Blind-Leaf 0x2b5920…ff9db6
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$39
Hit rate
97.5%
Resolved (7d)
2
Trades (7d)
475
475 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$5.24K
$5.24K lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.24K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 02:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
97% 50% +$0
Politics
2% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 403 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +173 $0 100¢ $173 +$173 05-05 12:51
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +173 $172 100¢ $173 +$0 05-05 12:51
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes -173 $20 99¢ $-171 $-191 05-05 19:03
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 5? No +150 $144 100¢ $150 +$6 05-05 21:15
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 5? No +114 $111 100¢ $114 +$3 05-05 15:22
Will Ed FitzGerald be the Democratic nominee for OH-07? No +63 $63 100¢ $63 +$1 05-06 01:38
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5? Yes -46 $-0 99¢ $-45 $-45 05-05 21:19
Will Sebastian Aho win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy? No +35 $32 96¢ $33 +$1 05-05 13:35
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 6? No +25 $20 100¢ $25 +$5 05-05 16:32
Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on May 6? No +25 $24 98¢ $25 +$1 05-05 16:32
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 6? No +25 $23 94¢ $23 +$0 05-05 16:32
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? Yes -20 $-20 98¢ $-20 $-0 05-05 18:10
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or higher on May 6? Yes -18 $-11 100¢ $-18 $-8 05-05 12:00
Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on May 6? No +25 $17 60¢ $15 $-2 05-05 16:32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 5? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 05-05 12:05
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 5? No +15 $8 100¢ $15 +$7 05-05 12:05
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 5? No +15 $14 100¢ $15 +$1 05-05 12:05
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5? No +15 $10 100¢ $15 +$5 05-05 12:05
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 6? No +25 $15 60¢ $15 $-0 05-05 16:32
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 7? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 +$0 05-05 19:17
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 7? No +14 $14 99¢ $14 $-0 05-05 19:17
Will Kang Seung-kyu win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? No +14 $12 97¢ $14 +$1 05-05 09:41
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 7? No +14 $10 74¢ $11 +$0 05-05 19:17
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more? No +10 $4 100¢ $10 +$6 05-05 16:12
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 30% and 40%? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 05-05 16:12
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by less than 30%? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 05-05 16:12
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 40% and 50%? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 05-05 16:12
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 50% and 60%? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 05-05 16:12
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-12? Yes -19 $-2 47¢ $-9 $-7 05-05 06:59
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026? No +8 $7 100¢ $8 +$1 05-05 19:54