Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
open
Total volume
$1,057
$1,061 in 24h
Trades
51
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$1,403
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-06-14
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 08:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-15.8¢
(top1%: 19% YES on $186
vs crowd: 35% YES on $1.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $35 | $151 | $116 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $467 | $467 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $320 | $49 | +$270 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $35 | $151 | $116 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | $15 | $14 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $29 | $29 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $2 | $4 | $2 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $467 | $467 |
| unranked | 2 | $308 | — | +$308 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | +885 | $35 | $35 | 10 | 05-07 08:30 |
| Stormy-Influence 0x198f…c419 | No | +645 | $467 | $467 | 4 | 05-07 08:04 |
| Vivid-Pantyhose 0x49a1…ecca | Yes | +575 | $296 | $296 | 3 | 05-07 08:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xedc0…694e | Yes | +476 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-07 08:24 |
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | +176 | $151 | $151 | 13 | 05-07 08:04 |
| Aged-Platypus 0x23bc…5487 | Yes | +47 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-07 08:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x5635…c508 | Yes | +23 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 08:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x966c…7b44 | No | +20 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-07 08:04 |
| Married-Lay 0x3101…e57f | No | +15 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-07 08:04 |
| Remarkable-Sesame 0x4cfd…ba99 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-06 09:49 |
| Genuine-Athlete 0x3aa7…303d | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-07 08:03 |
| Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-06 09:49 |
| Aged-Platypus 0x23bc…5487 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 05-06 11:57 |
| Compassionate-Plywood 0xb52b…9646 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 09:50 |
| Squiggly-Loincloth 0xe61a…6911 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 09:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 08:30:11 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 385 | 4¢ | $17 | 0x2499fe… |
| 05-07 08:30:11 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 169 | 4¢ | $7 | 0x0f552c… |
| 05-07 08:30:09 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe2286a… |
| 05-07 08:30:09 | Aged-Platypus 0x23bc…5487 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xeec617… |
| 05-07 08:30:09 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x550f0e… |
| 05-07 08:30:09 | Aged-Platypus 0x23bc…5487 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x804e55… |
| 05-07 08:30:09 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xbc2ba0… |
| 05-07 08:28:07 | (anonymous) 0x5635…c508 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x360cb7… |
| 05-07 08:28:03 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6cf81c… |
| 05-07 08:24:04 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x28b3a7… |
| 05-07 08:24:04 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x07fb36… |
| 05-07 08:24:02 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 106 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xca4ba9… |
| 05-07 08:24:02 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x22eb41… |
| 05-07 08:24:00 | (anonymous) 0xedc0…694e | Yes | BUY | 476 | 3¢ | $13 | 0x7daa33… |
| 05-07 08:09:51 | (anonymous) 0x0f34…7684 | Yes | SELL | 391 | 2¢ | $8 | 0x1ee50d… |
| 05-07 08:09:27 | (anonymous) 0x0f34…7684 | Yes | SELL | 472 | 6¢ | $27 | 0x4d9dad… |
| 05-07 08:04:56 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0xda08a1… |
| 05-07 08:04:56 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 23 | 74¢ | $17 | 0xb0c0bf… |
| 05-07 08:04:56 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x66bf3e… |
| 05-07 08:04:56 | Stormy-Influence 0x198f…c419 | No | BUY | 613 | 74¢ | $454 | 0x81e7f9… |
| 05-07 08:04:56 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 34 | 87¢ | $30 | 0x25eb55… |
| 05-07 08:04:56 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 14 | 86¢ | $12 | 0xdb3997… |
| 05-07 08:04:56 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 34 | 86¢ | $29 | 0x8efefc… |
| 05-07 08:04:56 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 14 | 86¢ | $12 | 0xcfae0e… |
| 05-07 08:04:56 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 3 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x109060… |
| 05-07 08:04:56 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0x2b4a8d… |
| 05-07 08:04:50 | Vivid-Pantyhose 0x49a1…ecca | Yes | BUY | 11 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x18a02b… |
| 05-07 08:04:50 | (anonymous) 0x0f34…7684 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 21¢ | $8 | 0x44c719… |
| 05-07 08:04:40 | Married-Lay 0x3101…e57f | No | BUY | 15 | 55¢ | $8 | 0xa53551… |
| 05-07 08:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x966c…7b44 | No | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0x3f905c… |
| 05-07 08:04:26 | Stormy-Influence 0x198f…c419 | No | BUY | 11 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xb29bf2… |
| 05-07 08:04:19 | Vivid-Pantyhose 0x49a1…ecca | Yes | BUY | 500 | 50¢ | $250 | 0x5ce49d… |
| 05-07 08:04:15 | Stormy-Influence 0x198f…c419 | No | BUY | 11 | 60¢ | $7 | 0xcf72e9… |
| 05-07 08:03:54 | Vivid-Pantyhose 0x49a1…ecca | Yes | BUY | 64 | 67¢ | $43 | 0xaa23ae… |
| 05-07 08:03:46 | Genuine-Athlete 0x3aa7…303d | No | BUY | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0xbed7f7… |
| 05-07 08:03:30 | (anonymous) 0x966c…7b44 | No | BUY | 10 | 34¢ | $3 | 0x10a313… |
| 05-07 08:03:26 | Stormy-Influence 0x198f…c419 | No | BUY | 10 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xdd7d59… |
| 05-06 11:57:20 | Aged-Platypus 0x23bc…5487 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x47aafa… |
| 05-06 11:57:20 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x3568d3… |
| 05-06 11:57:20 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xa10eff… |
| 05-06 11:57:20 | Aged-Platypus 0x23bc…5487 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xfa0379… |
| 05-06 11:57:18 | Aged-Platypus 0x23bc…5487 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x9e57c6… |
| 05-06 11:57:18 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0xee1273… |
| 05-06 11:57:18 | Aged-Platypus 0x23bc…5487 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x760241… |
| 05-06 11:57:18 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $11 | 0xcf4fdf… |
| 05-06 11:27:14 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbf8f17… |
| 05-06 09:50:06 | Compassionate-Plywood 0xb52b…9646 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xbadd49… |
| 05-06 09:49:52 | Squiggly-Loincloth 0xe61a…6911 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd2fa96… |
| 05-06 09:49:34 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x45539c… |
| 05-06 09:49:32 | Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x58303d… |
| 05-06 09:49:30 | Remarkable-Sesame 0x4cfd…ba99 | No | BUY | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0xbbe1a1… |