Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
56.5%
Resolved
26
Trades
6,528
lifetime
Volume
$20.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$90
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-06 09:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
58% 55% $-18
Other
34% 50% $-1
Crypto
5% 80% +$8
Tech
2%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? No -18 $-18 98¢ $-17 +$0 06-03 07:05
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? No -15 $-15 99¢ $-15 $-0 05-28 19:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -11 $-10 94¢ $-10 +$0 06-04 18:37
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No -10 $-10 98¢ $-10 +$0 06-02 14:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -7 $-6 82¢ $-6 +$0 06-04 00:42
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 $-0 05-29 18:01
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 +$0 06-01 08:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 80¢ $-5 +$0 06-02 02:29
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-05 22:45
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 94¢ $-5 +$0 05-29 07:55
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -5 $-5 95¢ $-5 +$0 06-06 09:31
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -5 $-3 46¢ $-2 +$1 05-28 06:35