Famous-Moody — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$355

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.5%

Resolved

904

Trades

979

lifetime

Volume

$8.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 09-23 10:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Other

98% 67% +$346

Politics

2% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	7	$1.4K	1,405	300	+1,105	Yes	+$131	08-05 19:22
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?	4	$294	335	0	+335	No	+$41	07-05 12:38
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?	5	$289	338	0	+338	Yes	+$48	07-06 08:11
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?	5	$281	326	0	+326	No	+$45	06-03 20:33
Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026?	5	$240	295	0	+295	No	+$55	09-03 20:41
Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	3	$223	248	0	+248	No	+$25	06-05 18:45
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$200	210	0	+210	No	+$10	03-30 23:34
Will global temperature increase by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026?	4	$144	175	0	+175	Yes	+$31	09-03 20:54
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	4	$141	183	0	+183	Yes	+$42	05-22 17:34
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?	13	$109	136	0	+136	Yes	+$27	06-07 01:51
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?	1	$71	75	0	+75	No	+$4	06-27 13:37
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?	1	$62	85	0	+85	Yes	+$23	07-16 21:53
highest temperature in london on april 11 2026 13corbelow	1	$50	68	0	+68	No	+$18	04-11 13:01
highest temperature in paris on april 11 2026 18corbelow	2	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	04-11 14:57
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 18?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	05-17 23:23
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 31?	2	$42	24	24	+0	No	+$6	05-31 22:51
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?	3	$41	91	91	+0	No	-$9	07-27 19:22
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 31?	2	$39	23	23	+0	No	+$7	05-31 22:51
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 28?	2	$37	21	21	+0	No	+$5	05-28 22:53
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 2?	1	$35	46	0	+46	No	+$11	06-30 22:24
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 14?	1	$34	49	0	+49	No	+$15	07-12 22:45
highest temperature in wellington on april 12 2026 19c	1	$33	56	0	+56	No	+$23	04-11 17:20
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 29?	2	$33	19	19	+0	No	+$5	05-29 23:09
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 27?	1	$32	42	0	+42	No	+$10	06-26 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 1?	1	$32	41	0	+41	Yes	-$32	06-29 22:22
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 14?	1	$32	46	0	+46	Yes	-$32	07-12 22:45
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 13?	1	$32	46	0	+46	Yes	-$32	07-12 00:19
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 30?	1	$32	45	0	+45	Yes	-$32	06-28 22:27
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 13?	1	$32	47	0	+47	Yes	-$32	07-12 00:19
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 1?	1	$32	46	0	+46	Yes	-$32	06-29 22:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 10:20:02	Will global temperature increase by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in September 2026?	No	BUY	28	81¢	$23	0x5c4bba…
09-03 20:54:00	Will global temperature increase by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	85¢	$48	0xdae632…
09-03 20:54:00	Will global temperature increase by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	85¢	$54	0xcdd0fa…
09-03 20:41:52	Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026?	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x3cfc72…
09-03 20:41:51	Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$0	0xda41e8…
09-03 20:41:51	Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026?	No	BUY	119	88¢	$105	0x3d93f7…
08-28 23:54:51	Will global temperature increase by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0xf66217…
08-28 23:54:51	Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026?	No	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x21eec1…
08-26 22:14:19	Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026?	No	BUY	150	76¢	$114	0xd8650a…
08-26 22:13:45	Will global temperature increase by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x26a4d8…
08-05 19:22:45	Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	69	93¢	$64	0x67c949…
08-04 21:45:57	Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	220	87¢	$191	0x75dcdc…
07-31 09:18:12	Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	300	70¢	$210	0x983d31…
07-27 19:22:52	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0x037ee9…
07-22 16:58:28	Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	250	88¢	$220	0x005409…
07-21 16:54:10	Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xef1369…
07-21 16:54:07	Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	43	6¢	$2	0x76c42b…
07-16 21:54:13	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	21¢	$15	0x4e746e…
07-16 21:53:32	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	73¢	$62	0x88d38a…
07-15 22:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 17?	No	BUY	32	76¢	$24	0x64df5b…
07-15 22:31:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 17?	No	BUY	36	66¢	$24	0xc804ef…
07-15 07:47:25	Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	No	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0x4e3598…
07-15 07:47:08	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	28¢	$25	0x0622a7…
07-15 07:46:10	Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	601	81¢	$487	0x0bdfd5…
07-15 07:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 16?	No	BUY	37	65¢	$24	0x29b145…
07-15 07:42:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 16?	No	BUY	42	57¢	$24	0xbba9b6…
07-13 22:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 15?	No	BUY	38	63¢	$24	0xe3f76e…
07-13 22:58:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 15?	No	BUY	39	67¢	$26	0x6d4538…
07-13 12:11:31	Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	145	84¢	$122	0x4e97bd…
07-12 22:45:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 14?	No	BUY	46	70¢	$32	0x642492…
07-12 22:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 14?	No	BUY	49	69¢	$34	0xf80818…
07-12 00:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 13?	No	BUY	46	70¢	$32	0xf179a6…
07-12 00:19:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 13?	No	BUY	47	68¢	$32	0x434558…
07-10 22:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 12?	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x6d37dd…
07-10 22:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 12?	No	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x241589…
07-09 21:33:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on July 11?	No	BUY	35	81¢	$28	0x565590…
07-09 21:33:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 11?	No	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x6e266b…
07-08 22:23:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 10?	No	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0x68dc33…
07-08 22:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 10?	No	BUY	37	75¢	$28	0x210cbb…
07-07 23:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 9?	No	BUY	33	74¢	$24	0x1157db…
07-07 23:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 9?	No	BUY	38	63¢	$24	0x2bd94f…
07-06 22:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 8?	No	BUY	38	64¢	$24	0x751619…
07-06 22:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 8?	No	BUY	32	74¢	$24	0x20a659…
07-06 08:11:32	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x1b8249…
07-05 12:38:05	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?	No	BUY	195	94¢	$182	0x323168…
07-05 12:36:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 6?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x0fb124…
07-05 12:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 6?	No	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x97d232…
07-04 14:05:50	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x9dfc9c…
07-03 23:44:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 5?	No	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0xe1e86c…
07-03 23:43:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 5?	No	BUY	38	69¢	$26	0x9a6c76…
07-01 22:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 3?	No	BUY	38	68¢	$26	0xfddc23…
07-01 22:31:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 3?	No	BUY	38	69¢	$26	0x9ae105…
06-30 22:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 2?	No	BUY	46	76¢	$35	0x3ecde9…
06-30 22:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 2?	No	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xa78554…
06-30 10:13:31	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	80¢	$66	0xa258f7…
06-29 22:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 1?	No	BUY	41	78¢	$32	0x830a74…
06-29 22:21:47	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 1?	No	BUY	46	69¢	$32	0xec8a7b…
06-28 22:27:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 30?	No	BUY	45	71¢	$32	0xd6bc61…
06-27 13:37:08	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?	No	BUY	75	94¢	$71	0xa11065…
06-26 22:15:14	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0x9e9d29…
06-26 22:14:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 28?	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x10aa3e…
06-26 22:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 28?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xb0b22d…
06-26 03:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 27?	No	BUY	42	76¢	$32	0xcddd4f…
06-25 09:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 26?	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xbb8780…
06-25 09:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 26?	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x816354…
06-24 19:17:25	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xacd881…
06-23 22:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 25?	No	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x78819c…
06-23 22:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 25?	No	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0xb86235…
06-23 03:37:17	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb5dbc8…
06-22 23:33:13	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	80¢	$13	0x918b1b…
06-22 20:45:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 24?	No	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x86720c…
06-22 20:45:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 24?	No	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0x0e65bc…
06-22 09:19:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 23?	No	BUY	39	67¢	$26	0x5b0bb6…
06-22 09:19:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 23?	No	BUY	38	68¢	$26	0x56056e…
06-20 22:32:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 22?	No	BUY	33	72¢	$24	0x7d8d12…
06-20 22:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 22?	No	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0x32a618…
06-20 22:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 22?	No	BUY	41	72¢	$30	0x223ceb…
06-19 23:27:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 21?	No	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0x4c1caa…
06-19 23:26:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 21?	No	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0x477f3e…
06-18 22:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 20?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x674bbf…
06-18 22:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 20?	No	BUY	28	79¢	$22	0x13fdfe…
06-18 22:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 20?	No	BUY	38	73¢	$28	0xaf6931…
06-17 22:46:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 19?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x3c9c3a…
06-17 22:45:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 19?	No	BUY	34	76¢	$26	0x6e08fb…
06-17 22:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 19?	No	BUY	39	66¢	$26	0x3715e0…
06-16 22:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 18?	No	BUY	32	75¢	$24	0xdbc3b4…
06-16 22:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 18?	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0xbafff9…
06-16 22:28:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 18?	No	BUY	29	75¢	$22	0x9f604f…
06-15 22:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 17?	No	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0xb82ee5…
06-15 22:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 17?	No	BUY	29	75¢	$22	0x00e908…
06-14 19:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 16?	No	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0xf97021…
06-14 19:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 16?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x6c9efc…
06-14 09:51:58	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xc88051…
06-13 23:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 15?	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0xe04302…
06-13 23:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 15?	No	BUY	29	75¢	$22	0x5938ef…
06-12 22:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 14?	No	BUY	36	72¢	$26	0x71f847…
06-12 22:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 14?	No	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0xaf03c5…
06-12 22:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 14?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xfb6485…
06-11 22:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 13?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x783820…
06-10 22:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 12?	No	BUY	32	75¢	$24	0x2506b2…