Bitter-Cartoon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$46.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$509

Hit rate

72.5%

Resolved

1,304

Trades

26,490

lifetime

Volume

$1.65M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

$26.6K

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 00:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 239 days

Categories

Politics

72% 67% +$42,043

Other

27% 63% +$4,442

Crypto

1% 44% -$966

Sports

0% 60% +$1,127

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 255 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	-3,763	-$3,737	98¢	$-3693	+$44	10-26 15:12
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	-2,400	-$2,126	96¢	$-2306	-$181	09-28 05:58
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	+2,258	$2,073	94¢	$2.1K	+$60	10-29 06:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-2,050	-$1,409	90¢	$-1855	-$446	08-19 16:03
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	-1,800	-$1,760	94¢	$-1683	+$77	09-07 17:03
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	-1,600	-$1,473	85¢	$-1366	+$107	09-23 21:02
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	-1,387	-$1,356	98¢	$-1363	-$7	05-06 23:16
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	+1,056	$997	94¢	$997	$0	10-12 04:10
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	-1,029	-$950	95¢	$-975	-$25	05-18 13:23
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	-800	-$753	96¢	$-767	-$14	05-29 17:44
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	+750	$698	93¢	$696	-$2	10-29 08:41
Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	+726	$664	90¢	$657	-$7	10-29 22:11
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+700	$644	94¢	$654	+$10	10-27 23:26
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+900	$452	72¢	$644	+$191	10-29 15:23
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	-599	-$536	98¢	$-590	-$54	05-06 01:41
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	-630	-$516	92¢	$-576	-$60	05-03 02:25
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+600	-$256	86¢	$519	+$775	10-28 22:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+611	$534	82¢	$501	-$33	10-24 16:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-500	-$430	96¢	$-481	-$51	05-15 16:06
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?	No	+429	$413	96¢	$409	-$4	10-08 01:34
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	No	+425	$410	96¢	$406	-$4	10-28 04:26
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Yes	+1,339	$466	30¢	$402	-$64	10-21 18:11
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	No	+400	$370	99¢	$396	+$26	10-21 19:36
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	+428	$198	92¢	$391	+$193	10-02 12:35
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	-400	-$352	96¢	$-383	-$31	04-29 06:20
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?	No	+399	$343	94¢	$373	+$30	10-29 17:11
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	+1,400	$387	26¢	$357	-$30	10-27 00:24
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+500	$359	70¢	$347	-$12	10-29 22:14
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+367	$207	92¢	$339	+$133	10-29 08:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+801	$431	40¢	$319	-$112	10-28 21:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	68	$28.4K	23,796	27,559	-3,763	open	—	10-26 15:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	84	$27.4K	17,136	18,218	-1,082	No	+$34	04-26 16:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	298	$22.9K	25,899	17,522	+8,376	Yes	-$3,797	05-08 19:27
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	239	$18.5K	21,942	22,106	-164	No	+$515	01-31 19:57
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	275	$16.7K	8,651	8,651	+0	open	—	10-27 20:10
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	74	$16.6K	10,122	9,755	+367	open	—	10-29 08:35
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	215	$15.0K	14,193	13,347	+846	No	+$443	02-01 01:42
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	170	$14.5K	20,066	19,056	+1,010	Yes	-$809	02-28 07:00
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	70	$14.0K	8,886	8,056	+830	No	+$349	01-21 09:59
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	88	$13.9K	13,879	12,387	+1,492	No	-$6	03-31 22:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	61	$12.9K	11,808	5,467	+6,342	Yes	-$3,646	05-08 19:28
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	76	$11.4K	7,796	8,096	-300	No	+$311	01-04 00:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	70	$11.0K	7,361	6,750	+611	open	—	10-24 16:47
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	216	$10.4K	30,875	32,042	-1,167	Yes	-$516	02-28 21:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	89	$10.3K	9,969	10,769	-800	No	-$86	02-01 01:44
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	75	$9.9K	5,807	5,375	+431	No	+$281	01-30 00:37
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	69	$9.4K	13,675	13,747	-72	Yes	+$3,136	04-19 16:55
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	156	$9.1K	11,529	11,755	-225	No	+$2,337	04-22 05:06
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	149	$9.1K	27,312	24,587	+2,725	Yes	+$424	03-08 21:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	108	$8.9K	18,975	17,356	+1,619	No	+$1,500	05-29 15:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	124	$8.7K	13,952	13,952	+0	Yes	+$312	05-08 18:19
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	54	$8.7K	7,274	7,274	+0	No	-$17	04-15 21:53
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	114	$8.5K	38,131	34,291	+3,839	No	+$185	03-10 19:31
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	97	$8.4K	20,511	21,011	-500	Yes	+$1,370	04-21 16:50
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	162	$7.9K	11,402	8,605	+2,796	No	+$1,425	02-03 21:57
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	32	$7.8K	4,118	4,118	+0	No	+$103	05-27 23:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	12	$7.5K	4,791	5,902	-1,111	No	+$160	06-12 20:17
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	45	$7.3K	3,809	5,409	-1,600	open	—	09-23 21:02
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	122	$7.2K	8,782	8,283	+498	No	+$42	03-31 22:13
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	98	$7.0K	7,204	7,785	-580	Yes	-$294	02-23 07:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 01:51:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x9598b3…
10-30 01:48:55	Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x63fda3…
10-30 01:45:31	Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	Yes	SELL	800	13¢	$104	0x0aab65…
10-30 01:45:16	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	BUY	85	88¢	$75	0x8ad7a6…
10-30 01:45:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	900	6¢	$55	0x545c2b…
10-30 01:36:22	Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x8ab6d2…
10-30 00:47:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	90	27¢	$24	0x8869d4…
10-30 00:47:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	42	27¢	$11	0xa46c58…
10-30 00:41:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	109	26¢	$29	0x761cbb…
10-30 00:38:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	89	26¢	$23	0x178fa3…
10-30 00:38:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	102	26¢	$27	0xf42f81…
10-30 00:36:49	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	171	27¢	$46	0x767d09…
10-30 00:36:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x49f989…
10-30 00:36:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xf083e7…
10-30 00:36:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x24ea2c…
10-30 00:36:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x1d6ec9…
10-30 00:35:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	300	30¢	$92	0x6f50c9…
10-30 00:32:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	300	5¢	$16	0x06e0e3…
10-30 00:29:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	79	22¢	$17	0x574a2f…
10-30 00:28:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0x4368fd…
10-30 00:28:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	251	6¢	$16	0xd3934c…
10-30 00:28:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xfabcf5…
10-30 00:27:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	165	6¢	$10	0x4e8035…
10-30 00:27:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	200	37¢	$73	0x107a51…
10-30 00:21:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	531	56¢	$295	0x0d21d2…
10-30 00:19:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x4a899c…
10-30 00:17:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xc5ac1f…
10-30 00:17:16	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	30	65¢	$20	0x3c58ed…
10-30 00:16:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xb8ac2d…
10-30 00:15:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x103ad7…
10-30 00:15:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0xe4388d…
10-30 00:15:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	163	56¢	$91	0x6a7bf9…
10-30 00:14:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	83	49¢	$41	0x601d0b…
10-29 23:59:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	55	23¢	$13	0xc6d01b…
10-29 23:59:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	145	23¢	$33	0xe4f15a…
10-29 23:50:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	500	7¢	$33	0xf9fd5e…
10-29 23:19:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	115	31¢	$36	0x72e920…
10-29 23:17:49	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0xfc9a32…
10-29 23:17:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0xf0c818…
10-29 23:17:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xc44862…
10-29 23:17:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0xc5a976…
10-29 23:17:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	300	31¢	$93	0x7257c8…
10-29 23:16:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	160	25¢	$40	0x1359e8…
10-29 23:16:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x306599…
10-29 23:16:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x2c6b2b…
10-29 23:16:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x316aed…
10-29 23:14:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	30	35¢	$11	0x6edfe5…
10-29 23:13:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0xfc0e43…
10-29 23:11:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	400	29¢	$115	0x060912…
10-29 23:08:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0x85984c…
10-29 23:08:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	400	47¢	$188	0x5671a1…
10-29 23:07:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	734	10¢	$74	0x63ee17…
10-29 23:07:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	266	10¢	$27	0x03fd8a…
10-29 23:03:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	220	9¢	$20	0x8118d7…
10-29 23:02:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	201	7¢	$14	0x1d9138…
10-29 23:02:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0xbb813b…
10-29 23:00:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	699	15¢	$108	0x0ee9a6…
10-29 22:59:34	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	SELL	64	58¢	$37	0xa14e19…
10-29 22:59:33	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	SELL	171	58¢	$99	0xd04043…
10-29 22:59:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	388	64¢	$248	0x778065…
10-29 22:59:16	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	699	20¢	$138	0x1deb37…
10-29 22:58:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	83	46¢	$38	0xd71c7c…
10-29 22:58:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0xf3e8c3…
10-29 22:58:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	41	25¢	$10	0x7d3a3f…
10-29 22:58:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	88	46¢	$41	0x2f30d1…
10-29 22:57:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	226	25¢	$56	0xd00e3f…
10-29 22:56:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	350	22¢	$77	0x9b2d1a…
10-29 22:56:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	51	22¢	$11	0xf94b7b…
10-29 22:56:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x876410…
10-29 22:56:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	68	22¢	$15	0xcd8f3d…
10-29 22:56:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	36	22¢	$8	0x1d4f20…
10-29 22:54:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	388	56¢	$217	0x088097…
10-29 22:53:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	1,345	11¢	$148	0xd01ba5…
10-29 22:53:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	975	7¢	$68	0x866884…
10-29 22:51:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	BUY	44	32¢	$14	0xd91b3b…
10-29 22:50:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	BUY	26	32¢	$8	0x8fef02…
10-29 22:48:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	BUY	130	32¢	$42	0x4446c5…
10-29 22:48:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe46dd6…
10-29 22:47:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	62	26¢	$16	0xb7fa0a…
10-29 22:47:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x380d08…
10-29 22:47:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	107	26¢	$28	0x885f4d…
10-29 22:47:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x115990…
10-29 22:47:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x9bb56f…
10-29 22:47:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	41	26¢	$11	0x5d5e3f…
10-29 22:47:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	26	26¢	$7	0x3159f7…
10-29 22:47:19	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xc949e7…
10-29 22:47:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	144	81¢	$117	0x75332c…
10-29 22:14:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	48	68¢	$33	0x1ef3a5…
10-29 22:13:55	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	152	68¢	$103	0xc97095…
10-29 22:13:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	200	58¢	$116	0x755653…
10-29 22:12:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	56	81¢	$46	0x76279c…
10-29 22:11:19	Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x7650d2…
10-29 22:11:01	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	SELL	394	65¢	$257	0x50f02c…
10-29 22:09:39	Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xec7970…
10-29 22:09:18	Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	75	64¢	$48	0x0a53a1…
10-29 22:07:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x96004b…
10-29 22:07:09	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0xa1fff5…
10-29 22:06:46	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xafbb01…
10-29 22:06:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	225	41¢	$92	0x6c9f14…
10-29 17:45:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x91fd47…