US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$884,140
Trades
34,540
Unique wallets
9,188
Liquidity
$13,025
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-25 01:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+49.1¢
(top1%: 56% YES on $1.6K
vs crowd: 7% YES on $448.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 23 | $1.4K | $8.0K | $6.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 20 | $75 | $2.3K | $2.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 428 | $2.9K | $53.4K | $50.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8,717 | $25.4K | $355.5K | $330.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $886 | $704 | +$182 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 25 | $175 | $5.6K | $5.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 39 | $532 | $6.9K | $6.4K |
| Median | 1,412 | $4.5K | $57.2K | $52.8K |
| Below median | 831 | $2.9K | $36.6K | $33.7K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 20 | $236 | $3.0K | $2.8K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 20 | $167 | $2.1K | $1.9K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $370 | $1.2K | $855 |
| unranked | 6,831 | $20.0K | $305.7K | $285.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x5a42…371c | No | +5,000 | $4,670 | $4,670 | 1 | 07-12 16:17 |
| Made-Up-Glutamate 0xd352…4ad6 | Yes | +3,052 | $238 | $479 | 12 | 07-22 11:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xfafd…8233 | Yes | +2,500 | $155 | $155 | 1 | 06-30 09:03 |
| Defiant-Competence-Initiative 0x7bc1…8db4 | Yes | +2,005 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-20 16:18 |
| Glum-Surprise 0xbab2…a1f3 | Yes | +676 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 06-13 13:46 |
| Humiliating-Yacht 0x4a3d…2ce0 | Yes | +581 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-15 17:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x9171…a29c | Yes | +569 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-13 18:05 |
| Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92 | Yes | +508 | $30 | $1,630 | 313 | 06-16 02:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xd286…cd12 | No | +500 | $470 | $470 | 34 | 06-23 12:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xd770…652a | No | +420 | $394 | $394 | 2 | 06-30 09:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xa542…e752 | No | +400 | $375 | $375 | 1 | 06-30 09:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x8875…9620 | Yes | +391 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 07-19 20:52 |
| Worse-Analogue 0x78bc…8fc3 | Yes | +382 | $21 | $22 | 2 | 06-16 15:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d7e…bf2e | No | +380 | $356 | $356 | 1 | 06-30 09:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x7637…88e6 | Yes | +363 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-13 11:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xa032…dfbd | Yes | +363 | $21 | $60 | 8 | 06-13 11:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +350 | $18 | $164 | 312 | 07-23 09:06 |
| Courageous-Pollutant 0x155f…6e6b | No | +350 | $328 | $328 | 1 | 06-30 09:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe1c…8f7d | No | +330 | $310 | $310 | 1 | 06-30 09:03 |
| Rural-Counsellor 0xeaeb…f03e | No | +320 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-30 09:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xafbd…bd99 | Yes | +319 | $19 | $30 | 11 | 06-15 09:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xefa1…ea5d | No | +300 | $281 | $281 | 1 | 06-30 09:03 |
| Subdued-Lane 0x56b1…0e9f | Yes | +289 | $14 | $14 | 8 | 07-19 00:16 |
| Real-Diabetes 0x6de4…7516 | Yes | +286 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-13 16:21 |
| Hard-To-Find-Draft 0xf6bd…d26f | Yes | +266 | $19 | $82 | 4 | 06-13 03:38 |
| Angelic-Position 0x372c…67c6 | No | +265 | $249 | $249 | 2 | 06-15 10:01 |
| Focused-Dome 0xf1a1…281e | Yes | +240 | $15 | $38 | 7 | 06-16 00:48 |
| Unrealistic-Mailing 0x0a3d…3a84 | No | +204 | $192 | $192 | 2 | 06-15 00:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6c3…82af | Yes | +203 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-13 10:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x78f6…fc79 | Yes | +197 | $12 | $12 | 5 | 06-13 05:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x34e6…71cc | No | +196 | $184 | $916 | 8 | 06-17 01:03 |
| Upright-Reprocessing 0x05f1…881c | No | +193 | $181 | $181 | 1 | 06-13 15:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8fa…b0ce | Yes | +192 | $12 | $23 | 5 | 06-13 09:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x4447…560a | Yes | +192 | $11 | $22 | 3 | 06-14 12:36 |
| Deserted-Orchard 0x0ec0…b0d4 | No | +192 | $180 | $180 | 1 | 06-13 15:43 |
| Pitiful-Temple 0xd576…9c7e | No | +191 | $179 | $179 | 2 | 06-13 18:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | +190 | $178 | $197 | 11 | 07-22 13:16 |
| Humiliating-Bead 0xe29b…5175 | No | +189 | $177 | $880 | 6 | 06-14 09:25 |
| Both-Conference 0x23af…194c | Yes | +184 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-14 15:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xf981…e08c | Yes | +184 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-15 02:02 |
| Fearful-Disparity 0xb77f…77de | Yes | +184 | $11 | $23 | 3 | 06-15 19:22 |
| Insistent-Webmail 0x8335…9462 | No | +183 | $172 | $172 | 2 | 06-16 00:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f4a…16dc | Yes | +182 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-14 09:26 |
| Slight-Shoemaker 0xf5e8…e839 | Yes | +182 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-12 23:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xbcc5…83c1 | Yes | +177 | $11 | $21 | 3 | 06-14 05:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xfed7…85d0 | Yes | +176 | $12 | $29 | 4 | 06-14 04:58 |
| Overcooked-Lumber 0x10d1…00e1 | No | +176 | $165 | $165 | 2 | 06-14 04:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xd1b8…b427 | Yes | +175 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-14 17:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x28c2…60ee | Yes | +175 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-14 05:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xb4bd…62c6 | No | +173 | $162 | $162 | 1 | 06-14 20:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 01:54:52 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x295bac… |
| 07-25 01:54:52 | (anonymous) 0x6cc1…6375 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x295bac… |
| 07-25 01:54:40 | (anonymous) 0x91e4…26cc | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x0ec654… |
| 07-25 01:54:40 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x0ec654… |
| 07-25 00:45:34 | (anonymous) 0x6cc1…6375 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x4a1c76… |
| 07-25 00:45:34 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x4a1c76… |
| 07-25 00:45:25 | (anonymous) 0x5796…6255 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x0f0177… |
| 07-25 00:45:25 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x0f0177… |
| 07-25 00:45:25 | (anonymous) 0x91e4…26cc | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x0f0177… |
| 07-24 23:35:48 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x1df831… |
| 07-24 23:35:48 | (anonymous) 0x6cc1…6375 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x1df831… |
| 07-24 23:35:36 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x70a627… |
| 07-24 23:35:36 | (anonymous) 0x5796…6255 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x70a627… |
| 07-23 09:06:00 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1e87a8… |
| 07-23 09:06:00 | (anonymous) 0x0851…e119 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1e87a8… |
| 07-23 01:53:12 | (anonymous) 0x45ce…2bcd | No | SELL | 177 | 97¢ | $171 | 0x5e573f… |
| 07-23 01:53:12 | (anonymous) 0x5796…6255 | No | SELL | 160 | 97¢ | $155 | 0x5e573f… |
| 07-23 01:53:12 | (anonymous) 0xdfca…b655 | Yes | SELL | 489 | 3¢ | $15 | 0x5e573f… |
| 07-23 01:53:12 | (anonymous) 0x868c…f232 | No | SELL | 152 | 97¢ | $147 | 0x5e573f… |
| 07-23 01:52:18 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3bed54… |
| 07-23 01:52:18 | (anonymous) 0xdfca…b655 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3bed54… |
| 07-22 13:16:43 | (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x591b80… |
| 07-22 13:16:43 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x591b80… |
| 07-22 13:16:43 | (anonymous) 0x4a56…8ae8 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x591b80… |
| 07-22 13:12:15 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdbdcc8… |
| 07-22 13:12:15 | Baggy-Magazine 0x4204…d93d | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $9 | 0xdbdcc8… |
| 07-22 12:44:55 | (anonymous) 0xcc4b…570c | No | SELL | 51 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xb0a8d5… |
| 07-22 12:44:55 | (anonymous) 0xbbe3…5b92 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 3¢ | $7 | 0xb0a8d5… |
| 07-22 12:44:55 | (anonymous) 0xbc3e…77b1 | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0xb0a8d5… |
| 07-22 12:44:55 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 69 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xb0a8d5… |
| 07-22 12:44:55 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xb0a8d5… |
| 07-22 12:44:55 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb0a8d5… |
| 07-22 12:44:55 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xb0a8d5… |
| 07-22 12:44:55 | (anonymous) 0xab97…6537 | No | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0xb0a8d5… |
| 07-22 12:11:13 | (anonymous) 0xdc51…3620 | No | SELL | 42 | 95¢ | $40 | 0x81fc53… |
| 07-22 12:11:13 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x81fc53… |
| 07-22 12:11:13 | (anonymous) 0xbc3e…77b1 | No | SELL | 58 | 95¢ | $56 | 0x81fc53… |
| 07-22 11:38:09 | Hurtful-Rumor 0x7858…f587 | Yes | SELL | 2,300 | 5¢ | $113 | 0x7d5299… |
| 07-22 11:38:09 | Colorful-Wetland 0x5b74…fdfd | No | SELL | 350 | 95¢ | $333 | 0x7d5299… |
| 07-22 11:38:09 | (anonymous) 0xcef0…d5b0 | No | SELL | 250 | 95¢ | $238 | 0x7d5299… |
| 07-22 11:38:09 | (anonymous) 0xd8d5…8262 | No | SELL | 300 | 95¢ | $285 | 0x7d5299… |
| 07-22 11:38:09 | (anonymous) 0x2074…3839 | No | SELL | 310 | 95¢ | $295 | 0x7d5299… |
| 07-22 11:38:09 | (anonymous) 0xbed8…3705 | No | SELL | 360 | 95¢ | $342 | 0x7d5299… |
| 07-22 11:38:09 | Mealy-Tub-Visitor 0x4c56…eccd | No | SELL | 330 | 95¢ | $314 | 0x7d5299… |
| 07-22 11:38:09 | (anonymous) 0xf0be…a70a | No | SELL | 400 | 95¢ | $380 | 0x7d5299… |
| 07-22 11:26:34 | Nonstop-Erosion 0xf1a2…f1b6 | No | SELL | 99 | 95¢ | $94 | 0x1bcc07… |
| 07-22 11:26:34 | Made-Up-Glutamate 0xd352…4ad6 | Yes | SELL | 98 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x1bcc07… |
| 07-22 11:26:34 | (anonymous) 0x14fa…1012 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x1bcc07… |
| 07-22 10:38:12 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xbb5db8… |
| 07-22 10:38:12 | (anonymous) 0x14fa…1012 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xbb5db8… |
| 07-22 10:38:00 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x226662… |
| 07-22 10:38:00 | (anonymous) 0xdc51…3620 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x226662… |
| 07-22 08:54:54 | (anonymous) 0x14fa…1012 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x951e02… |
| 07-22 08:54:54 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x951e02… |
| 07-22 08:54:46 | (anonymous) 0xdc51…3620 | No | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xb4355b… |
| 07-22 08:54:46 | (anonymous) 0x0a46…36a0 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xb4355b… |
| 07-22 08:54:46 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xb4355b… |
| 07-22 08:11:49 | (anonymous) 0x14fa…1012 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xb012d4… |
| 07-22 08:11:49 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xb012d4… |
| 07-22 08:11:42 | (anonymous) 0x0a46…36a0 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x0382af… |
| 07-22 08:11:42 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x0382af… |
| 07-22 07:53:51 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x1b2cfb… |
| 07-22 07:53:51 | (anonymous) 0x14fa…1012 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x1b2cfb… |
| 07-22 07:53:43 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xb089b0… |
| 07-22 07:53:43 | (anonymous) 0x0a46…36a0 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xb089b0… |
| 07-22 06:09:45 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x773140… |
| 07-22 06:09:45 | (anonymous) 0x14fa…1012 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x773140… |
| 07-22 06:09:34 | (anonymous) 0x0a46…36a0 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x97d0a7… |
| 07-22 06:09:34 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x97d0a7… |
| 07-22 03:13:13 | (anonymous) 0x14fa…1012 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xc95526… |
| 07-22 03:13:13 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xc95526… |
| 07-22 03:13:04 | (anonymous) 0x0a46…36a0 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x32b71f… |
| 07-22 03:13:04 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x32b71f… |
| 07-22 01:07:12 | (anonymous) 0x14fa…1012 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x001a0a… |
| 07-22 01:07:12 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x001a0a… |
| 07-22 01:07:03 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x282334… |
| 07-22 01:07:03 | (anonymous) 0x0a46…36a0 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x282334… |
| 07-21 23:53:57 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x6690c2… |
| 07-21 23:53:57 | (anonymous) 0x14fa…1012 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x6690c2… |
| 07-21 23:53:51 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5ab9b9… |
| 07-21 23:53:51 | (anonymous) 0x0a46…36a0 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5ab9b9… |
| 07-21 23:20:43 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x6104ac… |
| 07-21 23:20:43 | (anonymous) 0x14fa…1012 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x6104ac… |
| 07-21 23:20:31 | (anonymous) 0x0a46…36a0 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x756944… |
| 07-21 23:20:31 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x756944… |
| 07-21 18:13:24 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x662957… |
| 07-21 18:13:24 | (anonymous) 0x14fa…1012 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x662957… |
| 07-21 18:13:16 | (anonymous) 0x0a46…36a0 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x08018b… |
| 07-21 18:13:16 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x08018b… |
| 07-21 17:04:01 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x144e28… |
| 07-21 17:04:01 | (anonymous) 0x14fa…1012 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x144e28… |
| 07-21 17:03:54 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xd0acba… |
| 07-21 17:03:54 | (anonymous) 0x0a46…36a0 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xd0acba… |
| 07-21 04:50:03 | Made-Up-Glutamate 0xd352…4ad6 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x5c2c3c… |
| 07-21 04:50:03 | (anonymous) 0xbbe3…5b92 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x5c2c3c… |
| 07-20 22:42:27 | (anonymous) 0x0762…8e99 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xffd440… |
| 07-20 22:42:27 | Made-Up-Glutamate 0xd352…4ad6 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2b6789… |
| 07-20 22:42:27 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x2b6789… |
| 07-20 22:42:27 | Made-Up-Glutamate 0xd352…4ad6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xffd440… |
| 07-20 22:42:18 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0xb5a095… |