Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$1,195
$770 in 24h
Trades
94
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$4,628
Latest YES mid
41¢
Latest NO mid
59¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-30 08:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-43.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $82
vs crowd: 44% YES on $835)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $120 | $64 | +$56 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $122 | $129 | $6 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $18 | — | +$18 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $104 | $277 | $173 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $82 | $82 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $29 | $28 | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $14 | $12 | +$2 |
| Median | 1 | — | $33 | $33 |
| Below median | 5 | $149 | $22 | +$127 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $60 | — | +$60 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $76 | $13 | +$63 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $23 | $36 | $13 |
| unranked | 5 | $14 | $244 | $230 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precious-Identity 0xcd3e…ae81 | No | +326 | $230 | $230 | 5 | 06-05 14:12 |
| Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | +290 | $90 | $90 | 9 | 06-06 23:00 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +73 | $20 | $22 | 3 | 06-30 08:06 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +60 | $25 | $57 | 10 | 06-25 15:01 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +55 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 06-20 21:36 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +55 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 06-20 21:33 |
| Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | No | +52 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 06-20 21:33 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +47 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 06-04 16:55 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +35 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-23 21:48 |
| Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | +25 | $10 | $25 | 4 | 06-30 08:05 |
| Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | No | +25 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-30 16:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xd49e…da8b | Yes | +22 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-04 16:55 |
| Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | +20 | $9 | $76 | 6 | 06-25 23:03 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-28 14:15 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | +20 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-30 00:02 |
| Hidden-Sport 0x838b…46ed | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x990b…aae2 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 08:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 08:06:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x5b2ab4… |
| 06-30 08:06:02 | (anonymous) 0x990b…aae2 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x5b2ab4… |
| 06-30 08:05:47 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x208e2f… |
| 06-30 08:05:47 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x208e2f… |
| 06-26 07:41:52 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x24629a… |
| 06-26 07:41:52 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x24629a… |
| 06-26 07:39:11 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x175665… |
| 06-26 07:39:11 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x175665… |
| 06-25 23:03:58 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x23a0a4… |
| 06-25 23:03:58 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x23a0a4… |
| 06-25 15:01:53 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0x71d719… |
| 06-25 15:01:53 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0x71d719… |
| 06-25 14:49:19 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0xa51659… |
| 06-25 14:49:19 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0xa51659… |
| 06-23 21:48:50 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 15 | 59¢ | $9 | 0x7aabed… |
| 06-23 21:48:50 | Scientific-Raspberry 0x1aac…1df6 | No | SELL | 15 | 59¢ | $9 | 0x7aabed… |
| 06-20 21:37:22 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | Yes | SELL | 40 | 34¢ | $14 | 0x51a55e… |
| 06-20 21:37:22 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x51a55e… |
| 06-20 21:37:22 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 34¢ | $0 | 0x51a55e… |
| 06-20 21:37:22 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x51a55e… |
| 06-20 21:36:44 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 41¢ | $8 | 0xe918c9… |
| 06-20 21:36:44 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 20 | 59¢ | $12 | 0xe918c9… |
| 06-20 21:36:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 42¢ | $23 | 0xcda0e5… |
| 06-20 21:36:43 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | SELL | 37 | 58¢ | $21 | 0xcda0e5… |
| 06-20 21:36:43 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | Yes | SELL | 112 | 42¢ | $47 | 0xcda0e5… |
| 06-20 21:36:43 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 42¢ | $8 | 0xcda0e5… |
| 06-20 21:33:55 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0xcaa0e0… |
| 06-20 21:33:55 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 34¢ | $8 | 0xcaa0e0… |
| 06-20 21:33:55 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 55 | 65¢ | $36 | 0xcaa0e0… |
| 06-20 21:33:55 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | Yes | BUY | 152 | 35¢ | $53 | 0xcaa0e0… |
| 06-20 21:33:55 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0xcaa0e0… |
| 06-20 21:33:55 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xcaa0e0… |
| 06-20 21:33:55 | Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | No | BUY | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0xcaa0e0… |
| 06-19 00:39:55 | Hidden-Sport 0x838b…46ed | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x7c9fcc… |
| 06-19 00:39:55 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x7c9fcc… |
| 06-16 09:28:52 | Scientific-Raspberry 0x1aac…1df6 | No | SELL | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0xde99d5… |
| 06-16 09:28:52 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0xde99d5… |
| 06-07 19:25:04 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 79 | 32¢ | $25 | 0x87dae7… |
| 06-07 19:25:04 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | SELL | 59 | 68¢ | $40 | 0x87dae7… |
| 06-07 19:25:04 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x87dae7… |
| 06-07 16:23:46 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0xcfbb70… |
| 06-07 16:23:46 | Jolly-Ladle 0x6d2b…129b | Yes | SELL | 40 | 31¢ | $12 | 0xcfbb70… |
| 06-07 16:23:46 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 15 | 31¢ | $5 | 0xcfbb70… |
| 06-07 16:23:46 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 31¢ | $5 | 0xcfbb70… |
| 06-06 23:06:40 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | No | SELL | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x315eb7… |
| 06-06 23:06:40 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | BUY | 96 | 67¢ | $64 | 0x315eb7… |
| 06-06 23:06:40 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 33¢ | $25 | 0x315eb7… |
| 06-06 23:00:31 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0x8e8e52… |
| 06-06 23:00:31 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 44 | 30¢ | $13 | 0x8e8e52… |
| 06-06 23:00:31 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x8e8e52… |
| 06-06 23:00:31 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x8e8e52… |
| 06-05 15:41:10 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 37 | 27¢ | $10 | 0xc89539… |
| 06-05 15:41:10 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xc89539… |
| 06-05 15:41:10 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xc89539… |
| 06-05 15:06:24 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xe6d1eb… |
| 06-05 15:06:24 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xe6d1eb… |
| 06-05 14:12:10 | Precious-Identity 0xcd3e…ae81 | No | BUY | 138 | 73¢ | $100 | 0x21da49… |
| 06-05 14:12:10 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 50 | 27¢ | $14 | 0x21da49… |
| 06-05 14:12:10 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 15 | 28¢ | $4 | 0x21da49… |
| 06-05 14:12:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 28¢ | $13 | 0x21da49… |
| 06-05 14:12:10 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 26¢ | $4 | 0x21da49… |
| 06-05 14:12:10 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x21da49… |
| 06-04 16:55:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 22 | 54¢ | $12 | 0x212076… |
| 06-04 16:55:51 | (anonymous) 0xd49e…da8b | Yes | BUY | 22 | 46¢ | $10 | 0x212076… |
| 06-03 21:55:28 | Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | No | BUY | 22 | 64¢ | $14 | 0x3dbe10… |
| 06-03 21:55:28 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 22 | 36¢ | $8 | 0x3dbe10… |
| 05-31 17:28:06 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 25 | 34¢ | $8 | 0x0fcfa3… |
| 05-31 17:28:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 25 | 66¢ | $16 | 0x0fcfa3… |
| 05-31 16:59:22 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 30 | 31¢ | $9 | 0xc1a49c… |
| 05-31 16:59:22 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | SELL | 30 | 31¢ | $9 | 0xc1a49c… |
| 05-31 16:58:38 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 31¢ | $12 | 0xbb69dd… |
| 05-31 16:58:38 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 39 | 31¢ | $12 | 0xbb69dd… |
| 05-31 15:48:31 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | SELL | 40 | 72¢ | $29 | 0x1e55ff… |
| 05-31 15:48:31 | Precious-Identity 0xcd3e…ae81 | No | BUY | 138 | 73¢ | $100 | 0x1e55ff… |
| 05-31 15:48:31 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 26¢ | $10 | 0x1e55ff… |
| 05-31 15:48:31 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | BUY | 30 | 28¢ | $8 | 0x1e55ff… |
| 05-31 15:48:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 28¢ | $8 | 0x1e55ff… |
| 05-30 16:31:09 | Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | No | BUY | 25 | 71¢ | $18 | 0x63a0f7… |
| 05-30 16:31:09 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 29¢ | $7 | 0x63a0f7… |
| 05-30 00:02:19 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x254123… |
| 05-30 00:02:19 | Warm-Basement 0x4676…b720 | No | SELL | 7 | 59¢ | $4 | 0x254123… |
| 05-30 00:02:19 | Precious-Identity 0xcd3e…ae81 | No | BUY | 17 | 60¢ | $10 | 0x254123… |
| 05-30 00:02:10 | Precious-Identity 0xcd3e…ae81 | No | BUY | 17 | 60¢ | $10 | 0xf4710f… |
| 05-30 00:02:10 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 40¢ | $5 | 0xf4710f… |
| 05-30 00:02:10 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | BUY | 3 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xf4710f… |
| 05-30 00:02:05 | Precious-Identity 0xcd3e…ae81 | No | BUY | 17 | 59¢ | $10 | 0x0f556f… |
| 05-30 00:02:05 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | BUY | 17 | 41¢ | $7 | 0x0f556f… |
| 05-28 14:15:08 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | BUY | 17 | 64¢ | $11 | 0x8909a6… |
| 05-28 14:15:08 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 17 | 36¢ | $6 | 0x8909a6… |
| 05-28 09:01:03 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | BUY | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0xf5f8ba… |
| 05-28 09:01:03 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xf5f8ba… |
| 05-28 09:01:03 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xf5f8ba… |
| 05-27 20:08:43 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 34¢ | $9 | 0xebad60… |
| 05-27 20:08:43 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 26 | 34¢ | $9 | 0xebad60… |