Realized P&L
+$67.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.88K
Hit rate
90.2%
Resolved
96,931
Trades
488,170
lifetime
Volume
$8.96M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$501.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 10-27 09:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 203 days
Categories
Other
78% 67% +$62,458
Politics
15% 83% +$2,316
Sports
6% 93% +$3,969
Tech
1% 79% -$1,044
Crypto
0% 55% -$220
Pop-Culture
0% 86% +$67
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 8680 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +80,488 $73,990 92¢ $73.6K -$344 10-27 01:45
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +98,185 $64,817 66¢ $65.3K +$476 10-27 08:53
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +74,511 $47,972 66¢ $49.5K +$1,578 10-27 07:39
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +98,185 $33,368 34¢ $32.9K -$476 10-27 08:53
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +74,511 $26,540 34¢ $25.0K -$1,578 10-27 07:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +25,830 $24,215 92¢ $23.9K -$322 10-27 10:08
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +27,193 $21,961 84¢ $22.7K +$744 10-25 03:28
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +33,141 $20,547 62¢ $20.4K -$165 10-27 09:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +14,688 $14,643 100¢ $14.6K -$6 10-27 10:08
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +33,141 $12,594 38¢ $12.6K $0 10-27 09:26
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +13,749 $12,111 86¢ $11.9K -$218 10-26 15:37
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +20,040 $11,485 58¢ $11.6K +$138 10-24 15:36
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +12,303 $10,365 72¢ $8.8K -$1,568 10-26 10:49
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +11,780 $7,971 72¢ $8.5K +$511 10-27 06:13
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +20,040 $8,554 42¢ $8.3K -$238 10-24 15:36
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +9,177 $8,030 86¢ $7.9K -$92 10-26 15:08
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +8,763 $8,081 90¢ $7.9K -$150 10-26 05:28
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +8,206 $7,809 95¢ $7.8K +$12 10-26 16:15
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +11,083 $7,801 68¢ $7.6K -$209 10-26 14:31
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +7,402 $7,326 99¢ $7.3K +$21 10-26 16:09
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +7,338 $7,303 100¢ $7.3K +$6 10-26 16:09
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +7,348 $7,317 99¢ $7.3K -$9 10-26 16:09
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +7,348 $7,294 99¢ $7.3K +$14 10-26 16:09
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +7,348 $7,295 99¢ $7.3K +$5 10-26 16:09
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +7,348 $7,292 99¢ $7.3K +$4 10-26 16:09
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +7,304 $7,276 100¢ $7.3K +$3 10-26 16:09
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +7,348 $7,255 99¢ $7.2K -$14 10-26 16:09
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +7,298 $7,226 99¢ $7.2K -$5 10-26 16:09
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +7,402 $7,208 97¢ $7.2K -$3 10-26 16:09
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +7,348 $7,190 98¢ $7.2K +$8 10-26 16:09