Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
open
Total volume
$34,470
$151 in 24h
Trades
564
Unique wallets
134
Liquidity
$4,027
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 08-21 17:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.1¢
(top1%: 7% YES on $3.8K
vs crowd: 10% YES on $33.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 20 | $97 | $26.0K | $25.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $696 | $473 | +$223 |
| 🐟 Fish | 26 | $150 | $2.6K | $2.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 73 | $2.4K | $1.5K | +$828 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $256 | $3.6K | $3.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $23 | $712 | $689 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $125 | $232 | $107 |
| Median | 13 | $19 | $527 | $508 |
| Below median | 16 | $44 | $4.6K | $4.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $400 | $32 | +$368 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $9 | $194 | $185 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $60 | $13.7K | $13.6K |
| unranked | 66 | $2.4K | $7.0K | $4.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | No | +13,000 | $11,860 | $11,860 | 36 | 08-11 07:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x6933…cea6 | Yes | +11,159 | $1,080 | $1,080 | 8 | 08-21 13:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xd019…2e9b | Yes | +4,310 | $375 | $375 | 2 | 08-11 07:10 |
| Rectangular-Audit 0xdcdd…73a5 | Yes | +3,905 | $400 | $400 | 3 | 07-04 14:58 |
| Shimmering-Reindeer 0xf6ea…0a00 | No | +3,704 | $3,379 | $3,379 | 11 | 08-21 17:59 |
| Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | +2,810 | $2,381 | $6,254 | 62 | 08-21 17:59 |
| Nimble-Fun-Maracas 0x3865…fcbe | Yes | +2,789 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 07-05 22:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x7845…d36b | Yes | +2,635 | $350 | $350 | 1 | 08-11 07:19 |
| Nice-Perennial 0xcdb1…276c | No | +2,299 | $2,075 | $2,075 | 4 | 08-21 17:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x38cd…2f39 | Yes | +1,929 | $154 | $154 | 3 | 06-24 18:23 |
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | +1,622 | $1,468 | $1,468 | 11 | 08-12 08:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xe4de…a93d | Yes | +1,289 | $64 | $64 | 10 | 08-15 17:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e34…f1a7 | No | +1,288 | $1,202 | $1,202 | 3 | 08-18 05:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x3750…cbdd | Yes | +1,164 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-23 16:54 |
| Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | +1,127 | $959 | $1,899 | 5 | 08-19 15:01 |
| Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | +989 | $911 | $911 | 21 | 07-26 13:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x4600…4e74 | Yes | +720 | $103 | $103 | 3 | 06-17 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x66ca…532d | No | +700 | $662 | $662 | 2 | 08-21 06:37 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +592 | $54 | $60 | 6 | 08-07 11:57 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | +562 | $492 | $492 | 2 | 08-12 09:11 |
| wkjhghjnbvs 0x2ee4…19c4 | No | +540 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-17 22:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x93e7…d447 | Yes | +333 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 08-13 01:19 |
| Separate-Conga 0x2f4e…3d8d | No | +300 | $273 | $273 | 2 | 08-19 13:37 |
| Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | No | +226 | $189 | $189 | 6 | 08-11 07:19 |
| Pointed-Appearance 0x71ed…d9eb | No | +217 | $201 | $201 | 1 | 08-20 04:27 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +205 | $190 | $190 | 3 | 08-20 03:16 |
| Faraway-Schooner 0x641e…b915 | Yes | +143 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-10 08:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2b4…6d66 | Yes | +129 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-04 01:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | +116 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 08-21 17:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x886b…b43d | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-20 10:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | +90 | $5 | $18 | 4 | 08-21 06:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x0f44…f4bd | Yes | +89 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-13 14:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x977f…0981 | No | +80 | $73 | $73 | 1 | 08-19 15:01 |
| suvrajit112 0x9ed6…b7b4 | Yes | +78 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 06-25 22:52 |
| Determined-Gear 0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | +76 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 08-17 12:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x4db0…ef9d | Yes | +66 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-15 17:54 |
| Blank-Initialize 0x151a…0ece | No | +58 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-01 22:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xa428…1a4c | No | +55 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 08-11 07:09 |
| Loving-Fate 0xd50c…3360 | Yes | +50 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-21 05:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x2efb…d22e | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 08-20 22:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x6553…35e2 | Yes | +45 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 08-15 17:54 |
| Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | +33 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 06-14 23:42 |
| Linear-Leaver 0x2811…6818 | No | +32 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 08-12 06:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x81f4…a1cd | Yes | +29 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-19 17:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a40…aa03 | Yes | +26 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-12 21:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c05…7dc7 | Yes | +25 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-09 05:47 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $8 | 8 | 08-18 15:37 |
| Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-18 05:26 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 08-16 13:39 |
| Taut-Dogwood 0x8deb…7062 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-17 11:41 |
| Virtual-Ear 0x36b6…e523 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 08-12 08:54 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-14 23:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xccc9…c59e | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-15 13:39 |
| Idle-Soldier 0x70ff…b65f | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-02 15:09 |
| Long-Term-Telephone 0x450e…4fdd | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 08-12 09:11 |
| Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | +8 | $8 | $37 | 11 | 08-14 18:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x99fe…5705 | No | +8 | $7 | $11 | 3 | 08-12 09:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | +7 | $4 | $349 | 7 | 08-20 04:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xfffa…325f | No | +6 | $6 | $8 | 3 | 08-17 12:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x255e…fed1 | No | +5 | $5 | $7 | 7 | 08-17 15:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 17:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x7febda… |
| 08-21 17:59:03 | Shimmering-Reindeer 0xf6ea…0a00 | No | BUY | 4 | 91¢ | $4 | 0x7febda… |
| 08-21 17:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x7febda… |
| 08-21 17:59:03 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x7febda… |
| 08-21 17:59:03 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 40 | 91¢ | $36 | 0x7febda… |
| 08-21 17:13:31 | Nice-Perennial 0xcdb1…276c | No | BUY | 54 | 92¢ | $49 | 0x5c08d7… |
| 08-21 17:13:31 | (anonymous) 0x2fbb…6e09 | No | SELL | 54 | 92¢ | $49 | 0x5c08d7… |
| 08-21 13:07:45 | (anonymous) 0x6933…cea6 | Yes | BUY | 1,251 | 8¢ | $100 | 0x1af7d7… |
| 08-21 13:07:45 | Nice-Perennial 0xcdb1…276c | No | BUY | 1,246 | 92¢ | $1,146 | 0x1af7d7… |
| 08-21 13:07:45 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x1af7d7… |
| 08-21 06:37:19 | (anonymous) 0x66ca…532d | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0xfd95d4… |
| 08-21 06:37:19 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xfd95d4… |
| 08-21 06:37:19 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0xfd95d4… |
| 08-21 05:06:39 | Loving-Fate 0xd50c…3360 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xf52626… |
| 08-21 05:06:39 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 16 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xf52626… |
| 08-21 05:06:39 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xf52626… |
| 08-20 22:27:33 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xcac478… |
| 08-20 22:27:33 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xcac478… |
| 08-20 22:27:33 | (anonymous) 0x2efb…d22e | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xcac478… |
| 08-20 04:27:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 127 | 93¢ | $118 | 0x87ca26… |
| 08-20 04:27:07 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | SELL | 84 | 93¢ | $79 | 0x87ca26… |
| 08-20 04:27:07 | Pointed-Appearance 0x71ed…d9eb | No | BUY | 217 | 93¢ | $201 | 0x87ca26… |
| 08-20 03:16:06 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xf61770… |
| 08-20 03:16:06 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xf61770… |
| 08-19 15:01:28 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 38 | 91¢ | $34 | 0x179916… |
| 08-19 15:01:28 | Shimmering-Reindeer 0xf6ea…0a00 | No | BUY | 358 | 90¢ | $322 | 0x179916… |
| 08-19 15:01:28 | (anonymous) 0x977f…0981 | No | BUY | 80 | 91¢ | $73 | 0x179916… |
| 08-19 15:01:28 | (anonymous) 0x6933…cea6 | Yes | BUY | 1,057 | 9¢ | $100 | 0x179916… |
| 08-19 15:01:28 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x179916… |
| 08-19 15:01:28 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 127 | 90¢ | $114 | 0x179916… |
| 08-19 13:37:04 | Separate-Conga 0x2f4e…3d8d | No | BUY | 243 | 91¢ | $221 | 0x61fd3e… |
| 08-19 13:37:04 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 86 | 92¢ | $79 | 0x61fd3e… |
| 08-19 13:37:04 | (anonymous) 0x6933…cea6 | Yes | BUY | 1,162 | 9¢ | $100 | 0x61fd3e… |
| 08-19 13:37:04 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 462 | 91¢ | $421 | 0x61fd3e… |
| 08-19 13:37:04 | Shimmering-Reindeer 0xf6ea…0a00 | No | BUY | 350 | 92¢ | $322 | 0x61fd3e… |
| 08-18 15:37:49 | Separate-Conga 0x2f4e…3d8d | No | BUY | 57 | 91¢ | $52 | 0xefb273… |
| 08-18 15:37:49 | (anonymous) 0x6933…cea6 | Yes | BUY | 1,253 | 8¢ | $100 | 0xefb273… |
| 08-18 15:37:49 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xefb273… |
| 08-18 15:37:49 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xefb273… |
| 08-18 15:37:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 137 | 93¢ | $127 | 0xefb273… |
| 08-18 15:37:49 | Shimmering-Reindeer 0xf6ea…0a00 | No | BUY | 400 | 91¢ | $364 | 0xefb273… |
| 08-18 15:37:49 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xefb273… |
| 08-18 15:37:49 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xefb273… |
| 08-18 15:37:49 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | SELL | 89 | 7¢ | $6 | 0xefb273… |
| 08-18 15:37:49 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0xefb273… |
| 08-18 12:28:48 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x533095… |
| 08-18 12:28:48 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 25 | 94¢ | $24 | 0x533095… |
| 08-18 12:28:48 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x533095… |
| 08-18 05:26:07 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xf06d3e… |
| 08-18 05:26:07 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xf06d3e… |
| 08-18 05:26:07 | (anonymous) 0x0e34…f1a7 | No | BUY | 383 | 93¢ | $358 | 0xf06d3e… |
| 08-18 05:26:07 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf06d3e… |
| 08-18 05:26:07 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xf06d3e… |
| 08-18 05:26:07 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xf06d3e… |
| 08-18 05:26:07 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 7¢ | $6 | 0xf06d3e… |
| 08-18 05:26:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0xf06d3e… |
| 08-17 15:24:57 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x733687… |
| 08-17 15:24:57 | (anonymous) 0x255e…fed1 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x733687… |
| 08-17 15:24:55 | (anonymous) 0x56af…4be6 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x2934d7… |
| 08-17 15:24:55 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 12 | 92¢ | $12 | 0x2934d7… |
| 08-17 12:29:01 | (anonymous) 0x255e…fed1 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x785240… |
| 08-17 12:29:01 | (anonymous) 0xfffa…325f | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0xde60da… |
| 08-17 12:29:01 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xde60da… |
| 08-17 12:29:01 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xde60da… |
| 08-17 12:29:01 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x785240… |
| 08-17 12:29:00 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xe352a7… |
| 08-17 12:29:00 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 27 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xe352a7… |
| 08-17 12:29:00 | Determined-Gear 0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 8¢ | $6 | 0xe352a7… |
| 08-17 12:29:00 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xe352a7… |
| 08-17 09:06:16 | (anonymous) 0x2fbb…6e09 | No | BUY | 54 | 93¢ | $50 | 0xc724c6… |
| 08-17 09:06:16 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xc724c6… |
| 08-17 09:06:16 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 27 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xc724c6… |
| 08-16 13:39:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 107 | 92¢ | $98 | 0x663ad4… |
| 08-16 13:39:07 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x663ad4… |
| 08-16 13:39:07 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x663ad4… |
| 08-16 13:39:07 | (anonymous) 0x6933…cea6 | Yes | BUY | 1,224 | 8¢ | $100 | 0x663ad4… |
| 08-16 13:39:07 | Shimmering-Reindeer 0xf6ea…0a00 | No | BUY | 42 | 90¢ | $38 | 0x663ad4… |
| 08-16 13:39:07 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 26 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x663ad4… |
| 08-16 13:39:07 | (anonymous) 0x0e34…f1a7 | No | BUY | 300 | 92¢ | $276 | 0x663ad4… |
| 08-15 17:54:13 | (anonymous) 0x6553…35e2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x2d6b38… |
| 08-15 17:54:13 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x2d6b38… |
| 08-15 17:54:13 | (anonymous) 0x4db0…ef9d | Yes | BUY | 66 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x2d6b38… |
| 08-15 17:54:13 | Circular-Coverage 0x07e0…e1e8 | No | SELL | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0x2d6b38… |
| 08-15 17:54:13 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x2d6b38… |
| 08-15 17:54:13 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x2d6b38… |
| 08-15 17:54:13 | (anonymous) 0xe4de…a93d | Yes | BUY | 666 | 5¢ | $33 | 0x2d6b38… |
| 08-15 17:54:13 | Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | Yes | SELL | 797 | 5¢ | $40 | 0x2d6b38… |
| 08-15 14:12:25 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x11fe53… |
| 08-15 14:12:25 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x11fe53… |
| 08-14 18:56:51 | (anonymous) 0xe4de…a93d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xcdda2e… |
| 08-14 18:56:51 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xcdda2e… |
| 08-14 06:29:45 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x7519d0… |
| 08-14 06:29:45 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 48 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x7519d0… |
| 08-14 06:29:45 | (anonymous) 0xca76…c885 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x7519d0… |
| 08-13 17:07:10 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x6b4200… |
| 08-13 17:07:10 | (anonymous) 0x46b1…428c | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x6b4200… |
| 08-13 14:56:16 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xf0161d… |
| 08-13 14:56:16 | (anonymous) 0x0f44…f4bd | Yes | BUY | 89 | 8¢ | $7 | 0xf0161d… |
| 08-13 14:56:16 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf0161d… |
| 08-13 14:56:16 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xf0161d… |