Realized P&L
-$580.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$12.2K
Hit rate
55.1%
Resolved
2,973
Trades
126,272
lifetime
Volume
$42.0M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$332
Open exposure
$50.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-24 19:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 222 days
Categories
Sports
63% 45% +$631,491
Other
36% 39% -$1,185,684
Politics
0% 10% -$18,894
Tech
0% 25% -$2,439
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$3,371
Crypto
0% 0% -$1,085
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 144 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +9,097 $7,695 91¢ $8.3K +$588 06-26 23:33
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +11,095 $7,946 57¢ $6.4K -$1,594 07-11 18:21
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +5,321 $2,753 100¢ $5.3K +$2,555 06-28 15:34
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +13,118 $5,496 36¢ $4.7K -$839 07-01 01:46
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +11,732 $6,775 32¢ $3.7K -$3,080 06-17 12:28
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +6,260 $3,552 32¢ $2.0K -$1,518 06-27 22:21
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +3,875 $1,516 44¢ $1.7K +$170 06-30 03:44
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5,169 $2,799 32¢ $1.7K -$1,119 06-01 02:22
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes +2,071 $148 68¢ $1.4K +$1,267 06-29 05:52
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +50,066 $7,627 3¢ $1.3K -$6,300 06-28 06:12
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +17,410 $2,554 8¢ $1.3K -$1,249 06-17 01:59
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +3,362 $1,210 38¢ $1.3K +$74 06-30 07:26
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -1,286 -$1,029 92¢ $-1190 -$161 05-24 13:08
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +3,470 $2,007 32¢ $1.1K -$914 06-27 00:25
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No +1,105 $1,005 96¢ $1.1K +$56 06-14 16:28
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +6,513 $293 15¢ $967 +$674 06-25 17:25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,106 $842 83¢ $920 +$77 06-23 21:04
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +2,271 $775 36¢ $829 +$53 06-16 17:17
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +7,173 $568 12¢ $825 +$257 06-29 05:00
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +23,076 $1,693 3¢ $669 -$1,024 06-30 22:12
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +6,052 $351 9¢ $572 +$221 06-30 21:06
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +10,708 $381 5¢ $551 +$170 06-10 02:15
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6,334 $1,256 8¢ $475 -$781 06-13 21:25
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +16,178 $524 3¢ $429 -$96 06-20 16:42
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,287 $521 18¢ $403 -$118 06-27 19:06
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,253 $210 10¢ $330 +$120 06-17 04:06
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +7,999 $307 4¢ $316 +$9 06-30 17:16
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +7,108 $136 4¢ $313 +$176 06-03 16:20
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,871 $329 8¢ $310 -$19 06-28 22:54
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +5,161 $175 6¢ $307 +$132 06-02 18:00