Realized P&L
+$19
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
9
Trades
951
lifetime
Volume
$5.55K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$119
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 06-22 15:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
49% 100% +$7
Politics
29% 100% +$12
Tech
18%
Sports
4%
Pop-Culture
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +33 $23 80¢ $26 +$3 06-17 18:46
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -25 $-20 94¢ $-24 $-3 06-12 14:16
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +24 $21 94¢ $23 +$1 06-22 14:46
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +22 $21 94¢ $21 $-0 06-13 17:46
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +12 $10 88¢ $11 +$0 06-22 14:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -5 $-4 94¢ $-5 $-0 06-09 22:17
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 88¢ $-4 $-0 06-09 22:17
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 06-22 11:47
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 06-22 03:46
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +10 $2 18¢ $2 $-0 06-19 18:18
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 06-11 13:50