Realized P&L
+$67.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$13.7K
Hit rate
90.4%
Resolved
97,633
Trades
494,484
lifetime
Volume
$9.44M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$627.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 10-28 19:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 204 days
Categories
Other
77% 67% +$62,364
Politics
16% 83% +$2,273
Sports
6% 93% +$3,970
Tech
1% 79% -$1,044
Crypto
0% 55% -$217
Pop-Culture
0% 86% +$67
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 8680 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +143,747 $95,203 66¢ $95.6K +$389 10-28 12:18
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +95,789 $88,067 92¢ $88.6K +$538 10-28 20:14
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +102,734 $67,055 68¢ $70.4K +$3,317 10-28 17:42
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +143,747 $48,544 34¢ $48.2K -$389 10-28 12:18
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +102,734 $35,679 32¢ $32.4K -$3,317 10-28 17:42
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +31,892 $25,736 82¢ $26.0K +$256 10-28 17:24
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +20,931 $7,637 100¢ $20.9K +$13,294 10-28 07:23
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +33,141 $20,547 58¢ $19.2K -$1,325 10-27 09:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +14,668 $14,588 99¢ $14.6K -$1 10-28 18:50
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +19,847 $15,801 74¢ $14.6K -$1,213 10-28 16:59
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +14,668 $14,355 98¢ $14.3K -$46 10-28 18:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +14,086 $14,038 100¢ $14.1K +$13 10-28 18:50
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +33,141 $12,594 42¢ $13.8K +$1,160 10-27 09:26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +14,668 $12,013 82¢ $12.1K +$89 10-28 18:50
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +13,769 $12,129 86¢ $11.9K -$218 10-28 13:30
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +20,950 $12,004 56¢ $11.6K -$377 10-28 15:15
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +14,530 $10,087 80¢ $11.6K +$1,464 10-28 01:36
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +14,589 $11,598 76¢ $11.0K -$583 10-28 13:17
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +10,718 $9,859 92¢ $9.8K -$53 10-28 20:13
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +20,950 $8,945 44¢ $9.3K +$377 10-28 15:15
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +12,247 $8,615 70¢ $8.6K +$19 10-28 20:43
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +10,043 $8,063 85¢ $8.5K +$474 10-28 04:17
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +8,218 $7,820 96¢ $7.9K +$78 10-28 16:13
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +9,177 $8,030 84¢ $7.7K -$321 10-26 15:08
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +7,530 $7,452 99¢ $7.5K +$17 10-27 21:05
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +7,476 $7,444 100¢ $7.4K -$2 10-27 21:05
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +7,465 $7,430 100¢ $7.4K +$9 10-27 21:05
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +7,476 $7,421 99¢ $7.4K +$13 10-27 21:05
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +7,476 $7,419 99¢ $7.4K +$8 10-27 21:05
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +7,476 $7,422 99¢ $7.4K +$5 10-27 21:05