Realized P&L
-$199
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
43.7%
Resolved
184
Trades
429
lifetime
Volume
$1.06K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$42
20 positions
First seen
2026-07-08
last 09-30 12:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Other
46% 38% -$86
Crypto
41% 19% -$90
Politics
9% 17% -$4
Sports
3% 12% -$20
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? Yes +27 $14 84¢ $22 +$9 09-01 11:24
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +20 $1 34¢ $7 +$6 09-03 16:24
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? Yes +38 $7 7¢ $3 -$4 09-05 09:02
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +26 $1 7¢ $2 +$1 09-03 16:20
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +223 $1 1¢ $2 +$1 09-03 16:20
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? Yes +70 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 07-23 21:35
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +10 $3 6¢ $1 -$2 07-08 17:19
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes +4 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 07-23 21:35
Will Trump resign before 2027? Yes +26 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 07-23 21:30
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +11 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-23 21:35
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +212 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 09-03 16:20
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +167 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 07-20 16:55
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +12 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 07-23 21:29
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes +25 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 07-08 15:06
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +239 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 09-03 16:19
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +30 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 07-08 15:12
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +58 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 07-20 16:55
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +143 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 07-20 16:55
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +91 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 07-20 16:55
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 Yes +10 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 07-08 16:10