Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
-$23
Hit rate
56.5%
Resolved
26
Trades
7,671
lifetime
Volume
$25.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$278
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 11:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
56% 55% $-18
Other
34% 50% $-1
Crypto
8% 80% +$8
Tech
1%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 1042 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? No -18 $-18 100¢ $-18 $-0 06-03 07:05
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? No -15 $-15 100¢ $-15 $-0 05-28 19:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -11 $-10 100¢ $-11 $-1 06-04 18:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -19 $-9 57¢ $-11 $-2 06-30 00:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -12 $-9 86¢ $-10 $-1 06-30 00:27
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-29 11:52
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-29 12:20
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 +$0 06-29 12:21
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 +$0 06-29 12:21
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 +$0 06-29 12:20
Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 +$0 06-29 12:21
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -10 $-10 99¢ $-10 +$0 06-29 12:21
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -10 $-10 94¢ $-10 $-0 06-30 00:26
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-02 14:07
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-10 98¢ $-10 $-0 06-29 21:44
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-10 $-1 06-30 00:27
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-9 93¢ $-10 $-1 06-30 00:26
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +40 $14 22¢ $9 $-5 06-30 11:40
Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +26 $13 34¢ $9 $-5 06-30 09:05
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-8 86¢ $-8 $-0 06-30 11:57
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -8 $-8 95¢ $-8 +$0 06-30 00:27
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -9 $-7 92¢ $-8 $-1 06-30 00:26
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -11 $-7 70¢ $-8 $-1 06-30 00:27
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -33 $-4 22¢ $-7 $-3 06-30 02:41
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -7 $-7 99¢ $-7 +$0 06-29 12:21
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -12 $-6 62¢ $-7 $-1 06-30 00:27
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -6 $-6 100¢ $-6 $-0 06-30 00:32
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No -6 $-5 92¢ $-6 $-1 06-30 00:26
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -6 $-6 100¢ $-6 $-0 06-29 12:20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 +$0 06-29 13:00