Realized P&L (24h)
+$5
Unrealized P&L
+$42
Hit rate
86.1%
Resolved (24h)
23
Trades (24h)
544
835 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$2.45K
$6.73K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$1.51K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 13:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
96% 77% +$15
Sports
3%
Politics
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 408 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? No +291 $101 84¢ $246 +$145 05-06 08:09
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +173 $172 99¢ $171 $-1 05-05 12:51
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +173 $0 97¢ $168 +$168 05-05 12:51
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes -173 $20 94¢ $-163 $-183 05-05 19:03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? No +124 $122 100¢ $124 +$2 05-06 08:09
Will MrBeast's video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 4? No +55 $47 100¢ $55 +$8 05-06 09:15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? No +291 $181 17¢ $51 $-130 05-06 08:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 6? No +50 $48 100¢ $50 +$2 05-06 05:44
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m? No +50 $30 98¢ $49 +$19 05-05 21:25
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m? No +50 $30 97¢ $49 +$19 05-05 21:25
Will MrBeast's video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4? No +40 $39 100¢ $40 +$1 05-06 09:15
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m? No +50 $32 74¢ $37 +$4 05-05 21:25
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m? Yes -50 $-0 69¢ $-34 $-34 05-05 21:25
Will Sebastian Aho win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy? No +35 $32 99¢ $34 +$2 05-05 13:35
Will MrBeast's video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 4? No +25 $24 100¢ $25 +$0 05-05 22:05
Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on May 6? No +25 $24 100¢ $25 +$1 05-05 16:32
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 6? No +25 $23 98¢ $25 +$1 05-05 16:32
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? Yes -20 $-20 96¢ $-19 +$0 05-05 18:10
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 6? No +15 $11 100¢ $15 +$4 05-06 07:19
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 6? No +15 $14 100¢ $15 +$1 05-06 07:19
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 6? No +15 $14 100¢ $15 +$1 05-06 07:19
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 7? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 $-0 05-05 19:17
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 7? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 $-0 05-05 19:17
Will Kang Seung-kyu win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? No +14 $12 100¢ $14 +$2 05-05 09:41
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 7? No +14 $10 79¢ $11 +$1 05-05 19:17
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 30% and 40%? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 05-05 16:12
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by less than 30%? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 05-05 16:12
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 40% and 50%? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-05 16:12
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more? No +10 $4 100¢ $10 +$6 05-05 16:12
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 50% and 60%? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 05-05 16:12