(anonymous) 0x54c672…28e5c2
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
8,757
lifetime
Volume
$8.59K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$78
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-05
last 07-22 06:54
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
66% — —
Politics
21% — —
Sports
10% — —
Tech
3% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 579 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +312 $19 5¢ $15 $-4 07-20 18:30
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -15 $-7 100¢ $-15 $-8 06-19 01:05
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +17 $5 44¢ $8 +$2 07-22 02:55
Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2027? No -25 $-2 30¢ $-7 $-5 06-28 12:03
Will Billie Eilish perform at Coachella 2027? Yes +7 $2 60¢ $4 +$2 06-18 08:01
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $3 20¢ $4 +$1 06-13 15:55
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? Yes +94 $3 3¢ $3 $-0 06-24 18:01
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No +6 $2 48¢ $3 +$1 07-20 19:33
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +3 $2 75¢ $2 +$1 06-22 15:05
Will there be 8+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season? Yes +7 $0 26¢ $2 +$2 07-04 20:02
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes -26 $-4 7¢ $-2 +$2 06-26 07:19
Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +4 $2 36¢ $2 $-0 07-20 09:58
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +17 $1 9¢ $2 +$0 06-11 02:19
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes -16 $-1 9¢ $-1 $-1 07-15 19:04
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +21 $1 6¢ $1 $-0 06-22 22:55
Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 60¢ $1 $-1 07-03 10:21
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass? Yes +4 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 07-16 19:24
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +8 $2 8¢ $1 $-2 06-15 03:02
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +2 $1 39¢ $1 $-0 06-08 20:51
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-28 21:34
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -13 $-2 4¢ $-0 +$1 06-14 09:57
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? Yes +10 $-1 5¢ $0 +$1 07-22 07:28
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +8 $1 5¢ $0 $-1 06-30 13:44
Will Kash Patel be arrested before 2027? Yes +7 $-0 6¢ $0 +$1 07-16 17:43
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $1 3¢ $0 $-0 07-07 20:55
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? Yes -10 $-0 4¢ $-0 +$0 07-01 03:02
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-0 3¢ $-0 +$0 07-05 06:10
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +3 $1 10¢ $0 $-0 06-05 20:29
Will Puffpaw launch a token by March 31, 2027? No -1 $2 53¢ $-0 $-2 07-12 15:08
Will D.K. Metcalf be traded? Yes +40 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-11 22:05