(anonymous) 0x54c672…28e5c2 Create alert
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$240
Unrealized P&L
+$42
Hit rate
48.6%
Resolved
845
Trades
19,083
lifetime
Volume
$15.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$55
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-05
last 11-09 00:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Other
63% 15% -$116
Politics
21% 15% -$55
Sports
11% 13% -$58
Tech
4% 19% -$6
Pop-Culture
0% 25% -$3
Crypto
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%? Yes +42 $1 84¢ $35 +$34 11-03 06:28
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $2 97¢ $4 +$2 06-16 13:48
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes +4 -$5 82¢ $3 +$8 08-15 05:20
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 06-10 13:10
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%? No +2 -$1 85¢ $1 +$2 09-21 22:29
Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +857 -$4 0¢ $1 +$6 11-09 00:44
will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by december 31 No +2 $2 41¢ $1 -$1 06-18 10:03
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 08-06 11:31
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? Yes +44 $1 2¢ $1 -$1 08-26 21:39
will daylight launch a token by december 31 2027 Yes +2 $2 44¢ $1 -$1 06-06 04:56
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? Yes +287 $1 0¢ $1 $0 11-03 09:30
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +33 $1 2¢ $1 -$1 08-08 14:53
Will Johnnie LaRossa win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes +163 $1 0¢ $0 $0 11-05 01:06
Will Lerone Murphy be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +113 $1 0¢ $0 $0 08-07 13:16
Will Magomed Ankalaev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? Yes +108 $0 0¢ $0 $0 11-02 11:21
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 -$1 2¢ $0 +$1 11-04 03:11
Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 18¢ $0 -$1 07-03 10:21
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? Yes +10 -$1 2¢ $0 +$2 11-04 07:07
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +4 $1 6¢ $0 $0 06-08 12:01
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391 Yes +5 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 06-24 14:23
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 86¢ $0 $0 06-21 07:19
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 06-10 17:13
will magicblock launch a token by december 31 2026 No +0 $1 93¢ $0 -$1 06-07 06:33
Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +0 $1 84¢ $0 -$1 06-16 03:50
will ink launch a token by december 31 2026 No +0 $1 88¢ $0 -$1 06-25 08:48
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? Yes +5 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 06-15 16:18
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +5 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 06-11 02:19
Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027? No +0 $1 70¢ $0 -$1 06-13 08:46
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +0 $0 68¢ $0 $0 06-14 21:22
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +5 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 06-08 15:08