonymous) 0x171e…3647 | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xaad6f1… |
| 06-18 04:27:44 | (anonymous) 0xba6a…2c06 | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x05bcf3… |
| 06-18 04:27:44 | (anonymous) 0x3f8a…c541 | No | SELL | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x05bcf3… |
| 06-18 04:19:19 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x6a4480… |
| 06-18 04:19:19 | (anonymous) 0x5a6b…77c9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x6a4480… |
| 06-18 04:17:29 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x7b56a2… |
| 06-18 04:17:29 | (anonymous) 0x5a6b…77c9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x7b56a2… |
| 06-18 01:02:56 | (anonymous) 0x2d36…cfc9 | No | SELL | 2 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x2424c4… |
| 06-18 01:02:56 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x2424c4… |
| 06-18 00:37:08 | (anonymous) 0x69c4…c62d | No | SELL | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x1275fb… |
| 06-18 00:37:08 | (anonymous) 0x3f8a…c541 | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x1275fb… |
| 06-17 20:38:08 | (anonymous) 0x4c3a…51a8 | No | BUY | 8 | 84¢ | $7 | 0x29b757… |
| 06-17 20:38:08 | (anonymous) 0xdac9…5c9e | No | SELL | 8 | 84¢ | $7 | 0x29b757… |
| 06-17 18:15:34 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xf0086e… |
| 06-17 18:15:34 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xf0086e… |
| 06-17 18:15:34 | (anonymous) 0x163d…7c69 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xf0086e… |
| 06-17 17:08:13 | (anonymous) 0x349c…78fb | No | BUY | 8 | 84¢ | $7 | 0xd306df… |
| 06-17 17:08:13 | (anonymous) 0x02e5…7ecd | No | SELL | 8 | 84¢ | $7 | 0xd306df… |
| 06-17 15:56:52 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x5225ee… |
| 06-17 15:56:52 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x5225ee… |
| 06-17 15:56:01 | (anonymous) 0x8b71…917c | No | SELL | 61 | 83¢ | $51 | 0x2a9beb… |
| 06-17 15:56:01 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x2a9beb… |
| 06-17 15:56:01 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 13 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x2a9beb… |
| 06-17 15:56:01 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x2a9beb… |
| 06-17 15:56:01 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x2a9beb… |