Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$275
Trades
60
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$4,657
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-11
last 08-11 14:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $2 | $17 | $15 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $31 | $94 | $63 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $1 | $65 | $64 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| Median | 3 | — | $76 | $76 |
| Below median | 3 | $17 | $47 | $30 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $4 | $17 | $13 |
| unranked | 6 | $16 | $36 | $19 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | +200 | $13 | $14 | 5 | 08-04 08:56 |
| Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | +95 | $6 | $25 | 14 | 08-04 08:56 |
| Evil-Ejector 0x8394…8d66 | No | +80 | $75 | $75 | 4 | 07-12 16:36 |
| Moral-Model 0xbcfb…eceb | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 06-29 05:07 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +42 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 08-04 16:49 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-04 08:56 |
| Wicked-Porthole 0x2e1c…db61 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 07-07 03:50 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 07-30 22:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xf279…880b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-23 04:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 14:58:55 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc667af… |
| 08-11 14:58:55 | Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a3…79e0 | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0xc667af… |
| 08-10 15:03:07 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x21dd9d… |
| 08-10 15:03:07 | Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a3…79e0 | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x21dd9d… |
| 08-10 01:13:31 | Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a3…79e0 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xa38f0c… |
| 08-10 01:13:31 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xa38f0c… |
| 08-10 00:39:03 | Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a3…79e0 | No | BUY | 14 | 95¢ | $13 | 0xe2b7f5… |
| 08-10 00:39:03 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe2b7f5… |
| 08-09 19:58:36 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9fa2cf… |
| 08-09 19:58:36 | Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a3…79e0 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x9fa2cf… |
| 08-07 15:20:09 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xffdd19… |
| 08-07 15:20:09 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xffdd19… |
| 08-04 16:49:27 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x5c71c6… |
| 08-04 16:49:27 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x5c71c6… |
| 08-04 08:56:42 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 35 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xfa14a7… |
| 08-04 08:56:42 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xfa14a7… |
| 08-04 08:56:38 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 35 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x045ee0… |
| 08-04 08:56:38 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | SELL | 35 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x045ee0… |
| 08-04 08:56:36 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 6¢ | $4 | 0xf42ed7… |
| 08-04 08:56:36 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | BUY | 35 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xf42ed7… |
| 08-04 08:56:36 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 213 | 6¢ | $13 | 0xf42ed7… |
| 08-04 08:56:36 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf42ed7… |
| 08-04 08:56:36 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf42ed7… |
| 08-04 08:56:36 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 6¢ | $4 | 0xf42ed7… |
| 08-04 08:56:36 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf42ed7… |
| 07-30 22:44:33 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x42b84b… |
| 07-30 22:44:33 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 18 | 94¢ | $17 | 0x42b84b… |
| 07-15 18:43:37 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x5290c9… |
| 07-15 18:43:37 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x5290c9… |
| 07-15 16:56:31 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x6e22ea… |
| 07-15 16:56:31 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x6e22ea… |
| 07-15 14:57:16 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x146101… |
| 07-15 14:57:16 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x146101… |
| 07-14 12:20:29 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x8d06fa… |
| 07-14 12:20:29 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 158 | 6¢ | $9 | 0x8d06fa… |
| 07-14 12:20:29 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x8d06fa… |
| 07-12 16:36:17 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x5c7dfa… |
| 07-12 16:36:17 | Evil-Ejector 0x8394…8d66 | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x5c7dfa… |
| 07-12 16:31:38 | Evil-Ejector 0x8394…8d66 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x8b951b… |
| 07-12 16:31:38 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8b951b… |
| 07-12 16:10:53 | Evil-Ejector 0x8394…8d66 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x442921… |
| 07-12 16:10:53 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x442921… |
| 07-12 16:09:07 | Evil-Ejector 0x8394…8d66 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x3f50e9… |
| 07-12 16:09:07 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x3f50e9… |
| 07-07 03:50:04 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x1a2789… |
| 07-07 03:50:04 | Wicked-Porthole 0x2e1c…db61 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x1a2789… |
| 07-07 03:49:35 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xab505d… |
| 07-07 03:49:35 | Wicked-Porthole 0x2e1c…db61 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xab505d… |
| 06-29 05:07:58 | Moral-Model 0xbcfb…eceb | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x079766… |
| 06-29 05:07:58 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x079766… |
| 06-23 04:35:07 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xdebcdb… |
| 06-23 04:35:07 | (anonymous) 0xf279…880b | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xdebcdb… |
| 06-23 04:32:43 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x8b24d8… |
| 06-23 04:32:43 | (anonymous) 0xf279…880b | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x8b24d8… |
| 06-12 13:02:37 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xcfcef6… |
| 06-12 13:02:37 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xcfcef6… |
| 06-12 13:02:18 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd6cc92… |
| 06-12 13:02:18 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xd6cc92… |
| 06-11 08:33:42 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x6f7343… |
| 06-11 08:33:42 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x6f7343… |