Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$162,476
$112 in 24h
Trades
1,570
Unique wallets
431
Liquidity
$4,803
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-20 12:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.4¢
(top1%: 5% YES on $974
vs crowd: 6% YES on $86.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 26 | $149 | $11.1K | $11.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 41 | $357 | $8.5K | $8.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 73 | $349 | $18.3K | $17.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 291 | $4.3K | $42.9K | $38.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $45 | $929 | $884 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $80 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 21 | $10 | $10.3K | $10.2K |
| Median | 23 | $293 | $2.7K | $2.4K |
| Below median | 48 | $121 | $2.2K | $2.1K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 19 | $122 | $3.1K | $3.0K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $143 | $1.1K | $952 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 14 | $51 | $4.4K | $4.3K |
| unranked | 281 | $4.3K | $54.6K | $50.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x0eda…fff0 | Yes | +5,418 | $307 | $307 | 3 | 07-09 06:45 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +3,401 | $160 | $160 | 98 | 07-17 09:57 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +2,471 | $2,352 | $2,352 | 76 | 07-16 19:36 |
| Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | +1,940 | $98 | $98 | 40 | 07-14 13:26 |
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +1,903 | $1,789 | $5,711 | 39 | 07-14 13:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x3af3…6214 | Yes | +1,130 | $50 | $50 | 17 | 07-16 14:21 |
| Sociable-Fibre 0xea79…e4b5 | No | +855 | $816 | $816 | 4 | 07-16 10:20 |
| Gregarious-Eating 0x0002…56c9 | Yes | +729 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 06-28 09:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x0151…8c35 | Yes | +575 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-06 16:37 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +545 | $517 | $517 | 10 | 07-14 13:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x9909…cbda | No | +500 | $472 | $472 | 1 | 07-09 06:44 |
| Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | +400 | $324 | $2,418 | 10 | 07-09 12:33 |
| Dismal-Moustache 0xa99c…08b4 | No | +363 | $350 | $350 | 2 | 06-08 10:56 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +350 | $18 | $18 | 8 | 07-14 14:19 |
| Precious-Reporter 0xdf94…972c | Yes | +291 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-28 16:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ac9…b12d | Yes | +273 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 07-08 05:34 |
| Unlucky-Mezzanine 0x6a2f…7105 | No | +267 | $253 | $510 | 6 | 07-18 00:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d6c…3407 | No | +212 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 06-10 18:13 |
| Worried-Slump 0x1401…9b4d | No | +200 | $189 | $189 | 2 | 07-08 04:26 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +198 | $8 | $36 | 12 | 07-16 14:41 |
| Jolly-Gingerbread 0xbab9…3499 | No | +186 | $174 | $174 | 2 | 05-28 16:39 |
| Cylindrical-Ale 0x7d1b…e75c | No | +182 | $165 | $475 | 16 | 07-09 06:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xac5d…0234 | Yes | +174 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-16 19:36 |
| Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92 | No | +159 | $148 | $317 | 9 | 06-04 05:34 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +148 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-28 12:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x7600…787e | Yes | +139 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-26 05:57 |
| Golftango 0x5e53…922d | Yes | +128 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-31 02:06 |
| Gracious-Melody-Eicosanoid 0xf6ac…7f82 | Yes | +127 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-03 18:51 |
| Hopeful-Tiara 0x8e19…2c01 | No | +123 | $117 | $117 | 1 | 07-12 20:27 |
| Awful-Colleague 0x0d0a…c01c | No | +123 | $117 | $117 | 1 | 07-12 20:45 |
| Thoughtful-Antique 0xf96d…d381 | No | +117 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 07-13 14:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a4…2643 | No | +116 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 07-13 14:33 |
| Practical-Mill 0x3acb…4ba0 | No | +116 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 07-14 09:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xe899…1c5c | No | +116 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 07-14 09:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x6250…dd9a | No | +115 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 07-14 09:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xe526…779e | No | +115 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 07-14 14:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x8568…51a9 | No | +114 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 07-14 14:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x1798…1dc1 | No | +114 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 07-14 14:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x472f…bd1e | No | +114 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 07-15 10:07 |
| Buzzing-Aperitif 0xee48…1349 | No | +114 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 07-14 09:54 |
| Major-Osmosis 0x0872…93bc | No | +114 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 07-14 14:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x9861…5018 | No | +114 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 07-14 14:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x2415…42bd | No | +113 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 07-14 13:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d8d…45e6 | No | +113 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 07-15 10:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x5396…2ac3 | No | +113 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 07-17 09:18 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-28 20:35 |
| Suspicious-Snowman 0x623b…b1f8 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-28 20:35 |
| Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-24 16:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 12:17:52 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 12 | 96¢ | $11 | 0xd839cb… |
| 07-20 12:17:52 | Qualified-Tabernacle 0x6994…6b7b | No | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $11 | 0xd839cb… |
| 07-20 10:59:36 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x25795b… |
| 07-20 10:59:36 | (anonymous) 0x23a5…5db6 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x25795b… |
| 07-19 08:48:12 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 105 | 96¢ | $101 | 0x2aa1b3… |
| 07-19 08:48:12 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 105 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x2aa1b3… |
| 07-18 00:12:22 | (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xa0311c… |
| 07-18 00:12:22 | Unlucky-Mezzanine 0x6a2f…7105 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xa0311c… |
| 07-17 23:16:16 | Unlucky-Mezzanine 0x6a2f…7105 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x6eaffb… |
| 07-17 23:16:16 | (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x6eaffb… |
| 07-17 23:00:25 | Annual-Mosquito 0xf8d9…622d | Yes | SELL | 16 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa29d8c… |
| 07-17 23:00:25 | Unlucky-Mezzanine 0x6a2f…7105 | No | SELL | 16 | 96¢ | $16 | 0xa29d8c… |
| 07-17 09:57:18 | Probable-Site 0x1e52…91d6 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xcb5473… |
| 07-17 09:57:18 | (anonymous) 0xcf95…0312 | No | BUY | 108 | 96¢ | $104 | 0xcb5473… |
| 07-17 09:57:18 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 49 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xcb5473… |
| 07-17 09:18:28 | (anonymous) 0x5396…2ac3 | No | BUY | 113 | 96¢ | $109 | 0x860e67… |
| 07-17 09:18:28 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x860e67… |
| 07-17 06:57:21 | Internal-Azimuth 0x22a3…c465 | No | SELL | 470 | 96¢ | $451 | 0x138698… |
| 07-17 06:57:21 | Knowledgeable-Thesis 0xc15a…82cc | No | SELL | 440 | 96¢ | $422 | 0x138698… |
| 07-17 06:57:21 | Content-Steppingstone 0x63ee…af7b | Yes | SELL | 910 | 4¢ | $37 | 0x138698… |
| 07-17 06:57:01 | Helpful-Grief 0xc2f4…e0f3 | Yes | SELL | 460 | 4¢ | $19 | 0x9dd0f3… |
| 07-17 06:57:01 | Occasional-Pest 0x4cba…504e | No | SELL | 460 | 96¢ | $441 | 0x9dd0f3… |
| 07-17 06:56:49 | Skeletal-Rake 0x74b4…13c3 | No | SELL | 450 | 96¢ | $432 | 0x89aa49… |
| 07-17 06:56:49 | Helpful-Grief 0xc2f4…e0f3 | Yes | SELL | 450 | 4¢ | $18 | 0x89aa49… |
| 07-17 06:55:30 | Weekly-Kiwi 0x00f2…17bc | No | SELL | 447 | 96¢ | $429 | 0x78bae5… |
| 07-17 06:55:30 | Tricky-Bonsai 0x03f0…94bb | Yes | SELL | 447 | 4¢ | $18 | 0x78bae5… |
| 07-17 06:55:15 | Tricky-Bonsai 0x03f0…94bb | Yes | SELL | 478 | 4¢ | $20 | 0xdc3357… |
| 07-17 06:55:15 | (anonymous) 0xde17…9950 | No | SELL | 478 | 96¢ | $458 | 0xdc3357… |
| 07-17 06:54:52 | Frosty-Former 0x9f71…ef19 | Yes | SELL | 457 | 4¢ | $19 | 0x899c32… |
| 07-17 06:54:52 | Helpless-Cation 0x50bd…7d35 | No | SELL | 457 | 96¢ | $438 | 0x899c32… |
| 07-17 06:54:40 | Cylindrical-Defeat 0x2758…cbde | No | SELL | 468 | 96¢ | $449 | 0xd57361… |
| 07-17 06:54:40 | Frosty-Former 0x9f71…ef19 | Yes | SELL | 468 | 4¢ | $19 | 0xd57361… |
| 07-17 04:39:55 | (anonymous) 0x88be…4d62 | Yes | SELL | 681 | 4¢ | $28 | 0xbd32a3… |
| 07-17 04:39:55 | (anonymous) 0x6d17…1e8c | No | SELL | 361 | 96¢ | $346 | 0xbd32a3… |
| 07-17 04:39:55 | (anonymous) 0xf7bf…eebe | No | SELL | 320 | 96¢ | $307 | 0xbd32a3… |
| 07-17 04:39:54 | (anonymous) 0x2478…1028 | No | SELL | 318 | 96¢ | $305 | 0xeb5e8e… |
| 07-17 04:39:54 | (anonymous) 0x6d17…1e8c | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xeb5e8e… |
| 07-17 04:39:54 | (anonymous) 0xd6fd…2c3c | No | SELL | 361 | 96¢ | $346 | 0xeb5e8e… |
| 07-17 04:39:54 | (anonymous) 0xb9ea…52ae | Yes | SELL | 681 | 4¢ | $28 | 0xeb5e8e… |
| 07-17 04:35:51 | (anonymous) 0xc3fd…82e1 | No | SELL | 357 | 96¢ | $342 | 0x0ff6f2… |
| 07-17 04:35:51 | (anonymous) 0x79ab…3f89 | Yes | SELL | 745 | 4¢ | $31 | 0x0ff6f2… |
| 07-17 04:35:51 | (anonymous) 0xb1b1…749b | No | SELL | 388 | 96¢ | $372 | 0x0ff6f2… |
| 07-17 04:35:49 | (anonymous) 0x2495…09ae | No | SELL | 386 | 96¢ | $370 | 0xbb30d2… |
| 07-17 04:35:49 | (anonymous) 0x358b…1555 | No | SELL | 359 | 96¢ | $344 | 0xbb30d2… |
| 07-17 04:35:49 | (anonymous) 0xc9e7…0c2a | Yes | SELL | 745 | 4¢ | $31 | 0xbb30d2… |
| 07-17 04:32:13 | (anonymous) 0x48e8…c955 | No | SELL | 372 | 96¢ | $357 | 0x274794… |
| 07-17 04:32:13 | (anonymous) 0xb1fc…37ae | Yes | SELL | 729 | 4¢ | $30 | 0x274794… |
| 07-17 04:32:13 | (anonymous) 0x4ac5…1519 | No | SELL | 357 | 96¢ | $342 | 0x274794… |
| 07-17 04:32:12 | (anonymous) 0xc967…342a | No | SELL | 361 | 96¢ | $346 | 0x53ca53… |
| 07-17 04:32:12 | (anonymous) 0x6073…0a3c | Yes | SELL | 729 | 4¢ | $30 | 0x53ca53… |
| 07-17 04:32:12 | (anonymous) 0x29d2…48dc | No | SELL | 368 | 96¢ | $353 | 0x53ca53… |
| 07-17 03:18:45 | (anonymous) 0xb1fc…37ae | Yes | BUY | 361 | 4¢ | $15 | 0x97ee4c… |
| 07-17 03:18:45 | (anonymous) 0xc967…342a | No | BUY | 361 | 96¢ | $346 | 0x97ee4c… |
| 07-17 03:18:39 | (anonymous) 0xb1fc…37ae | Yes | BUY | 368 | 4¢ | $15 | 0x8dba32… |
| 07-17 03:18:39 | (anonymous) 0x29d2…48dc | No | BUY | 368 | 96¢ | $353 | 0x8dba32… |
| 07-17 03:18:03 | (anonymous) 0x48e8…c955 | No | BUY | 372 | 96¢ | $357 | 0xea9513… |
| 07-17 03:18:03 | (anonymous) 0x6073…0a3c | Yes | BUY | 372 | 4¢ | $15 | 0xea9513… |
| 07-17 03:18:01 | (anonymous) 0x6073…0a3c | Yes | BUY | 357 | 4¢ | $15 | 0xdb9660… |
| 07-17 03:18:01 | (anonymous) 0x4ac5…1519 | No | BUY | 357 | 96¢ | $342 | 0xdb9660… |
| 07-17 03:16:42 | Weekly-Kiwi 0x00f2…17bc | No | BUY | 447 | 96¢ | $429 | 0xa8697b… |
| 07-17 03:16:42 | Tricky-Bonsai 0x03f0…94bb | Yes | BUY | 447 | 4¢ | $18 | 0xa8697b… |
| 07-17 03:16:31 | (anonymous) 0xde17…9950 | No | BUY | 478 | 96¢ | $458 | 0xa9ad49… |
| 07-17 03:16:31 | Tricky-Bonsai 0x03f0…94bb | Yes | BUY | 478 | 4¢ | $20 | 0xa9ad49… |
| 07-17 03:16:16 | Cylindrical-Defeat 0x2758…cbde | No | BUY | 468 | 96¢ | $449 | 0x6ed23d… |
| 07-17 03:16:16 | Frosty-Former 0x9f71…ef19 | Yes | BUY | 468 | 4¢ | $19 | 0x6ed23d… |
| 07-17 03:15:57 | Frosty-Former 0x9f71…ef19 | Yes | BUY | 457 | 4¢ | $19 | 0xa70462… |
| 07-17 03:15:57 | Helpless-Cation 0x50bd…7d35 | No | BUY | 457 | 96¢ | $438 | 0xa70462… |
| 07-17 03:12:18 | (anonymous) 0xc9e7…0c2a | Yes | BUY | 386 | 4¢ | $16 | 0x98e208… |
| 07-17 03:12:18 | (anonymous) 0x2495…09ae | No | BUY | 386 | 96¢ | $370 | 0x98e208… |
| 07-17 03:12:07 | (anonymous) 0xc9e7…0c2a | Yes | BUY | 359 | 4¢ | $15 | 0xf787ea… |
| 07-17 03:12:07 | (anonymous) 0x358b…1555 | No | BUY | 359 | 96¢ | $344 | 0xf787ea… |
| 07-17 03:11:12 | (anonymous) 0xb1b1…749b | No | BUY | 388 | 96¢ | $372 | 0x4197d0… |
| 07-17 03:11:12 | (anonymous) 0x79ab…3f89 | Yes | BUY | 388 | 4¢ | $16 | 0x4197d0… |
| 07-17 03:11:10 | (anonymous) 0x79ab…3f89 | Yes | BUY | 357 | 4¢ | $15 | 0x5c3a4d… |
| 07-17 03:11:10 | (anonymous) 0xc3fd…82e1 | No | BUY | 357 | 96¢ | $342 | 0x5c3a4d… |
| 07-17 03:09:43 | Internal-Azimuth 0x22a3…c465 | No | BUY | 470 | 96¢ | $451 | 0xd8f10e… |
| 07-17 03:09:43 | Helpful-Grief 0xc2f4…e0f3 | Yes | BUY | 470 | 4¢ | $19 | 0xd8f10e… |
| 07-17 03:09:27 | Knowledgeable-Thesis 0xc15a…82cc | No | BUY | 440 | 96¢ | $422 | 0x074e45… |
| 07-17 03:09:27 | Helpful-Grief 0xc2f4…e0f3 | Yes | BUY | 440 | 4¢ | $18 | 0x074e45… |
| 07-17 03:09:09 | Content-Steppingstone 0x63ee…af7b | Yes | BUY | 460 | 4¢ | $19 | 0xfd8ce5… |
| 07-17 03:09:09 | Occasional-Pest 0x4cba…504e | No | BUY | 460 | 96¢ | $441 | 0xfd8ce5… |
| 07-17 03:08:52 | Skeletal-Rake 0x74b4…13c3 | No | BUY | 450 | 96¢ | $432 | 0xced1d4… |
| 07-17 03:08:52 | Content-Steppingstone 0x63ee…af7b | Yes | BUY | 450 | 4¢ | $18 | 0xced1d4… |
| 07-17 03:03:22 | (anonymous) 0x88be…4d62 | Yes | BUY | 318 | 4¢ | $13 | 0xc2d38e… |
| 07-17 03:03:22 | (anonymous) 0x2478…1028 | No | BUY | 318 | 96¢ | $305 | 0xc2d38e… |
| 07-17 03:03:16 | (anonymous) 0x88be…4d62 | Yes | BUY | 363 | 4¢ | $15 | 0x536ec5… |
| 07-17 03:03:16 | (anonymous) 0x6d17…1e8c | No | BUY | 363 | 96¢ | $348 | 0x536ec5… |
| 07-17 03:02:43 | (anonymous) 0xd6fd…2c3c | No | BUY | 361 | 96¢ | $346 | 0x244ca4… |
| 07-17 03:02:43 | (anonymous) 0xb9ea…52ae | Yes | BUY | 361 | 4¢ | $15 | 0x244ca4… |
| 07-17 03:02:42 | (anonymous) 0xf7bf…eebe | No | BUY | 320 | 96¢ | $307 | 0x922a8e… |
| 07-17 03:02:42 | (anonymous) 0xb9ea…52ae | Yes | BUY | 320 | 4¢ | $13 | 0x922a8e… |
| 07-16 19:57:43 | Ironclad-Crunch 0x89e1…ba0e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc4bc24… |
| 07-16 19:57:43 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc4bc24… |
| 07-16 19:36:37 | (anonymous) 0xac5d…0234 | Yes | BUY | 174 | 4¢ | $7 | 0xc7841f… |
| 07-16 19:36:37 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 24 | 96¢ | $23 | 0xc7841f… |
| 07-16 19:28:52 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0bfce4… |
| 07-16 19:28:52 | Comfortable-Cement 0xa4fd…4060 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0bfce4… |
| 07-16 14:43:34 | (anonymous) 0xe1f7…bafc | No | BUY | 112 | 96¢ | $108 | 0x9f1956… |
| 07-16 14:43:34 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 105 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x9f1956… |
| 07-16 14:43:34 | Unlucky-Mezzanine 0x6a2f…7105 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x9f1956… |