Cultured-Programming — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

+$58

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

Trades

899

lifetime

Volume

$3.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$110

1 position

First seen

2026-04-20

last 07-15 15:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

87% — —

Crypto

13% 61% $-24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	No		+242	$52	46¢	$110	+$58	07-15 15:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	3	$52	242	+242	open	—	07-15 15:22
highest temperature in helsinki on april 20 2026 12c	1	$46	50	+50	open	—	04-20 13:13
highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 25c	1	$45	50	+50	open	—	04-24 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 26?	2	$44	50	+50	open	—	04-26 14:25
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 26?	1	$40	50	+50	open	—	04-26 05:26
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 26?	1	$40	50	+50	open	—	04-26 06:53
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 21c	2	$38	50	+50	open	—	04-20 09:47
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 28c	2	$38	49	+49	open	—	04-23 00:29
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 22 2026 27c	1	$37	40	+40	open	—	04-22 18:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?	1	$36	50	+50	open	—	04-25 03:18
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 14c	1	$36	50	+50	open	—	04-24 13:34
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 25?	5	$36	50	+50	open	—	04-25 15:42
highest temperature in hong kong on april 21 2026 29c	3	$35	42	+42	open	—	04-21 07:23
highest temperature in hong kong on april 20 2026 29c	3	$35	50	+50	open	—	04-20 04:20
highest temperature in beijing on april 22 2026 23c	1	$30	50	+50	open	—	04-22 07:25
highest temperature in helsinki on april 24 2026 11c	1	$30	50	+50	open	—	04-22 21:43
highest temperature in busan on april 22 2026 19c	1	$29	50	+50	open	—	04-22 04:38
highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 19c	3	$28	50	+50	open	—	04-20 06:21
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on April 26?	3	$28	44	+44	open	—	04-26 12:21
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 17c	3	$27	50	+50	open	—	04-22 20:23
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 20 2026 19c	2	$26	50	+50	open	—	04-20 16:35
highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 18c	2	$26	50	+50	open	—	04-23 20:26
highest temperature in busan on april 24 2026 21c	1	$26	50	+50	open	—	04-24 06:00
highest temperature in cape town on april 23 2026 23c	3	$26	50	+50	open	—	04-23 12:50
highest temperature in paris on april 22 2026 19c	1	$25	50	+50	open	—	04-22 12:08
highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 60 61f	4	$25	49	+49	open	—	04-23 10:45
highest temperature in los angeles on april 21 2026 68 69f	2	$24	47	+47	open	—	04-21 07:27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 25?	5	$24	50	+50	open	—	04-25 00:33
highest temperature in paris on april 20 2026 16c	4	$24	50	+50	open	—	04-20 14:34
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 22 2026 20c	5	$23	51	+51	open	—	04-22 19:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 15:22:28	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	No	BUY	97	19¢	$19	0xd8f64f…
07-15 14:18:31	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	No	BUY	52	24¢	$12	0x718291…
07-15 14:09:50	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	No	BUY	93	22¢	$21	0x23e28e…
05-18 00:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x9c72e7…
05-18 00:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2fdeca…
05-17 23:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x63044f…
05-17 23:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xdff72a…
05-17 22:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x95b324…
05-17 22:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8cc9cb…
05-17 22:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4bd98c…
05-17 20:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf6687b…
05-17 14:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc8f0dc…
05-17 11:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xc02b5c…
05-17 02:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf06d94…
05-17 02:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x3e1fc4…
05-17 01:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x7ee108…
05-17 01:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd915ee…
05-17 01:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x093bcc…
05-16 14:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x2e6b95…
05-16 10:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x88d942…
05-16 10:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x98665e…
05-16 09:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xcea83d…
05-16 09:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xe10d6d…
05-16 09:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe2db79…
05-16 07:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x13afc6…
05-16 07:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc1d753…
05-15 20:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x66b49d…
05-15 19:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x8bba57…
05-15 18:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x45ff0b…
05-15 16:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xb5614b…
05-15 16:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x37af99…
05-15 15:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xd777d6…
05-15 15:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc2565f…
05-15 15:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x70bd4d…
05-15 15:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x380b7b…
05-15 14:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc6a75e…
05-15 14:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8a7b2f…
05-15 14:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xf1b3c5…
05-15 14:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x291ef4…
05-15 13:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x71cc0c…
05-15 10:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xae09d6…
05-15 10:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x00647c…
05-15 09:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x35c731…
05-15 03:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x3eda93…
05-15 03:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0xcd9b1c…
05-15 02:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xa4e137…
05-15 02:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7a9573…
05-15 01:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x1a48da…
05-15 00:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x6d0df2…
05-14 21:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe1eb34…
05-14 20:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x75e464…
05-14 19:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x100aee…
05-14 18:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x37ca98…
05-14 18:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xade308…
05-14 17:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xfb0805…
05-14 17:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x29f2cc…
05-14 17:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xbafff4…
05-14 16:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x23dd56…
05-14 16:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x2cc5a3…
05-14 16:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x1670e0…
05-14 16:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x7ddd0c…
05-14 16:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x1604e2…
05-14 16:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x7b34f9…
05-14 16:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x30727e…
05-14 15:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x7db414…
05-14 15:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x1da77f…
05-14 15:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4eb268…
05-14 15:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xf5b607…
05-14 15:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x369731…
05-14 15:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8c5f7a…
05-14 14:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd33626…
05-14 14:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x224faf…
05-14 14:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x12f29a…
05-14 14:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x966866…
05-14 14:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xf77e53…
05-14 14:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x3584e2…
05-14 14:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2ea109…
05-14 13:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x5dc30c…
05-14 12:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x774a30…
05-14 09:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xcdb417…
05-14 06:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x76852d…
05-14 06:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x2b6fb1…
05-14 05:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe66ea9…
05-14 05:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x742ea0…
05-14 04:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x24155f…
05-14 03:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x9a2df8…
05-14 02:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc4d8f6…
05-14 00:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0x5f64f6…
05-14 00:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xddb2da…
05-13 23:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xed526e…
05-13 18:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x5ba1f9…
05-13 17:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x202beb…
05-13 16:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xab8a2e…
05-13 15:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x29f344…
05-13 15:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x232a99…
05-13 08:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x983c64…
05-13 08:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x6bec1a…
05-13 01:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfbdc50…
05-13 01:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf8a4ef…
05-13 01:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa89e84…