Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$164,936
$112 in 24h
Trades
1,714
Unique wallets
464
Liquidity
$4,803
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-09 04:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.6¢
(top1%: 7% YES on $795
vs crowd: 6% YES on $87.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 29 | $151 | $12.1K | $12.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 43 | $382 | $9.1K | $8.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 98 | $663 | $28.7K | $28.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 294 | $4.0K | $32.6K | $28.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $52 | $743 | $691 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 14 | $90 | $1.7K | $1.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 21 | $10 | $10.3K | $10.2K |
| Median | 26 | $293 | $2.7K | $2.4K |
| Below median | 49 | $121 | $2.6K | $2.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 18 | $122 | $2.7K | $2.5K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $143 | $1.6K | $1.4K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 16 | $51 | $5.2K | $5.2K |
| unranked | 307 | $4.4K | $55.0K | $50.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x0eda…fff0 | Yes | +5,418 | $307 | $307 | 3 | 07-09 06:45 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +3,780 | $172 | $172 | 107 | 08-07 08:34 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +2,523 | $2,403 | $2,403 | 85 | 08-09 04:59 |
| Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | +1,940 | $98 | $98 | 40 | 07-14 13:26 |
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +1,903 | $1,789 | $5,711 | 39 | 07-14 13:25 |
| Sociable-Fibre 0xea79…e4b5 | No | +1,255 | $1,201 | $1,201 | 6 | 07-31 17:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x3af3…6214 | Yes | +1,202 | $52 | $52 | 18 | 08-01 04:54 |
| Gregarious-Eating 0x0002…56c9 | Yes | +729 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 06-28 09:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x0151…8c35 | Yes | +575 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-06 16:37 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +545 | $517 | $517 | 10 | 07-14 13:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x9909…cbda | No | +500 | $472 | $472 | 1 | 07-09 06:44 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +489 | $472 | $472 | 12 | 08-04 22:49 |
| Perky-Rose 0xa39c…08bc | No | +440 | $427 | $427 | 1 | 08-07 08:34 |
| Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | +400 | $324 | $2,418 | 10 | 07-09 12:33 |
| Dismal-Moustache 0xa99c…08b4 | No | +363 | $350 | $350 | 2 | 06-08 10:56 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +350 | $18 | $18 | 8 | 07-14 14:19 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +338 | $12 | $41 | 26 | 08-05 12:32 |
| Precious-Reporter 0xdf94…972c | Yes | +291 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-28 16:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ac9…b12d | Yes | +273 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 07-08 05:34 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +258 | $7 | $7 | 6 | 08-09 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d6c…3407 | No | +212 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 06-10 18:13 |
| Jolly-Gingerbread 0xbab9…3499 | No | +186 | $174 | $174 | 2 | 05-28 16:39 |
| Cylindrical-Ale 0x7d1b…e75c | No | +182 | $165 | $475 | 16 | 07-09 06:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xac5d…0234 | Yes | +174 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-16 19:36 |
| Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92 | No | +159 | $148 | $317 | 9 | 06-04 05:34 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +148 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-28 12:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x7600…787e | Yes | +139 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-26 05:57 |
| Golftango 0x5e53…922d | Yes | +128 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-31 02:06 |
| Gracious-Melody-Eicosanoid 0xf6ac…7f82 | Yes | +127 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-03 18:51 |
| Hopeful-Tiara 0x8e19…2c01 | No | +123 | $117 | $117 | 1 | 07-12 20:27 |
| Awful-Colleague 0x0d0a…c01c | No | +123 | $117 | $117 | 1 | 07-12 20:45 |
| Thoughtful-Antique 0xf96d…d381 | No | +117 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 07-13 14:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a4…2643 | No | +116 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 07-13 14:33 |
| Practical-Mill 0x3acb…4ba0 | No | +116 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 07-14 09:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xe899…1c5c | No | +116 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 07-14 09:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x6250…dd9a | No | +115 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 07-14 09:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xe526…779e | No | +115 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 07-14 14:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x8568…51a9 | No | +114 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 07-14 14:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x1798…1dc1 | No | +114 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 07-14 14:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x472f…bd1e | No | +114 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 07-15 10:07 |
| Buzzing-Aperitif 0xee48…1349 | No | +114 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 07-14 09:54 |
| Major-Osmosis 0x0872…93bc | No | +114 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 07-14 14:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x9861…5018 | No | +114 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 07-14 14:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x2415…42bd | No | +113 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 07-14 13:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d8d…45e6 | No | +113 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 07-15 10:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x5396…2ac3 | No | +113 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 07-17 09:18 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-28 20:35 |
| Suspicious-Snowman 0x623b…b1f8 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-28 20:35 |
| Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-24 16:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 04:59:57 | Striped-Invader 0x9c92…1b5f | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xa0acfd… |
| 08-09 04:59:57 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xa0acfd… |
| 08-09 03:16:34 | Medical-Eel 0x573a…6886 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xe753af… |
| 08-09 03:16:34 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xe753af… |
| 08-09 01:52:03 | (anonymous) 0x503a…f89d | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xc3f2dd… |
| 08-09 01:52:03 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xc3f2dd… |
| 08-09 00:03:06 | (anonymous) 0xf167…b962 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x4f8939… |
| 08-09 00:03:06 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4f8939… |
| 08-08 23:23:49 | (anonymous) 0x4217…f89b | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xda415a… |
| 08-08 23:23:49 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xda415a… |
| 08-08 14:43:13 | (anonymous) 0x030f…10db | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x714814… |
| 08-08 14:43:13 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x714814… |
| 08-08 12:23:24 | (anonymous) 0xa31e…f72b | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x827531… |
| 08-08 12:23:24 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x827531… |
| 08-08 10:54:03 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x4c3ca8… |
| 08-08 10:54:03 | Qualified-Tabernacle 0x6994…6b7b | No | SELL | 12 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x4c3ca8… |
| 08-08 09:46:18 | (anonymous) 0x23a5…5db6 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x61e359… |
| 08-08 09:46:18 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x61e359… |
| 08-07 15:16:46 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfb0b04… |
| 08-07 15:16:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfb0b04… |
| 08-07 08:37:21 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 60 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x158fad… |
| 08-07 08:37:21 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | Yes | SELL | 60 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x158fad… |
| 08-07 08:37:16 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x70b6e5… |
| 08-07 08:37:16 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x70b6e5… |
| 08-07 08:37:09 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 90 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x78b0a7… |
| 08-07 08:37:09 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 90 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x78b0a7… |
| 08-07 08:37:06 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x07415a… |
| 08-07 08:37:06 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x07415a… |
| 08-07 08:34:28 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xe4d699… |
| 08-07 08:34:28 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | Yes | BUY | 60 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xe4d699… |
| 08-07 08:34:28 | Curly-Violin 0x8b06…86e6 | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xe4d699… |
| 08-07 08:34:28 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xe4d699… |
| 08-07 08:34:28 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe4d699… |
| 08-07 08:34:28 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xe4d699… |
| 08-07 08:34:28 | Perky-Rose 0xa39c…08bc | No | BUY | 440 | 97¢ | $427 | 0xe4d699… |
| 08-07 06:20:46 | (anonymous) 0x7a0f…6bde | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xdc6cbd… |
| 08-07 06:20:46 | Present-Son 0x04d9…8f09 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xdc6cbd… |
| 08-07 05:09:09 | Fatherly-Stupidity 0xf5ae…6de8 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xb5ae6a… |
| 08-07 05:09:09 | (anonymous) 0x7a0f…6bde | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xb5ae6a… |
| 08-07 02:15:04 | (anonymous) 0x7a0f…6bde | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x475292… |
| 08-07 02:15:04 | (anonymous) 0xf98b…2828 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x475292… |
| 08-07 00:45:26 | (anonymous) 0xbf87…6ad7 | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xa99c3f… |
| 08-07 00:45:26 | (anonymous) 0x7a0f…6bde | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xa99c3f… |
| 08-07 00:45:26 | (anonymous) 0xad09…8429 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xa99c3f… |
| 08-06 14:44:09 | (anonymous) 0xad09…8429 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x85634e… |
| 08-06 14:44:09 | Meek-Beancurd 0x2719…2a89 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x85634e… |
| 08-06 05:20:36 | (anonymous) 0xad09…8429 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xf586ce… |
| 08-06 05:20:36 | Powerful-Synonym 0xe5d0…e6c4 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xf586ce… |
| 08-06 00:34:56 | (anonymous) 0xad09…8429 | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x17c965… |
| 08-06 00:34:56 | Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x17c965… |
| 08-06 00:34:51 | (anonymous) 0x6dbb…75b6 | No | BUY | 43 | 97¢ | $42 | 0x4a8962… |
| 08-06 00:34:51 | (anonymous) 0xad09…8429 | No | BUY | 18 | 97¢ | $17 | 0x4a8962… |
| 08-06 00:34:51 | Heartfelt-Pantsuit 0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x4a8962… |
| 08-05 17:27:03 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 17 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1d7dab… |
| 08-05 17:27:03 | (anonymous) 0xe20a…d74f | Yes | SELL | 17 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1d7dab… |
| 08-05 14:22:35 | (anonymous) 0xb951…ad5f | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x0ca127… |
| 08-05 14:22:35 | (anonymous) 0x6dbb…75b6 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x0ca127… |
| 08-05 13:23:56 | (anonymous) 0x9ed6…0063 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xf589ff… |
| 08-05 13:23:56 | (anonymous) 0x6dbb…75b6 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xf589ff… |
| 08-05 12:32:21 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf1154e… |
| 08-05 12:32:21 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf1154e… |
| 08-05 12:32:21 | Every-Banquette 0xa0ca…bc04 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf1154e… |
| 08-05 08:27:59 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9056a7… |
| 08-05 08:27:59 | (anonymous) 0xb1fa…c14f | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x9056a7… |
| 08-05 07:09:09 | (anonymous) 0x6dbb…75b6 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3b8506… |
| 08-05 07:09:09 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…9aa8 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3b8506… |
| 08-05 05:17:09 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x2177c6… |
| 08-05 05:17:09 | Immense-Recollection 0x9e07…8708 | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x2177c6… |
| 08-05 02:58:06 | (anonymous) 0xb340…e102 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x834bfc… |
| 08-05 02:58:06 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x834bfc… |
| 08-04 22:49:27 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x51ddde… |
| 08-04 22:49:27 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x51ddde… |
| 08-04 18:47:24 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x98319f… |
| 08-04 18:47:24 | Meager-Sector 0x24ca…6ad7 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x98319f… |
| 08-04 09:16:30 | (anonymous) 0x39f1…f54a | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xd5e188… |
| 08-04 09:16:30 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd5e188… |
| 08-04 08:34:15 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x9b1920… |
| 08-04 08:34:15 | Ironclad-Crunch 0x89e1…ba0e | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x9b1920… |
| 08-04 08:17:17 | Comfortable-Cement 0xa4fd…4060 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x13f526… |
| 08-04 08:17:17 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x13f526… |
| 08-04 05:01:09 | (anonymous) 0x0fe5…6f6b | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x647dfb… |
| 08-04 05:01:09 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x647dfb… |
| 08-03 21:57:48 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x80d3e6… |
| 08-03 21:57:48 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x80d3e6… |
| 08-03 21:57:48 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 55 | 97¢ | $53 | 0x80d3e6… |
| 08-02 22:25:59 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x7f3e72… |
| 08-02 22:25:59 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x7f3e72… |
| 08-02 22:23:24 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfa0337… |
| 08-02 22:23:24 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 55 | 97¢ | $53 | 0xfa0337… |
| 08-02 22:23:24 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xfa0337… |
| 08-01 13:01:12 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 67 | 97¢ | $65 | 0x485d2b… |
| 08-01 13:01:12 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x485d2b… |
| 08-01 13:01:12 | (anonymous) 0xe20a…d74f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x485d2b… |
| 08-01 04:54:03 | (anonymous) 0x3af3…6214 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x89a272… |
| 08-01 04:54:03 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 72 | 96¢ | $70 | 0x89a272… |
| 07-31 22:10:44 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 147 | 96¢ | $141 | 0xeb342f… |
| 07-31 22:10:44 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xeb342f… |
| 07-31 22:10:44 | Worried-Slump 0x1401…9b4d | No | SELL | 67 | 96¢ | $64 | 0xeb342f… |
| 07-31 22:10:44 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xeb342f… |
| 07-31 17:24:39 | Worried-Slump 0x1401…9b4d | No | SELL | 133 | 96¢ | $128 | 0x0c55ca… |