Realized P&L
+$472
Unrealized P&L
+$54
Hit rate
79.7%
Resolved
40
Trades
57,640
lifetime
Volume
$121.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$1.42K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
45% 24% $-93
Politics
43% 33% +$579
Sports
6% 0% $-5
Tech
4%
Crypto
2%
Pop-Culture
0% 50% $-9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 649 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +720 $639 88¢ $634 $-6 06-30 14:19
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? No -80 $-130 97¢ $-77 +$52 06-26 15:34
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +560 $61 12¢ $67 +$6 06-24 16:43
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No +60 $57 99¢ $60 +$2 06-24 12:08
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,155 $51 $59 +$8 06-29 05:52
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? No +60 $53 99¢ $59 +$6 06-23 11:50
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? Yes +719 $48 $47 $-1 06-30 10:40
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +48 $45 95¢ $46 +$1 06-23 17:42
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +32 $31 100¢ $32 +$1 06-13 03:56
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +50 $34 57¢ $28 $-6 06-27 04:35
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? Yes +200 $26 14¢ $27 +$1 05-30 16:12
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $44 44¢ $22 $-21 06-27 14:26
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? Yes +30 $26 69¢ $21 $-6 06-29 18:00
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $34 39¢ $19 $-15 06-23 17:29
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 06-29 20:38
Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 90¢ $18 +$0 06-08 19:24
Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30? Yes +224 $20 $18 $-2 06-21 04:58
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026? Yes +21 $18 84¢ $18 $-0 06-19 03:29
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? Yes -60 $-7 29¢ $-17 $-11 06-23 20:03
Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes +20 $18 87¢ $17 $-0 06-23 15:40
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes -86 $-51 16¢ $-13 +$37 05-29 23:52
Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -138 $-14 10¢ $-13 +$1 06-30 10:40
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes -200 $-24 $-13 +$11 06-26 02:07
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes +220 $25 $12 $-12 06-06 19:26
Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +175 $12 $12 $-0 06-28 21:12
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? Yes +185 $8 $11 +$3 06-10 18:17
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No -13 $-11 90¢ $-11 $-1 05-28 21:43
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? Yes -217 $-13 $-11 +$2 06-10 15:12
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +100 $13 10¢ $10 $-3 06-23 07:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -340 $-16 $-10 +$6 06-21 12:28