Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$3,594
$770 in 24h
Trades
233
Unique wallets
67
Liquidity
$4,628
Latest YES mid
66¢
Latest NO mid
34¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-23 08:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.6¢
(top1%: 52% YES on $218
vs crowd: 54% YES on $2.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $198 | $178 | +$20 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 21 | $336 | $463 | $127 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $179 | $30 | +$149 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $526 | $401 | +$125 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $113 | $104 | +$9 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $62 | $166 | $105 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $113 | $12 | +$101 |
| Median | 6 | $32 | $41 | $9 |
| Below median | 12 | $257 | $63 | +$194 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $82 | $12 | +$70 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $133 | $292 | $159 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $23 | $36 | $13 |
| unranked | 18 | $425 | $345 | +$80 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daring-President 0x2c41…133e | No | +751 | $270 | $270 | 1 | 07-20 18:58 |
| Precious-Identity 0xcd3e…ae81 | No | +389 | $260 | $260 | 7 | 07-18 07:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xce38…1325 | Yes | +278 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-22 21:41 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +197 | $109 | $109 | 5 | 07-10 15:51 |
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | Yes | +189 | $95 | $95 | 5 | 07-18 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x63ca…4bdf | Yes | +188 | $77 | $212 | 11 | 07-22 21:41 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +103 | $35 | $37 | 4 | 07-16 02:37 |
| Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | Yes | +99 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 07-20 07:36 |
| Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | +62 | $-21 | $248 | 4 | 07-22 21:41 |
| Klutzy-Haste 0x983f…fd5e | No | +60 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 07-08 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | +60 | $33 | $33 | 3 | 07-15 13:18 |
| Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | No | +60 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 07-19 10:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | +56 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 07-11 19:18 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +55 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 06-20 21:36 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +55 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 06-20 21:33 |
| Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | No | +52 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 06-20 21:33 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +50 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 07-20 18:58 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +46 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 07-15 09:10 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +35 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-23 21:48 |
| mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | +35 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 07-20 17:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | +30 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 07-20 18:58 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | +24 | $6 | $11 | 2 | 07-23 08:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xd49e…da8b | Yes | +22 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-04 16:55 |
| Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | Yes | +21 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-08 23:10 |
| Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | +20 | $9 | $76 | 6 | 06-25 23:03 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-28 14:15 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | +20 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-30 00:02 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +15 | $9 | $72 | 14 | 07-08 23:01 |
| Warped-Compromise 0x8bfd…6cef | Yes | +13 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-13 14:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | +11 | $5 | $20 | 4 | 07-10 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-22 21:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xc24f…220b | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-09 22:44 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-18 07:33 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-17 10:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-20 07:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x97b4…d794 | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-10 14:26 |
| Hidden-Sport 0x838b…46ed | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x8fc0…5a60 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 14:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xa093…7e5c | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-19 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x240e…9f68 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-13 12:34 |
| Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | No | +1 | $0 | $10 | 5 | 07-20 17:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 08:28:21 | (anonymous) 0xf0f5…72bc | Yes | SELL | 6 | 62¢ | $4 | 0x1611c3… |
| 07-23 08:28:21 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 6 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x1611c3… |
| 07-22 22:50:12 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 30 | 28¢ | $8 | 0xbe33b2… |
| 07-22 22:50:12 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 30 | 28¢ | $8 | 0xbe33b2… |
| 07-22 21:41:10 | (anonymous) 0x63ca…4bdf | Yes | SELL | 35 | 70¢ | $24 | 0x87f6bb… |
| 07-22 21:41:10 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x87f6bb… |
| 07-22 21:41:10 | (anonymous) 0xce38…1325 | Yes | BUY | 278 | 72¢ | $200 | 0x87f6bb… |
| 07-22 21:41:10 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 30 | 30¢ | $9 | 0x87f6bb… |
| 07-22 21:41:10 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x87f6bb… |
| 07-22 21:41:10 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | SELL | 184 | 73¢ | $134 | 0x87f6bb… |
| 07-22 21:41:10 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 72¢ | $8 | 0x87f6bb… |
| 07-20 18:58:46 | Daring-President 0x2c41…133e | No | BUY | 751 | 36¢ | $270 | 0x5a6499… |
| 07-20 18:58:46 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0x5a6499… |
| 07-20 18:58:46 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 64¢ | $32 | 0x5a6499… |
| 07-20 18:58:46 | Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | No | SELL | 671 | 36¢ | $242 | 0x5a6499… |
| 07-20 17:19:40 | Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | No | SELL | 44 | 36¢ | $16 | 0x9f4b1e… |
| 07-20 17:19:40 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | SELL | 44 | 64¢ | $28 | 0x9f4b1e… |
| 07-20 17:18:06 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | SELL | 44 | 64¢ | $28 | 0xa7eb76… |
| 07-20 17:18:06 | Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | No | SELL | 44 | 36¢ | $16 | 0xa7eb76… |
| 07-20 17:07:43 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xa621b3… |
| 07-20 17:07:43 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | SELL | 1 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xdd68a8… |
| 07-20 17:07:43 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | No | SELL | 1 | 34¢ | $0 | 0xdd68a8… |
| 07-20 17:07:43 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | No | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xa621b3… |
| 07-20 17:03:30 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xbb061a… |
| 07-20 17:03:30 | Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | No | SELL | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0xbb061a… |
| 07-20 12:33:18 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | Yes | SELL | 30 | 55¢ | $17 | 0x1dac3a… |
| 07-20 12:33:18 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | No | SELL | 7 | 44¢ | $3 | 0x1dac3a… |
| 07-20 12:33:18 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 14 | 55¢ | $8 | 0x1dac3a… |
| 07-20 12:33:18 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 54¢ | $2 | 0x1dac3a… |
| 07-20 12:32:43 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | Yes | BUY | 30 | 61¢ | $18 | 0x8e373f… |
| 07-20 12:32:43 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | BUY | 30 | 39¢ | $12 | 0x8e373f… |
| 07-20 07:47:00 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | No | BUY | 7 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x5e4033… |
| 07-20 07:47:00 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 62¢ | $4 | 0x5e4033… |
| 07-20 07:47:00 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 19 | 38¢ | $7 | 0x5e4033… |
| 07-20 07:47:00 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x5e4033… |
| 07-20 07:45:18 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 62¢ | $5 | 0x0378f0… |
| 07-20 07:45:18 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 15 | 38¢ | $6 | 0x0378f0… |
| 07-20 07:45:18 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | No | BUY | 7 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x0378f0… |
| 07-20 07:36:37 | (anonymous) 0x63ca…4bdf | Yes | SELL | 50 | 61¢ | $30 | 0x5a7de3… |
| 07-20 07:36:37 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 61¢ | $60 | 0x5a7de3… |
| 07-20 07:36:37 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 33 | 39¢ | $13 | 0x5a7de3… |
| 07-20 07:36:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 60¢ | $9 | 0x5a7de3… |
| 07-19 21:10:00 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x297945… |
| 07-19 21:10:00 | (anonymous) 0xa093…7e5c | No | BUY | 2 | 48¢ | $1 | 0x297945… |
| 07-19 10:14:30 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | No | BUY | 10 | 45¢ | $4 | 0x32848b… |
| 07-19 10:14:30 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | No | SELL | 10 | 45¢ | $4 | 0x32848b… |
| 07-18 14:00:34 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 51¢ | $15 | 0xd2bfae… |
| 07-18 14:00:34 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 51¢ | $15 | 0xd2bfae… |
| 07-18 07:35:48 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xa48958… |
| 07-18 07:35:48 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xa48958… |
| 07-18 07:33:39 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 53¢ | $4 | 0xe801e5… |
| 07-18 07:33:39 | Precious-Identity 0xcd3e…ae81 | No | BUY | 43 | 47¢ | $20 | 0xe801e5… |
| 07-18 07:33:39 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | BUY | 6 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xe801e5… |
| 07-18 07:33:39 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 53¢ | $16 | 0xe801e5… |
| 07-17 10:51:07 | (anonymous) 0xf0f5…72bc | Yes | BUY | 6 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xcf252d… |
| 07-17 10:51:07 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | BUY | 6 | 45¢ | $3 | 0xcf252d… |
| 07-16 22:36:14 | (anonymous) 0x990b…aae2 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xbfc3ad… |
| 07-16 22:36:14 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xbfc3ad… |
| 07-16 05:24:50 | Precious-Identity 0xcd3e…ae81 | No | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0xfdea0f… |
| 07-16 05:24:50 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | No | SELL | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0xfdea0f… |
| 07-16 02:37:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 51¢ | $15 | 0xf74d4b… |
| 07-16 02:37:17 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | No | BUY | 30 | 49¢ | $15 | 0xf74d4b… |
| 07-15 13:18:35 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x4b2684… |
| 07-15 13:18:35 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | No | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0x4b2684… |
| 07-15 09:10:28 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0x047519… |
| 07-15 09:10:28 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | No | BUY | 30 | 46¢ | $14 | 0x047519… |
| 07-15 09:10:28 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 54¢ | $6 | 0x047519… |
| 07-14 18:23:10 | (anonymous) 0x72f3…92d6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 48¢ | $24 | 0x1555d2… |
| 07-14 18:23:10 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 48¢ | $24 | 0x1555d2… |
| 07-14 14:20:56 | Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | No | BUY | 50 | 45¢ | $22 | 0x854f58… |
| 07-14 14:20:56 | (anonymous) 0x72f3…92d6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 55¢ | $28 | 0x854f58… |
| 07-13 14:59:11 | Warped-Compromise 0x8bfd…6cef | Yes | BUY | 13 | 54¢ | $7 | 0xa5f4ad… |
| 07-13 14:59:11 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 54¢ | $7 | 0xa5f4ad… |
| 07-13 12:34:02 | (anonymous) 0x240e…9f68 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x8e8184… |
| 07-13 12:34:02 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x8e8184… |
| 07-11 20:43:29 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | SELL | 55 | 60¢ | $33 | 0x3fd69f… |
| 07-11 20:43:29 | (anonymous) 0x63ca…4bdf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x3fd69f… |
| 07-11 20:43:29 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x3fd69f… |
| 07-11 20:43:29 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 60¢ | $9 | 0x3fd69f… |
| 07-11 19:18:37 | (anonymous) 0x63ca…4bdf | Yes | BUY | 25 | 67¢ | $17 | 0xd66080… |
| 07-11 19:18:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xd66080… |
| 07-11 19:18:37 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | BUY | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0xd66080… |
| 07-11 13:09:49 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 54¢ | $19 | 0x714291… |
| 07-11 13:09:49 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | SELL | 36 | 54¢ | $19 | 0x714291… |
| 07-11 11:00:46 | (anonymous) 0x63ca…4bdf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x161a8d… |
| 07-11 11:00:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x161a8d… |
| 07-11 10:59:50 | (anonymous) 0x63ca…4bdf | Yes | BUY | 40 | 56¢ | $22 | 0xf9ff46… |
| 07-11 10:59:50 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 56¢ | $22 | 0xf9ff46… |
| 07-10 17:26:26 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | SELL | 22 | 51¢ | $11 | 0x2f774a… |
| 07-10 17:26:26 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | BUY | 16 | 49¢ | $8 | 0x2f774a… |
| 07-10 17:26:26 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 51¢ | $51 | 0x2f774a… |
| 07-10 15:51:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 25 | 51¢ | $13 | 0x9cef48… |
| 07-10 15:51:31 | (anonymous) 0x63ca…4bdf | Yes | BUY | 25 | 49¢ | $12 | 0x9cef48… |
| 07-10 14:26:52 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | SELL | 4 | 61¢ | $2 | 0xd13a2a… |
| 07-10 14:26:52 | (anonymous) 0x97b4…d794 | No | BUY | 4 | 61¢ | $2 | 0xd13a2a… |
| 07-10 09:22:58 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | BUY | 37 | 46¢ | $17 | 0x112463… |
| 07-10 09:22:58 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | SELL | 37 | 46¢ | $17 | 0x112463… |
| 07-09 22:49:52 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | SELL | 62 | 46¢ | $29 | 0x412166… |
| 07-09 22:49:52 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | BUY | 62 | 46¢ | $29 | 0x412166… |
| 07-09 22:44:56 | (anonymous) 0xc24f…220b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xc54901… |