Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$41
Hit rate
97.5%
Resolved
2
Trades
287
lifetime
Volume
$4.20K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$3.24K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 16:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
93% 50% +$0
Crypto
4%
Politics
2%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 263 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 5? No +631 $630 100¢ $630 +$0 05-05 14:44
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 5? No +617 $616 100¢ $616 $-0 05-05 14:44
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on May 5? No +371 $368 100¢ $371 +$3 05-05 07:05
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +173 $172 99¢ $172 $-0 05-05 12:51
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? No +155 $124 100¢ $154 +$30 05-05 15:42
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 5? No +132 $131 100¢ $132 +$1 05-05 08:46
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 5? No +114 $111 100¢ $114 +$3 05-05 15:22
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +173 $0 65¢ $113 +$113 05-05 12:51
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes -200 $-0 53¢ $-106 $-105 05-05 12:51
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? No +101 $100 100¢ $101 +$1 05-05 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 5? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 05-05 14:42
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 5? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 05-05 14:42
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026? No +66 $65 100¢ $66 +$1 05-05 13:37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 5? No +59 $59 100¢ $59 +$0 05-05 11:50
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 5? No +49 $49 100¢ $49 +$0 05-05 14:54
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 5? No +49 $48 100¢ $49 +$1 05-05 14:54
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Yes -34 $-31 100¢ $-34 $-3 05-05 00:44
Will Sebastian Aho win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy? No +35 $32 94¢ $33 +$1 05-05 13:35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on May 5? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 05-05 09:01
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on May 6? No +25 $24 96¢ $24 $-1 05-05 16:32
Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on May 6? No +25 $24 94¢ $24 $-0 05-05 16:32
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 6? No +25 $23 92¢ $23 $-0 05-05 16:32
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 5? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$1 05-05 12:55
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 5? Yes -20 $-16 99¢ $-20 $-4 05-05 10:35
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 6? No +25 $20 80¢ $20 $-0 05-05 16:32
Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on May 6? No +25 $17 66¢ $17 $-1 05-05 16:32
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 6? No +25 $15 60¢ $15 +$0 05-05 16:32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 5? No +15 $15 99¢ $15 $-0 05-05 12:05
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 5? No +15 $14 97¢ $15 +$1 05-05 12:05
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 5? No +15 $15 97¢ $14 $-0 05-05 12:05