Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
open
Total volume
$219
$151 in 24h
Trades
57
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$4,027
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-16 18:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-17.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $31
vs crowd: 18% YES on $156)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $11 | $31 | $19 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $1 | $75 | $74 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $5 | $5 | +$0 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $10 | $18 | $8 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $31 | $31 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $7 | $52 | $45 |
| Median | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Below median | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $13 | $13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $1 | $27 | $26 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| unranked | 10 | $10 | $5 | +$5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blank-Initialize 0x151a…0ece | No | +58 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-01 22:04 |
| Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | +33 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 06-14 23:42 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +27 | $1 | $13 | 9 | 06-14 23:42 |
| Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | No | +26 | $23 | $23 | 4 | 06-03 13:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c05…7dc7 | Yes | +25 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-09 05:47 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-14 23:43 |
| Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $4 | 5 | 06-14 23:43 |
| Idle-Soldier 0x70ff…b65f | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-02 15:09 |
| Grand-Someone 0xe575…99b4 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-02 04:38 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 22:04 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 10:15 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +11 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 06-16 18:47 |
| Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 22:04 |
| Forthright-Bloomer 0x1fcd…816d | No | +10 | $9 | $18 | 4 | 05-29 23:03 |
| Brief-Defeat 0x5fae…989c | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 08:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xd129…3253 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 00:40 |
| Frivolous-Charm 0xed19…cb5e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-14 23:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | +4 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 06-11 01:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 18:47:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x2889b3… |
| 06-16 18:47:52 | (anonymous) 0xfb07…9295 | No | SELL | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x2889b3… |
| 06-14 23:43:12 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x093adb… |
| 06-14 23:43:12 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x093adb… |
| 06-14 23:42:49 | Frivolous-Charm 0xed19…cb5e | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x6e0849… |
| 06-14 23:42:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x6e0849… |
| 06-14 23:42:18 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xbb0918… |
| 06-14 23:42:18 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xbb0918… |
| 06-14 23:42:18 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xbb0918… |
| 06-14 23:42:18 | Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | BUY | 33 | 93¢ | $31 | 0xbb0918… |
| 06-14 17:50:51 | (anonymous) 0x97d4…7b65 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xf05d55… |
| 06-14 17:50:51 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xf05d55… |
| 06-14 06:45:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xb16791… |
| 06-14 06:45:13 | (anonymous) 0x97d4…7b65 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xb16791… |
| 06-12 05:13:12 | (anonymous) 0xaf66…9e5c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x972dc0… |
| 06-12 05:13:12 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x972dc0… |
| 06-11 09:17:13 | Robust-Fox 0xdc17…c4ab | Yes | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xdcf90d… |
| 06-11 09:17:13 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xdcf90d… |
| 06-11 01:41:12 | (anonymous) 0xaf66…9e5c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x203428… |
| 06-11 01:41:12 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x203428… |
| 06-09 10:15:19 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xbe8ab3… |
| 06-09 10:15:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xbe8ab3… |
| 06-09 10:15:19 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xbe8ab3… |
| 06-09 10:15:19 | Traumatic-Yogurt 0x0b46…625f | Yes | SELL | 51 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xbe8ab3… |
| 06-09 05:47:33 | (anonymous) 0x4c05…7dc7 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xe4b3fd… |
| 06-09 05:47:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xe4b3fd… |
| 06-09 05:25:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xcb75d1… |
| 06-09 05:25:10 | (anonymous) 0x4c05…7dc7 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xcb75d1… |
| 06-03 13:16:32 | (anonymous) 0x7143…aa89 | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x0229f1… |
| 06-03 13:16:32 | Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x0229f1… |
| 06-02 15:09:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x42453f… |
| 06-02 15:09:06 | (anonymous) 0x83ca…d9cb | Yes | SELL | 30 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x42453f… |
| 06-02 15:09:06 | Idle-Soldier 0x70ff…b65f | Yes | BUY | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x42453f… |
| 06-02 04:38:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xc003a8… |
| 06-02 04:38:08 | Grand-Someone 0xe575…99b4 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xc003a8… |
| 06-01 22:04:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x638d03… |
| 06-01 22:04:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x638d03… |
| 06-01 22:04:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x638d03… |
| 06-01 22:04:19 | Blank-Initialize 0x151a…0ece | No | BUY | 58 | 91¢ | $52 | 0x638d03… |
| 06-01 22:04:19 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x638d03… |
| 06-01 06:27:15 | (anonymous) 0x57c8…69eb | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb53a20… |
| 06-01 06:27:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xb53a20… |
| 06-01 06:27:15 | Idle-Soldier 0x70ff…b65f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xb53a20… |
| 05-31 06:37:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xcf8a8e… |
| 05-31 06:37:23 | (anonymous) 0x7143…aa89 | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xcf8a8e… |
| 05-29 23:03:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x1caa2c… |
| 05-29 23:03:24 | Forthright-Bloomer 0x1fcd…816d | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x1caa2c… |
| 05-29 21:56:19 | Forthright-Bloomer 0x1fcd…816d | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xb8a383… |
| 05-29 21:56:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xb8a383… |
| 05-29 21:14:08 | Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x6529c8… |
| 05-29 21:14:08 | Forthright-Bloomer 0x1fcd…816d | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x6529c8… |
| 05-29 21:08:23 | Forthright-Bloomer 0x1fcd…816d | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x81a396… |
| 05-29 21:08:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x81a396… |
| 05-29 08:26:54 | Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x9c4329… |
| 05-29 08:26:54 | Brief-Defeat 0x5fae…989c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x9c4329… |
| 05-29 00:40:56 | Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x571294… |
| 05-29 00:40:56 | (anonymous) 0xd129…3253 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x571294… |