Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bca9…35d428
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.42K
Unrealized P&L
+$555
Hit rate
37.8%
Resolved
24
Trades
17,882
lifetime
Volume
$1.13M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$63
Open exposure
$12.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
74% 46% $-7,257
Other
25% 82% +$837
Crypto
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -1,800 $-1,439 86¢ $-1557 $-118 06-16 10:13
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -1,466 $-1,339 84¢ $-1239 +$100 07-17 14:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,600 $1,278 72¢ $1.2K $-118 07-17 21:19
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $870 92¢ $915 +$45 07-01 17:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -900 $-807 84¢ $-751 +$56 07-19 09:56
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -600 $-577 98¢ $-590 $-13 06-11 18:45
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,100 $566 52¢ $572 +$6 07-13 05:20
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -565 $-543 94¢ $-534 +$9 06-20 12:12
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +600 $492 88¢ $531 +$39 07-05 13:32
Will Trump resign before 2027? No -555 $-541 96¢ $-531 +$10 06-16 19:04
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -541 $-504 92¢ $-495 +$9 07-04 14:21
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? No -502 $-479 98¢ $-494 $-16 06-22 14:07
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -440 $-392 87¢ $-382 +$9 06-12 21:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +700 $115 55¢ $382 +$267 07-15 00:05
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +932 $429 40¢ $377 $-51 07-13 21:43
Trump out as President before 2027? No -400 $-400 94¢ $-374 +$26 07-05 13:34
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +320 $200 82¢ $264 +$64 07-07 17:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +400 $216 64¢ $258 +$42 06-20 00:24
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -300 $-195 84¢ $-250 $-55 05-31 17:53
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? No -266 $-234 68¢ $-183 +$52 07-10 00:51
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -200 $-176 88¢ $-176 +$0 06-27 22:35
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +200 $165 85¢ $170 +$5 07-15 02:42
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +200 $136 84¢ $169 +$33 06-24 06:30
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -138 $-129 92¢ $-126 +$3 06-17 20:29
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +100 $64 80¢ $80 +$16 06-16 12:24
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -84 $-185 90¢ $-76 +$110 07-20 15:21
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -535 $-91 14¢ $-72 +$19 06-03 04:44
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +80 $51 68¢ $55 +$4 07-18 18:07
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +31 $26 92¢ $29 +$2 07-07 02:32
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -29 $-20 64¢ $-19 +$2 06-09 00:40