Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

58.5%

Resolved

727

Trades

4,048

lifetime

Volume

$1.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-06-12

last 08-07 15:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

55% 26% -$36

Politics

39% 33% -$6

Tech

6% 57% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1261 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?	No	+1	$1	92¢	$1	+$0	08-02 02:35
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	+0	$0	14¢	$0	$0	08-06 19:12
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+0	$0	2¢	$0	+$0	08-07 15:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	11	$21	25	25	+0	No	+$0	08-03 18:09
us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	7	$20	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-03 13:46
will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in august 2026 20260731154202609	6	$19	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-05 02:15
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	3	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	08-02 03:00
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	7	$17	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-02 06:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	6	$16	15	15	+0	open	—	08-02 21:59
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	7	$16	20	10	+10	Yes	+$1	08-02 02:18
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	8	$15	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	08-03 15:39
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	19	$15	80	80	+0	open	—	08-07 04:02
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	36	$15	140	140	+0	open	—	08-07 13:33
us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	10	$15	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 15:58
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.00 on August 31, 2026?	4	$15	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-03 16:36
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	3	$14	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 01:25
will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	21	$14	50	44	+6	No	+$0	08-06 12:36
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	5	$14	15	15	+0	No	+$0	08-02 05:46
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	3	$14	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-02 13:50
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	4	$14	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-02 22:43
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	11	$13	45	45	+0	Yes	+$2	08-06 14:19
total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	8	$12	30	30	+0	No	$0	08-07 15:16
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	8	$12	20	20	+0	open	—	08-03 14:47
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on August 31, 2026?	12	$10	50	50	+0	No	+$1	08-07 03:17
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	25	$10	89	89	+0	Yes	+$0	08-07 15:35
Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	4	$10	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-03 22:06
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-02 12:02
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	4	$10	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-02 21:40
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	4	$10	15	15	+0	open	—	08-07 15:19
Will ByteDance be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	08-02 14:28
Will Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	08-06 23:07
Will Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	$0	08-07 15:37
will trump meet with joseph aoun in august 2026 20260731154202618	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-02 09:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 15:52:54	will russia capture sloviansk by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x5d75db…
08-07 15:52:52	Will Yash Patel win Big Brother season 28?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x24dfec…
08-07 15:52:51	Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x7eb6da…
08-07 15:52:49	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by october 31	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xa901fb…
08-07 15:52:48	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x735bfc…
08-07 15:52:46	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x923500…
08-07 15:52:45	Will Clémentine Autain be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x95eb6b…
08-07 15:52:43	Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x6c51dd…
08-07 15:52:40	Will Joe Kent be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x9e68b9…
08-07 15:52:39	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xf2c705…
08-07 15:52:37	Will JUUL relaunch Mint flavor by 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xb478fa…
08-07 15:52:36	Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x08e49f…
08-07 15:52:33	Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?	No	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xde10a3…
08-07 15:52:31	Will Karolina Wydra – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x74ec9c…
08-07 15:52:30	Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x45aa3c…
08-07 15:52:28	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xdf0a71…
08-07 15:52:28	japan declassifies new ufo files in 2026	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x624da8…
08-07 15:52:25	Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xc663ff…
08-07 15:52:24	Will Discord’s market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x8bbd8f…
08-07 15:52:21	Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xf1f7d5…
08-07 15:52:19	will pakistan join the abraham accords before 2027	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x224c2b…
08-07 15:52:18	Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xcc6203…
08-07 15:52:16	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711 376	No	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x70bbbf…
08-07 15:52:15	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x1858c1…
08-07 15:52:13	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 20 2026 20260722225036944	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xc6e8b3…
08-07 15:52:10	Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xaa4b3c…
08-07 15:52:09	Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x045b45…
08-07 15:52:07	Will Amazon be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xc2b1a8…
08-07 15:52:06	Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0xe1ab5c…
08-07 15:52:03	Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xbfafd3…
08-07 15:52:01	Will Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x537519…
08-07 15:52:00	Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xe0633b…
08-07 15:51:58	will russia capture svitle by august 31 20260805161409630	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x15fc7c…
08-07 15:51:57	Will Exodus win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xb927cc…
08-07 15:51:55	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0x030d7a…
08-07 15:51:54	Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?	No	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x019586…
08-07 15:51:52	will iran target a arab country on august 29 2026 20260801004719146	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x1bafd6…
08-07 15:51:51	will clavicular visit brazil in 2026 20260714153003047	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0xf363ed…
08-07 15:51:49	will russia capture novyi donbas by august 31 20260724163321935	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$1	0x79861f…
08-07 15:51:48	Will Doja Cat be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x4f0022…
08-07 15:51:46	greece x turkey military engagement by december 31	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xc11e48…
08-07 15:51:45	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x30acf3…
08-07 15:51:43	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $600B on August 31?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x6936c4…
08-07 15:51:42	Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x9ca088…
08-07 15:51:40	Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x540b9c…
08-07 15:51:39	Will The Pitt be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x36bb4e…
08-07 15:51:37	Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x5148d7…
08-07 15:51:36	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-06 House seat?	No	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xddd1d2…
08-07 15:51:33	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x1d6971…
08-07 15:51:28	will clavicular visit the united kingdom in 2026 20260714153003049	No	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x3e817c…
08-07 15:51:27	Will ByteDance be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xe941f2…
08-07 15:51:25	Will John E. Sununu be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	No	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x98c7e7…
08-07 15:51:24	Will “The Daily Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xdb3c96…
08-07 15:51:22	ukraine agrees not to join nato by august 31 20260619004335094	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x3d1bb3…
08-07 15:51:21	Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x9f1b95…
08-07 15:51:18	Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xc13b9b…
08-07 15:51:16	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x9edb22…
08-07 15:51:15	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x539084…
08-07 15:51:13	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x5680f2…
08-07 15:51:12	Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xbd1fb2…
08-07 15:51:10	Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x00b870…
08-07 15:51:09	Will Kendrick Lamar be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xb3426d…
08-07 15:51:07	Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x322bb2…
08-07 15:51:06	Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x042294…
08-07 15:51:04	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xcb8086…
08-07 15:51:03	Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xd93eef…
08-07 15:51:01	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xdb4462…
08-07 15:50:58	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260720155944305	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xcbe4eb…
08-07 15:50:58	Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 60k and 70k?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb5adf0…
08-07 15:50:55	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xfc1ce4…
08-07 15:50:19	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xa70ecd…
08-07 15:44:19	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x47a3a8…
08-07 15:44:16	will gas hit 4pt75 high by august 31 20260728213741794	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xcc3030…
08-07 15:44:15	Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xfc430d…
08-07 15:44:13	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xa0d857…
08-07 15:44:12	abu musa island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720011758216	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xf0c45f…
08-07 15:44:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xa0381d…
08-07 15:44:09	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xc068b7…
08-07 15:44:06	Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xef6c96…
08-07 15:44:06	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-05 House seat?	No	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xe4b63c…
08-07 15:44:03	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xb6eb66…
08-07 15:44:01	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0xae8381…
08-07 15:43:54	Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x22190e…
08-07 15:43:52	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xe64338…
08-07 15:43:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x51e820…
08-07 15:43:48	will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 50 or higher 20260723192605546	No	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x2ed2fb…
08-07 15:43:46	Human moon landing in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x5cfbb3…
08-07 15:43:45	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xb9eaf3…
08-07 15:40:54	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xcf6f81…
08-07 15:40:36	Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x29cc49…
08-07 15:39:06	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x0b9ae7…
08-07 15:38:40	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by october 31	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xbae38f…
08-07 15:38:07	Will the Republican Party win the NY-22 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xe9afb2…
08-07 15:38:07	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd64271…
08-07 15:38:06	Will Jason Bateman – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xf213d6…
08-07 15:38:03	Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xa2beef…
08-07 15:38:01	will israel recognize palestine before 2027	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xddd521…
08-07 15:38:00	mohammed ghalibaf out as speaker of iran parliament by september 30 2026 20260710000011404	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x84c36f…
08-07 15:37:58	Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd5198e…
08-07 15:37:58	Will Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x38b839…