Realized P&L (30d)
+$4.38K
Unrealized P&L
+$15.5K
Hit rate
81.9%
Resolved (30d)
13,595
Trades (30d)
75,112
501,487 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$2.49M
$9.86M lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$931.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 10-30 04:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 206 days
Categories
Other
76% 67% +$62,546
Politics
18% 83% +$2,306
Sports
6% 93% +$3,979
Tech
1% 79% -$1,044
Crypto
0% 55% -$207
Pop-Culture
0% 86% +$67
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 8680 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +137,858 $127,192 93¢ $128.2K +$1,015 10-30 05:37
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +182,759 $121,650 68¢ $125.2K +$3,540 10-29 22:28
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +142,919 $94,893 70¢ $100.8K +$5,864 10-30 02:44
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +182,759 $61,109 32¢ $57.6K -$3,540 10-29 22:28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +43,465 $43,269 99¢ $43.2K -$44 10-29 13:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +43,465 $42,462 98¢ $42.7K +$264 10-29 13:09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +42,620 $42,515 100¢ $42.5K -$43 10-29 12:15
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +142,919 $48,025 30¢ $42.2K -$5,864 10-30 02:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +43,465 $34,947 74¢ $32.4K -$2,566 10-29 13:09
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +34,053 $30,973 90¢ $30.8K -$154 10-29 17:08
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +36,686 $29,690 82¢ $29.9K +$210 10-30 01:10
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +31,225 $22,314 78¢ $24.2K +$1,885 10-29 20:04
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +27,011 $21,265 82¢ $22.3K +$1,020 10-29 20:37
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +20,931 $7,637 100¢ $20.9K +$13,294 10-28 07:23
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +26,996 $19,419 70¢ $18.8K -$656 10-29 22:00
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +36,192 $22,170 52¢ $18.6K -$3,531 10-30 00:16
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +36,192 $14,022 50¢ $18.3K +$4,255 10-30 00:16
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +17,805 $13,881 70¢ $12.4K -$1,507 10-29 11:22
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +14,922 $10,401 80¢ $12.0K +$1,612 10-29 12:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +43,465 $9,822 28¢ $12.0K +$2,131 10-29 13:09
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +13,769 $12,129 86¢ $11.9K -$218 10-28 13:30
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +21,055 $12,060 55¢ $11.5K -$585 10-29 20:30
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +14,512 $9,937 70¢ $10.2K +$294 10-29 22:38
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +10,858 $9,988 93¢ $10.1K +$110 10-29 15:04
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +21,055 $8,995 45¢ $9.5K +$480 10-29 20:30
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +137,858 $10,652 6¢ $9.0K -$1,692 10-30 05:37
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +10,017 $8,752 87¢ $8.7K -$38 10-30 01:57
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +8,768 $8,680 99¢ $8.7K -$3 10-29 17:23
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +8,715 $8,678 100¢ $8.7K -$2 10-29 17:23
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +8,715 $8,655 100¢ $8.7K +$20 10-29 17:23