Frightened-Trouble — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$64.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$27.4K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,852

lifetime

Volume

$5.53M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.43K

Open exposure

$602.4K

12 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 23:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 97% +$63,798

Other

6% 75% +$683

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	+340,000	$314,520	97¢	$329.3K	+$14,770	06-29 21:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+52,208	$49,571	98¢	$51.3K	+$1,776	09-15 21:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	+50,000	$49,343	100¢	$49.8K	+$432	10-11 21:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+49,000	$45,080	95¢	$46.7K	+$1,617	09-02 08:56
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	+35,711	$28,655	98¢	$34.9K	+$6,252	09-03 14:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?	No	+29,513	$28,805	100¢	$29.4K	+$590	10-11 10:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	+25,000	$23,950	99¢	$24.8K	+$862	10-12 12:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+25,000	$24,100	97¢	$24.3K	+$188	10-15 01:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+7,458	$7,152	98¢	$7.3K	+$164	09-13 21:00
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	+4,000	$3,615	90¢	$3.6K	-$31	10-25 23:25
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	+1,000	$470	100¢	$998	+$528	10-08 07:14
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$258	86¢	$0	+$258	08-13 22:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$597.6K	600,000	0	+600,000	No	+$2,400	03-01 19:02
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$582.1K	583,800	0	+583,800	No	+$1,668	05-19 21:38
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	81	$314.5K	340,000	0	+340,000	open	—	06-29 21:48
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	23	$306.0K	306,320	0	+306,320	Yes	+$340	07-05 21:57
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	1,107	$293.0K	200,000	99,951	+100,049	No	+$6,030	02-27 18:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	337	$148.7K	150,000	0	+150,000	No	+$1,261	04-25 11:14
will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	7	$135.5K	136,230	0	+136,230	No	+$739	06-22 12:55
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	46	$126.0K	131,613	0	+131,613	No	+$5,578	02-28 04:52
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	140	$121.8K	122,187	0	+122,187	No	+$367	05-13 22:58
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	17	$117.2K	118,001	0	+118,001	No	+$846	04-27 19:39
will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	26	$99.8K	100,000	0	+100,000	No	+$200	06-25 06:02
will ethereum dip to 1700 in august 2026	9	$98.9K	100,660	0	+100,660	No	+$1,715	08-22 02:59
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	88	$86.5K	87,533	0	+87,533	No	+$985	02-25 05:35
will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	44	$82.5K	84,130	0	+84,130	No	+$1,584	08-21 05:37
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	123	$76.9K	78,753	0	+78,753	No	+$1,902	02-28 02:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	27	$76.2K	76,454	0	+76,454	No	+$232	04-21 14:16
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	31	$72.4K	75,000	0	+75,000	No	+$2,551	02-09 08:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	132	$64.8K	65,018	0	+65,018	No	+$220	04-22 17:57
will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	14	$63.8K	64,561	0	+64,561	No	+$805	08-23 19:47
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	5	$59.6K	60,000	0	+60,000	No	+$420	01-09 03:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	95	$58.3K	58,650	0	+58,650	No	+$333	04-27 15:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	57	$52.7K	53,000	0	+53,000	No	+$265	04-29 02:10
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?	69	$49.9K	50,000	0	+50,000	No	+$100	04-25 23:03
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	98	$49.9K	50,000	0	+50,000	No	+$100	04-27 03:56
will ethereum reach 2700 in june 2026	12	$49.9K	50,000	0	+50,000	No	+$100	06-26 09:22
will ethereum reach 2800 in june 2026	18	$49.9K	50,000	0	+50,000	No	+$101	06-24 20:14
will ethereum reach 2600 in june 2026	9	$49.8K	50,000	0	+50,000	No	+$150	06-22 13:43
will ethereum dip to 1100 in july 2026	2	$49.7K	50,000	0	+50,000	No	+$300	07-15 13:06
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	30	$49.6K	50,000	0	+50,000	No	+$350	07-20 08:15
will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	7	$49.6K	50,000	0	+50,000	No	+$400	07-17 06:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:25:20	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	71	90¢	$64	0xd9a7dd…
10-25 23:25:18	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	354	90¢	$319	0x7a1df0…
10-25 23:25:18	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	345	90¢	$311	0x438de2…
10-25 23:25:18	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x11354c…
10-24 02:28:53	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	1,180	90¢	$1,062	0xd8e4b7…
10-24 02:28:53	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x7f2bf8…
10-23 07:53:57	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8b67d7…
10-23 07:53:56	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	122	90¢	$110	0x39a591…
10-22 21:06:39	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	653	90¢	$588	0x7ed425…
10-18 08:18:59	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	337	14¢	$47	0x1d7f50…
10-15 01:56:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,973	96¢	$1,902	0x6aaf8a…
10-12 17:39:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,795	96¢	$2,694	0x79a453…
10-12 12:36:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	BUY	4,141	96¢	$3,967	0x56980e…
10-12 12:34:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0x920c1e…
10-12 06:34:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x668c7c…
10-11 21:15:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	323	99¢	$319	0x212362…
10-11 20:25:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	355	99¢	$351	0x433ec4…
10-11 19:34:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	355	99¢	$351	0xce8614…
10-11 19:34:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	355	99¢	$351	0xc0d254…
10-11 19:34:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	355	99¢	$351	0x2c9c54…
10-11 19:34:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	355	99¢	$351	0x0502ee…
10-11 17:26:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	358	99¢	$353	0x8e99d7…
10-11 17:26:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	358	99¢	$353	0x850457…
10-11 17:26:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	358	99¢	$353	0x6a63d0…
10-11 17:10:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x33618a…
10-11 17:10:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xafcc4b…
10-11 17:09:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2986a3…
10-11 17:09:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x03902d…
10-11 16:26:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	1,200	99¢	$1,184	0x4d85f3…
10-11 16:01:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	400	99¢	$395	0x318317…
10-11 15:35:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa95487…
10-11 14:51:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x0e836f…
10-11 14:30:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xe2ab05…
10-11 11:38:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xc3cdf3…
10-11 10:28:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20,209	96¢	$19,482	0xe218d4…
10-11 10:23:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x072a93…
10-11 10:20:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	BUY	20,584	96¢	$19,719	0xc26426…
10-11 10:20:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?	No	BUY	29,467	98¢	$28,760	0x7f4c12…
10-11 10:19:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	45,145	99¢	$44,551	0xe9f723…
10-08 10:38:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	300	53¢	$159	0xcb30e1…
10-08 07:14:31	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	1,000	47¢	$470	0x3fd346…
10-08 06:59:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	700	53¢	$371	0x5d7a7d…
10-01 16:11:20	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x6f867b…
10-01 10:36:11	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0x9c3eac…
10-01 10:36:05	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	108	91¢	$99	0x49bbbe…
10-01 10:18:14	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc0d0ab…
10-01 10:18:14	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x695e78…
10-01 10:17:54	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x13a867…
10-01 10:17:51	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x03e762…
10-01 10:17:44	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4a170d…
10-01 10:17:32	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x53206c…
10-01 10:17:29	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9c47c0…
10-01 10:17:27	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfc2b7b…
10-01 10:17:27	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0xa869f9…
10-01 10:17:26	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xffeeda…
10-01 10:17:26	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe94c58…
10-01 10:17:21	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x58c7f4…
10-01 10:17:20	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	917	91¢	$838	0xb05013…
09-28 01:29:45	AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	208	76¢	$158	0xf6aa87…
09-26 23:16:54	AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	43	76¢	$32	0xd5eb56…
09-26 23:15:12	AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	81	76¢	$62	0x7a1589…
09-23 23:59:10	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6e266b…
09-23 17:45:05	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3da80e…
09-22 02:23:08	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc50b09…
09-22 02:23:05	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2cd5ee…
09-21 15:44:56	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x1f84f0…
09-21 11:00:27	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xf742a2…
09-21 08:37:54	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	No	BUY	1,422	95¢	$1,355	0x06cf2c…
09-20 23:53:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	No	BUY	173	99¢	$172	0x1a6e38…
09-20 20:16:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	No	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,970	0x295992…
09-20 14:05:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	No	BUY	1,557	99¢	$1,547	0xf995c5…
09-20 13:03:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x9190f0…
09-20 10:41:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x151f27…
09-20 10:40:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x125616…
09-20 10:38:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xefabc3…
09-20 10:37:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdab20e…
09-20 10:35:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc87fb7…
09-20 10:34:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x41dacb…
09-20 10:33:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x54f45b…
09-20 10:32:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x46d78f…
09-20 09:42:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	No	BUY	173	99¢	$172	0xa0f528…
09-20 05:59:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe6c575…
09-20 05:58:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5a34be…
09-20 05:54:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb4a02c…
09-20 05:53:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x151082…
09-20 05:45:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2358cb…
09-19 20:56:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	No	BUY	1,869	96¢	$1,794	0xb455a2…
09-19 20:41:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x195653…
09-19 14:46:00	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	43,467	98¢	$42,815	0x7ccf94…
09-19 12:00:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	No	BUY	6,000	96¢	$5,760	0xb99feb…
09-19 11:54:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	No	BUY	72	96¢	$69	0x1a34c1…
09-19 11:39:45	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	85	99¢	$85	0x29ed3e…
09-19 09:12:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	No	BUY	32	96¢	$30	0x8ddae9…
09-19 08:33:15	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	1,615	99¢	$1,602	0x03fa36…
09-19 08:31:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf2de24…
09-19 08:00:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$3	0xbf25c7…
09-19 07:58:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	No	BUY	161	96¢	$155	0x3210d0…
09-19 07:56:24	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	No	BUY	1,994	95¢	$1,900	0xd29001…
09-19 07:55:13	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	No	BUY	4,991	95¢	$4,756	0x7cd517…
09-19 07:47:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe3d6ad…