Realized P&L (90d)
+$26.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$14.1K
Hit rate
89.0%
Resolved (90d)
34,912
Trades (90d)
164,010
509,679 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$4.35M
$10.0M lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$1.03M
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 10-31 01:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 207 days
Categories
Other
75% 67% +$62,673
Politics
19% 83% +$2,311
Sports
6% 93% +$3,979
Tech
1% 79% -$1,050
Crypto
0% 56% -$220
Pop-Culture
0% 86% +$67
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 8680 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +235,726 $158,664 70¢ $166.2K +$7,523 10-30 17:54
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +138,481 $127,772 94¢ $129.5K +$1,708 10-30 08:12
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +159,136 $106,408 72¢ $113.8K +$7,374 10-30 20:13
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +235,726 $77,065 30¢ $69.5K -$7,526 10-30 17:54
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +159,136 $52,728 29¢ $45.4K -$7,375 10-30 20:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +43,689 $43,492 99¢ $43.4K -$131 10-30 15:10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +43,689 $42,682 98¢ $43.0K +$308 10-30 15:10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +42,845 $42,738 100¢ $42.7K -$65 10-30 15:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +43,689 $35,116 72¢ $31.7K -$3,441 10-30 15:10
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +38,660 $31,291 80¢ $31.1K -$169 10-30 16:55
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +34,381 $31,268 90¢ $31.1K -$153 10-30 21:03
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +35,269 $25,429 76¢ $27.0K +$1,551 10-30 23:31
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +35,160 $25,063 70¢ $24.8K -$276 10-31 01:50
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +45,417 $18,845 52¢ $23.8K +$4,999 10-30 20:56
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +45,417 $26,572 48¢ $21.6K -$4,999 10-30 20:56
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +20,931 $7,637 100¢ $20.9K +$13,294 10-28 07:23
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +27,570 $21,722 66¢ $18.3K -$3,387 10-30 19:56
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +25,968 $14,761 56¢ $14.4K -$349 10-30 17:08
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +19,385 $14,956 68¢ $13.3K -$1,677 10-31 01:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +43,689 $9,885 30¢ $12.9K +$3,003 10-30 15:10
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +13,769 $12,129 89¢ $12.3K +$126 10-28 13:30
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +25,968 $11,207 44¢ $11.6K +$349 10-30 17:08
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +15,228 $10,639 76¢ $11.5K +$858 10-30 20:35
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +14,926 $10,231 72¢ $10.7K +$441 10-30 12:45
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +35,160 $10,096 30¢ $10.4K +$276 10-31 01:50
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +10,858 $9,988 94¢ $10.2K +$164 10-29 15:04
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +27,690 $5,863 34¢ $9.3K +$3,413 10-30 19:56
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +138,481 $10,696 6¢ $9.0K -$1,695 10-30 08:12
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +10,017 $8,752 87¢ $8.7K -$38 10-30 01:57
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +8,730 $8,693 100¢ $8.7K -$2 10-30 11:16