Realized P&L
+$19
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
9
Trades
1,115
lifetime
Volume
$6.48K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$326
18 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 07-24 12:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
50% 100% +$7
Politics
28% 100% +$12
Tech
17%
Sports
3%
Pop-Culture
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +74 $73 100¢ $73 +$0 07-19 20:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +123 $80 52¢ $63 $-17 07-12 20:25
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +81 $45 72¢ $58 +$13 07-21 19:46
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -25 $-20 93¢ $-23 $-3 06-12 14:16
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No +19 $16 94¢ $18 +$1 07-21 22:16
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +40 $21 40¢ $16 $-5 07-21 18:46
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +14 $12 92¢ $13 +$0 07-17 10:16
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +15 $13 82¢ $12 $-1 07-21 14:46
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +12 $10 88¢ $11 +$0 06-22 14:18
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +11 $4 68¢ $7 +$3 07-21 05:16
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +8 $7 84¢ $7 $-0 07-18 17:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 07-19 08:46
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $-0 07-16 17:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -5 $-4 94¢ $-5 $-0 06-09 22:17
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 92¢ $-5 $-0 06-09 22:17
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 06-22 11:47
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +11 $1 20¢ $2 +$1 07-23 08:46
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +10 $2 15¢ $1 $-1 06-19 18:18