Will Trump resign before 2027?
open
Total volume
$5,417
$5 in 24h
Trades
268
Unique wallets
75
Liquidity
$12,746
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-11 10:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $253
vs crowd: 3% YES on $3.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $5 | $958 | $953 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $10 | $305 | $295 |
| 🐟 Fish | 16 | $16 | $86 | $69 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 40 | $84 | $1.8K | $1.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $253 | $253 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $8 | $128 | $120 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $11 | $72 | $60 |
| Median | 6 | $10 | $38 | $28 |
| Below median | 5 | $1 | $38 | $37 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $22 | $41 | $19 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $4 | $146 | $142 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $5 | $667 | $662 |
| unranked | 39 | $54 | $1.8K | $1.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Considerate-Swivel 0x7a01…624a | No | +1,037 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-04 13:49 |
| jlangan 0x8351…9beb | Yes | +435 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-29 13:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f12…4e57 | Yes | +365 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-18 19:19 |
| Probable-Semicircle 0x2586…c893 | No | +264 | $253 | $253 | 15 | 07-28 18:22 |
| Nice-Text 0x32f0…7f90 | Yes | +189 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-13 20:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf6f…1163 | Yes | +141 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-20 04:37 |
| Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | No | +130 | $123 | $123 | 1 | 07-18 19:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x57a3…6c15 | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 06-29 13:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c96…193d | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 06-29 13:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | +96 | $92 | $92 | 3 | 08-07 21:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x5408…df65 | No | +60 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 06-29 13:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x1aa8…018b | No | +59 | $58 | $58 | 2 | 06-29 13:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xba1b…6e84 | No | +58 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 07-06 22:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x39b0…6c9e | No | +56 | $54 | $54 | 2 | 07-02 23:11 |
| Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | +55 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 08-02 02:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x9dae…0907 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-17 09:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c6b…c3da | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 07-05 10:39 |
| Harmless-Vibraphone 0xb9b3…89fc | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 10:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +46 | $45 | $45 | 10 | 06-25 04:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xcbda…bc5d | No | +45 | $44 | $44 | 2 | 07-05 10:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | +41 | $31 | $421 | 2 | 06-25 01:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xd990…6086 | Yes | +38 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-09 11:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a9d…75ed | No | +37 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 08-11 10:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b3a…da24 | No | +37 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 07-06 22:22 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +32 | $30 | $113 | 6 | 07-13 20:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d3c…630b | Yes | +26 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-23 21:30 |
| Wonderful-Salsa 0x167a…f884 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 02:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c6a…2436 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 07-07 16:25 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-04 13:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd0a…dbf0 | Yes | +1 | $-0 | $3 | 2 | 07-28 13:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 10:15:51 | (anonymous) 0x4a9d…75ed | No | BUY | 37 | 96¢ | $36 | 0xf22133… |
| 08-11 10:15:51 | (anonymous) 0x1f20…db7c | No | SELL | 37 | 96¢ | $36 | 0xf22133… |
| 08-07 21:33:15 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x0a77fe… |
| 08-07 21:33:15 | (anonymous) 0x4de5…4ce1 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x0a77fe… |
| 08-07 15:37:30 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x88aa19… |
| 08-07 15:37:30 | (anonymous) 0x1f20…db7c | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x88aa19… |
| 08-03 23:32:03 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x0549b9… |
| 08-03 23:32:03 | Genuine-Freedom 0x0096…de43 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x0549b9… |
| 08-02 23:59:33 | Genuine-Freedom 0x0096…de43 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x5729cf… |
| 08-02 23:59:33 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x5729cf… |
| 08-02 02:45:17 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 55 | 96¢ | $53 | 0xb35129… |
| 08-02 02:45:17 | (anonymous) 0x542c…89a1 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xb35129… |
| 08-02 02:45:17 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb35129… |
| 07-29 18:51:03 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 87 | 96¢ | $84 | 0xcb1ff1… |
| 07-29 18:51:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 87 | 96¢ | $84 | 0xcb1ff1… |
| 07-28 18:22:58 | (anonymous) 0xdd1d…bbf0 | No | SELL | 204 | 96¢ | $196 | 0xdbaab3… |
| 07-28 18:22:58 | Probable-Semicircle 0x2586…c893 | No | BUY | 204 | 96¢ | $196 | 0xdbaab3… |
| 07-28 13:36:38 | (anonymous) 0xfd0a…dbf0 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4603f9… |
| 07-28 13:36:38 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 39 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x4603f9… |
| 07-24 21:41:39 | (anonymous) 0x1536…cc0e | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd16af2… |
| 07-24 21:41:39 | Probable-Semicircle 0x2586…c893 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd16af2… |
| 07-24 21:28:15 | (anonymous) 0x4b87…9766 | No | SELL | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x25543b… |
| 07-24 21:28:15 | Probable-Semicircle 0x2586…c893 | No | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x25543b… |
| 07-24 21:22:22 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x3fc851… |
| 07-24 21:22:22 | (anonymous) 0x4b87…9766 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x3fc851… |
| 07-24 21:22:18 | Probable-Semicircle 0x2586…c893 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf079f7… |
| 07-24 21:22:18 | Quarterly-Philosopher 0xc620…a4b1 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf079f7… |
| 07-24 21:20:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x4349a6… |
| 07-24 21:20:43 | (anonymous) 0x4b87…9766 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x4349a6… |
| 07-24 21:20:42 | Quarterly-Philosopher 0xc620…a4b1 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x8ed033… |
| 07-24 21:20:42 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x8ed033… |
| 07-24 21:20:39 | Probable-Semicircle 0x2586…c893 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x469bf0… |
| 07-24 21:20:39 | Quarterly-Philosopher 0xc620…a4b1 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x469bf0… |
| 07-24 21:20:21 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xa71fe2… |
| 07-24 21:20:21 | (anonymous) 0x4b87…9766 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xa71fe2… |
| 07-24 21:20:19 | Quarterly-Philosopher 0xc620…a4b1 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x6b2a5c… |
| 07-24 21:20:19 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x6b2a5c… |
| 07-24 21:20:16 | Probable-Semicircle 0x2586…c893 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xee11b3… |
| 07-24 21:20:16 | Quarterly-Philosopher 0xc620…a4b1 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xee11b3… |
| 07-24 21:19:22 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xfe1481… |
| 07-24 21:19:22 | (anonymous) 0x4b87…9766 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xfe1481… |
| 07-24 21:19:21 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc412ff… |
| 07-24 21:19:21 | (anonymous) 0x1536…cc0e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc412ff… |
| 07-24 21:19:19 | Quarterly-Philosopher 0xc620…a4b1 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xbf9cce… |
| 07-24 21:19:19 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xbf9cce… |
| 07-24 21:19:16 | Quarterly-Philosopher 0xc620…a4b1 | No | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x619f0c… |
| 07-24 21:19:16 | Probable-Semicircle 0x2586…c893 | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x619f0c… |
| 07-24 20:52:42 | Quarterly-Philosopher 0xc620…a4b1 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x59fcb9… |
| 07-24 20:52:42 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x59fcb9… |
| 07-24 20:52:42 | (anonymous) 0x4b87…9766 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xcde2fc… |
| 07-24 20:52:42 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xcde2fc… |
| 07-24 20:52:39 | (anonymous) 0x1536…cc0e | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x41ccae… |
| 07-24 20:52:39 | Probable-Semicircle 0x2586…c893 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x41ccae… |
| 07-24 20:52:06 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe5c5f4… |
| 07-24 20:52:06 | (anonymous) 0x4b87…9766 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe5c5f4… |
| 07-24 20:52:04 | Quarterly-Philosopher 0xc620…a4b1 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xbceabf… |
| 07-24 20:52:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xbceabf… |
| 07-24 20:52:04 | (anonymous) 0x1536…cc0e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x43c8bf… |
| 07-24 20:52:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x43c8bf… |
| 07-24 20:52:01 | Probable-Semicircle 0x2586…c893 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc7c918… |
| 07-24 20:52:01 | (anonymous) 0x1536…cc0e | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc7c918… |
| 07-24 20:49:09 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x187961… |
| 07-24 20:49:09 | (anonymous) 0x4b87…9766 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x187961… |
| 07-24 20:49:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd2ab12… |
| 07-24 20:49:07 | (anonymous) 0x1536…cc0e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd2ab12… |
| 07-24 20:49:06 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf5d395… |
| 07-24 20:49:06 | Quarterly-Philosopher 0xc620…a4b1 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf5d395… |
| 07-24 20:49:04 | (anonymous) 0x1536…cc0e | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x600bdc… |
| 07-24 20:49:04 | Probable-Semicircle 0x2586…c893 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x600bdc… |
| 07-24 20:48:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x19d925… |
| 07-24 20:48:45 | (anonymous) 0x1536…cc0e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x19d925… |
| 07-24 20:48:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x12d43a… |
| 07-24 20:48:45 | (anonymous) 0x4b87…9766 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x12d43a… |
| 07-24 20:48:43 | Quarterly-Philosopher 0xc620…a4b1 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf57163… |
| 07-24 20:48:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf57163… |
| 07-24 20:48:40 | Probable-Semicircle 0x2586…c893 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0c353f… |
| 07-24 20:48:40 | (anonymous) 0x1536…cc0e | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0c353f… |
| 07-24 20:47:57 | (anonymous) 0x4b87…9766 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc46a98… |
| 07-24 20:47:57 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc46a98… |
| 07-24 20:47:55 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe8565d… |
| 07-24 20:47:55 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xfb6278… |
| 07-24 20:47:55 | Quarterly-Philosopher 0xc620…a4b1 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xfb6278… |
| 07-24 20:47:55 | (anonymous) 0x1536…cc0e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe8565d… |
| 07-24 20:47:52 | Probable-Semicircle 0x2586…c893 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x835532… |
| 07-24 20:47:52 | (anonymous) 0x1536…cc0e | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x835532… |
| 07-24 20:47:31 | (anonymous) 0x4b87…9766 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xaa2904… |
| 07-24 20:47:31 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xaa2904… |
| 07-24 20:47:30 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x4bc257… |
| 07-24 20:47:30 | (anonymous) 0x1536…cc0e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x4bc257… |
| 07-24 20:47:28 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xba045c… |
| 07-24 20:47:28 | Quarterly-Philosopher 0xc620…a4b1 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xba045c… |
| 07-24 20:47:25 | (anonymous) 0x1536…cc0e | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x76bf53… |
| 07-24 20:47:25 | Probable-Semicircle 0x2586…c893 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x76bf53… |
| 07-24 20:41:40 | (anonymous) 0x4b87…9766 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x2921db… |
| 07-24 20:41:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x2921db… |
| 07-24 20:41:39 | Quarterly-Philosopher 0xc620…a4b1 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xbee69b… |
| 07-24 20:41:39 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xbee69b… |
| 07-24 20:41:39 | (anonymous) 0x1536…cc0e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xba18d3… |
| 07-24 20:41:39 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xba18d3… |
| 07-24 20:41:36 | Probable-Semicircle 0x2586…c893 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x5daaab… |