Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
open
Total volume
$167
Trades
26
Unique wallets
11
Liquidity
$11,195
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-11 11:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-6.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $84
vs crowd: 6% YES on $106)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $89 | $89 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $6 | $9 | $4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $84 | $84 |
| Median | 3 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 2 | $3 | $9 | $6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| unranked | 3 | $3 | — | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | +94 | $84 | $84 | 8 | 06-11 11:42 |
| Hidden-Sport 0x838b…46ed | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-02 23:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x619d…e06b | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 11:02 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 22:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 11:42:36 | Murky-Entrance 0x61e9…425a | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xc60a44… |
| 06-11 11:42:36 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xc60a44… |
| 06-11 11:02:06 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 15 | 90¢ | $14 | 0x1a0513… |
| 06-11 11:02:06 | (anonymous) 0x619d…e06b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x1a0513… |
| 06-08 08:03:48 | (anonymous) 0x8c4a…fe32 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x5b9d24… |
| 06-08 08:03:48 | Quick-Therapist 0x312b…cafe | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x5b9d24… |
| 06-07 19:41:30 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xe935e4… |
| 06-07 19:41:30 | Likely-Measles 0x76b0…417d | No | SELL | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xe935e4… |
| 06-07 08:58:57 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x44b0db… |
| 06-07 08:58:57 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x44b0db… |
| 06-07 08:54:54 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x930816… |
| 06-07 08:54:54 | Quick-Therapist 0x312b…cafe | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x930816… |
| 06-06 18:51:37 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x6d11d0… |
| 06-06 18:51:37 | (anonymous) 0x8c4a…fe32 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x6d11d0… |
| 06-04 01:24:46 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 12 | 90¢ | $11 | 0xe95dcc… |
| 06-04 01:24:46 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | SELL | 12 | 90¢ | $11 | 0xe95dcc… |
| 06-02 23:42:33 | Hidden-Sport 0x838b…46ed | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xf48896… |
| 06-02 23:42:33 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0xf48896… |
| 06-01 05:35:55 | Likely-Measles 0x76b0…417d | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x1c7e2b… |
| 06-01 05:35:55 | Quick-Therapist 0x312b…cafe | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x1c7e2b… |
| 05-29 18:16:38 | Diligent-Thousand 0xbc72…b99a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x344c4b… |
| 05-29 18:16:38 | Quick-Therapist 0x312b…cafe | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x344c4b… |
| 05-28 22:13:35 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x12e280… |
| 05-28 22:13:35 | Quick-Therapist 0x312b…cafe | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x12e280… |
| 05-28 16:50:32 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x9e2904… |
| 05-28 16:50:32 | Diligent-Thousand 0xbc72…b99a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x9e2904… |