US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$223,726
Trades
8,578
Unique wallets
3,253
Liquidity
$13,025
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-13 01:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+7.4¢
(top1%: 14% YES on $571
vs crowd: 7% YES on $119.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $90 | $912 | $822 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $18 | $429 | $412 |
| 🐟 Fish | 55 | $378 | $3.9K | $3.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3,183 | $7.3K | $106.6K | $99.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $80 | $492 | $412 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $0 | $553 | $553 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $8 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| Median | 488 | $1.0K | $14.5K | $13.4K |
| Below median | 299 | $825 | $9.3K | $8.4K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 2,447 | $5.9K | $85.4K | $79.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat-History 0x990b…0f0c | Yes | +365 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 06-12 23:42 |
| Immediate-Mankind 0x07bf…fb79 | Yes | +302 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-12 23:06 |
| Responsible-Cupcake 0x7d37…c04c | Yes | +282 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-13 00:11 |
| Unwitting-Bandana 0xc478…d38c | Yes | +276 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-12 23:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x232c…41ee | Yes | +263 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 06-13 00:56 |
| Trivial-Newsstand 0x85d5…bbf0 | Yes | +262 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-10 11:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xdfca…b655 | Yes | +233 | $13 | $13 | 4 | 06-12 15:03 |
| Tattered-Bidder 0xfd8e…827b | Yes | +227 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-13 00:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x19f2…686f | Yes | +209 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-13 01:24 |
| Tattered-Pitcher 0xf8f1…12df | No | +208 | $195 | $195 | 1 | 06-13 01:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x34e6…71cc | No | +198 | $186 | $186 | 1 | 06-13 00:31 |
| Slight-Shoemaker 0xf5e8…e839 | Yes | +182 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-12 23:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x45ce…2bcd | No | +177 | $166 | $166 | 1 | 06-12 12:47 |
| Pushy-Health 0xacbb…5514 | Yes | +175 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-12 22:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ffa…6d44 | Yes | +174 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-12 22:16 |
| Concerned-Iridescence 0x0085…da9c | Yes | +174 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-13 00:50 |
| Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | +172 | $161 | $399 | 8 | 06-13 01:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x63c4…0e36 | Yes | +169 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-12 18:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x5796…6255 | No | +168 | $159 | $159 | 1 | 06-12 12:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xd267…792d | Yes | +168 | $10 | $19 | 4 | 06-13 01:23 |
| Villainous-Willingness 0x0d5a…bba2 | Yes | +166 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 23:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b9e…ba7d | Yes | +162 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 23:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ece…dd5d | Yes | +161 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 18:54 |
| Cultivated-Salesman 0x9675…03d8 | Yes | +161 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-12 18:13 |
| Faint-Government 0xc255…5834 | Yes | +159 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 23:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xafbd…bd99 | Yes | +159 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 23:42 |
| Friendly-Bribery 0xe949…c1b1 | Yes | +159 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 22:24 |
| Dazzling-Light 0xdf58…d02d | Yes | +158 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 23:27 |
| Past-Omega 0xe2f2…fa46 | Yes | +158 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 21:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x317c…c040 | Yes | +158 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 17:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xef7b…01f7 | Yes | +158 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-13 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d36…6ebe | Yes | +157 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-13 01:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e67…5993 | Yes | +157 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-13 01:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x25cb…1c1c | Yes | +157 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 23:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe20…fac3 | No | +157 | $147 | $147 | 2 | 06-12 16:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b28…ab7b | Yes | +155 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-13 01:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x868c…f232 | No | +152 | $144 | $144 | 1 | 06-12 12:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x163c…db82 | No | +123 | $115 | $115 | 3 | 06-12 16:48 |
| Bustling-Movie 0xa0ed…8d3c | No | +122 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 06-13 00:21 |
| Superior-Half 0x45af…035b | No | +122 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 06-13 01:03 |
| Huge-Netsuke 0x47bd…81dd | No | +116 | $108 | $108 | 2 | 06-12 21:51 |
| Playful-Front 0x13d4…788c | No | +114 | $107 | $107 | 1 | 06-12 21:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x8621…bbf7 | No | +110 | $103 | $103 | 2 | 06-12 16:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf28…3883 | No | +107 | $100 | $100 | 3 | 06-12 23:20 |
| Violet-Crab 0xeac7…f7d8 | No | +104 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-13 00:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x60e1…9ee2 | No | +104 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-13 00:21 |
| Nonstop-Erosion 0xf1a2…f1b6 | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 2 | 06-12 23:42 |
| Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | No | +100 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 06-07 12:43 |
| Whispered-Inflammation 0x4514…b502 | No | +100 | $93 | $93 | 3 | 06-12 12:25 |
| Mediocre-Sting 0x321f…91b3 | No | +97 | $91 | $91 | 2 | 06-12 16:30 |
| Ideal-Route 0x26b7…198b | No | +96 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 06-13 01:11 |
| Rewarding-Subset 0x7399…46d6 | No | +96 | $90 | $549 | 14 | 06-13 00:02 |
| Simple-County 0x0840…40fe | No | +94 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 06-12 21:54 |
| Portly-Seabass 0x6ceb…8dd8 | No | +93 | $87 | $87 | 1 | 06-13 01:11 |
| Shimmering-Mansard 0x18ad…72fd | No | +92 | $86 | $335 | 7 | 06-12 23:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 01:29:33 | (anonymous) 0x0daf…cbb1 | No | SELL | 48 | 94¢ | $45 | 0x31b5b8… |
| 06-13 01:29:33 | (anonymous) 0x4986…a5d5 | No | SELL | 38 | 94¢ | $36 | 0xaabbd7… |
| 06-13 01:29:33 | (anonymous) 0x89f3…808f | Yes | SELL | 38 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xaabbd7… |
| 06-13 01:29:33 | (anonymous) 0x89f3…808f | Yes | SELL | 48 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x31b5b8… |
| 06-13 01:29:00 | Paltry-Veteran 0x8f20…bdb4 | Yes | BUY | 92 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x33bbdf… |
| 06-13 01:29:00 | Old-Fashioned-Silica 0xdf19…1e5b | Yes | SELL | 46 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x33bbdf… |
| 06-13 01:29:00 | Thick-Offense 0x1d9a…ff87 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x33bbdf… |
| 06-13 01:28:37 | (anonymous) 0xb871…42da | Yes | SELL | 45 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x6095ea… |
| 06-13 01:28:37 | (anonymous) 0x22f6…830d | Yes | SELL | 45 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x6095ea… |
| 06-13 01:28:37 | (anonymous) 0xc334…9022 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x6095ea… |
| 06-13 01:28:21 | (anonymous) 0x6e4d…061b | No | SELL | 48 | 94¢ | $45 | 0x2a2cb5… |
| 06-13 01:28:21 | (anonymous) 0xaa98…abd6 | No | BUY | 22 | 94¢ | $21 | 0xabb00a… |
| 06-13 01:28:21 | (anonymous) 0x0458…7cd1 | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x2a2cb5… |
| 06-13 01:28:21 | (anonymous) 0x0458…7cd1 | No | SELL | 22 | 94¢ | $21 | 0xabb00a… |
| 06-13 01:28:21 | (anonymous) 0xb6b3…879e | No | BUY | 58 | 94¢ | $54 | 0x2a2cb5… |
| 06-13 01:28:04 | (anonymous) 0x6faf…8f89 | Yes | BUY | 92 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x1490ac… |
| 06-13 01:28:04 | (anonymous) 0xc74d…42d6 | Yes | SELL | 47 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x1490ac… |
| 06-13 01:28:04 | (anonymous) 0xc01b…440e | Yes | SELL | 45 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x1490ac… |
| 06-13 01:27:34 | (anonymous) 0xdcfe…cfb9 | Yes | SELL | 63 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x94000d… |
| 06-13 01:27:34 | (anonymous) 0xdcfe…cfb9 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x17c7eb… |
| 06-13 01:27:34 | (anonymous) 0xdcfe…cfb9 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x47ea3e… |
| 06-13 01:27:34 | Gentle-Hypochondria 0x6b71…d5ee | No | SELL | 36 | 94¢ | $34 | 0x94000d… |
| 06-13 01:27:34 | (anonymous) 0xab47…80eb | Yes | SELL | 27 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xb6f667… |
| 06-13 01:27:34 | Rich-Peasant 0x8299…e38b | No | SELL | 27 | 94¢ | $25 | 0xb6f667… |
| 06-13 01:27:34 | Whispered-Figure 0xff18…a762 | No | SELL | 27 | 94¢ | $25 | 0x94000d… |
| 06-13 01:27:34 | (anonymous) 0xab47…80eb | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x47ea3e… |
| 06-13 01:27:34 | Hearty-Latitude 0x8597…8406 | No | SELL | 40 | 94¢ | $38 | 0x47ea3e… |
| 06-13 01:27:34 | Heavenly-Truth 0x0f04…4006 | No | SELL | 36 | 94¢ | $34 | 0x17c7eb… |
| 06-13 01:26:04 | (anonymous) 0x1c07…3125 | No | SELL | 25 | 94¢ | $23 | 0x5447cc… |
| 06-13 01:26:04 | (anonymous) 0xe713…ac52 | No | SELL | 45 | 94¢ | $42 | 0x5447cc… |
| 06-13 01:26:04 | (anonymous) 0xc63c…59bb | Yes | SELL | 70 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x5447cc… |
| 06-13 01:24:57 | (anonymous) 0x8e9f…51a8 | No | BUY | 48 | 94¢ | $45 | 0xdf7910… |
| 06-13 01:24:57 | (anonymous) 0x40d8…7254 | No | SELL | 48 | 94¢ | $45 | 0xdf7910… |
| 06-13 01:24:55 | (anonymous) 0x34e6…0f85 | No | BUY | 55 | 94¢ | $52 | 0x192430… |
| 06-13 01:24:55 | (anonymous) 0x2e59…adaf | No | SELL | 44 | 94¢ | $41 | 0x192430… |
| 06-13 01:24:55 | (anonymous) 0x40d8…7254 | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x192430… |
| 06-13 01:24:49 | (anonymous) 0x7970…f852 | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xccc756… |
| 06-13 01:24:49 | (anonymous) 0xec13…99f0 | No | BUY | 39 | 94¢ | $37 | 0xccc756… |
| 06-13 01:24:49 | (anonymous) 0x87d3…a656 | No | SELL | 31 | 94¢ | $29 | 0xccc756… |
| 06-13 01:24:49 | (anonymous) 0x7dd8…43a9 | No | BUY | 48 | 94¢ | $45 | 0x27b59b… |
| 06-13 01:24:49 | (anonymous) 0x83b9…6430 | No | SELL | 26 | 94¢ | $24 | 0x27b59b… |
| 06-13 01:24:49 | (anonymous) 0x7970…f852 | No | SELL | 22 | 94¢ | $21 | 0x27b59b… |
| 06-13 01:24:48 | (anonymous) 0xcb6f…3e06 | No | BUY | 42 | 94¢ | $39 | 0x65f347… |
| 06-13 01:24:48 | (anonymous) 0x83b9…6430 | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x65f347… |
| 06-13 01:24:48 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xceea79… |
| 06-13 01:24:48 | Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xceea79… |
| 06-13 01:24:48 | Beloved-Conversion 0x4dce…c53e | No | SELL | 18 | 94¢ | $17 | 0x4c6e2d… |
| 06-13 01:24:48 | (anonymous) 0xd405…7542 | No | BUY | 41 | 94¢ | $38 | 0x571f42… |
| 06-13 01:24:48 | Beloved-Conversion 0x4dce…c53e | No | SELL | 27 | 94¢ | $25 | 0x571f42… |
| 06-13 01:24:48 | (anonymous) 0x87d3…a656 | No | SELL | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x571f42… |
| 06-13 01:24:48 | (anonymous) 0x99be…6312 | No | SELL | 36 | 94¢ | $34 | 0x65f347… |
| 06-13 01:24:48 | (anonymous) 0x9e29…a4a0 | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xceea79… |
| 06-13 01:24:48 | (anonymous) 0xe1d2…8b03 | No | BUY | 18 | 94¢ | $17 | 0x4c6e2d… |
| 06-13 01:24:36 | (anonymous) 0xe685…6369 | No | SELL | 33 | 94¢ | $31 | 0x743276… |
| 06-13 01:24:36 | (anonymous) 0x6bcf…3bdf | No | BUY | 43 | 94¢ | $40 | 0x743276… |
| 06-13 01:24:36 | (anonymous) 0x1541…2b9f | No | SELL | 40 | 94¢ | $38 | 0x5720a7… |
| 06-13 01:24:36 | (anonymous) 0x709f…d41c | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x743276… |
| 06-13 01:24:36 | (anonymous) 0x1541…2b9f | No | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x974d53… |
| 06-13 01:24:36 | (anonymous) 0x2cdd…30ed | No | BUY | 43 | 94¢ | $40 | 0x45d987… |
| 06-13 01:24:36 | (anonymous) 0x5a7d…36a1 | No | BUY | 48 | 94¢ | $45 | 0x974d53… |
| 06-13 01:24:36 | (anonymous) 0x2f26…4b3f | No | SELL | 39 | 94¢ | $37 | 0x974d53… |
| 06-13 01:24:36 | (anonymous) 0xe685…6369 | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x8426eb… |
| 06-13 01:24:36 | (anonymous) 0x709f…d41c | No | SELL | 40 | 94¢ | $38 | 0x45d987… |
| 06-13 01:24:36 | (anonymous) 0x2f26…4b3f | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x45d987… |
| 06-13 01:24:36 | (anonymous) 0xbf00…2467 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x8426eb… |
| 06-13 01:24:36 | (anonymous) 0xfba9…25e2 | No | BUY | 40 | 94¢ | $38 | 0x5720a7… |
| 06-13 01:24:25 | (anonymous) 0x6a70…f9ab | No | BUY | 16 | 94¢ | $15 | 0xaece84… |
| 06-13 01:24:25 | (anonymous) 0x0f8e…2be0 | No | SELL | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x16791c… |
| 06-13 01:24:25 | (anonymous) 0x2ec9…823a | No | SELL | 37 | 94¢ | $35 | 0x16791c… |
| 06-13 01:24:25 | (anonymous) 0x5eb4…cf3c | No | BUY | 54 | 94¢ | $51 | 0x16791c… |
| 06-13 01:24:25 | (anonymous) 0x0f8e…2be0 | No | SELL | 16 | 94¢ | $15 | 0xaece84… |
| 06-13 01:24:18 | (anonymous) 0x3fc6…b77e | Yes | SELL | 82 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x0fffd4… |
| 06-13 01:24:18 | (anonymous) 0x19f2…686f | Yes | BUY | 209 | 6¢ | $13 | 0x0fffd4… |
| 06-13 01:24:18 | (anonymous) 0xa4af…67dc | Yes | SELL | 27 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x34d000… |
| 06-13 01:24:18 | (anonymous) 0xa4af…67dc | Yes | SELL | 55 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x0fffd4… |
| 06-13 01:24:18 | Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x34d000… |
| 06-13 01:24:18 | (anonymous) 0x8ad1…bfef | Yes | SELL | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0fffd4… |
| 06-13 01:24:18 | (anonymous) 0xd3d8…eb16 | Yes | SELL | 56 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x0fffd4… |
| 06-13 01:23:58 | (anonymous) 0x8ad1…bfef | Yes | SELL | 74 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x8c569f… |
| 06-13 01:23:58 | (anonymous) 0x4278…0744 | Yes | SELL | 92 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x8c569f… |
| 06-13 01:23:58 | (anonymous) 0xd267…792d | Yes | BUY | 166 | 6¢ | $10 | 0x8c569f… |
| 06-13 01:23:51 | (anonymous) 0x24e5…b8b4 | No | BUY | 44 | 94¢ | $41 | 0xfd51b8… |
| 06-13 01:23:51 | (anonymous) 0x485a…c4ab | No | BUY | 46 | 94¢ | $43 | 0x11ccfe… |
| 06-13 01:23:51 | (anonymous) 0xf5e4…fce7 | No | SELL | 44 | 94¢ | $41 | 0xfd51b8… |
| 06-13 01:23:51 | (anonymous) 0xf5e4…fce7 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x71c2c6… |
| 06-13 01:23:51 | (anonymous) 0xeb28…2b54 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x71c2c6… |
| 06-13 01:23:51 | (anonymous) 0x57b2…29e4 | No | SELL | 39 | 94¢ | $37 | 0x11ccfe… |
| 06-13 01:23:51 | (anonymous) 0xf5e4…fce7 | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x11ccfe… |
| 06-13 01:19:51 | (anonymous) 0x7b25…65e3 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xab9909… |
| 06-13 01:19:51 | (anonymous) 0x333f…1c3e | Yes | SELL | 40 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xab9909… |
| 06-13 01:19:51 | (anonymous) 0x14b3…9d21 | Yes | SELL | 79 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xab9909… |
| 06-13 01:19:51 | (anonymous) 0x4e67…5993 | Yes | BUY | 157 | 6¢ | $10 | 0xab9909… |
| 06-13 01:19:51 | (anonymous) 0x85f1…e7bd | Yes | BUY | 37 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x79269f… |
| 06-13 01:19:51 | (anonymous) 0x7b25…65e3 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x79269f… |
| 06-13 01:16:24 | (anonymous) 0x95d1…ac6b | No | SELL | 28 | 94¢ | $26 | 0xe70bc9… |
| 06-13 01:16:24 | (anonymous) 0x7316…e5e1 | No | BUY | 46 | 94¢ | $43 | 0x4216ab… |
| 06-13 01:16:24 | (anonymous) 0x34d7…909e | No | BUY | 44 | 94¢ | $41 | 0xe70bc9… |
| 06-13 01:16:24 | (anonymous) 0x95d1…ac6b | No | SELL | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0x4216ab… |
| 06-13 01:16:24 | (anonymous) 0x2e28…9ff4 | No | SELL | 34 | 94¢ | $32 | 0x4216ab… |
| 06-13 01:16:24 | (anonymous) 0x692b…033f | No | BUY | 48 | 94¢ | $45 | 0x69ec4c… |