Realized P&L (90d)
-$60.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$51
Hit rate
61.8%
Resolved (90d)
25,415
Trades (90d)
73,945
232,873 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.29M
$3.76M lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$503
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-02
last 11-13 04:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 257 days
Categories
Crypto
71% 40% -$157,423
Other
26% 36% -$12,803
Sports
2% 45% -$3,029
Tech
0% 43% -$1,349
Politics
0% 36% +$49
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 2298 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +51 $50 99¢ $50 +$0 07-29 14:23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +55 $47 90¢ $50 +$3 11-12 13:34
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +460 $45 11¢ $50 +$4 10-22 06:52
Cavaliers vs. Heat Cavaliers +104 $49 44¢ $45 -$4 11-12 03:12
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers Mavericks +100 $41 42¢ $42 +$0 11-12 03:17
Matsuyama: Rio Noguchi vs Taro Daniel Rio Noguchi +34 $31 100¢ $34 +$3 11-13 03:46
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs Bilibili Gaming +73 $28 38¢ $27 $0 11-12 16:54
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Gen.G +33 $19 57¢ $19 $0 11-12 16:51
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +42 $8 38¢ $16 +$7 10-24 14:17
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +13 $12 98¢ $13 +$0 08-11 01:00
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +18 $11 62¢ $11 $0 11-09 06:46
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs Gen.G +16 $10 62¢ $10 $0 11-12 16:54
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G +18 $10 57¢ $10 $0 11-12 17:13
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-24? Yes +15 $10 70¢ $10 $0 11-10 13:41
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming +23 $10 42¢ $10 $0 11-12 16:51
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming +23 $10 42¢ $10 $0 11-12 17:13
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 10-07 16:47
Islanders vs. Kings Islanders +14 $9 68¢ $10 +$0 11-13 04:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +10 $9 91¢ $9 +$0 11-13 01:53
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +10 $9 93¢ $9 +$0 09-02 14:29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-24? Yes +12 $9 77¢ $9 $0 11-10 02:27
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over +12 $9 72¢ $9 $0 11-09 08:53
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +19 $6 38¢ $7 +$2 11-09 09:27
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,649 $33 0¢ $7 -$26 10-25 13:34
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 07-04 04:20
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,985 $35 0¢ $5 -$30 09-11 04:49
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +12 $17 38¢ $5 -$13 10-22 02:42
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +7 $3 62¢ $4 +$1 11-03 14:27
Honor of Kings: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO7) - King Pro League Grand Finals Playoffs Weibo Gaming +10 $4 39¢ $4 $0 11-13 02:08
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +4 $3 88¢ $4 +$1 11-06 15:19