Arctic-Kickoff 0xa66790…aaceb3 Create alert
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$13.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$14.7K
Hit rate
79.1%
Resolved
18,875
Trades
107,107
lifetime
Volume
$3.87M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$237.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 22:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 310 days
Categories
Other
49% 72% +$15,152
Politics
33% 69% -$293
Crypto
9% 73% +$1,814
Sports
8% 66% -$3,583
Tech
1% 74% +$83
Pop-Culture
0% 72% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1241 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -24,107 -$23,644 99¢ $-23951 -$307 11-02 16:36
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +24,333 $23,347 98¢ $23.9K +$536 08-02 22:26
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +22,570 $21,034 98¢ $22.0K +$983 08-31 20:46
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +20,937 $19,988 98¢ $20.6K +$582 09-16 20:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15,247 $12,750 88¢ $13.3K +$591 10-01 14:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +11,133 $10,599 98¢ $10.9K +$284 07-17 22:20
Trump out as President before 2027? No +10,581 $9,864 96¢ $10.2K +$341 09-16 21:51
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +9,576 $8,889 98¢ $9.4K +$515 08-16 05:23
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +8,167 $7,176 98¢ $8.0K +$839 07-04 23:00
US recession by end of 2026? No +7,432 $6,759 96¢ $7.1K +$338 10-08 00:23
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +6,529 $6,115 97¢ $6.4K +$241 09-22 06:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +6,437 $5,824 97¢ $6.3K +$429 11-04 19:08
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +6,060 $5,486 99¢ $6.0K +$490 07-30 22:47
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +5,257 $4,625 97¢ $5.1K +$461 10-03 21:46
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +5,106 $4,884 98¢ $5.0K +$143 08-11 22:24
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +5,047 $4,735 97¢ $4.9K +$183 09-22 06:41
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +5,302 $4,626 92¢ $4.9K +$225 11-04 23:49
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4,672 $4,666 100¢ $4.7K -$3 11-01 11:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4,645 $4,184 96¢ $4.4K +$258 09-10 22:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +4,890 $1,980 90¢ $4.4K +$2,397 11-04 17:03
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +4,444 $3,501 97¢ $4.3K +$829 09-17 19:02
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +4,210 $1,509 100¢ $4.2K +$2,694 11-03 16:50
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +4,244 $3,807 97¢ $4.1K +$305 10-14 20:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4,083 $3,836 98¢ $4.0K +$176 09-13 21:38
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +3,567 $3,281 98¢ $3.5K +$213 09-14 21:19
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +3,554 $3,366 96¢ $3.4K +$44 11-04 17:03
New pandemic in 2026? No +3,360 $3,117 98¢ $3.3K +$181 10-30 15:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3,545 $2,961 92¢ $3.3K +$318 11-01 19:49
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +3,334 $2,834 97¢ $3.2K +$408 08-19 12:13
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +2,997 $2,960 99¢ $3.0K +$15 11-05 20:14