Realized P&L
-$10.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$158
Hit rate
49.3%
Resolved
3,273
Trades
96,355
lifetime
Volume
$234.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$2.23K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 13:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 285 days
Categories
Other
54% 25% -$5,997
Politics
34% 24% -$4,226
Crypto
5% 22% -$319
Tech
4% 30% +$99
Sports
3% 22% -$317
Pop-Culture
0% 6% -$136
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 971 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
tyler robinson convicted of homicide No +334 $192 88¢ $294 +$102 07-18 11:52
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? Yes -590 -$45 49¢ $-291 -$246 08-19 05:50
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +200 $185 94¢ $187 +$2 06-18 18:23
anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31 Anthropic +150 $115 90¢ $136 +$21 06-29 16:03
will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743 No +130 $118 96¢ $125 +$7 07-05 17:06
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +100 $84 95¢ $95 +$12 05-21 00:43
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +111 $40 64¢ $71 +$30 07-01 00:11
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +800 $50 8¢ $60 +$10 10-27 19:15
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,601 $65 4¢ $58 -$7 10-24 18:41
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes -65 -$6 88¢ $-58 -$52 08-04 07:52
will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948 No +61 $35 92¢ $56 +$21 06-28 19:26
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,455 $70 4¢ $55 -$15 10-27 20:44
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +60 $12 89¢ $53 +$42 07-20 12:27
will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31 No +54 $51 96¢ $52 +$1 08-17 03:34
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,400 $56 2¢ $50 -$5 10-27 20:46
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +50 $46 99¢ $50 +$3 08-22 13:59
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +50 $46 99¢ $49 +$3 08-19 02:58
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +425 $29 12¢ $49 +$20 10-27 17:26
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,353 $77 2¢ $48 -$29 10-25 22:55
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +48 $45 99¢ $47 +$2 06-23 17:42
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +111 $73 36¢ $41 -$33 10-17 10:44
tyler robinson convicted of homicide Yes +334 $152 12¢ $40 -$112 06-29 10:08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +50 $33 74¢ $37 +$4 10-28 08:43
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +50 $38 69¢ $35 -$4 10-02 16:38
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No +34 $28 96¢ $33 +$5 05-03 15:45
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,020 $38 3¢ $33 -$5 10-29 17:45
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +3,846 -$39 1¢ $33 +$72 10-27 08:06
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027? No +100 $46 32¢ $32 -$14 10-29 05:53
Tom Lee charged by December 31? Yes +1,219 $26 2¢ $30 +$5 10-11 02:20
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +40 $27 74¢ $30 +$2 10-29 12:52