Realized P&L
-$172.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$109
Hit rate
59.4%
Resolved
59,218
Trades
221,092
lifetime
Volume
$3.63M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$366
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-02
last 10-27 06:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 240 days
Categories
Crypto
71% 40% -$156,641
Other
27% 34% -$11,507
Sports
2% 37% -$3,218
Tech
0% 43% -$1,349
Politics
0% 30% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 2298 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +130 $104 80¢ $104 $0 10-25 02:27
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +51 $50 99¢ $50 +$0 07-29 14:23
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +460 $45 10¢ $47 +$1 10-22 06:52
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +28 $18 100¢ $28 +$11 10-08 17:39
Counter-Strike: B8 vs K27 (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A B8 +25 $16 68¢ $17 +$1 10-26 10:07
will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24 No +28 $19 60¢ $17 -$2 09-27 14:22
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +13 $12 97¢ $12 +$0 08-11 01:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +12 $9 94¢ $11 +$2 10-06 07:49
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 09-02 14:29
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +10 $9 96¢ $9 +$1 10-07 16:47
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? No +31 $14 29¢ $9 -$5 09-11 15:16
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +42 $8 20¢ $8 +$0 10-24 14:17
Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +357 $11 2¢ $8 -$3 09-17 04:21
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,649 $33 0¢ $7 -$26 10-25 13:34
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Yes +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 07-04 04:20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +5 $4 64¢ $3 $0 10-22 02:44
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,985 $35 0¢ $3 -$32 09-11 04:49
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +12 $17 18¢ $2 -$15 10-22 02:42
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +53 $17 4¢ $2 -$15 09-11 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up — +100 $5 2¢ $1 -$3 10-27 08:07
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1,428 $9 0¢ $1 -$7 09-22 11:32
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +86 $14 2¢ $1 -$13 10-01 11:47
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-31 07:21
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +6 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 09-03 09:31
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India New Zealand +2 $1 56¢ $1 +$0 10-26 18:24
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +8 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 10-25 00:33
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +1 $1 99¢ $1 $0 08-17 14:52
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 $0 10-15 17:47
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 $0 08-21 11:35
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? Yes +25 $5 3¢ $1 -$4 10-06 07:03