Trusting-Shootdown — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.88K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.5%

Resolved

1,752

Trades

5,071

lifetime

Volume

$52.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-25 21:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 73% -$791

Sports

22% 12% +$249

Other

20% 44% -$3,338

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$4.2K	4,671	4,671	+0	Yes	+$2,658	07-20 00:40
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$3.8K	10,038	10,038	+0	No	-$50	07-12 11:07
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$1.5K	6,214	0	+6,214	No	-$1,528	07-06 19:12
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$1.5K	1,471	1,471	+0	Yes	-$502	07-06 21:15
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$691	6,721	0	+6,721	No	-$691	06-12 15:47
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$691	4,272	0	+4,272	No	-$691	06-12 15:46
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	3	$622	2,592	0	+2,592	No	-$622	07-11 21:07
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	3	$554	2,618	479	+2,139	England	-$446	07-11 23:13
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	1	$500	20,000	0	+20,000	No	-$500	07-14 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	188	$366	318	312	+6	Down	-$9	04-29 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	210	$363	285	285	+0	Up	+$6	04-29 20:29
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte2	2	$350	2,500	2,500	+0	No	-$50	07-17 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	354	$345	291	290	+1	Up	-$8	04-29 20:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 09:45 UTC	3	$308	261	100	+161	Down	+$3	04-24 09:49
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?	1	$300	1,875	0	+1,875	No	-$300	07-17 18:06
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$276	5,404	0	+5,404	No	-$276	06-14 23:08
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	2	$250	21,524	0	+21,524	No	-$250	07-17 18:00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	1	$250	2,500	0	+2,500	No	-$250	07-17 17:34
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	1	$250	10,321	0	+10,321	No	-$250	07-17 17:37
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	1	$250	8,464	0	+8,464	No	-$250	07-17 17:37
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?	1	$250	19,231	0	+19,231	No	-$250	07-17 17:34
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?	1	$250	6,098	0	+6,098	No	-$250	07-17 17:33
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?	1	$250	6,579	0	+6,579	No	-$250	07-17 17:52
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?	1	$250	4,167	0	+4,167	No	-$250	07-17 18:01
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?	1	$250	3,571	0	+3,571	No	-$250	07-17 17:34
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?	1	$250	9,596	0	+9,596	No	-$250	07-17 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	10	$238	122	122	+0	Down	+$5	04-27 18:31
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 1?	8	$227	239	239	+0	Yes	+$174	05-02 06:08
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Real Madrid CF?	2	$218	4,538	4,538	+0	No	+$18	10-25 20:26
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	2	$200	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	+$2,300	07-15 17:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 21:18:03	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	SELL	417	14¢	$58	0xc139ef…
10-25 20:49:15	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	SELL	897	7¢	$59	0xc8a794…
10-25 20:26:23	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	SELL	4,538	3¢	$118	0x91fee4…
10-25 12:23:50	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	1,190	2¢	$25	0x3cfc08…
10-25 08:32:26	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0x6919fa…
10-25 08:31:20	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	897	3¢	$25	0xe3f334…
10-25 08:27:59	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0xaa392b…
10-25 08:27:41	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0x2c57e9…
10-25 08:22:45	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	424	6¢	$25	0x7ff093…
10-25 08:22:05	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 4 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	1,173	2¢	$25	0x041537…
10-25 08:21:21	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	1,127	4¢	$50	0x51c225…
10-25 08:09:39	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	1,242	4¢	$50	0xe11761…
10-25 08:08:30	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	4,538	2¢	$100	0x68e566…
10-22 02:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7c54c7…
10-21 23:47:45	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$1	0x17dbca…
10-21 23:46:32	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x757b41…
10-21 20:51:26	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$3	0x3f424e…
10-21 16:23:32	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0x0570ff…
10-21 16:13:09	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 2 - 2 RB Leipzig?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x6ff442…
10-21 16:10:26	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 1 - 0 RB Leipzig?	Yes	BUY	676	4¢	$25	0x3e4ae0…
10-21 16:07:33	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 1 RB Leipzig?	Yes	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x4b91e4…
10-21 16:06:54	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 1 RB Leipzig?	Yes	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0xb88c33…
10-21 16:06:08	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 0 RB Leipzig?	Yes	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0xf01c6c…
10-21 16:06:02	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 2 - 0 RB Leipzig?	Yes	BUY	357	7¢	$25	0x515907…
10-21 16:04:15	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 3 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	676	4¢	$25	0xb2ca7d…
10-21 16:03:14	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	581	4¢	$25	0xf8b359…
10-21 16:01:27	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0x1db15f…
10-21 16:00:41	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 3 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	1,190	2¢	$25	0xa8b4c1…
10-21 15:59:48	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	481	5¢	$25	0x22698f…
10-21 15:59:38	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	744	3¢	$25	0x0f91f8…
10-21 15:59:12	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0x4f7653…
10-21 15:58:50	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0x3636bd…
10-21 15:58:38	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0xcf6662…
07-20 00:40:27	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,659	100¢	$1,657	0xa0a621…
07-19 02:55:57	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,012	59¢	$1,777	0x29929d…
07-18 21:16:09	Exact Score: France 1 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	152	7¢	$10	0x1f2579…
07-18 21:14:09	Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	133	7¢	$10	0xfae178…
07-18 21:12:55	Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xab34b0…
07-18 21:12:24	Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x2aa591…
07-17 18:06:51	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	1,875	16¢	$300	0xdc5123…
07-17 18:01:19	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	4,167	6¢	$250	0xd47108…
07-17 18:00:01	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	17,215	1¢	$200	0x510698…
07-17 17:52:07	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	6,579	4¢	$250	0x568e0e…
07-17 17:51:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	SELL	2,500	6¢	$150	0x41728f…
07-17 17:49:55	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	4,309	1¢	$50	0xdd264a…
07-17 17:37:13	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	10,321	2¢	$250	0xa40e92…
07-17 17:37:00	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	8,464	3¢	$250	0x497f7c…
07-17 17:35:19	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	9,596	3¢	$250	0x266073…
07-17 17:34:57	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	2,500	10¢	$250	0x31b812…
07-17 17:34:34	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	3,571	7¢	$250	0x813a00…
07-17 17:34:18	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	19,231	1¢	$250	0x8313e6…
07-17 17:33:33	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	6,098	4¢	$250	0x4d75ef…
07-17 17:33:16	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0xa422ac…
07-17 17:33:04	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	909	11¢	$100	0x0fd7c0…
07-17 17:27:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	2,500	8¢	$200	0x66e237…
07-15 17:58:16	Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	1,667	6¢	$100	0xf610d8…
07-15 17:51:23	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0x6cbe06…
07-15 17:50:17	Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0x9df07d…
07-15 17:48:04	Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0xb6871c…
07-15 17:47:31	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0xf5ce16…
07-15 17:47:22	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0xa1e432…
07-15 17:46:58	Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	4,521	2¢	$100	0xd6854b…
07-15 17:46:41	Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	4,348	2¢	$100	0x1fbef2…
07-14 20:26:16	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	20,000	2¢	$500	0xd156e7…
07-12 11:07:56	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10,038	19¢	$1,897	0xca4a18…
07-11 23:13:40	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	2,139	14¢	$300	0x8e5bc7…
07-11 23:11:25	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	SELL	479	11¢	$54	0xc2a9b9…
07-11 23:07:55	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	479	42¢	$200	0xc990a9…
07-11 21:07:59	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	520	23¢	$122	0x23c4f9…
07-11 21:07:07	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	1,263	24¢	$300	0x274b56…
07-11 12:54:29	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	808	25¢	$200	0x55d42c…
07-07 22:54:05	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0xd909ae…
07-07 22:11:11	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xc9e956…
07-07 21:56:04	Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x1493d8…
07-07 21:52:07	Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x606ecf…
07-07 17:44:31	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	929	2¢	$20	0x93d326…
07-07 13:00:35	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,941	3¢	$100	0x80c881…
07-07 13:00:20	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	675	15¢	$100	0x970bd9…
07-07 13:00:02	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	546	18¢	$100	0x67fccc…
07-06 21:15:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	1,471	34¢	$498	0x5214b8…
07-06 19:12:16	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	1,214	27¢	$328	0x1d0a87…
07-06 18:54:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,471	68¢	$1,000	0xd192c6…
07-06 18:53:59	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	5,000	24¢	$1,200	0x823efb…
07-01 15:25:59	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,038	19¢	$1,947	0xd78d7c…
06-14 23:08:28	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,404	5¢	$276	0xdeb78d…
06-12 15:47:51	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,523	11¢	$166	0x6e1a41…
06-12 15:46:36	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,031	16¢	$166	0x3609aa…
06-12 15:45:28	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	976	17¢	$166	0xe14561…
06-06 15:49:22	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,148	16¢	$510	0x8f21b9…
06-06 15:48:28	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,198	10¢	$525	0x68c946…
06-06 15:47:57	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,241	16¢	$525	0x86c9f5…
05-30 13:58:24	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x51a537…
05-24 02:15:57	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x1700e1…
05-24 01:45:43	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-05-24 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x1ee8d4…
05-24 01:30:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	97	52¢	$50	0xa8bdab…
05-24 01:15:49	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	75¢	$27	0xb8bdb7…
05-24 00:45:25	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	44	62¢	$27	0x2e0fdd…
05-24 00:30:21	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb0d70c…
05-24 00:15:25	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	62¢	$27	0xb28cfc…
05-24 00:00:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0x2bcb74…