US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$211,015
Trades
7,988
Unique wallets
3,012
Liquidity
$13,025
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-13 00:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+7.1¢
(top1%: 14% YES on $570
vs crowd: 7% YES on $112.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $89 | $827 | $738 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $18 | $429 | $412 |
| 🐟 Fish | 51 | $363 | $3.5K | $3.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2,945 | $6.9K | $99.9K | $93.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $78 | $492 | $414 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $0 | $553 | $553 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $2 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| Median | 426 | $926 | $12.5K | $11.6K |
| Below median | 307 | $832 | $9.2K | $8.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 2,260 | $5.5K | $80.3K | $74.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat-History 0x990b…0f0c | Yes | +365 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 06-12 23:42 |
| Immediate-Mankind 0x07bf…fb79 | Yes | +302 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-12 23:06 |
| Unwitting-Bandana 0xc478…d38c | Yes | +276 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-12 23:11 |
| Trivial-Newsstand 0x85d5…bbf0 | Yes | +262 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-10 11:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xdfca…b655 | Yes | +233 | $13 | $13 | 4 | 06-12 15:03 |
| Numb-Creek 0x148b…a771 | Yes | +219 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-12 21:36 |
| Slight-Shoemaker 0xf5e8…e839 | Yes | +182 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-12 23:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x45ce…2bcd | No | +177 | $166 | $166 | 1 | 06-12 12:47 |
| Pushy-Health 0xacbb…5514 | Yes | +175 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-12 22:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ffa…6d44 | Yes | +174 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-12 22:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a23…5315 | No | +171 | $160 | $160 | 1 | 06-12 23:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x63c4…0e36 | Yes | +169 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-12 18:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x5796…6255 | No | +168 | $159 | $159 | 1 | 06-12 12:49 |
| Villainous-Willingness 0x0d5a…bba2 | Yes | +166 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 23:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b9e…ba7d | Yes | +162 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 23:26 |
| Cultivated-Salesman 0x9675…03d8 | Yes | +161 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-12 18:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ece…dd5d | Yes | +161 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 18:54 |
| Friendly-Bribery 0xe949…c1b1 | Yes | +159 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 22:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xafbd…bd99 | Yes | +159 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 23:42 |
| Faint-Government 0xc255…5834 | Yes | +159 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 23:30 |
| Sophisticated-Note 0x4578…3d80 | Yes | +158 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 21:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x317c…c040 | Yes | +158 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 17:24 |
| Dazzling-Light 0xdf58…d02d | Yes | +158 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 23:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xef7b…01f7 | Yes | +158 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-13 00:01 |
| Past-Omega 0xe2f2…fa46 | Yes | +158 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 21:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x25cb…1c1c | Yes | +157 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 23:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe20…fac3 | No | +157 | $147 | $147 | 2 | 06-12 16:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xe281…c805 | Yes | +155 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-12 23:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x00b5…6f57 | Yes | +154 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 18:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d33…42bf | Yes | +154 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-13 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d07…3057 | Yes | +154 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 23:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x868c…f232 | No | +152 | $144 | $144 | 1 | 06-12 12:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xdbed…1ec9 | Yes | +152 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-12 15:49 |
| Ancient-Assistant 0x4d75…f814 | Yes | +150 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 21:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xe14f…7e01 | Yes | +150 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-12 23:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x163c…db82 | No | +123 | $115 | $115 | 3 | 06-12 16:48 |
| Huge-Netsuke 0x47bd…81dd | No | +116 | $108 | $108 | 2 | 06-12 21:51 |
| Playful-Front 0x13d4…788c | No | +114 | $107 | $107 | 1 | 06-12 21:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x8621…bbf7 | No | +110 | $103 | $103 | 2 | 06-12 16:35 |
| Yellow-Reference 0x8e48…6651 | No | +107 | $100 | $328 | 3 | 06-12 21:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf28…3883 | No | +107 | $100 | $100 | 3 | 06-12 23:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b47…2ef5 | No | +106 | $97 | $310 | 3 | 06-12 21:51 |
| Magnificent-Goodness 0x589d…1bd1 | No | +104 | $97 | $97 | 2 | 06-12 21:51 |
| Violet-Website 0x6549…ee5a | No | +101 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 06-12 21:51 |
| Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | No | +100 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 06-07 12:43 |
| Nonstop-Erosion 0xf1a2…f1b6 | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 2 | 06-12 23:42 |
| Whispered-Inflammation 0x4514…b502 | No | +100 | $93 | $93 | 3 | 06-12 12:25 |
| Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | +97 | $91 | $298 | 5 | 06-13 00:02 |
| Mediocre-Sting 0x321f…91b3 | No | +97 | $91 | $91 | 2 | 06-12 16:30 |
| Rewarding-Subset 0x7399…46d6 | No | +96 | $90 | $549 | 14 | 06-13 00:02 |
| Simple-County 0x0840…40fe | No | +94 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 06-12 21:54 |
| Probable-Unblinking 0xbe01…233e | No | +93 | $87 | $87 | 2 | 06-12 21:54 |
| Shimmering-Mansard 0x18ad…72fd | No | +92 | $86 | $335 | 7 | 06-12 23:24 |
| Which-Gauntlet 0xc4ed…bbd0 | No | +91 | $85 | $257 | 4 | 06-12 21:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xf125…6a14 | No | +90 | $84 | $84 | 2 | 06-12 22:13 |
| Ready-Turnip 0x1361…9727 | No | +89 | $83 | $83 | 1 | 06-12 21:54 |
| Experienced-Seaweed 0xd149…4156 | No | +88 | $82 | $82 | 1 | 06-12 21:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 00:02:22 | (anonymous) 0x6611…82d7 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xb42b76… |
| 06-13 00:02:22 | (anonymous) 0x9ab2…52b7 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x684fdc… |
| 06-13 00:02:22 | (anonymous) 0xdb0d…ed36 | No | BUY | 31 | 94¢ | $29 | 0x684fdc… |
| 06-13 00:02:22 | (anonymous) 0xf68e…a2a3 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x1ebfb6… |
| 06-13 00:02:22 | (anonymous) 0xf68e…a2a3 | No | BUY | 42 | 94¢ | $39 | 0xb42b76… |
| 06-13 00:02:22 | (anonymous) 0x2886…df4f | No | BUY | 40 | 94¢ | $38 | 0x684fdc… |
| 06-13 00:02:22 | (anonymous) 0x6611…82d7 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xb92cc0… |
| 06-13 00:02:22 | (anonymous) 0x00b7…c8af | No | BUY | 26 | 94¢ | $24 | 0x1ebfb6… |
| 06-13 00:02:22 | (anonymous) 0x00b7…c8af | No | BUY | 13 | 94¢ | $12 | 0x684fdc… |
| 06-13 00:02:22 | (anonymous) 0x7a01…dd54 | No | BUY | 42 | 94¢ | $39 | 0xb92cc0… |
| 06-13 00:02:22 | (anonymous) 0x36e8…c7b1 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x1ebfb6… |
| 06-13 00:02:21 | (anonymous) 0x1144…b1c0 | No | BUY | 13 | 94¢ | $12 | 0xe37f32… |
| 06-13 00:02:21 | (anonymous) 0x61f3…df08 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xe37f32… |
| 06-13 00:02:21 | (anonymous) 0x5d9b…7b6d | Yes | BUY | 37 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x2a5219… |
| 06-13 00:02:21 | (anonymous) 0x1144…b1c0 | No | BUY | 37 | 94¢ | $35 | 0x2a5219… |
| 06-13 00:02:21 | (anonymous) 0xccef…4f59 | No | BUY | 18 | 94¢ | $17 | 0xe37f32… |
| 06-13 00:02:01 | Rewarding-Subset 0x7399…46d6 | No | BUY | 31 | 94¢ | $29 | 0x96c379… |
| 06-13 00:02:01 | (anonymous) 0x3e36…2632 | No | SELL | 39 | 94¢ | $37 | 0x96c379… |
| 06-13 00:02:01 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x96c379… |
| 06-13 00:02:00 | (anonymous) 0xd61a…c7f1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xe6197f… |
| 06-13 00:02:00 | (anonymous) 0xe047…9129 | No | SELL | 26 | 94¢ | $24 | 0x4625ff… |
| 06-13 00:02:00 | (anonymous) 0x9e29…a4a0 | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x4625ff… |
| 06-13 00:02:00 | (anonymous) 0xd61a…c7f1 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x4625ff… |
| 06-13 00:02:00 | (anonymous) 0x2c63…bb21 | No | SELL | 26 | 94¢ | $24 | 0xe6197f… |
| 06-13 00:02:00 | Rewarding-Subset 0x7399…46d6 | No | BUY | 21 | 94¢ | $20 | 0xe6197f… |
| 06-13 00:01:12 | (anonymous) 0xabde…3be4 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x1fc7e1… |
| 06-13 00:01:12 | (anonymous) 0xa130…32fc | Yes | SELL | 67 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x1fc7e1… |
| 06-13 00:01:12 | (anonymous) 0xb4a8…e02b | Yes | SELL | 56 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x1fc7e1… |
| 06-13 00:01:12 | (anonymous) 0xef7b…01f7 | Yes | BUY | 158 | 6¢ | $10 | 0x1fc7e1… |
| 06-13 00:00:28 | (anonymous) 0x4d33…42bf | Yes | BUY | 154 | 6¢ | $9 | 0x48c214… |
| 06-13 00:00:28 | (anonymous) 0x5721…744e | Yes | SELL | 77 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x48c214… |
| 06-13 00:00:28 | (anonymous) 0xe15d…24b7 | Yes | SELL | 77 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x48c214… |
| 06-12 23:55:37 | (anonymous) 0xdf9f…38f3 | Yes | SELL | 61 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x0fd2e5… |
| 06-12 23:55:37 | Cooked-Shin 0x0451…1159 | Yes | SELL | 94 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x0fd2e5… |
| 06-12 23:55:37 | (anonymous) 0xe281…c805 | Yes | BUY | 155 | 6¢ | $9 | 0x0fd2e5… |
| 06-12 23:55:36 | (anonymous) 0x6ebd…9f2f | Yes | BUY | 33 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x8f0a86… |
| 06-12 23:55:36 | (anonymous) 0xdf9f…38f3 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x8f0a86… |
| 06-12 23:53:58 | Every-Provision 0x9959…503c | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x51515b… |
| 06-12 23:53:58 | Zigzag-Ban 0x3d03…c0fe | No | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x4ec605… |
| 06-12 23:53:58 | Fancy-Barracks 0xda27…261b | No | SELL | 28 | 94¢ | $26 | 0x4ec605… |
| 06-12 23:53:58 | Nonstop-Flower 0x8a12…4687 | No | BUY | 37 | 94¢ | $35 | 0x4ec605… |
| 06-12 23:53:58 | Vacant-Tailspin 0x80f5…3809 | No | BUY | 38 | 94¢ | $36 | 0x51515b… |
| 06-12 23:53:58 | Zigzag-Ban 0x3d03…c0fe | No | SELL | 31 | 94¢ | $29 | 0x51515b… |
| 06-12 23:53:49 | (anonymous) 0x22d0…1369 | No | SELL | 49 | 94¢ | $46 | 0x5218c1… |
| 06-12 23:53:49 | (anonymous) 0xb7c2…df29 | Yes | SELL | 121 | 6¢ | $7 | 0x114a29… |
| 06-12 23:53:49 | (anonymous) 0x71c5…405d | No | SELL | 53 | 94¢ | $50 | 0x114a29… |
| 06-12 23:53:49 | (anonymous) 0x386f…ae06 | No | SELL | 53 | 94¢ | $50 | 0x114a29… |
| 06-12 23:53:49 | (anonymous) 0xb7c2…df29 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x5218c1… |
| 06-12 23:53:49 | (anonymous) 0x1b2a…6021 | No | SELL | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0x114a29… |
| 06-12 23:53:45 | (anonymous) 0xa772…29ed | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xbe25f5… |
| 06-12 23:53:45 | (anonymous) 0x22f6…830d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xbe25f5… |
| 06-12 23:53:43 | (anonymous) 0x22f6…830d | Yes | BUY | 43 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x0e763f… |
| 06-12 23:53:43 | (anonymous) 0x49a0…bd53 | No | BUY | 28 | 94¢ | $26 | 0x583d66… |
| 06-12 23:53:43 | (anonymous) 0x9734…d731 | No | BUY | 43 | 94¢ | $40 | 0x0e763f… |
| 06-12 23:53:43 | (anonymous) 0xb871…42da | Yes | BUY | 45 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x583d66… |
| 06-12 23:53:43 | (anonymous) 0xa772…29ed | No | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x583d66… |
| 06-12 23:51:10 | (anonymous) 0x0aa1…6c2d | Yes | SELL | 46 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x5e5b72… |
| 06-12 23:51:10 | (anonymous) 0xc799…fcce | Yes | BUY | 46 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x1b9961… |
| 06-12 23:51:10 | (anonymous) 0xc799…fcce | Yes | BUY | 46 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x5e5b72… |
| 06-12 23:51:10 | (anonymous) 0x73f0…24bb | Yes | SELL | 46 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x1b9961… |
| 06-12 23:51:09 | (anonymous) 0x8c67…d96b | No | BUY | 46 | 94¢ | $43 | 0xaec1b4… |
| 06-12 23:51:09 | (anonymous) 0x41e1…c3cb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xaec1b4… |
| 06-12 23:51:09 | (anonymous) 0xc757…65f7 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xaec1b4… |
| 06-12 23:51:07 | (anonymous) 0xa8ba…7c9e | No | BUY | 31 | 94¢ | $29 | 0xc15b77… |
| 06-12 23:51:07 | (anonymous) 0x41e1…c3cb | Yes | BUY | 31 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xc15b77… |
| 06-12 23:50:52 | Shy-Vice 0x5dd1…e50b | No | BUY | 38 | 94¢ | $36 | 0xe82543… |
| 06-12 23:50:52 | Coarse-Origin 0x6194…0c48 | No | SELL | 38 | 94¢ | $36 | 0xe82543… |
| 06-12 23:50:52 | Coarse-Origin 0x6194…0c48 | No | SELL | 36 | 94¢ | $34 | 0x08c023… |
| 06-12 23:50:52 | Sweaty-Sensor 0x7061…2309 | No | BUY | 36 | 94¢ | $34 | 0x08c023… |
| 06-12 23:50:28 | (anonymous) 0xd35c…2c1f | No | BUY | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0xef228c… |
| 06-12 23:50:28 | Rewarding-Subset 0x7399…46d6 | No | SELL | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0xef228c… |
| 06-12 23:50:28 | (anonymous) 0x76d6…eaf6 | No | BUY | 38 | 94¢ | $36 | 0x8c2f74… |
| 06-12 23:50:28 | Rewarding-Subset 0x7399…46d6 | No | SELL | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x8c2f74… |
| 06-12 23:49:49 | (anonymous) 0xd35c…2c1f | No | BUY | 31 | 94¢ | $29 | 0x3d2ea0… |
| 06-12 23:49:49 | (anonymous) 0x19c3…a5b3 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x3d2ea0… |
| 06-12 23:49:49 | (anonymous) 0x5336…aba1 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x3d2ea0… |
| 06-12 23:49:49 | (anonymous) 0xc2fc…328a | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x8aa243… |
| 06-12 23:49:49 | (anonymous) 0x19c3…a5b3 | No | BUY | 38 | 94¢ | $36 | 0x4e5284… |
| 06-12 23:49:49 | (anonymous) 0x846a…9604 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x4e5284… |
| 06-12 23:49:49 | Beautiful-Licence 0x0834…485c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x62acee… |
| 06-12 23:49:49 | (anonymous) 0x31ac…30e0 | Yes | BUY | 81 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x62acee… |
| 06-12 23:49:49 | (anonymous) 0xc2fc…328a | No | BUY | 35 | 94¢ | $33 | 0x62acee… |
| 06-12 23:49:49 | Automatic-Dresser 0x6b6c…caa5 | No | BUY | 39 | 94¢ | $37 | 0x8aa243… |
| 06-12 23:49:49 | (anonymous) 0x1f92…05ec | Yes | BUY | 80 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x8aa243… |
| 06-12 23:49:49 | (anonymous) 0x8832…73db | No | BUY | 32 | 94¢ | $30 | 0x8aa243… |
| 06-12 23:49:49 | (anonymous) 0x6f6c…0c83 | No | BUY | 32 | 94¢ | $30 | 0x62acee… |
| 06-12 23:49:48 | Worse-Cadet 0x515f…912c | No | SELL | 32 | 94¢ | $30 | 0xf1a9ce… |
| 06-12 23:49:48 | Beautiful-Licence 0x0834…485c | Yes | SELL | 13 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x550631… |
| 06-12 23:49:48 | Expensive-Progress 0x577f…f552 | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x031157… |
| 06-12 23:49:48 | Bite-Sized-Calculation 0x1c51…2383 | No | SELL | 33 | 94¢ | $31 | 0xa3946d… |
| 06-12 23:49:48 | Sniveling-Domain 0x29ee…4c29 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xf1a9ce… |
| 06-12 23:49:48 | (anonymous) 0xc79e…877a | Yes | BUY | 38 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xfd376a… |
| 06-12 23:49:48 | Right-Hospital 0x4edd…9a6a | No | SELL | 33 | 94¢ | $31 | 0x550631… |
| 06-12 23:49:48 | Sniveling-Domain 0x29ee…4c29 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xf89327… |
| 06-12 23:49:48 | Cluttered-Fortnight 0x368b…50be | No | SELL | 42 | 94¢ | $39 | 0xf89327… |
| 06-12 23:49:48 | Beautiful-Licence 0x0834…485c | Yes | SELL | 38 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xfd376a… |
| 06-12 23:49:48 | Beautiful-Licence 0x0834…485c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x031157… |
| 06-12 23:49:48 | Sniveling-Domain 0x29ee…4c29 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x550631… |
| 06-12 23:49:48 | Sniveling-Domain 0x29ee…4c29 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xa3946d… |
| 06-12 23:49:01 | Worse-Cadet 0x515f…912c | No | BUY | 32 | 94¢ | $30 | 0xc4c4e4… |