Realized P&L
+$270
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
70.3%
Resolved
333
Trades
2,544
lifetime
Volume
$43.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$1.30K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 10-25 23:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 100 days
Categories
Other
76% 84% +$107
Politics
19% 75% +$153
Tech
5% 84% +$5
Sports
1% 72% +$3
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026 No +431 $393 97¢ $420 +$27 09-19 08:17
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +115 $108 96¢ $111 +$3 09-11 17:47
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +109 $95 90¢ $99 +$4 09-18 08:17
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +111 $91 86¢ $96 +$5 09-10 12:47
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +105 $95 86¢ $91 -$4 09-18 11:17
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +88 $82 95¢ $84 +$2 09-17 11:47
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? No +72 $72 98¢ $71 -$1 09-19 10:47
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? No +63 $62 97¢ $61 -$1 09-19 10:17
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No +50 $47 96¢ $48 +$1 09-17 01:17
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +36 $34 94¢ $34 +$0 09-18 12:17
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No +32 $30 95¢ $31 +$1 09-18 11:17
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +28 $26 97¢ $27 +$1 09-16 22:16
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No +19 $16 92¢ $18 +$1 07-21 22:16
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +14 $13 97¢ $13 +$0 08-08 23:16
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +18 $16 73¢ $13 -$2 09-13 00:47
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +14 $12 94¢ $13 +$1 07-17 10:16
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +12 $10 93¢ $11 +$1 08-10 20:46
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +12 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 06-22 14:18
lindsay clancy convicted of murder No +10 $4 96¢ $9 +$5 08-21 18:47
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +151 $5 4¢ $6 +$1 08-24 17:51
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +74 $12 8¢ $6 -$6 09-10 12:47
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 08-20 15:17
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$4 97¢ $-5 -$1 06-09 22:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -5 -$4 96¢ $-5 $0 06-09 22:17
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$0 08-03 07:46
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +5 $4 92¢ $4 +$0 08-18 03:17
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 96¢ $4 +$0 09-13 15:17
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +82 $1 1¢ $1 $0 09-13 03:17
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 08-17 13:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +23 $6 4¢ $1 -$5 08-15 11:46