Realized P&L
+$46.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$358
Hit rate
72.4%
Resolved
1,302
Trades
26,284
lifetime
Volume
$1.63M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$26.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 19:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 238 days
Categories
Politics
72%
67%
+$42,043
Other
27%
63%
+$4,296
Crypto
1%
44%
-$966
Sports
0%
60%
+$1,127
Pop-Culture
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk
• peak 255 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | 68 | $28.4K | 23,796 | 27,559 | -3,763 | open | — | 10-26 15:12 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | 84 | $27.4K | 17,136 | 18,218 | -1,082 | No | +$34 | 04-26 16:58 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | 298 | $22.9K | 25,899 | 17,522 | +8,376 | Yes | -$3,797 | 05-08 19:27 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 239 | $18.5K | 21,942 | 22,106 | -164 | No | +$515 | 01-31 19:57 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 275 | $16.7K | 8,651 | 8,651 | +0 | open | — | 10-27 20:10 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | 72 | $16.2K | 9,722 | 9,755 | -33 | open | — | 10-22 19:37 |
| israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453 | 215 | $15.0K | 14,193 | 13,347 | +846 | No | +$443 | 02-01 01:42 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 170 | $14.5K | 20,066 | 19,056 | +1,010 | Yes | -$809 | 02-28 07:00 |
| will the iranian regime fall by january 31 | 70 | $14.0K | 8,886 | 8,056 | +830 | No | +$349 | 01-21 09:59 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 88 | $13.9K | 13,879 | 12,387 | +1,492 | No | -$6 | 03-31 22:10 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | 61 | $12.9K | 11,808 | 5,467 | +6,342 | Yes | -$3,646 | 05-08 19:28 |
| will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026 | 76 | $11.4K | 7,796 | 8,096 | -300 | No | +$311 | 01-04 00:21 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 70 | $11.0K | 7,361 | 6,750 | +611 | open | — | 10-24 16:47 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 216 | $10.4K | 30,875 | 32,042 | -1,167 | Yes | -$516 | 02-28 21:39 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 89 | $10.3K | 9,969 | 10,769 | -800 | No | -$86 | 02-01 01:44 |
| will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322 | 75 | $9.9K | 5,807 | 5,375 | +431 | No | +$281 | 01-30 00:37 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 69 | $9.4K | 13,675 | 13,747 | -72 | Yes | +$3,136 | 04-19 16:55 |
| will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365 | 156 | $9.1K | 11,529 | 11,755 | -225 | No | +$2,337 | 04-22 05:06 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | 149 | $9.1K | 27,312 | 24,587 | +2,725 | Yes | +$424 | 03-08 21:22 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 108 | $8.9K | 18,975 | 17,356 | +1,619 | No | +$1,500 | 05-29 15:13 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | 124 | $8.7K | 13,952 | 13,952 | +0 | Yes | +$312 | 05-08 18:19 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026 | 54 | $8.7K | 7,274 | 7,274 | +0 | No | -$17 | 04-15 21:53 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15 | 114 | $8.5K | 38,131 | 34,291 | +3,839 | No | +$185 | 03-10 19:31 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 97 | $8.4K | 20,511 | 21,011 | -500 | Yes | +$1,370 | 04-21 16:50 |
| will trump talk to vladimir putin in january | 162 | $7.9K | 11,402 | 8,605 | +2,796 | No | +$1,425 | 02-03 21:57 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? | 32 | $7.8K | 4,118 | 4,118 | +0 | No | +$103 | 05-27 23:00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 12 | $7.5K | 4,791 | 5,902 | -1,111 | No | +$160 | 06-12 20:17 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | 45 | $7.3K | 3,809 | 5,409 | -1,600 | open | — | 09-23 21:02 |
| us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363 | 122 | $7.2K | 8,782 | 8,283 | +498 | No | +$42 | 03-31 22:13 |
| israel strikes iran by march 31 2026 | 98 | $7.0K | 7,204 | 7,785 | -580 | Yes | -$294 | 02-23 07:42 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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