Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,500

lifetime

Volume

$7.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 08-14 00:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

51% 100% +$7

Politics

28% 100% +$12

Tech

18% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	17	$563	362	206	+156	open	—	04-13 07:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	27	$274	154	126	+28	open	—	04-13 07:15
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	48	$217	221	9	+212	open	—	03-07 06:47
trump out as president by march 31	43	$212	218	0	+218	open	—	03-06 09:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	28	$208	187	136	+51	open	—	08-13 15:46
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	33	$194	111	88	+23	open	—	03-18 17:55
will openai ipo by july 31 2026	10	$176	90	90	+0	open	—	07-16 17:16
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	16	$172	119	54	+65	open	—	04-13 07:15
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	31	$166	165	2	+163	open	—	03-05 22:26
will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	26	$152	81	76	+6	open	—	08-10 16:16
Trump out as President by April 30?	15	$150	152	0	+152	open	—	04-12 10:17
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	33	$130	110	21	+89	open	—	03-06 10:14
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	9	$117	74	44	+29	open	—	07-29 18:16
will openai ipo by august 31 2026	34	$104	58	51	+7	open	—	08-13 17:46
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	16	$100	91	14	+78	Yes	+$4	04-13 07:15
Iran Nuke before 2027?	20	$99	54	54	+0	open	—	07-12 20:24
Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	7	$93	80	14	+67	open	—	04-12 10:17
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	16	$91	75	20	+55	open	—	04-12 10:17
will sofi technologies sofi be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	19	$91	92	0	+92	open	—	03-27 02:20
will elon musk pay tsa salaries	11	$86	87	0	+87	open	—	04-13 07:15
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	10	$81	48	34	+14	open	—	07-31 11:16
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	13	$81	61	21	+40	open	—	04-12 10:17
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	13	$80	41	41	+0	No	+$1	04-05 22:48
iran leadership change by august 31 669	9	$74	39	39	-0	open	—	08-07 16:47
will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	8	$72	60	14	+46	open	—	08-07 02:46
will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	22	$72	67	5	+62	open	—	03-18 21:45
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	16	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	08-13 00:16
Fed rate hike in 2026?	7	$69	110	12	+98	open	—	08-12 12:46
us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	10	$69	41	29	+13	open	—	08-08 16:16
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	12	$69	37	34	+3	open	—	07-27 18:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 00:16:37	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x590b08…
08-13 22:46:43	will kuwait recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb7f902…
08-13 17:46:57	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x39e839…
08-13 15:46:48	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by august 31 20260730185522346	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x743e26…
08-13 15:46:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xa46c35…
08-13 15:16:52	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1e793b…
08-13 12:46:46	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0b08f5…
08-13 12:16:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa31ffc…
08-13 11:46:43	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc9aba6…
08-13 10:16:39	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x40f62b…
08-13 08:46:39	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x026cfc…
08-13 08:16:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x5be9ee…
08-13 08:16:48	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x8bf781…
08-13 08:16:48	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x343155…
08-13 08:16:46	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa0116e…
08-13 06:46:40	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xadc4a3…
08-13 05:16:40	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xc61e45…
08-13 04:46:39	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x4dc025…
08-13 04:16:36	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x719a32…
08-13 02:46:36	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xb29f79…
08-13 00:46:39	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xf7bdb2…
08-13 00:16:36	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x65e9ba…
08-13 00:16:36	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x26b267…
08-12 23:46:39	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x45556f…
08-12 23:16:37	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x06dce9…
08-12 22:46:39	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xd9f2a2…
08-12 22:16:37	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x91e423…
08-12 21:16:48	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x54a73d…
08-12 21:16:48	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Islam Makhachev	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x24d859…
08-12 21:16:46	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x49114f…
08-12 21:16:46	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3fc22c…
08-12 19:46:43	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd4d8a4…
08-12 19:16:51	kimi k4 released by october 31 2026 20260722184115884	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x69d07e…
08-12 19:16:51	kimi k4 released by october 31 2026 20260722184115884	No	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x5b0b58…
08-12 19:16:49	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0xd66aa7…
08-12 19:16:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa55d1a…
08-12 18:16:51	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x971264…
08-12 14:16:55	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0xc09af6…
08-12 14:16:54	will grok 5 be released by august 31 2026 20260710195520921	No	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0xcf0d86…
08-12 12:46:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x79b714…
08-12 12:16:51	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x04320c…
08-12 11:46:51	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x03dcfb…
08-12 10:46:57	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x88d11a…
08-12 09:46:43	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe4008b…
08-12 09:46:43	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x33d498…
08-12 09:16:51	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8b97b2…
08-12 08:46:37	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x91bab7…
08-12 08:16:40	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Islam Makhachev	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd14d26…
08-12 06:46:42	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x7d9715…
08-12 06:46:42	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x16cf6d…
08-12 01:16:39	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x77938a…
08-11 23:16:37	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x6140d2…
08-11 21:16:45	will anthropic ipo by september 15 2026 415	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x64006c…
08-11 21:16:45	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3a9c78…
08-11 21:16:45	will no press briefing air by august 31 20260723172550028	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x290b8f…
08-11 20:46:58	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0xdef9e7…
08-11 20:46:57	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by august 31 20260730185522346	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xaf2886…
08-11 20:46:57	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x695f2c…
08-11 20:46:55	ukraine election called by august 31 2026	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xcab9dc…
08-11 18:46:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x9a0210…
08-11 17:16:49	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x7f75e5…
08-11 17:16:49	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x498448…
08-11 15:46:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xf8fd81…
08-11 15:46:51	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xb0681c…
08-11 15:17:00	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xbbe905…
08-11 15:17:00	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x6e7043…
08-11 14:46:49	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x774db3…
08-11 12:46:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0xafb747…
08-11 12:17:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x3175af…
08-11 11:46:55	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x107ee1…
08-11 11:17:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x88be99…
08-11 11:17:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0x8a9e8a…
08-11 11:17:07	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x18508a…
08-11 11:17:06	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xc5fc74…
08-11 11:17:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x81b442…
08-11 09:46:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x7276c2…
08-11 09:46:54	will russia enter dobropillia by october 31	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x3755e9…
08-11 09:46:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x72fb9e…
08-11 09:17:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x55d243…
08-11 08:16:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x3c9ff4…
08-11 07:16:51	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x22447e…
08-11 07:16:48	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x054a6b…
08-11 05:16:36	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x3eaee9…
08-11 02:16:36	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xf9e4c8…
08-11 00:46:37	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x99e550…
08-10 23:16:37	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x743faa…
08-10 22:46:33	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xee4bae…
08-10 21:16:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x1bd969…
08-10 20:46:48	Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x7ac223…
08-10 18:46:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x6af9d3…
08-10 18:16:55	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8f08e8…
08-10 18:16:54	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0xccd95a…
08-10 17:16:52	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x81873c…
08-10 16:46:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0xb5fcb8…
08-10 16:16:46	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa16fcc…
08-10 11:16:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2a3274…
08-10 10:47:10	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x05c89f…
08-10 09:16:43	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x565790…
08-10 09:16:42	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x8bec73…
08-10 07:46:40	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by august 31	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xc4ac1b…