Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
56.5%
Resolved
26
Trades
7,775
lifetime
Volume
$26.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$210
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 16:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
55% 55% $-18
Other
35% 50% $-1
Crypto
8% 80% +$8
Tech
1%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 1042 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +26 $13 48¢ $13 $-1 06-30 09:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -19 $-9 64¢ $-12 $-3 06-30 00:26
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? No -10 $-9 97¢ $-10 $-1 06-30 00:27
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No -11 $-8 94¢ $-10 $-1 07-09 12:34
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-10 $-1 06-30 00:26
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-10 98¢ $-10 $-0 06-29 21:44
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-8 92¢ $-9 $-1 06-30 11:57
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-8 92¢ $-9 $-1 07-16 14:40
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -8 $-8 97¢ $-8 $-0 06-30 00:27
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -11 $-7 73¢ $-8 $-1 06-30 00:27
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -9 $-7 92¢ $-8 $-1 06-30 00:26
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -10 $-5 76¢ $-8 $-2 07-07 12:13
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -12 $-6 65¢ $-8 $-1 06-30 00:27
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +8 $6 85¢ $6 +$1 06-29 23:18
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No -6 $-5 90¢ $-6 $-1 06-30 00:26
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +15 $7 39¢ $6 $-1 06-29 23:18
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No -7 $-4 82¢ $-5 $-1 06-30 00:32
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 84¢ $-5 $-1 06-30 00:24
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? No -6 $-4 90¢ $-5 $-1 06-30 00:26
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-4 92¢ $-5 $-1 06-30 00:17
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 07-06 09:31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -6 $-5 90¢ $-5 $-0 06-30 00:26
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $-0 06-30 00:17
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-30 00:32
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-30 00:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -6 $-4 74¢ $-5 $-1 07-06 09:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -5 $-5 94¢ $-5 $-0 06-29 17:05
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +8 $5 60¢ $5 $-0 06-29 23:18
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +6 $6 80¢ $5 $-1 06-30 00:32
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +5 $5 86¢ $5 $-1 06-30 00:17