Realized P&L (7d)
+$1.73K
Unrealized P&L
+$12.3K
Hit rate
78.5%
Resolved (7d)
4,223
Trades (7d)
37,570
499,063 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.71M
$9.72M lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$832.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 10-29 14:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 205 days
Categories
Other
76% 67% +$62,484
Politics
17% 83% +$2,274
Sports
6% 93% +$3,979
Tech
1% 79% -$1,044
Crypto
0% 55% -$217
Pop-Culture
0% 86% +$67
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 8680 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +168,249 $111,783 68¢ $113.6K +$1,785 10-29 15:32
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +98,644 $90,722 92¢ $91.2K +$524 10-29 15:16
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +114,747 $75,345 70¢ $79.7K +$4,405 10-29 12:19
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +168,249 $56,465 32¢ $53.0K -$3,467 10-29 15:32
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +43,465 $43,269 100¢ $43.3K $0 10-29 13:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +43,465 $42,462 98¢ $42.6K +$133 10-29 13:09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +42,620 $42,515 100¢ $42.5K -$1 10-29 12:15
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +114,747 $39,403 30¢ $35.0K -$4,405 10-29 12:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +43,465 $34,947 78¢ $34.1K -$828 10-29 13:09
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +34,030 $30,952 90¢ $30.8K -$155 10-29 10:32
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +32,796 $26,475 84¢ $27.4K +$910 10-29 13:16
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +20,931 $7,637 100¢ $20.9K +$13,294 10-28 07:23
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +26,925 $19,368 70¢ $19.0K -$386 10-29 15:28
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +24,914 $17,676 72¢ $18.1K +$387 10-29 14:29
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +34,388 $21,239 52¢ $18.1K -$3,185 10-29 14:29
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +34,388 $13,149 50¢ $17.0K +$3,873 10-29 14:29
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +21,165 $16,763 74¢ $15.8K -$995 10-29 15:23
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +17,805 $13,881 70¢ $12.6K -$1,328 10-29 11:22
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +14,922 $10,401 80¢ $12.0K +$1,612 10-29 12:57
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +13,769 $12,129 86¢ $11.9K -$218 10-28 13:30
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +20,950 $12,004 53¢ $11.1K -$901 10-28 15:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +43,465 $9,822 24¢ $10.2K +$392 10-29 13:09
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +10,858 $9,988 92¢ $9.9K -$53 10-29 15:04
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +20,950 $8,945 47¢ $9.8K +$901 10-28 15:15
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +14,185 $9,710 68¢ $9.7K +$7 10-29 15:52
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +8,749 $8,661 99¢ $8.7K +$6 10-29 11:53
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +8,696 $8,659 100¢ $8.7K -$2 10-29 11:53
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +8,696 $8,636 100¢ $8.7K +$20 10-29 11:53
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +8,696 $8,632 99¢ $8.6K +$7 10-29 11:53
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +8,696 $8,634 99¢ $8.6K +$5 10-29 11:53