(anonymous) 0x54c672…28e5c2
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
7,944
lifetime
Volume
$7.56K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$120
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-05
last 06-30 06:45
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
64% — —
Politics
23% — —
Sports
9% — —
Tech
4% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 579 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +320 $19 6¢ $20 +$1 06-30 06:58
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -15 $-7 100¢ $-15 $-8 06-19 01:05
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No +11 $4 95¢ $10 +$6 06-07 15:16
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +11 $2 57¢ $6 +$5 06-29 14:00
Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +124 $7 5¢ $6 $-1 06-30 06:32
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? Yes +106 $4 5¢ $5 +$1 06-29 23:46
Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2027? No -25 $-2 20¢ $-5 $-3 06-28 12:03
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? Yes +94 $3 5¢ $5 +$1 06-24 18:01
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No +12 $4 40¢ $5 +$0 06-30 06:45
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +16 $4 26¢ $4 +$0 06-29 18:10
Will Billie Eilish perform at Coachella 2027? Yes +7 $2 56¢ $4 +$2 06-18 08:01
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $3 18¢ $4 +$0 06-13 15:55
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -13 $-2 24¢ $-3 $-1 06-14 09:57
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes -26 $-4 11¢ $-3 +$1 06-26 07:19
Will Daddy Yankee perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +36 $2 7¢ $2 +$0 06-30 03:07
Will Bank of America fail by June 30, 2026? Yes -216 $0 1¢ $-2 $-3 06-25 15:37
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +17 $1 12¢ $2 +$1 06-11 02:19
Will Maluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +20 $4 9¢ $2 $-2 06-29 22:36
Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +12 $1 14¢ $2 +$0 06-25 04:13
Will Lloyds fail by June 30, 2026? Yes +428 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 06-24 05:22
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? No +3 $1 62¢ $2 +$1 06-20 18:19
Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +12 $1 14¢ $2 +$1 06-30 08:27
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026? Yes -162 $0 1¢ $-1 $-2 06-26 17:36
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +5 $3 29¢ $1 $-1 06-13 16:16
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +2 $1 71¢ $1 +$0 06-10 18:12
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes +21 $2 6¢ $1 $-0 06-22 08:53
Will An Byeong-hun leave LIV Golf by June 30th? Yes +17 $1 8¢ $1 +$1 06-25 14:27
Will The Weeknd perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +23 $2 6¢ $1 $-0 06-30 05:50
Will D.K. Metcalf be traded? Yes +40 $1 3¢ $1 $-0 06-11 22:05
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 30¢ $1 $-0 06-30 04:27