Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bca9…35d428
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.42K
Unrealized P&L
+$346
Hit rate
37.8%
Resolved
24
Trades
16,264
lifetime
Volume
$1.02M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$63
Open exposure
$10.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 21:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
75% 46% $-7,257
Other
24% 82% +$837
Crypto
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 525 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +3,000 $735 32¢ $975 +$240 06-07 19:56
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1,000 $934 93¢ $928 $-5 06-07 19:47
Trump out as President before 2027? No +921 $829 90¢ $825 $-5 06-07 19:50
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +770 $624 90¢ $689 +$65 05-28 20:25
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -652 $-613 96¢ $-625 $-12 06-02 02:25
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? No +558 $537 99¢ $552 +$15 06-01 13:49
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +546 $529 98¢ $537 +$8 06-07 19:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +491 $481 99¢ $485 +$4 06-09 21:45
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +452 $435 97¢ $437 +$2 06-08 13:58
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +450 $370 91¢ $412 +$42 05-30 19:01
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? No +401 $394 98¢ $395 +$1 06-07 19:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +400 $335 92¢ $368 +$33 06-02 11:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,600 $489 22¢ $360 $-129 06-05 16:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -400 $-356 90¢ $-358 $-2 06-01 09:27
Will Trump resign before 2027? No -372 $-362 96¢ $-358 +$5 06-04 13:49
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30? No +300 $288 99¢ $296 +$8 06-02 09:03
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? No -298 $-283 95¢ $-283 +$0 06-04 03:38
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +300 $261 90¢ $268 +$7 05-29 10:55
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -222 $-214 98¢ $-218 $-5 06-07 19:36
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -300 $-195 71¢ $-213 $-18 05-31 17:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +300 $198 68¢ $206 +$8 06-07 19:35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -300 $-50 62¢ $-184 $-134 05-29 15:32
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -168 $-161 95¢ $-159 +$1 06-02 10:39
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +220 $127 66¢ $146 +$19 05-30 19:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +200 $102 62¢ $125 +$23 05-29 15:02
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? No +125 $115 98¢ $123 +$9 06-03 07:52
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +1,000 $90 12¢ $115 +$25 06-09 01:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +137 $-28 74¢ $102 +$130 06-04 00:54
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -535 $-91 16¢ $-83 +$8 06-03 04:44
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +100 $76 78¢ $78 +$2 05-29 05:56