US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$233,548
Trades
9,010
Unique wallets
3,402
Liquidity
$13,025
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-13 02:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.8¢
(top1%: 11% YES on $554
vs crowd: 7% YES on $124.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $90 | $912 | $822 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $18 | $429 | $412 |
| 🐟 Fish | 56 | $413 | $3.9K | $3.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3,330 | $7.6K | $111.0K | $103.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $62 | $492 | $429 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $17 | $553 | $536 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $2 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| Median | 491 | $1.0K | $14.7K | $13.6K |
| Below median | 333 | $896 | $10.1K | $9.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| unranked | 2,559 | $6.1K | $88.8K | $82.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smug-Temporary 0xdff7…9f78 | Yes | +311 | $19 | $19 | 3 | 06-13 01:37 |
| Immediate-Mankind 0x07bf…fb79 | Yes | +302 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-12 23:06 |
| Responsible-Cupcake 0x7d37…c04c | Yes | +282 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-13 00:11 |
| Unwitting-Bandana 0xc478…d38c | Yes | +276 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-12 23:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x232c…41ee | Yes | +263 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 06-13 00:56 |
| Trivial-Newsstand 0x85d5…bbf0 | Yes | +262 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-10 11:23 |
| Golden-Applause 0x14c6…8417 | Yes | +259 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 06-13 01:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xdfca…b655 | Yes | +233 | $13 | $13 | 4 | 06-12 15:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x19f2…686f | Yes | +209 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-13 01:24 |
| Tattered-Pitcher 0xf8f1…12df | No | +208 | $195 | $195 | 1 | 06-13 01:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x34e6…71cc | No | +198 | $186 | $186 | 1 | 06-13 00:31 |
| Attached-Hair 0x7fee…c648 | No | +194 | $182 | $531 | 5 | 06-13 01:37 |
| Slight-Shoemaker 0xf5e8…e839 | Yes | +182 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-12 23:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a10…a7fa | Yes | +179 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-13 02:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x45ce…2bcd | No | +177 | $166 | $166 | 1 | 06-12 12:47 |
| Concerned-Iridescence 0x0085…da9c | Yes | +174 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-13 00:50 |
| Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | +172 | $161 | $399 | 8 | 06-13 01:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b61…a711 | Yes | +169 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-13 02:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x63c4…0e36 | Yes | +169 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-12 18:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x5796…6255 | No | +168 | $159 | $159 | 1 | 06-12 12:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xd267…792d | Yes | +168 | $10 | $19 | 4 | 06-13 01:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f4a…96bd | Yes | +166 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-13 01:57 |
| Villainous-Willingness 0x0d5a…bba2 | Yes | +166 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 23:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xf111…d6c6 | Yes | +162 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-13 02:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b9e…ba7d | Yes | +162 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 23:26 |
| Cultivated-Salesman 0x9675…03d8 | Yes | +161 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-12 18:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x6124…f249 | Yes | +161 | $10 | $21 | 5 | 06-13 01:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ece…dd5d | Yes | +161 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 18:54 |
| Friendly-Bribery 0xe949…c1b1 | Yes | +159 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 22:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xafbd…bd99 | Yes | +159 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 23:42 |
| Faint-Government 0xc255…5834 | Yes | +159 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 23:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xef7b…01f7 | Yes | +158 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-13 00:01 |
| Dazzling-Light 0xdf58…d02d | Yes | +158 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 23:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x317c…c040 | Yes | +158 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 17:24 |
| Past-Omega 0xe2f2…fa46 | Yes | +158 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 21:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x25cb…1c1c | Yes | +157 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 23:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe20…fac3 | No | +157 | $147 | $147 | 2 | 06-12 16:14 |
| Brown-Sunshine 0xd31d…bd0c | No | +153 | $144 | $442 | 3 | 06-13 01:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x868c…f232 | No | +152 | $144 | $144 | 1 | 06-12 12:48 |
| Light-Purpose 0xe051…1581 | No | +134 | $126 | $126 | 1 | 06-13 01:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x163c…db82 | No | +123 | $115 | $115 | 3 | 06-12 16:48 |
| Superior-Half 0x45af…035b | No | +122 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 06-13 01:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x23e9…29ff | No | +111 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 06-13 02:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x8621…bbf7 | No | +110 | $103 | $103 | 2 | 06-12 16:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xe05d…c69d | No | +108 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 06-13 02:39 |
| Miniature-Orchard 0x0650…5327 | No | +107 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-13 02:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf28…3883 | No | +107 | $100 | $100 | 3 | 06-12 23:20 |
| Violet-Crab 0xeac7…f7d8 | No | +104 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-13 00:31 |
| Nonstop-Erosion 0xf1a2…f1b6 | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 2 | 06-12 23:42 |
| Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | No | +100 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 06-07 12:43 |
| Whispered-Inflammation 0x4514…b502 | No | +100 | $93 | $93 | 3 | 06-12 12:25 |
| Mediocre-Sting 0x321f…91b3 | No | +97 | $91 | $91 | 2 | 06-12 16:30 |
| Rewarding-Subset 0x7399…46d6 | No | +96 | $90 | $549 | 14 | 06-13 00:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 02:40:22 | (anonymous) 0xa2f5…eca9 | No | SELL | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x589396… |
| 06-13 02:40:22 | (anonymous) 0xa2f5…eca9 | No | SELL | 27 | 94¢ | $25 | 0x03c68f… |
| 06-13 02:40:22 | (anonymous) 0x3c12…8bd5 | No | BUY | 51 | 94¢ | $48 | 0x589396… |
| 06-13 02:40:22 | (anonymous) 0xb942…44db | No | SELL | 37 | 94¢ | $35 | 0x589396… |
| 06-13 02:40:22 | (anonymous) 0x1a27…54f7 | No | BUY | 27 | 94¢ | $25 | 0x03c68f… |
| 06-13 02:40:18 | (anonymous) 0x17cd…ec8a | No | SELL | 25 | 94¢ | $23 | 0xab4c70… |
| 06-13 02:40:18 | (anonymous) 0xb8f6…08bf | No | BUY | 38 | 94¢ | $36 | 0xab4c70… |
| 06-13 02:40:18 | Squiggly-Mycoplasma 0xa339…1ac5 | No | SELL | 13 | 94¢ | $12 | 0xab4c70… |
| 06-13 02:40:18 | Kosher-Impudence 0x4102…cc4d | No | SELL | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x05f494… |
| 06-13 02:40:18 | (anonymous) 0xacd6…1cf6 | No | BUY | 49 | 94¢ | $46 | 0x05f494… |
| 06-13 02:40:18 | (anonymous) 0xf4e9…570f | No | SELL | 32 | 94¢ | $30 | 0x05f494… |
| 06-13 02:40:16 | Squiggly-Mycoplasma 0xa339…1ac5 | No | SELL | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0xec71ab… |
| 06-13 02:40:16 | (anonymous) 0xa1c4…7ee6 | No | BUY | 41 | 94¢ | $38 | 0xe3ba1c… |
| 06-13 02:40:16 | Squiggly-Mycoplasma 0xa339…1ac5 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xd6dbb1… |
| 06-13 02:40:16 | Flat-History 0x990b…0f0c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd6dbb1… |
| 06-13 02:40:16 | Reflecting-Stitcher 0xccb0…60d8 | No | BUY | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0xec71ab… |
| 06-13 02:40:16 | Kosher-Impudence 0x4102…cc4d | No | SELL | 18 | 94¢ | $17 | 0xe3ba1c… |
| 06-13 02:40:16 | (anonymous) 0x17cd…ec8a | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0xe3ba1c… |
| 06-13 02:40:16 | (anonymous) 0xfc8c…1a5b | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xe3ba1c… |
| 06-13 02:40:06 | Portly-Seabass 0x6ceb…8dd8 | No | SELL | 93 | 94¢ | $87 | 0x5df247… |
| 06-13 02:40:06 | Ideal-Route 0x26b7…198b | No | SELL | 96 | 94¢ | $90 | 0x5a327c… |
| 06-13 02:40:06 | Flat-History 0x990b…0f0c | Yes | SELL | 93 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x5df247… |
| 06-13 02:40:06 | (anonymous) 0x7384…07d4 | No | SELL | 88 | 94¢ | $83 | 0x5a327c… |
| 06-13 02:40:06 | Flat-History 0x990b…0f0c | Yes | SELL | 270 | 6¢ | $17 | 0x5a327c… |
| 06-13 02:40:06 | Muffled-Watch 0x9c79…2acc | Yes | SELL | 26 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xdd6ef6… |
| 06-13 02:40:06 | Slight-Inverse 0xbc8e…4577 | No | SELL | 86 | 94¢ | $81 | 0x5a327c… |
| 06-13 02:40:06 | Slight-Inverse 0xbc8e…4577 | No | SELL | 26 | 94¢ | $24 | 0xdd6ef6… |
| 06-13 02:39:54 | Playful-Front 0x13d4…788c | No | SELL | 80 | 94¢ | $75 | 0x7e0545… |
| 06-13 02:39:54 | Miniature-Orchard 0x0650…5327 | No | BUY | 107 | 94¢ | $100 | 0x7e0545… |
| 06-13 02:39:54 | Simple-County 0x0840…40fe | No | SELL | 67 | 94¢ | $63 | 0x6cba17… |
| 06-13 02:39:54 | (anonymous) 0xb2eb…271d | No | BUY | 67 | 94¢ | $63 | 0x6cba17… |
| 06-13 02:39:54 | Simple-County 0x0840…40fe | No | SELL | 27 | 94¢ | $25 | 0x7e0545… |
| 06-13 02:39:52 | Playful-Front 0x13d4…788c | No | SELL | 34 | 94¢ | $32 | 0x1d4f97… |
| 06-13 02:39:52 | Clear-Project 0xb8a5…948f | No | SELL | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x1d4f97… |
| 06-13 02:39:52 | Personal-Colt 0x5760…629a | No | SELL | 44 | 94¢ | $41 | 0x1d4f97… |
| 06-13 02:39:52 | (anonymous) 0xe05d…c69d | No | BUY | 108 | 94¢ | $101 | 0x1d4f97… |
| 06-13 02:39:48 | (anonymous) 0x6cab…17f0 | No | SELL | 40 | 94¢ | $38 | 0xc697a4… |
| 06-13 02:39:48 | (anonymous) 0x2259…1d38 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x7b6af7… |
| 06-13 02:39:48 | (anonymous) 0x4fc6…8b84 | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x7b6af7… |
| 06-13 02:39:48 | (anonymous) 0x4ffa…6d44 | Yes | SELL | 158 | 6¢ | $10 | 0xc697a4… |
| 06-13 02:39:48 | (anonymous) 0xd435…d61d | No | SELL | 38 | 94¢ | $36 | 0xc697a4… |
| 06-13 02:39:48 | (anonymous) 0x2259…1d38 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x514c1d… |
| 06-13 02:39:48 | (anonymous) 0x4ffa…6d44 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x514c1d… |
| 06-13 02:39:48 | (anonymous) 0x1bd3…4908 | No | SELL | 32 | 94¢ | $30 | 0x514c1d… |
| 06-13 02:39:48 | (anonymous) 0xf3ad…de30 | No | SELL | 45 | 94¢ | $42 | 0xc697a4… |
| 06-13 02:39:48 | (anonymous) 0xe07c…c985 | No | SELL | 35 | 94¢ | $33 | 0xc697a4… |
| 06-13 02:38:49 | (anonymous) 0xd2b2…edad | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x7b9fd7… |
| 06-13 02:38:49 | Defiant-Tandem 0xf51d…bf8b | No | BUY | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0xba2ed5… |
| 06-13 02:38:49 | (anonymous) 0x69e0…b3db | No | BUY | 45 | 94¢ | $42 | 0x55d8b8… |
| 06-13 02:38:49 | (anonymous) 0x7174…86c2 | No | SELL | 29 | 94¢ | $27 | 0x55d8b8… |
| 06-13 02:38:49 | (anonymous) 0x3c44…e246 | No | SELL | 16 | 94¢ | $15 | 0x55d8b8… |
| 06-13 02:38:49 | (anonymous) 0x3c44…e246 | No | SELL | 28 | 94¢ | $26 | 0x7d1688… |
| 06-13 02:38:49 | (anonymous) 0xb133…c6c6 | No | BUY | 47 | 94¢ | $44 | 0x7d1688… |
| 06-13 02:38:49 | (anonymous) 0x74be…27a4 | No | SELL | 47 | 94¢ | $44 | 0x7b9fd7… |
| 06-13 02:38:49 | (anonymous) 0xd2b2…edad | No | SELL | 19 | 94¢ | $18 | 0x7d1688… |
| 06-13 02:38:49 | (anonymous) 0xd2b2…edad | No | SELL | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0xba2ed5… |
| 06-13 02:38:49 | (anonymous) 0x5180…c778 | No | BUY | 49 | 94¢ | $46 | 0x7b9fd7… |
| 06-13 02:37:43 | (anonymous) 0x9ea8…0585 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xa6426b… |
| 06-13 02:37:43 | (anonymous) 0x0524…c608 | No | SELL | 39 | 94¢ | $37 | 0xa6426b… |
| 06-13 02:37:42 | (anonymous) 0x9ea8…0585 | Yes | SELL | 47 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x4bfa58… |
| 06-13 02:37:42 | (anonymous) 0x4b91…bc8c | No | SELL | 47 | 94¢ | $44 | 0x4bfa58… |
| 06-13 02:37:00 | (anonymous) 0x0dd8…9046 | Yes | BUY | 146 | 6¢ | $9 | 0x629b09… |
| 06-13 02:37:00 | (anonymous) 0x9ac7…1c46 | Yes | SELL | 73 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x629b09… |
| 06-13 02:37:00 | (anonymous) 0x5a9c…446d | Yes | SELL | 73 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x629b09… |
| 06-13 02:36:39 | (anonymous) 0x1fdf…4625 | No | SELL | 37 | 94¢ | $35 | 0x958946… |
| 06-13 02:36:39 | (anonymous) 0x5c3b…5a5c | No | BUY | 49 | 94¢ | $46 | 0xd96639… |
| 06-13 02:36:39 | Unlucky-Eel 0x9671…695c | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xc8851d… |
| 06-13 02:36:39 | Unlucky-Eel 0x9671…695c | No | SELL | 28 | 94¢ | $26 | 0x26e969… |
| 06-13 02:36:39 | (anonymous) 0xdeec…05d9 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x958946… |
| 06-13 02:36:39 | (anonymous) 0x5f91…a861 | No | SELL | 45 | 94¢ | $42 | 0xd96639… |
| 06-13 02:36:39 | (anonymous) 0x1fdf…4625 | No | SELL | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0xd96639… |
| 06-13 02:36:39 | (anonymous) 0x8901…60dc | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xc8851d… |
| 06-13 02:36:39 | (anonymous) 0xbda7…067c | No | BUY | 42 | 94¢ | $39 | 0x958946… |
| 06-13 02:36:39 | (anonymous) 0x70b0…1289 | No | BUY | 51 | 94¢ | $48 | 0x26e969… |
| 06-13 02:36:39 | (anonymous) 0xdeec…05d9 | No | SELL | 23 | 94¢ | $22 | 0x26e969… |
| 06-13 02:35:40 | (anonymous) 0xe9e5…ea2b | No | BUY | 49 | 94¢ | $46 | 0x749f8e… |
| 06-13 02:35:40 | (anonymous) 0x5385…bb25 | No | SELL | 34 | 94¢ | $32 | 0x030878… |
| 06-13 02:35:40 | (anonymous) 0xfa11…efb7 | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x030878… |
| 06-13 02:35:40 | (anonymous) 0x54f9…cbcb | No | SELL | 19 | 94¢ | $18 | 0x749f8e… |
| 06-13 02:35:40 | (anonymous) 0x6e2b…5e0e | No | BUY | 37 | 94¢ | $35 | 0x030878… |
| 06-13 02:35:40 | (anonymous) 0xfa11…efb7 | No | SELL | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x749f8e… |
| 06-13 02:34:07 | (anonymous) 0x50ff…c3a8 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x45e7eb… |
| 06-13 02:34:07 | (anonymous) 0x03d6…9cc4 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x45e7eb… |
| 06-13 02:34:07 | (anonymous) 0xbc66…e8d3 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x45e7eb… |
| 06-13 02:34:03 | (anonymous) 0xd61a…c7f1 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x850c65… |
| 06-13 02:34:03 | Fine-Fundraising 0x5a65…624b | Yes | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x850c65… |
| 06-13 02:31:19 | Huge-Netsuke 0x47bd…81dd | No | SELL | 111 | 94¢ | $104 | 0xf1906f… |
| 06-13 02:31:19 | (anonymous) 0x23e9…29ff | No | BUY | 111 | 94¢ | $104 | 0xf1906f… |
| 06-13 02:31:18 | (anonymous) 0x0ac2…9baf | No | BUY | 93 | 94¢ | $87 | 0x60a261… |
| 06-13 02:31:18 | Huge-Netsuke 0x47bd…81dd | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x60a261… |
| 06-13 02:31:18 | Experienced-Seaweed 0xd149…4156 | No | SELL | 88 | 94¢ | $82 | 0x60a261… |
| 06-13 02:31:01 | Lazy-Elver 0xdb73…afc8 | No | SELL | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0x3c4896… |
| 06-13 02:31:01 | Ignorant-Physical 0x1185…fbab | No | SELL | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x3c4896… |
| 06-13 02:31:01 | (anonymous) 0x31e1…76d0 | No | BUY | 40 | 94¢ | $38 | 0x42cd32… |
| 06-13 02:31:01 | Cavernous-Million 0xb9af…9856 | No | BUY | 45 | 94¢ | $42 | 0x3c4896… |
| 06-13 02:31:01 | Physical-Sensor 0xab48…d5ca | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xbcbb18… |
| 06-13 02:31:01 | Lazy-Elver 0xdb73…afc8 | No | SELL | 40 | 94¢ | $38 | 0x42cd32… |
| 06-13 02:31:01 | Shadowy-Pause 0xac11…89ca | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xbcbb18… |
| 06-13 02:30:52 | Shadowy-Pause 0xac11…89ca | No | BUY | 37 | 94¢ | $35 | 0x00d7e9… |
| 06-13 02:30:52 | Queasy-Composer 0x0d86…37c0 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x00d7e9… |