Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$112
$905 in 24h
Trades
34
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$1,911
Latest YES mid
35¢
Latest NO mid
65¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 09:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $11 | $11 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $38 | $53 | $16 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $11 | $11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $37 | $37 |
| Median | 7 | $4 | $8 | $4 |
| Below median | 5 | $10 | $2 | +$8 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $19 | — | +$19 |
| unranked | 4 | $5 | $7 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +35 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 05-13 04:38 |
| Wee-Baseball 0xc67f…5115 | Yes | +34 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 00:18 |
| Partial-Candidate 0xbbaa…88a2 | Yes | +24 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 05:34 |
| Massive-Salmon 0xe3a6…9e63 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 04:39 |
| Hurtful-Captain 0x2b13…62d3 | Yes | +18 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-13 06:39 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +15 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 05-13 04:58 |
| Trusting-Shootdown 0x92b2…31c9 | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 17:17 |
| Knowledgeable-Choice 0x2876…752f | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 08:26 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 14:03 |
| Bony-Retailer 0xa259…6597 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 16:46 |
| Constant-Lobotomy 0x7546…b17a | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 06:08 |
| Barren-Traffic 0xf102…37a8 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 03:57 |
| Passionate-Assist 0x7603…2276 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 00:12 |
| Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 09:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xc398…e242 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 08:45 |
| Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 23:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x93a1…980e | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 04:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xa223…0894 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 14:03 |
| Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 07:04 |
| Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 19:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 09:16:35 | Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x07db58… |
| 05-13 09:06:28 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x294192… |
| 05-13 09:06:19 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xbac5e9… |
| 05-13 08:45:05 | (anonymous) 0xc398…e242 | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x8840c4… |
| 05-13 08:26:38 | Knowledgeable-Choice 0x2876…752f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x08c2d1… |
| 05-13 07:04:26 | Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | No | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x5cc935… |
| 05-13 06:39:19 | Hurtful-Captain 0x2b13…62d3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xcc77db… |
| 05-13 06:09:17 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 31¢ | $0 | 0x8bedf9… |
| 05-13 06:09:17 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x54d52f… |
| 05-13 06:08:23 | Constant-Lobotomy 0x7546…b17a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x02fe4e… |
| 05-13 06:06:18 | Hurtful-Captain 0x2b13…62d3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x185098… |
| 05-13 05:34:20 | Partial-Candidate 0xbbaa…88a2 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 27¢ | $6 | 0x54108a… |
| 05-13 04:58:31 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0xdb1f40… |
| 05-13 04:58:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 73¢ | $6 | 0xbf8fc7… |
| 05-13 04:38:17 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 17 | 72¢ | $12 | 0x19f8ba… |
| 05-13 03:57:08 | Barren-Traffic 0xf102…37a8 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x10dabd… |
| 05-13 03:42:48 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 18 | 72¢ | $13 | 0xc7a7f2… |
| 05-13 02:53:08 | Concrete-Incubation 0x9988…b28e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xe5e9d8… |
| 05-13 02:38:03 | Concrete-Incubation 0x9988…b28e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xbe9aa1… |
| 05-13 01:38:02 | Repentant-Spelling 0x0675…1ec0 | No | SELL | 2 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x66da7d… |
| 05-13 01:37:48 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x086f2d… |
| 05-13 01:03:37 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xae2689… |
| 05-13 00:18:14 | Wee-Baseball 0xc67f…5115 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 30¢ | $10 | 0x7d2711… |
| 05-13 00:12:08 | Passionate-Assist 0x7603…2276 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x4cfc13… |
| 05-13 00:05:47 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 28¢ | $0 | 0x070580… |
| 05-12 23:42:23 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | No | BUY | 4 | 71¢ | $2 | 0x73b79b… |
| 05-12 19:37:20 | Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | No | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xd3bca5… |
| 05-12 17:17:06 | Trusting-Shootdown 0x92b2…31c9 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x377848… |
| 05-12 16:46:32 | Bony-Retailer 0xa259…6597 | No | BUY | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0xbd52f7… |
| 05-12 16:01:24 | Sandy-Driver 0x2dc3…19e0 | No | SELL | 0 | 61¢ | $0 | 0xbf0437… |
| 05-12 14:03:01 | (anonymous) 0xa223…0894 | No | BUY | 2 | 67¢ | $2 | 0xec5977… |
| 05-12 14:03:01 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 8 | 67¢ | $5 | 0x59dee1… |
| 05-12 04:59:46 | (anonymous) 0x93a1…980e | No | BUY | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0x5e3175… |
| 05-12 04:39:08 | Massive-Salmon 0xe3a6…9e63 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xf69f4a… |