(anonymous) 0x54c672…28e5c2
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
2,298
lifetime
Volume
$2.66K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$83
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-05
last 06-10 00:56
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
69% — —
Politics
20% — —
Sports
6% — —
Tech
4% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 579 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +198 $7 11¢ $22 +$15 06-10 06:06
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? Yes +59 $6 13¢ $8 +$2 06-10 00:00
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +61 $9 9¢ $6 $-3 06-10 00:56
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? Yes +65 $3 8¢ $5 +$3 06-10 03:35
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +7 $3 52¢ $4 +$0 06-07 04:42
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026? Yes +17 $2 20¢ $3 +$1 06-10 05:54
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026? No -1,936 $-5 0¢ $-3 +$2 06-08 21:31
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No +7 $3 42¢ $3 +$0 06-09 22:22
Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes +13 $3 19¢ $3 $-0 06-09 03:33
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +12 $3 19¢ $2 $-0 06-09 22:43
Will Malaga CF achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season? Yes +5 $2 44¢ $2 +$0 06-09 07:17
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +36 $2 6¢ $2 +$0 06-09 06:24
Will The Weeknd perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +8 $0 22¢ $2 +$1 06-09 21:56
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +3 $1 56¢ $2 +$0 06-05 14:25
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +7 $2 24¢ $2 $-0 06-08 16:04
Will Tuyo launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +7 $2 20¢ $1 $-0 06-09 21:42
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? Yes +52 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 06-09 17:14
Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2027? No +12 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 06-09 21:45
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? Yes +67 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 06-09 15:00
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +31 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 06-09 11:26
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No +11 $4 10¢ $1 $-3 06-07 15:16
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $1 8¢ $1 $-0 06-06 10:32
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 06-06 22:32
Will Chappell Roan perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +9 $1 10¢ $1 +$0 06-08 13:29
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +11 $1 8¢ $1 $-0 06-09 21:50
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? Yes +53 $1 2¢ $1 $-0 06-09 19:55
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 06-08 15:26
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? Yes +116 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 06-10 02:27
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Yes +46 $1 2¢ $1 $-0 06-08 14:22
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +2 $1 45¢ $1 $-0 06-08 20:51