Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$4,301
$770 in 24h
Trades
305
Unique wallets
82
Liquidity
$4,628
Latest YES mid
66¢
Latest NO mid
34¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-14 04:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.9¢
(top1%: 52% YES on $218
vs crowd: 53% YES on $2.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $309 | $280 | +$29 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 23 | $374 | $466 | $92 |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $312 | $40 | +$272 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 32 | $514 | $558 | $44 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $113 | $104 | +$9 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $128 | $257 | $129 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $121 | $14 | +$107 |
| Median | 9 | $67 | $160 | $93 |
| Below median | 15 | $301 | $65 | +$236 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $29 | $12 | +$16 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $186 | $292 | $106 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $63 | $36 | +$28 |
| unranked | 26 | $500 | $404 | +$96 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daring-President 0x2c41…133e | No | +751 | $270 | $270 | 1 | 07-20 18:58 |
| Precious-Identity 0xcd3e…ae81 | No | +467 | $300 | $300 | 9 | 08-13 13:15 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +382 | $199 | $199 | 15 | 08-09 02:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x63ca…4bdf | Yes | +302 | $141 | $275 | 16 | 08-07 23:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xce38…1325 | Yes | +278 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-22 21:41 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +250 | $101 | $103 | 9 | 08-13 15:33 |
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | Yes | +205 | $103 | $103 | 6 | 08-13 13:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x7cdc…5759 | No | +164 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-26 17:53 |
| Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | Yes | +99 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 07-20 07:36 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +73 | $37 | $42 | 5 | 08-14 04:14 |
| Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | +62 | $-21 | $248 | 4 | 07-22 21:41 |
| Klutzy-Haste 0x983f…fd5e | No | +60 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 07-08 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | +60 | $33 | $33 | 3 | 07-15 13:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | +56 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 07-11 19:18 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +55 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 06-20 21:36 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +55 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 06-20 21:33 |
| Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | No | +52 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 06-20 21:33 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +50 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 07-20 18:58 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | +46 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 08-06 09:51 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | +46 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 08-08 11:29 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +35 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-23 21:48 |
| Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | +33 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 08-06 06:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | +30 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 07-20 18:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xd49e…da8b | Yes | +22 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-04 16:55 |
| Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | Yes | +21 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-08 23:10 |
| Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | +20 | $9 | $76 | 6 | 06-25 23:03 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-28 14:15 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | +20 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-30 00:02 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +15 | $9 | $72 | 14 | 07-08 23:01 |
| Warped-Compromise 0x8bfd…6cef | Yes | +13 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-13 14:59 |
| Cultured-Programming 0xa200…27b0 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 08-14 04:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-22 21:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xc24f…220b | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-09 22:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-13 13:15 |
| Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-06 23:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xed33…7ea1 | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-25 12:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x97b4…d794 | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-10 14:26 |
| Hidden-Sport 0x838b…46ed | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x8fc0…5a60 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 14:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xa093…7e5c | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-19 21:10 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +2 | $-1 | $51 | 3 | 08-03 01:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x240e…9f68 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-13 12:34 |
| Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | No | +1 | $0 | $10 | 5 | 07-20 17:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 04:14:09 | Cultured-Programming 0xa200…27b0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x3ee669… |
| 08-14 04:14:09 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x3ee669… |
| 08-13 15:34:36 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x02e077… |
| 08-13 15:34:36 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x02e077… |
| 08-13 15:34:33 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x9fa931… |
| 08-13 15:34:33 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x9fa931… |
| 08-13 15:33:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x4c9231… |
| 08-13 15:33:39 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x4c9231… |
| 08-13 13:15:13 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 50¢ | $8 | 0xbe1791… |
| 08-13 13:15:13 | Precious-Identity 0xcd3e…ae81 | No | BUY | 40 | 49¢ | $20 | 0xbe1791… |
| 08-13 13:15:13 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xbe1791… |
| 08-13 13:15:13 | (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xbe1791… |
| 08-13 13:15:13 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xbe1791… |
| 08-13 13:15:13 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0xbe1791… |
| 08-09 07:24:21 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x94c0a5… |
| 08-09 07:24:21 | Cultured-Programming 0xa200…27b0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x94c0a5… |
| 08-09 02:39:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 18 | 50¢ | $9 | 0xbfbc72… |
| 08-09 02:39:10 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 50¢ | $9 | 0xbfbc72… |
| 08-08 23:36:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x9582c5… |
| 08-08 23:36:45 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x9582c5… |
| 08-08 20:28:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 46¢ | $12 | 0xc6c3b8… |
| 08-08 20:28:37 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0xc6c3b8… |
| 08-08 20:28:37 | Precious-Identity 0xcd3e…ae81 | No | BUY | 37 | 54¢ | $20 | 0xc6c3b8… |
| 08-08 20:01:16 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x07ab23… |
| 08-08 20:01:16 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x07ab23… |
| 08-08 16:54:37 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x36fde6… |
| 08-08 16:54:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x36fde6… |
| 08-08 11:29:19 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x04a4dd… |
| 08-08 11:29:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x04a4dd… |
| 08-07 23:27:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 7 | 47¢ | $3 | 0x2f61f8… |
| 08-07 23:27:55 | (anonymous) 0x63ca…4bdf | Yes | BUY | 7 | 53¢ | $4 | 0x2f61f8… |
| 08-07 23:27:19 | (anonymous) 0x63ca…4bdf | Yes | BUY | 30 | 54¢ | $16 | 0x7f4a5e… |
| 08-07 23:27:19 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | BUY | 30 | 46¢ | $14 | 0x7f4a5e… |
| 08-07 09:50:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xb687ef… |
| 08-07 09:50:12 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xb687ef… |
| 08-06 23:24:26 | Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | No | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x8a8d28… |
| 08-06 23:24:26 | (anonymous) 0x5640…2edf | No | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x8a8d28… |
| 08-06 23:17:57 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 53¢ | $0 | 0xeef60a… |
| 08-06 23:17:57 | (anonymous) 0x63ca…4bdf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xeef60a… |
| 08-06 23:17:57 | (anonymous) 0x5640…2edf | No | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xeef60a… |
| 08-06 23:16:53 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0x8cd8d4… |
| 08-06 23:16:53 | (anonymous) 0x63ca…4bdf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0x8cd8d4… |
| 08-06 10:14:02 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | SELL | 35 | 48¢ | $17 | 0x3a449f… |
| 08-06 10:14:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 35 | 48¢ | $17 | 0x3a449f… |
| 08-06 10:08:56 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 52¢ | $10 | 0x7cc26e… |
| 08-06 10:08:56 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x7cc26e… |
| 08-06 09:51:11 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 54¢ | $22 | 0xbc778b… |
| 08-06 09:51:11 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | BUY | 40 | 54¢ | $22 | 0xbc778b… |
| 08-06 09:21:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0xab44d0… |
| 08-06 09:21:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0xab44d0… |
| 08-06 08:02:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0xa79fa3… |
| 08-06 08:02:41 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0xa79fa3… |
| 08-06 06:49:51 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x716c20… |
| 08-06 06:49:51 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 59¢ | $10 | 0x716c20… |
| 08-06 06:49:51 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x716c20… |
| 08-06 06:49:51 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | No | SELL | 60 | 40¢ | $24 | 0x716c20… |
| 08-06 06:49:51 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | BUY | 33 | 39¢ | $13 | 0x716c20… |
| 08-04 09:26:02 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 43¢ | $4 | 0xa9fc2c… |
| 08-04 09:26:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 57¢ | $6 | 0xa9fc2c… |
| 08-03 01:24:51 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 59¢ | $26 | 0xaa2230… |
| 08-03 01:24:51 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 59¢ | $4 | 0xaa2230… |
| 08-03 01:24:51 | (anonymous) 0x63ca…4bdf | Yes | BUY | 51 | 59¢ | $30 | 0xaa2230… |
| 07-26 17:53:57 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | SELL | 11 | 68¢ | $7 | 0x67b789… |
| 07-26 17:53:57 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x67b789… |
| 07-26 17:53:57 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 31¢ | $7 | 0x67b789… |
| 07-26 17:53:57 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 24 | 59¢ | $14 | 0x67b789… |
| 07-26 17:53:57 | (anonymous) 0x7cdc…5759 | No | BUY | 164 | 61¢ | $100 | 0x67b789… |
| 07-26 17:53:57 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x67b789… |
| 07-26 17:53:57 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 1 | 48¢ | $0 | 0x67b789… |
| 07-26 17:53:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 42¢ | $40 | 0x67b789… |
| 07-25 12:58:33 | (anonymous) 0xed33…7ea1 | No | BUY | 4 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x3f511d… |
| 07-25 12:58:33 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 4 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x3f511d… |
| 07-23 08:28:21 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 6 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x1611c3… |
| 07-23 08:28:21 | (anonymous) 0xf0f5…72bc | Yes | SELL | 6 | 62¢ | $4 | 0x1611c3… |
| 07-22 22:50:12 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 30 | 28¢ | $8 | 0xbe33b2… |
| 07-22 22:50:12 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 30 | 28¢ | $8 | 0xbe33b2… |
| 07-22 21:41:10 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 72¢ | $8 | 0x87f6bb… |
| 07-22 21:41:10 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x87f6bb… |
| 07-22 21:41:10 | (anonymous) 0x63ca…4bdf | Yes | SELL | 35 | 70¢ | $24 | 0x87f6bb… |
| 07-22 21:41:10 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 30 | 30¢ | $9 | 0x87f6bb… |
| 07-22 21:41:10 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | SELL | 184 | 73¢ | $134 | 0x87f6bb… |
| 07-22 21:41:10 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x87f6bb… |
| 07-22 21:41:10 | (anonymous) 0xce38…1325 | Yes | BUY | 278 | 72¢ | $200 | 0x87f6bb… |
| 07-20 18:58:46 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0x5a6499… |
| 07-20 18:58:46 | Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | No | SELL | 671 | 36¢ | $242 | 0x5a6499… |
| 07-20 18:58:46 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 64¢ | $32 | 0x5a6499… |
| 07-20 18:58:46 | Daring-President 0x2c41…133e | No | BUY | 751 | 36¢ | $270 | 0x5a6499… |
| 07-20 17:19:40 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | SELL | 44 | 64¢ | $28 | 0x9f4b1e… |
| 07-20 17:19:40 | Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | No | SELL | 44 | 36¢ | $16 | 0x9f4b1e… |
| 07-20 17:18:06 | Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | No | SELL | 44 | 36¢ | $16 | 0xa7eb76… |
| 07-20 17:18:06 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | SELL | 44 | 64¢ | $28 | 0xa7eb76… |
| 07-20 17:07:43 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | SELL | 1 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xdd68a8… |
| 07-20 17:07:43 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | No | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xa621b3… |
| 07-20 17:07:43 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | No | SELL | 1 | 34¢ | $0 | 0xdd68a8… |
| 07-20 17:07:43 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xa621b3… |
| 07-20 17:03:30 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xbb061a… |
| 07-20 17:03:30 | Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | No | SELL | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0xbb061a… |
| 07-20 12:33:18 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | No | SELL | 7 | 44¢ | $3 | 0x1dac3a… |
| 07-20 12:33:18 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | Yes | SELL | 30 | 55¢ | $17 | 0x1dac3a… |
| 07-20 12:33:18 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 14 | 55¢ | $8 | 0x1dac3a… |