Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,467,778
$16,536 in 24h
Trades
23,474
Unique wallets
1,928
Liquidity
$84,310
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-12 12:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $78.4K
vs crowd: 6% YES on $1.06M)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 45 | $1.1K | $494.0K | $492.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 83 | $4.3K | $229.9K | $225.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 253 | $45.5K | $188.9K | $143.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1,547 | $7.5K | $88.0K | $80.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 16 | $145 | $78.3K | $78.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 37 | $364 | $49.1K | $48.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 20 | $2 | $16.1K | $16.1K |
| Median | 281 | $87 | $106.9K | $106.8K |
| Below median | 150 | $454 | $22.6K | $22.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 22 | $146 | $16.9K | $16.8K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 20 | $3.9K | $46.7K | $42.8K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 15 | $4.6K | $27.8K | $23.2K |
| unranked | 1,367 | $48.8K | $636.5K | $587.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frightened-Trouble 0x7f3c…5613 | No | +301,848 | $279,192 | $279,192 | 78 | 06-29 21:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x2783…b7f2 | Yes | +172,185 | $13,476 | $13,476 | 14 | 06-24 14:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x60b9…6117 | Yes | +160,973 | $12,180 | $12,180 | 21 | 06-26 18:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x76d8…68fc | Yes | +155,865 | $11,142 | $11,142 | 64 | 07-11 03:59 |
| Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | +62,528 | $57,800 | $60,013 | 35 | 07-09 21:06 |
| Admired-Omission 0x495e…9a96 | Yes | +49,201 | $4,015 | $4,015 | 7 | 06-17 19:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x7fb8…fc42 | No | +40,930 | $37,859 | $37,859 | 15 | 07-01 02:59 |
| Shimmering-Reindeer 0xf6ea…0a00 | No | +23,350 | $21,694 | $21,694 | 22 | 07-09 17:41 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +17,773 | $16,513 | $16,513 | 55 | 07-02 21:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x5845…c328 | No | +11,530 | $10,521 | $10,521 | 6 | 06-26 18:00 |
| Offbeat-Thesis 0xc1a5…f290 | No | +11,342 | $10,477 | $10,477 | 8 | 06-27 23:08 |
| Unaware-Jackal 0x8964…0bec | No | +11,135 | $10,318 | $10,318 | 69 | 07-09 08:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cd4…5b25 | No | +10,964 | $10,179 | $10,179 | 4 | 06-25 19:15 |
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | +10,721 | $10,042 | $10,042 | 14 | 07-11 15:29 |
| Gentle-Necklace 0x8508…9fda | Yes | +9,828 | $916 | $4,133 | 35 | 07-09 21:38 |
| Superb-Island 0x7cf6…af1e | No | +9,473 | $8,752 | $175,310 | 423 | 07-11 04:34 |
| Altruistic-Mochi 0x397e…fd1d | No | +9,101 | $8,459 | $8,459 | 6 | 07-06 18:16 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +7,734 | $553 | $553 | 123 | 06-29 18:10 |
| Worthless-Summer 0xe29e…fa35 | Yes | +7,661 | $740 | $4,314 | 40 | 07-06 03:47 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +7,362 | $6,856 | $11,213 | 120 | 06-30 16:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x8539…a6e1 | No | +7,049 | $6,522 | $6,522 | 21 | 07-06 18:47 |
| Specific-Caddy 0xf7eb…31c3 | No | +6,185 | $5,741 | $5,741 | 7 | 06-26 16:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xf29f…5cca | No | +6,000 | $5,368 | $20,212 | 12 | 06-30 10:36 |
| Unaware-Pipe 0x31c5…ede4 | No | +6,000 | $5,538 | $5,538 | 14 | 06-15 09:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +5,098 | $4,730 | $4,730 | 25 | 07-11 05:34 |
| Shallow-Polyp 0x39b0…07d1 | No | +4,975 | $4,617 | $4,617 | 15 | 06-02 07:07 |
| Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | +4,627 | $4,331 | $4,331 | 28 | 07-10 20:49 |
| Musty-Bit 0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | +4,414 | $316 | $1,789 | 12 | 06-29 12:07 |
| Another-Allowance 0xdafd…5ffb | No | +4,221 | $3,948 | $3,948 | 5 | 07-08 23:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbc3…b736 | Yes | +4,164 | $338 | $338 | 4 | 06-30 01:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x3258…5650 | No | +3,944 | $3,674 | $19,342 | 511 | 07-12 03:38 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +3,924 | $68 | $455 | 34 | 06-15 09:14 |
| Incomplete-Cherry 0x107f…bb8c | No | +3,714 | $3,395 | $3,395 | 10 | 06-29 22:42 |
| Clever-Selfesteem 0xb520…c3d0 | No | +3,300 | $3,072 | $3,072 | 1 | 07-01 13:10 |
| Blank-Opinion 0x5d5c…cf59 | No | +3,279 | $3,047 | $6,953 | 7 | 07-08 09:50 |
| Far-Procurement 0x9940…b140 | No | +3,119 | $2,885 | $2,885 | 14 | 06-01 16:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | +3,082 | $2,693 | $39,973 | 140 | 07-12 11:36 |
| Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | No | +3,050 | $2,809 | $2,809 | 15 | 06-24 11:41 |
| Worried-Poem 0x12b8…479c | No | +3,000 | $2,799 | $2,799 | 6 | 07-08 02:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x622b…c6cb | No | +3,000 | $2,781 | $2,781 | 2 | 07-06 18:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x8184…bfa7 | Yes | +2,995 | $188 | $188 | 7 | 06-29 11:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xab68…8c2e | Yes | +2,625 | $146 | $146 | 4 | 06-14 22:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xe1b5…8378 | Yes | +2,500 | $150 | $150 | 2 | 07-06 12:07 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +1,477 | $107 | $158 | 23 | 07-09 17:41 |
| Aching-Defender 0x3822…b720 | Yes | +1,100 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 07-09 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xe275…4701 | Yes | +1,010 | $77 | $77 | 1 | 06-29 13:25 |
| Glistening-Contributor 0x748a…3c56 | Yes | +988 | $37 | $351 | 35 | 07-08 09:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c3f…ff4b | Yes | +690 | $48 | $48 | 6 | 07-01 09:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 12:02:53 | (anonymous) 0xe1e5…35a4 | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x03ab19… |
| 07-12 12:02:53 | (anonymous) 0x0d80…11de | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x03ab19… |
| 07-12 11:36:55 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xfb4fea… |
| 07-12 11:36:55 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xfb4fea… |
| 07-12 10:54:04 | (anonymous) 0x652e…e744 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x9ba78f… |
| 07-12 10:54:04 | (anonymous) 0x12f7…e7aa | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x9ba78f… |
| 07-12 10:54:04 | (anonymous) 0xe380…97dd | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x9ba78f… |
| 07-12 10:54:04 | (anonymous) 0xa048…3218 | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x9ba78f… |
| 07-12 10:54:04 | (anonymous) 0xb862…fd3c | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x9ba78f… |
| 07-12 10:54:04 | (anonymous) 0x8c25…3a28 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x9ba78f… |
| 07-12 10:54:04 | (anonymous) 0x950d…9833 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x9ba78f… |
| 07-12 10:54:04 | (anonymous) 0x66a1…ccae | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x9ba78f… |
| 07-12 10:54:04 | (anonymous) 0x0d80…11de | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x9ba78f… |
| 07-12 10:54:04 | (anonymous) 0xcdfa…b158 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x9ba78f… |
| 07-12 10:54:04 | (anonymous) 0x0831…cb93 | No | SELL | 117 | 94¢ | $110 | 0x9ba78f… |
| 07-12 10:54:04 | (anonymous) 0x1cf8…306d | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x9ba78f… |
| 07-12 10:54:04 | (anonymous) 0x5889…3566 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x9ba78f… |
| 07-12 10:54:04 | (anonymous) 0x0f0c…23a1 | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x9ba78f… |
| 07-12 10:54:04 | (anonymous) 0x1309…72b9 | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x9ba78f… |
| 07-12 10:54:04 | (anonymous) 0xf5f6…11c9 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x9ba78f… |
| 07-12 10:54:04 | (anonymous) 0x83c1…9b69 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x9ba78f… |
| 07-12 10:54:04 | (anonymous) 0x95c7…86f1 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x9ba78f… |
| 07-12 10:54:04 | (anonymous) 0x808a…d4c3 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x9ba78f… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x8d81…d6f2 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 168 | 6¢ | $10 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x24ea…ddab | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x03e3…c654 | No | BUY | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x68d0…c845 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x91c9…5a77 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x9862…d6e5 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x8fa5…a16d | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x9f94…8fe3 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | (anonymous) 0xca3d…a7f1 | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x1765…81b7 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | (anonymous) 0xd01e…0834 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x45f7…9d90 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | (anonymous) 0xa61d…5268 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x2455…372a | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x4307…ac14 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x0693…f9f9 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x0f0c…23a1 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x2a05…cd68 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | (anonymous) 0xbbd5…ef57 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | (anonymous) 0xe5c1…8104 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | (anonymous) 0xa6d1…a232 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x824a…3350 | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 10:49:47 | (anonymous) 0xd363…a379 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xcf8727… |
| 07-12 09:12:53 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x4c84fa… |
| 07-12 09:12:53 | (anonymous) 0x03e3…c654 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x4c84fa… |
| 07-12 09:12:53 | (anonymous) 0xe157…1624 | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x4c84fa… |
| 07-12 08:43:23 | (anonymous) 0xd535…7945 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x5909ec… |
| 07-12 08:43:23 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x5909ec… |
| 07-12 08:32:16 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x46b391… |
| 07-12 08:32:16 | (anonymous) 0xd9fd…2512 | No | BUY | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x46b391… |
| 07-12 08:02:08 | Musty-Gamebird 0x91d1…55b1 | No | BUY | 16 | 94¢ | $15 | 0xa54dfb… |
| 07-12 08:02:08 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 16 | 94¢ | $15 | 0xa54dfb… |
| 07-12 04:52:01 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xe2a84b… |
| 07-12 04:52:01 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xe2a84b… |
| 07-12 04:13:32 | (anonymous) 0x951b…51f7 | No | BUY | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x3586ac… |
| 07-12 04:13:32 | (anonymous) 0x2840…7167 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x3586ac… |
| 07-12 04:13:32 | (anonymous) 0x1717…b074 | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x3586ac… |
| 07-12 04:13:32 | (anonymous) 0xe157…1624 | No | BUY | 4 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x3586ac… |
| 07-12 04:11:22 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x01881d… |
| 07-12 04:11:22 | (anonymous) 0xe129…ca03 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x01881d… |
| 07-12 04:11:22 | (anonymous) 0x951b…51f7 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x01881d… |
| 07-12 03:46:29 | (anonymous) 0x00e2…c17d | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x44f771… |
| 07-12 03:46:29 | Menacing-Rate 0x217a…b1bc | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x44f771… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x2bf0…108a | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x6881…4bd3 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0xdbd9…d285 | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x3dcb…edb8 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x24f9…a5a1 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x521f…7fbf | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0xa2b2…b0d8 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x2de1…dbc5 | No | SELL | 641 | 94¢ | $602 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x6b77…1471 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x2de1…dbc5 | No | SELL | 54 | 94¢ | $51 | 0x1ac58c… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x4c38…780d | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x5bcf…06e0 | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x4d16…ea6e | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x1ac58c… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x0138…933f | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x1ac58c… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x0ea6…8adc | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x0498…7e0f | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0xa198…ae4f | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x4767…aa07 | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0xac64…4d5f | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0xc982…1e14 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x0162…202e | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0xe48d…841b | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x1ac58c… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 21 | 94¢ | $20 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…b67d | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x1ac58c… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x09fd…3788 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x4620…d01e | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0xafae…acb1 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x0a16…b323 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x92a6…7eef | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x4f37…302f | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x51c6…3dcd | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x584826… |
| 07-12 03:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x3258…5650 | No | BUY | 58 | 94¢ | $55 | 0x584826… |