Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$782
$770 in 24h
Trades
57
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$4,628
Latest YES mid
34¢
Latest NO mid
66¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-07 19:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-36.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $82
vs crowd: 37% YES on $603)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $44 | $28 | +$16 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $66 | $95 | $29 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $102 | $258 | $156 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $82 | $82 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $29 | $28 | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| Median | 2 | — | $14 | $14 |
| Below median | 2 | $99 | — | +$99 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $60 | $13 | +$47 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 4 | $13 | $244 | $231 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precious-Identity 0xcd3e…ae81 | No | +326 | $230 | $230 | 5 | 06-05 14:12 |
| Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | +290 | $90 | $90 | 9 | 06-06 23:00 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +75 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 06-05 14:12 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +47 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 06-04 16:55 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | +37 | $24 | $104 | 2 | 06-07 19:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-30 16:31 |
| Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | No | +25 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-30 16:31 |
| Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | No | +22 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-03 21:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xd49e…da8b | Yes | +22 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-04 16:55 |
| Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | +20 | $9 | $60 | 4 | 06-07 19:25 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-28 14:15 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | +20 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-30 00:02 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +15 | $4 | $14 | 4 | 06-07 16:23 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 16:23 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +10 | $4 | $15 | 3 | 06-07 19:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-07 19:25:04 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x87dae7… |
| 06-07 19:25:04 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | SELL | 59 | 68¢ | $40 | 0x87dae7… |
| 06-07 19:25:04 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 79 | 32¢ | $25 | 0x87dae7… |
| 06-07 16:23:46 | Jolly-Ladle 0x6d2b…129b | Yes | SELL | 40 | 31¢ | $12 | 0xcfbb70… |
| 06-07 16:23:46 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0xcfbb70… |
| 06-07 16:23:46 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 31¢ | $5 | 0xcfbb70… |
| 06-07 16:23:46 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 15 | 31¢ | $5 | 0xcfbb70… |
| 06-06 23:06:40 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | No | SELL | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x315eb7… |
| 06-06 23:06:40 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | BUY | 96 | 67¢ | $64 | 0x315eb7… |
| 06-06 23:06:40 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 33¢ | $25 | 0x315eb7… |
| 06-06 23:00:31 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 44 | 30¢ | $13 | 0x8e8e52… |
| 06-06 23:00:31 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x8e8e52… |
| 06-06 23:00:31 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x8e8e52… |
| 06-06 23:00:31 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0x8e8e52… |
| 06-05 15:41:10 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xc89539… |
| 06-05 15:41:10 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xc89539… |
| 06-05 15:41:10 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 37 | 27¢ | $10 | 0xc89539… |
| 06-05 15:06:24 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xe6d1eb… |
| 06-05 15:06:24 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xe6d1eb… |
| 06-05 14:12:10 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 50 | 27¢ | $14 | 0x21da49… |
| 06-05 14:12:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 28¢ | $13 | 0x21da49… |
| 06-05 14:12:10 | Precious-Identity 0xcd3e…ae81 | No | BUY | 138 | 73¢ | $100 | 0x21da49… |
| 06-05 14:12:10 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 15 | 28¢ | $4 | 0x21da49… |
| 06-05 14:12:10 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 26¢ | $4 | 0x21da49… |
| 06-05 14:12:10 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x21da49… |
| 06-04 16:55:51 | (anonymous) 0xd49e…da8b | Yes | BUY | 22 | 46¢ | $10 | 0x212076… |
| 06-04 16:55:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 22 | 54¢ | $12 | 0x212076… |
| 06-03 21:55:28 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 22 | 36¢ | $8 | 0x3dbe10… |
| 06-03 21:55:28 | Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | No | BUY | 22 | 64¢ | $14 | 0x3dbe10… |
| 05-31 17:28:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 25 | 66¢ | $16 | 0x0fcfa3… |
| 05-31 17:28:06 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 25 | 34¢ | $8 | 0x0fcfa3… |
| 05-31 16:59:22 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | SELL | 30 | 31¢ | $9 | 0xc1a49c… |
| 05-31 16:59:22 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 30 | 31¢ | $9 | 0xc1a49c… |
| 05-31 16:58:38 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 39 | 31¢ | $12 | 0xbb69dd… |
| 05-31 16:58:38 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 31¢ | $12 | 0xbb69dd… |
| 05-31 15:48:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 28¢ | $8 | 0x1e55ff… |
| 05-31 15:48:31 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | BUY | 30 | 28¢ | $8 | 0x1e55ff… |
| 05-31 15:48:31 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 26¢ | $10 | 0x1e55ff… |
| 05-31 15:48:31 | Precious-Identity 0xcd3e…ae81 | No | BUY | 138 | 73¢ | $100 | 0x1e55ff… |
| 05-31 15:48:31 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | SELL | 40 | 72¢ | $29 | 0x1e55ff… |
| 05-30 16:31:09 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 29¢ | $7 | 0x63a0f7… |
| 05-30 16:31:09 | Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | No | BUY | 25 | 71¢ | $18 | 0x63a0f7… |
| 05-30 00:02:19 | Precious-Identity 0xcd3e…ae81 | No | BUY | 17 | 60¢ | $10 | 0x254123… |
| 05-30 00:02:19 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x254123… |
| 05-30 00:02:19 | Warm-Basement 0x4676…b720 | No | SELL | 7 | 59¢ | $4 | 0x254123… |
| 05-30 00:02:10 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 40¢ | $5 | 0xf4710f… |
| 05-30 00:02:10 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | BUY | 3 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xf4710f… |
| 05-30 00:02:10 | Precious-Identity 0xcd3e…ae81 | No | BUY | 17 | 60¢ | $10 | 0xf4710f… |
| 05-30 00:02:05 | Precious-Identity 0xcd3e…ae81 | No | BUY | 17 | 59¢ | $10 | 0x0f556f… |
| 05-30 00:02:05 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | BUY | 17 | 41¢ | $7 | 0x0f556f… |
| 05-28 14:15:08 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 17 | 36¢ | $6 | 0x8909a6… |
| 05-28 14:15:08 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | BUY | 17 | 64¢ | $11 | 0x8909a6… |
| 05-28 09:01:03 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xf5f8ba… |
| 05-28 09:01:03 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | BUY | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0xf5f8ba… |
| 05-28 09:01:03 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xf5f8ba… |
| 05-27 20:08:43 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 26 | 34¢ | $9 | 0xebad60… |
| 05-27 20:08:43 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 34¢ | $9 | 0xebad60… |