Realized P&L (90d)
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$30
Hit rate
97.5%
Resolved (90d)
2
Trades (90d)
430
430 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$5.14K
$5.14K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$1.55K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 00:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
98% 50% +$0
Politics
2%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 403 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +173 $0 100¢ $173 +$172 05-05 12:51
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +173 $172 98¢ $171 $-2 05-05 12:51
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes -173 $20 97¢ $-167 $-187 05-05 19:03
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 5? No +150 $144 98¢ $147 +$4 05-05 21:15
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 5? No +114 $111 100¢ $114 +$3 05-05 15:22
Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on May 5? No +99 $99 100¢ $99 +$0 05-05 19:45
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 5? No +99 $99 100¢ $99 +$0 05-05 19:45
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 5? No +99 $98 100¢ $99 +$1 05-05 19:45
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 5? No +49 $49 100¢ $49 +$0 05-05 14:54
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 5? No +49 $48 100¢ $49 +$1 05-05 14:54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5? Yes -46 $-0 94¢ $-43 $-43 05-05 21:19
Will Sebastian Aho win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy? No +35 $32 95¢ $33 +$1 05-05 13:35
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on May 6? No +25 $24 100¢ $25 +$0 05-05 16:32
Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on May 6? No +25 $24 98¢ $24 +$0 05-05 16:32
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 6? No +25 $23 88¢ $22 $-1 05-05 16:32
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? Yes -20 $-20 98¢ $-20 $-0 05-05 18:10
Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on May 6? No +25 $17 78¢ $20 +$2 05-05 16:32
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 6? No +25 $20 70¢ $17 $-3 05-05 16:32
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 6? No +25 $15 63¢ $16 +$1 05-05 16:32
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or higher on May 6? Yes -18 $-11 85¢ $-16 $-5 05-05 12:00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 5? No +15 $14 100¢ $15 +$1 05-05 12:05
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 5? No +15 $8 100¢ $15 +$7 05-05 12:05
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 5? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 05-05 12:05
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5? No +15 $10 100¢ $15 +$5 05-05 12:05
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 7? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 +$0 05-05 19:17
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 5? No +14 $8 100¢ $14 +$7 05-05 07:26
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 5? No +14 $13 100¢ $14 +$2 05-05 07:26
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 5? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 +$0 05-05 07:26
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 7? No +14 $14 99¢ $14 $-0 05-05 19:17
Will Kang Seung-kyu win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? No +14 $12 99¢ $14 +$2 05-05 09:41