Realized P&L
+$508
Unrealized P&L
-$191
Hit rate
88.7%
Resolved
39
Trades
18,747
lifetime
Volume
$1.20M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$3.28K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 17:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
52% 75% +$491
Other
42% 59% +$17
Sports
2%
Crypto
2%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
1% 0% $-0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 150 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,222 $1,633 72¢ $1.6K $-44 07-21 16:09
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +1,000 $890 82¢ $825 $-65 07-06 12:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +705 $620 74¢ $525 $-95 07-11 17:34
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? No +150 $143 96¢ $144 +$1 06-21 08:34
Will Kansas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -60 $-56 92¢ $-55 +$0 07-06 14:53
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? No -42 $-40 93¢ $-39 +$1 06-12 22:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +555 $28 $31 +$3 07-17 17:03
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? Yes -444 $-23 $-20 +$3 07-21 09:30
Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -13 $-12 92¢ $-12 +$0 07-11 14:42
Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $10 $11 +$1 07-07 06:32
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +169 $11 $11 +$0 07-17 10:26
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $10 $10 $-1 07-07 11:39
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +86 $7 $7 +$0 07-02 19:46
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -59 $-4 $-4 +$0 07-15 16:56
Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -55 $-1 $-1 $-1 06-01 08:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -0 $-6 94¢ $-0 +$6 07-10 20:36