Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bca9…35d428
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.42K
Unrealized P&L
+$369
Hit rate
37.8%
Resolved
24
Trades
17,035
lifetime
Volume
$1.07M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$63
Open exposure
$15.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 11:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
75% 46% $-7,257
Other
24% 82% +$837
Crypto
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 347 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +2,000 $1,867 95¢ $1.9K +$28 06-17 04:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -1,800 $-1,439 80¢ $-1449 $-10 06-16 10:13
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1,070 $869 90¢ $957 +$88 06-21 13:59
Trump out as President before 2027? No +921 $829 90¢ $834 +$5 06-07 19:50
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +801 $778 100¢ $800 +$21 06-12 19:42
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -652 $-613 100¢ $-651 $-38 06-02 02:25
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -600 $-577 97¢ $-583 $-6 06-11 18:45
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? No +577 $555 100¢ $575 +$19 06-16 07:01
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +552 $532 100¢ $550 +$19 06-10 20:17
Will Trump resign before 2027? No -555 $-541 96¢ $-535 +$6 06-16 19:04
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -565 $-543 93¢ $-526 +$17 06-20 12:12
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? No -502 $-479 95¢ $-478 +$1 06-22 14:07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +400 $335 100¢ $400 +$65 06-02 11:46
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? No +400 $394 100¢ $399 +$5 06-24 15:10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -400 $-356 100¢ $-398 $-42 06-01 09:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -400 $-795 100¢ $-398 +$397 06-17 15:36
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? No -399 $-396 100¢ $-397 $-2 06-13 01:40
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -440 $-392 88¢ $-387 +$4 06-12 21:00
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? No +369 $363 100¢ $369 +$6 06-17 04:58
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +400 $348 86¢ $342 $-6 06-29 12:45
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30? No +300 $288 100¢ $300 +$12 06-02 09:03
Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30? No -300 $-289 99¢ $-298 $-9 06-12 08:51
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +300 $289 99¢ $298 +$8 06-16 08:11
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? No +286 $282 99¢ $284 +$2 06-22 22:43
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +300 $261 92¢ $277 +$16 05-29 10:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,600 $489 16¢ $264 $-225 06-05 16:08
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -309 $-298 86¢ $-264 +$34 06-24 18:53
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -300 $-195 82¢ $-246 $-51 05-31 17:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +400 $216 57¢ $230 +$14 06-20 00:24
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -222 $-214 100¢ $-222 $-8 06-07 19:36