Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
open
Total volume
$695,258
$16,536 in 24h
Trades
9,142
Unique wallets
1,276
Liquidity
$84,310
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-22 01:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-6.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $6.3K
vs crowd: 6% YES on $523.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 30 | $391 | $311.6K | $311.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 51 | $2.4K | $90.2K | $87.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 163 | $6.6K | $45.6K | $39.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1,032 | $23.4K | $43.4K | $20.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 10 | $4 | $6.3K | $6.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 30 | $162 | $21.6K | $21.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $2 | $901 | $899 |
| Median | 181 | $85 | $57.7K | $57.7K |
| Below median | 108 | $423 | $4.4K | $4.0K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 15 | $124 | $5.4K | $5.3K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $2.1K | $11.1K | $9.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 13 | $4.4K | $28.2K | $23.8K |
| unranked | 894 | $25.4K | $355.2K | $329.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frightened-Trouble 0x7f3c…5613 | No | +261,848 | $242,272 | $242,272 | 63 | 06-21 15:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x2783…b7f2 | Yes | +123,356 | $9,594 | $9,594 | 6 | 06-18 21:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x60b9…6117 | Yes | +96,971 | $6,982 | $6,982 | 4 | 06-21 15:35 |
| Admired-Omission 0x495e…9a96 | Yes | +49,201 | $4,015 | $4,015 | 7 | 06-17 19:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x3dd3…8852 | Yes | +27,127 | $2,699 | $6,453 | 11 | 06-15 09:14 |
| Superb-Island 0x7cf6…af1e | No | +17,904 | $16,572 | $82,699 | 322 | 06-18 17:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xf025…263e | Yes | +17,630 | $1,287 | $1,537 | 7 | 06-06 17:21 |
| Gentle-Necklace 0x8508…9fda | Yes | +16,102 | $1,244 | $1,805 | 12 | 06-19 20:46 |
| Late-Stepbrother 0x0aae…251c | No | +14,695 | $13,608 | $13,608 | 16 | 06-19 18:53 |
| Worthless-Summer 0xe29e…fa35 | Yes | +9,637 | $774 | $3,321 | 32 | 06-17 00:33 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +9,327 | $8,652 | $8,652 | 37 | 06-17 16:01 |
| Simplistic-Jellyfish 0xcdf8…b8ea | No | +6,189 | $5,699 | $13,340 | 7 | 06-20 07:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x5845…c328 | No | +6,130 | $5,560 | $5,560 | 2 | 06-06 05:44 |
| Unaware-Pipe 0x31c5…ede4 | No | +6,000 | $5,538 | $5,538 | 14 | 06-15 09:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe9c…3be9 | No | +5,300 | $4,808 | $14,581 | 49 | 06-18 16:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xf449…a73a | No | +5,198 | $4,755 | $10,194 | 8 | 06-18 16:55 |
| Shallow-Polyp 0x39b0…07d1 | No | +4,975 | $4,617 | $4,617 | 15 | 06-02 07:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x3258…5650 | No | +4,260 | $3,972 | $13,888 | 364 | 06-20 12:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xf29f…5cca | No | +4,000 | $3,668 | $3,668 | 2 | 06-18 16:55 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +3,924 | $68 | $455 | 34 | 06-15 09:14 |
| Far-Procurement 0x9940…b140 | No | +3,119 | $2,885 | $2,885 | 14 | 06-01 16:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbc3…b736 | Yes | +2,955 | $238 | $238 | 2 | 06-06 01:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xab68…8c2e | Yes | +2,625 | $146 | $146 | 4 | 06-14 22:08 |
| Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | No | +2,550 | $2,349 | $2,349 | 14 | 06-18 16:55 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +2,428 | $173 | $173 | 56 | 06-15 15:23 |
| Immaterial-Advantage 0xf85f…9800 | No | +2,174 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 06-08 14:55 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +2,057 | $1,935 | $6,077 | 72 | 06-20 12:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xf756…13f6 | No | +2,010 | $1,867 | $1,867 | 3 | 06-03 16:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | +2,001 | $1,803 | $13,989 | 65 | 06-21 21:41 |
| Bony-Novel 0x5351…c7ed | No | +1,800 | $1,668 | $1,668 | 4 | 06-03 18:42 |
| Specific-Caddy 0xf7eb…31c3 | No | +1,723 | $1,601 | $1,601 | 2 | 06-21 15:36 |
| Clear-Cut-Corporatism 0x9fbd…572c | No | +1,550 | $1,437 | $1,437 | 1 | 06-18 16:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xc0a5…36e1 | No | +1,547 | $1,404 | $5,636 | 9 | 06-18 17:39 |
| Uncomfortable-Goat 0x6af7…5a6f | No | +1,500 | $1,392 | $1,392 | 1 | 06-20 07:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x123f…dced | No | +1,410 | $1,300 | $1,300 | 2 | 06-09 07:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x7820…fa12 | No | +1,276 | $1,186 | $1,186 | 2 | 06-20 17:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xf58b…5f34 | No | +1,200 | $1,108 | $1,108 | 14 | 06-03 18:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x8184…bfa7 | Yes | +1,142 | $57 | $57 | 2 | 06-14 21:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x19b7…e695 | No | +1,100 | $999 | $2,841 | 6 | 06-15 10:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x9604…d686 | No | +1,000 | $926 | $926 | 1 | 06-01 12:50 |
| Musty-Bit 0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | +900 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-15 03:05 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +900 | $821 | $1,279 | 10 | 06-18 17:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x729a…c966 | No | +800 | $736 | $736 | 5 | 06-06 04:42 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +361 | $31 | $211 | 69 | 06-20 12:23 |
| Straight-Mangrove 0xe342…2a23 | Yes | +256 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-30 08:13 |
| Shameful-Chauvinist 0xa3a6…3d43 | Yes | +250 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-30 08:42 |
| Messy-Handicap 0x291d…a99a | Yes | +250 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-30 09:14 |
| Notable-Gopher 0x0b39…a8c1 | Yes | +250 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-30 08:13 |
| Kindhearted-Bother 0xc98f…97c1 | Yes | +239 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-30 13:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 01:28:01 | (anonymous) 0x1afb…e88a | No | BUY | 24 | 93¢ | $22 | 0x061cc6… |
| 06-22 01:28:01 | Sane-Polyester 0xe442…97f7 | No | SELL | 24 | 93¢ | $22 | 0x061cc6… |
| 06-22 00:51:01 | (anonymous) 0x1afb…e88a | No | BUY | 139 | 93¢ | $129 | 0x735940… |
| 06-22 00:51:01 | Unsung-Burning 0x62bc…97ac | Yes | BUY | 139 | 7¢ | $10 | 0x735940… |
| 06-21 23:39:28 | (anonymous) 0x1afb…e88a | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xc8232c… |
| 06-21 23:39:28 | Plush-Coverall 0x9fd2…d24e | No | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xc8232c… |
| 06-21 23:26:37 | (anonymous) 0x1afb…e88a | No | BUY | 56 | 93¢ | $52 | 0x0b60a0… |
| 06-21 23:26:37 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 9 | 93¢ | $8 | 0x0b60a0… |
| 06-21 23:26:37 | (anonymous) 0xc65f…3423 | No | SELL | 65 | 93¢ | $60 | 0x0b60a0… |
| 06-21 22:29:40 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 13 | 93¢ | $12 | 0xf4214e… |
| 06-21 22:29:40 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 13 | 93¢ | $12 | 0xf4214e… |
| 06-21 21:41:07 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x943016… |
| 06-21 21:41:07 | (anonymous) 0xe263…a2ca | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x943016… |
| 06-21 20:31:17 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x87fd75… |
| 06-21 20:31:17 | Far-Off-Ghost 0xe59b…baac | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x87fd75… |
| 06-21 20:14:49 | (anonymous) 0x34b4…3f37 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x4d9afc… |
| 06-21 20:14:49 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x4d9afc… |
| 06-21 20:12:52 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 9 | 93¢ | $8 | 0x054703… |
| 06-21 20:12:52 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 9 | 93¢ | $8 | 0x054703… |
| 06-21 20:09:32 | Strict-College 0xd7b3…9c50 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x485835… |
| 06-21 20:09:32 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x485835… |
| 06-21 20:00:41 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xd2b1e8… |
| 06-21 20:00:41 | Pitiful-Nickname 0xde6f…7ea7 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xd2b1e8… |
| 06-21 19:58:38 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 29 | 93¢ | $27 | 0x3449cd… |
| 06-21 19:58:38 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 29 | 93¢ | $27 | 0x3449cd… |
| 06-21 19:49:52 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x3a6624… |
| 06-21 19:49:52 | Hot-Hotdog 0x6987…b7d3 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x3a6624… |
| 06-21 19:47:50 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xa3ea42… |
| 06-21 19:47:50 | Pleasant-Automaton 0x917f…d518 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xa3ea42… |
| 06-21 19:34:26 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xe3f93b… |
| 06-21 19:34:26 | Frigid-Stallion 0x896a…7b9c | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xe3f93b… |
| 06-21 19:34:22 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xd85972… |
| 06-21 19:34:22 | Frigid-Stallion 0x896a…7b9c | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xd85972… |
| 06-21 19:34:17 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x747f3b… |
| 06-21 19:34:17 | Frigid-Stallion 0x896a…7b9c | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x747f3b… |
| 06-21 19:32:35 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x32f151… |
| 06-21 19:32:35 | Quixotic-Stag 0xc4c7…69c9 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x32f151… |
| 06-21 19:08:20 | Knobby-Exasperation 0x1114…de8c | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x47c5ba… |
| 06-21 19:08:20 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x47c5ba… |
| 06-21 18:57:20 | Lovable-Tent 0x1c3f…05ae | No | BUY | 647 | 93¢ | $601 | 0x637518… |
| 06-21 18:57:20 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 647 | 93¢ | $601 | 0x637518… |
| 06-21 18:46:05 | (anonymous) 0x780f…9788 | No | BUY | 22 | 93¢ | $20 | 0x190773… |
| 06-21 18:46:05 | (anonymous) 0x2913…d241 | No | SELL | 22 | 93¢ | $20 | 0x190773… |
| 06-21 18:39:41 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x5165f4… |
| 06-21 18:39:41 | Complex-Poison 0x3848…8f61 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x5165f4… |
| 06-21 18:37:02 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xa22a56… |
| 06-21 18:37:02 | Generous-Plantation 0x8087…3158 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xa22a56… |
| 06-21 17:31:38 | (anonymous) 0x1fbc…85d8 | No | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x626508… |
| 06-21 17:31:38 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x626508… |
| 06-21 15:36:56 | Specific-Caddy 0xf7eb…31c3 | No | BUY | 1,722 | 93¢ | $1,600 | 0x8f4350… |
| 06-21 15:36:56 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | SELL | 317 | 93¢ | $295 | 0x8f4350… |
| 06-21 15:36:56 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 1,405 | 93¢ | $1,305 | 0x8f4350… |
| 06-21 15:35:26 | (anonymous) 0xd6c7…519b | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xcfbe82… |
| 06-21 15:35:26 | (anonymous) 0x60b9…6117 | Yes | BUY | 194 | 7¢ | $14 | 0xcfbe82… |
| 06-21 15:35:26 | (anonymous) 0x780f…9788 | No | BUY | 130 | 93¢ | $120 | 0xcfbe82… |
| 06-21 15:35:26 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 22 | 93¢ | $20 | 0xcfbe82… |
| 06-21 15:35:20 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | SELL | 60 | 93¢ | $56 | 0xcc7081… |
| 06-21 15:35:20 | Grim-Injoke 0x86ee…511f | No | BUY | 60 | 93¢ | $56 | 0xcc7081… |
| 06-21 15:35:02 | (anonymous) 0xddd7…0827 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xb55e26… |
| 06-21 15:35:02 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xb55e26… |
| 06-21 15:34:50 | (anonymous) 0x86f2…4a6e | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xae7afa… |
| 06-21 15:34:50 | Babyish-Meantime 0x6c57…47aa | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x19d6f1… |
| 06-21 15:34:50 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | SELL | 4 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x19d6f1… |
| 06-21 15:34:50 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xae7afa… |
| 06-21 15:34:49 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 22 | 93¢ | $20 | 0x484953… |
| 06-21 15:34:49 | (anonymous) 0xd6c7…519b | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x484953… |
| 06-21 15:34:49 | Klutzy-Alpaca 0x775c…419a | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x484953… |
| 06-21 15:34:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x484953… |
| 06-21 15:34:49 | (anonymous) 0xf43a…0d84 | No | BUY | 31 | 93¢ | $29 | 0x484953… |
| 06-21 15:34:49 | Frightened-Trouble 0x7f3c…5613 | No | BUY | 6,194 | 93¢ | $5,748 | 0x484953… |
| 06-21 15:34:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x484953… |
| 06-21 15:34:49 | (anonymous) 0x60b9…6117 | Yes | BUY | 6,323 | 7¢ | $455 | 0x484953… |
| 06-21 15:29:08 | (anonymous) 0xddd7…0827 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x34b172… |
| 06-21 15:29:08 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x34b172… |
| 06-21 15:28:55 | Grim-Injoke 0x86ee…511f | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xc981e4… |
| 06-21 15:28:55 | Frightened-Trouble 0x7f3c…5613 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xc981e4… |
| 06-21 15:28:41 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x894dbc… |
| 06-21 15:28:41 | (anonymous) 0xddd7…0827 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x894dbc… |
| 06-21 15:28:32 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xadca12… |
| 06-21 15:28:32 | (anonymous) 0x86f2…4a6e | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xadca12… |
| 06-21 15:28:31 | (anonymous) 0x60b9…6117 | Yes | BUY | 1,500 | 7¢ | $108 | 0x92b5d3… |
| 06-21 15:28:31 | Frightened-Trouble 0x7f3c…5613 | No | BUY | 1,500 | 93¢ | $1,392 | 0x92b5d3… |
| 06-21 15:27:38 | (anonymous) 0xddd7…0827 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x81e72a… |
| 06-21 15:27:38 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x81e72a… |
| 06-21 15:27:34 | (anonymous) 0x8be1…2297 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x67ee63… |
| 06-21 15:27:34 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xdfd682… |
| 06-21 15:27:34 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x67ee63… |
| 06-21 15:27:34 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | SELL | 8 | 93¢ | $7 | 0xa11f7f… |
| 06-21 15:27:34 | (anonymous) 0xd3f7…b781 | No | BUY | 8 | 93¢ | $7 | 0xa11f7f… |
| 06-21 15:27:34 | (anonymous) 0x1b0d…e9e9 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xdfd682… |
| 06-21 15:27:31 | Babyish-Meantime 0x6c57…47aa | No | BUY | 53 | 93¢ | $49 | 0x09c623… |
| 06-21 15:27:31 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | SELL | 53 | 93¢ | $49 | 0x09c623… |
| 06-21 15:27:31 | (anonymous) 0x86f2…4a6e | No | BUY | 53 | 93¢ | $50 | 0x9b3fe2… |
| 06-21 15:27:31 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x9517f1… |
| 06-21 15:27:31 | (anonymous) 0x88f6…8d88 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x9517f1… |
| 06-21 15:27:31 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | SELL | 53 | 93¢ | $50 | 0x9b3fe2… |
| 06-21 15:27:31 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | SELL | 9 | 93¢ | $8 | 0x8eabba… |
| 06-21 15:27:31 | (anonymous) 0x03e6…24e6 | No | BUY | 9 | 93¢ | $8 | 0x8eabba… |
| 06-21 15:27:29 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xef7ecb… |
| 06-21 15:27:29 | Frightened-Trouble 0x7f3c…5613 | No | BUY | 88,954 | 93¢ | $82,549 | 0x7ea17e… |