Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
open
Total volume
$15,268
$151 in 24h
Trades
337
Unique wallets
85
Liquidity
$4,027
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-30 09:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-10.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $144
vs crowd: 10% YES on $13.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $86 | $10.2K | $10.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $673 | $206 | +$467 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $23 | $955 | $932 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 48 | $544 | $545 | $1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $144 | $144 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $265 | $52 | +$213 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $124 | $160 | $36 |
| Median | 7 | $4 | $106 | $102 |
| Below median | 10 | $11 | $2.4K | $2.4K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $400 | $32 | +$368 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $9 | $44 | $35 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $60 | $7.5K | $7.4K |
| unranked | 40 | $452 | $1.4K | $997 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | +8,123 | $7,422 | $7,422 | 33 | 07-23 16:54 |
| Rectangular-Audit 0xdcdd…73a5 | Yes | +3,905 | $400 | $400 | 3 | 07-04 14:58 |
| Nimble-Fun-Maracas 0x3865…fcbe | Yes | +2,789 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 07-05 22:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x38cd…2f39 | Yes | +1,929 | $154 | $154 | 3 | 06-24 18:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x3750…cbdd | Yes | +1,164 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-23 16:54 |
| Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | +989 | $911 | $911 | 21 | 07-26 13:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x4600…4e74 | Yes | +720 | $103 | $103 | 3 | 06-17 15:09 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +624 | $55 | $59 | 5 | 07-05 15:40 |
| wkjhghjnbvs 0x2ee4…19c4 | No | +540 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-17 22:35 |
| Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | +500 | $354 | $4,225 | 34 | 07-23 16:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2b4…6d66 | Yes | +129 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-04 01:05 |
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | +122 | $113 | $113 | 4 | 07-22 04:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xe4de…a93d | Yes | +109 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-14 08:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x886b…b43d | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-20 10:46 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 07-21 17:13 |
| suvrajit112 0x9ed6…b7b4 | Yes | +78 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 06-25 22:52 |
| Blank-Initialize 0x151a…0ece | No | +58 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-01 22:04 |
| Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | No | +46 | $40 | $40 | 5 | 06-17 11:41 |
| Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | +33 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 06-14 23:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x81f4…a1cd | Yes | +29 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-19 17:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a40…aa03 | Yes | +26 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-12 21:50 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +25 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 07-23 16:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x6553…35e2 | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 07-02 06:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c05…7dc7 | Yes | +25 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-09 05:47 |
| Taut-Dogwood 0x8deb…7062 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-17 11:41 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-14 23:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xccc9…c59e | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-15 13:39 |
| Idle-Soldier 0x70ff…b65f | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-02 15:09 |
| Grand-Someone 0xe575…99b4 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-02 04:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x56a3…1caf | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-15 10:17 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +12 | $-3 | $52 | 31 | 07-27 15:37 |
| Well-Informed-Channel 0xb7e6…d9e3 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 23:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xd66d…b64a | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-02 02:50 |
| Brief-Defeat 0x5fae…989c | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 08:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xd129…3253 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 00:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x0de2…1998 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-30 09:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | +5 | $3 | $181 | 3 | 07-14 08:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-10 14:45 |
| Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-14 08:19 |
| Frivolous-Charm 0xed19…cb5e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-14 23:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x255e…fed1 | No | +3 | $3 | $5 | 5 | 07-23 16:54 |
| Rotating-Flanker 0xc677…677a | No | +3 | $2 | $15 | 3 | 06-17 23:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x46b1…428c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-15 13:40 |
| Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | +1 | $1 | $23 | 6 | 07-27 04:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 09:37:20 | False-Mall 0x7124…70c1 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x1b7ff9… |
| 07-30 09:37:20 | (anonymous) 0x0de2…1998 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x1b7ff9… |
| 07-27 17:02:57 | False-Mall 0x7124…70c1 | No | SELL | 12 | 94¢ | $12 | 0xc63241… |
| 07-27 17:02:57 | (anonymous) 0x44fd…35ff | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc63241… |
| 07-27 15:37:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x58bad8… |
| 07-27 15:37:03 | (anonymous) 0x44fd…35ff | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x58bad8… |
| 07-27 04:35:01 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x2cfe62… |
| 07-27 04:35:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x2cfe62… |
| 07-26 13:07:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x4d25b1… |
| 07-26 13:07:34 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x4d25b1… |
| 07-23 16:54:27 | (anonymous) 0x255e…fed1 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x63b5d9… |
| 07-23 16:54:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x63b5d9… |
| 07-23 16:54:25 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 685 | 91¢ | $623 | 0x5c8f88… |
| 07-23 16:54:25 | (anonymous) 0x3750…cbdd | Yes | BUY | 1,164 | 9¢ | $100 | 0x5c8f88… |
| 07-23 16:54:25 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 25 | 92¢ | $23 | 0x5c8f88… |
| 07-23 16:54:25 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 455 | 92¢ | $418 | 0x5c8f88… |
| 07-22 22:28:06 | (anonymous) 0x3e4a…8e35 | Yes | SELL | 152 | 6¢ | $9 | 0xafa3b8… |
| 07-22 22:28:06 | False-Mall 0x7124…70c1 | No | SELL | 152 | 94¢ | $143 | 0xafa3b8… |
| 07-22 04:14:19 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x0c5cfd… |
| 07-22 04:14:19 | False-Mall 0x7124…70c1 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x0c5cfd… |
| 07-22 04:14:12 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xe326ad… |
| 07-22 04:14:12 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xe326ad… |
| 07-22 00:39:01 | False-Mall 0x7124…70c1 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x572b23… |
| 07-22 00:39:01 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x572b23… |
| 07-22 00:38:31 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 106 | 93¢ | $98 | 0xdcdcb8… |
| 07-22 00:38:31 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 46 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xdcdcb8… |
| 07-22 00:38:31 | (anonymous) 0x3e4a…8e35 | Yes | BUY | 152 | 7¢ | $11 | 0xdcdcb8… |
| 07-21 17:13:58 | False-Mall 0x7124…70c1 | No | SELL | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0xb613e4… |
| 07-21 17:13:58 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0xb613e4… |
| 07-21 15:10:09 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x5dafe2… |
| 07-21 15:10:09 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x5dafe2… |
| 07-19 17:20:40 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 29 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xcfde41… |
| 07-19 17:20:40 | (anonymous) 0x81f4…a1cd | Yes | BUY | 29 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xcfde41… |
| 07-15 13:40:14 | (anonymous) 0x46b1…428c | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x46af40… |
| 07-15 13:40:14 | False-Mall 0x7124…70c1 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x46af40… |
| 07-15 13:39:50 | (anonymous) 0x255e…fed1 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x1fae81… |
| 07-15 13:39:50 | False-Mall 0x7124…70c1 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x1fae81… |
| 07-15 13:39:49 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 18 | 92¢ | $16 | 0x41b265… |
| 07-15 13:39:49 | (anonymous) 0xccc9…c59e | Yes | BUY | 18 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x41b265… |
| 07-15 10:17:43 | False-Mall 0x7124…70c1 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x8df3f9… |
| 07-15 10:17:43 | (anonymous) 0x255e…fed1 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x8df3f9… |
| 07-15 10:17:41 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0xcdddad… |
| 07-15 10:17:41 | (anonymous) 0x56a3…1caf | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xcdddad… |
| 07-14 16:34:37 | False-Mall 0x7124…70c1 | No | SELL | 12 | 94¢ | $12 | 0xfc4bb8… |
| 07-14 16:34:37 | (anonymous) 0x07f2…cddc | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xfc4bb8… |
| 07-14 08:19:08 | Real-Requirement 0x5143…cb54 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 5¢ | $11 | 0xa53319… |
| 07-14 08:19:08 | Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xa53319… |
| 07-14 08:19:08 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xa53319… |
| 07-14 08:19:08 | (anonymous) 0xe4de…a93d | Yes | BUY | 109 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xa53319… |
| 07-14 08:19:08 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 77 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xa53319… |
| 07-12 21:50:37 | (anonymous) 0x7a40…aa03 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xfb8f33… |
| 07-12 21:50:37 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 12 | 92¢ | $12 | 0xfb8f33… |
| 07-12 21:49:26 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x09ab9b… |
| 07-12 21:49:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x09ab9b… |
| 07-12 21:49:26 | (anonymous) 0x7a40…aa03 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x09ab9b… |
| 07-11 12:58:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xc5c295… |
| 07-11 12:58:08 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xc5c295… |
| 07-10 14:45:37 | (anonymous) 0x255e…fed1 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x8eecb8… |
| 07-10 14:45:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8eecb8… |
| 07-10 14:45:35 | Exhausted-Pendant 0xe369…0515 | Yes | SELL | 1,112 | 6¢ | $67 | 0xa24ae2… |
| 07-10 14:45:35 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 1,021 | 94¢ | $959 | 0xa24ae2… |
| 07-10 14:45:35 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | SELL | 86 | 94¢ | $81 | 0xa24ae2… |
| 07-10 14:45:35 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xa24ae2… |
| 07-09 23:09:32 | (anonymous) 0x4fdf…ebe9 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x3c9aaa… |
| 07-09 23:09:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x3c9aaa… |
| 07-08 13:48:56 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe0d25b… |
| 07-08 13:48:56 | (anonymous) 0x1f2a…a71a | Yes | SELL | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe0d25b… |
| 07-08 12:39:43 | (anonymous) 0x1f2a…a71a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xd2578e… |
| 07-08 12:39:43 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0xd2578e… |
| 07-08 12:39:02 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xca5dd8… |
| 07-08 12:39:02 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0xca5dd8… |
| 07-08 12:39:02 | (anonymous) 0x1f2a…a71a | Yes | SELL | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xca5dd8… |
| 07-08 12:34:28 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x70de71… |
| 07-08 12:34:28 | (anonymous) 0x1f2a…a71a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x70de71… |
| 07-07 23:39:29 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 1,105 | 91¢ | $1,005 | 0x2672f2… |
| 07-07 23:39:29 | Exhausted-Pendant 0xe369…0515 | Yes | BUY | 1,112 | 9¢ | $100 | 0x2672f2… |
| 07-07 23:39:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x2672f2… |
| 07-07 07:38:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc3f411… |
| 07-07 07:38:32 | (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc3f411… |
| 07-07 07:29:32 | (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xf05422… |
| 07-07 07:29:32 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xf05422… |
| 07-06 00:06:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x53d19f… |
| 07-06 00:06:26 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x53d19f… |
| 07-05 22:31:08 | Nimble-Fun-Maracas 0x3865…fcbe | Yes | BUY | 2,789 | 9¢ | $250 | 0x53bdab… |
| 07-05 22:31:08 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | BUY | 100 | 92¢ | $92 | 0x53bdab… |
| 07-05 22:31:08 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 2,689 | 91¢ | $2,447 | 0x53bdab… |
| 07-05 15:40:58 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | BUY | 100 | 92¢ | $92 | 0x4d83a7… |
| 07-05 15:40:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 45 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x4d83a7… |
| 07-05 15:40:58 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 100 | 92¢ | $92 | 0x4d83a7… |
| 07-05 15:40:58 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 556 | 9¢ | $48 | 0x4d83a7… |
| 07-05 15:40:58 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | BUY | 311 | 91¢ | $283 | 0x4d83a7… |
| 07-05 00:49:23 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | BUY | 90 | 93¢ | $84 | 0xe0b166… |
| 07-05 00:49:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xe0b166… |
| 07-05 00:49:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 45 | 93¢ | $42 | 0xe0b166… |
| 07-05 00:48:46 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | BUY | 45 | 93¢ | $42 | 0xe799c0… |
| 07-05 00:48:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 45 | 93¢ | $42 | 0xe799c0… |
| 07-04 14:58:52 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xf7bb9b… |
| 07-04 14:58:52 | (anonymous) 0x255e…fed1 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xf7bb9b… |
| 07-04 14:58:50 | Rectangular-Audit 0xdcdd…73a5 | Yes | BUY | 1,242 | 8¢ | $100 | 0x662b86… |
| 07-04 14:58:50 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 1,000 | 92¢ | $920 | 0x662b86… |