Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026? open
← all wallets
Total volume
$528
$1,157 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$2,522
Latest YES mid
61¢
Latest NO mid
39¢
End date
2026-06-10
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 16:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -17.0¢ (top1%: 0% YES on $114 vs crowd: 17% YES on $509)
By volume tier
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🐋 Whale 1 — $55 $55
🐬 Dolphin 4 — $232 $232
🐟 Fish 4 — $116 $116
🦐 Shrimp 5 $87 $19 +$67
By P&L percentile
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🎯 Top 1% 1 — $114 $114
🏆 Top 5% 3 — $62 $62
Median 1 — $60 $60
Below median 1 — $1 $1
⚠️ Bottom 10% 2 — $6 $6
🔻 Bottom 5% 5 $87 $164 $78
unranked 1 — $15 $15
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
Wallet Side Net shares Cost basis Volume Trades Last activity
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f No +228 $114 $114 5 05-16 14:16
Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 No +160 $90 $90 1 05-14 14:53
Cavernous-Netball 0xa113…93f4 Yes +159 $87 $87 2 05-16 14:19
Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 No +128 $55 $55 2 05-16 14:16
Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 No +110 $60 $60 4 05-15 14:11
Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d No +60 $34 $34 2 05-14 14:53
Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 No +30 $17 $17 1 05-14 14:53
Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 No +30 $11 $11 1 05-16 16:26
Verifiable-Geography 0x0c15…03de No +30 $15 $15 1 05-14 19:50
Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e No +30 $20 $20 1 05-14 01:17
Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 No +5 $3 $3 1 05-14 14:53
Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 No +5 $3 $3 1 05-14 14:53
Obedient-Fragrance 0x24ea…8665 No +2 $1 $1 1 05-15 08:59