Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$853
Trades
61
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$2,260
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-09
last 07-17 03:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $25 | $1 | +$23 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $13 | $368 | $355 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $71 | — | +$71 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | — | $248 | $248 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 4 | $46 | $18 | +$27 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $3 | $368 | $365 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| unranked | 6 | $35 | $230 | $195 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | +380 | $349 | $387 | 2 | 07-17 03:54 |
| Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | +150 | $14 | $56 | 11 | 07-14 12:18 |
| Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | +150 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 07-07 11:39 |
| Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | +150 | $138 | $138 | 1 | 07-04 13:54 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +92 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-06 22:41 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +84 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-06 22:41 |
| Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | +52 | $4 | $68 | 24 | 07-15 16:23 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +40 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-07 11:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xdaaa…9dd8 | No | +40 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 07-04 01:31 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-14 12:18 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 11:39 |
| Moral-Model 0xbcfb…eceb | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 06-29 05:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xf279…880b | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-23 04:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 03:54:22 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x93b09c… |
| 07-17 03:54:22 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x93b09c… |
| 07-15 16:23:13 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x0a3834… |
| 07-15 16:23:13 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x0a3834… |
| 07-14 12:18:16 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 61 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x0e076c… |
| 07-14 12:18:16 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x0e076c… |
| 07-14 12:18:16 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x0e076c… |
| 07-13 13:16:19 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x4cdba7… |
| 07-13 13:16:19 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x4cdba7… |
| 07-13 10:58:44 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xa79137… |
| 07-13 10:58:44 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xa79137… |
| 07-11 18:51:40 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x7d73eb… |
| 07-11 18:51:40 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x7d73eb… |
| 07-11 12:40:59 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xdf36d1… |
| 07-11 12:40:59 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xdf36d1… |
| 07-10 19:19:32 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xe78c43… |
| 07-10 19:19:32 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xe78c43… |
| 07-07 11:39:58 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x366406… |
| 07-07 11:39:58 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 106 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x366406… |
| 07-07 11:39:58 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x366406… |
| 07-07 11:39:58 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x366406… |
| 07-07 11:39:58 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x366406… |
| 07-07 11:28:22 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xc3bb41… |
| 07-07 11:28:22 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 95 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xc3bb41… |
| 07-06 22:41:17 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 8¢ | $7 | 0xac7e7e… |
| 07-06 22:41:17 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 84 | 8¢ | $7 | 0xac7e7e… |
| 07-06 22:41:05 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xea1cb8… |
| 07-06 22:41:05 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 92 | 8¢ | $7 | 0xea1cb8… |
| 07-06 22:41:05 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 400 | 92¢ | $368 | 0xea1cb8… |
| 07-06 22:41:05 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xea1cb8… |
| 07-06 22:41:05 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 84 | 8¢ | $7 | 0xea1cb8… |
| 07-06 22:41:05 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xea1cb8… |
| 07-04 13:54:40 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | BUY | 150 | 92¢ | $138 | 0xbf52b0… |
| 07-04 13:54:40 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xbf52b0… |
| 07-04 13:54:40 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 107 | 8¢ | $9 | 0xbf52b0… |
| 07-04 01:31:38 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x065867… |
| 07-04 01:31:38 | (anonymous) 0xdaaa…9dd8 | No | BUY | 40 | 92¢ | $37 | 0x065867… |
| 07-03 12:39:53 | (anonymous) 0x3175…9bb2 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x39353c… |
| 07-03 12:39:53 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x39353c… |
| 07-01 19:28:17 | (anonymous) 0x3175…9bb2 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x67a97d… |
| 07-01 19:28:17 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x67a97d… |
| 06-29 05:07:43 | Moral-Model 0xbcfb…eceb | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x2dee0b… |
| 06-29 05:07:43 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x2dee0b… |
| 06-29 04:26:46 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x439b05… |
| 06-29 04:26:46 | Moral-Model 0xbcfb…eceb | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x439b05… |
| 06-23 04:29:04 | (anonymous) 0xf279…880b | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x2998bb… |
| 06-23 04:29:04 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x2998bb… |
| 06-22 17:12:38 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x7b571e… |
| 06-22 17:12:38 | (anonymous) 0xf279…880b | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x7b571e… |
| 06-22 02:39:16 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xfc38fb… |
| 06-22 02:39:16 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xfc38fb… |
| 06-22 02:38:25 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x53f19c… |
| 06-22 02:38:25 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x53f19c… |
| 06-17 09:42:58 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 9¢ | $5 | 0xce9d2a… |
| 06-17 09:42:58 | (anonymous) 0x6235…df76 | No | SELL | 55 | 91¢ | $50 | 0xce9d2a… |
| 06-12 04:58:16 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x27d374… |
| 06-12 04:58:16 | (anonymous) 0x6235…df76 | No | BUY | 55 | 92¢ | $51 | 0x27d374… |
| 06-11 08:33:24 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0xbd35ac… |
| 06-11 08:33:24 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0xbd35ac… |
| 06-09 10:03:48 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xc17c3c… |
| 06-09 10:03:48 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xc17c3c… |