Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb601…2a5e8a
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$108
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
55.5%
Resolved
1,415
Trades
8,434
lifetime
Volume
$28.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$197
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-27 00:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 201 days
Categories
Politics
55% 66% -$49
Other
35% 61% -$40
Crypto
8% 52% -$20
Tech
1% 71% -$3
Sports
1% 57% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +15 $7 99¢ $15 +$8 06-29 23:18
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -15 -$14 94¢ $-14 $0 09-27 00:50
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No -15 -$12 88¢ $-13 -$1 05-03 19:55
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 07-13 19:14
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$10 99¢ $-10 $0 06-29 21:44
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +8 $5 92¢ $8 +$3 08-09 11:17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +11 $5 66¢ $7 +$2 07-30 02:36
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +6 $6 96¢ $6 +$0 06-30 00:45
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +7 $7 90¢ $6 -$1 06-30 05:07
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -6 -$6 99¢ $-6 $0 06-30 00:27
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 05-19 20:53
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +6 $6 94¢ $5 $0 08-05 17:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 07-31 21:28
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -6 -$4 96¢ $-5 -$1 06-30 00:17
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 07-15 01:46
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +9 $5 61¢ $5 +$0 08-11 11:43
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +6 $6 90¢ $5 $0 06-30 00:32
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $0 06-30 00:17
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-30 00:32
US recession by end of 2026? No -6 -$5 92¢ $-5 -$1 07-23 13:35
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-30 00:45
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-29 22:01
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 $0 05-03 19:55
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 08-06 15:02
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 08-04 15:44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 07-06 09:31
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 06-29 21:50
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No -5 -$4 98¢ $-5 $0 06-29 21:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -5 -$5 96¢ $-5 $0 06-29 17:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 05-07 17:05