Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$244,229
$12,070 in 24h
Trades
2,047
Unique wallets
554
Liquidity
$34,188
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-13 18:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-8.9¢
(top1%: 5% YES on $43.6K
vs crowd: 14% YES on $155.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 40 | $1.2K | $64.0K | $62.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 46 | $5.3K | $41.7K | $36.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 117 | $8.2K | $24.3K | $16.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 351 | $6.8K | $3.8K | +$3.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $2.2K | $41.4K | $39.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 23 | $142 | $13.4K | $13.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 22 | $61 | $4.0K | $4.0K |
| Median | 78 | $106 | $3.6K | $3.5K |
| Below median | 113 | $1.4K | $2.9K | $1.6K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 18 | $505 | $983 | $477 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 19 | $962 | $5.1K | $4.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 12 | $1.2K | $16.3K | $15.2K |
| unranked | 264 | $15.0K | $45.9K | $30.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xc61a…4a7c | Yes | +36,300 | $4,356 | $4,356 | 5 | 06-21 07:27 |
| Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | +29,406 | $26,617 | $26,617 | 38 | 08-10 10:47 |
| Common-Love 0x00ff…f7ad | No | +16,792 | $14,811 | $14,811 | 21 | 06-30 09:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x2468…4826 | Yes | +12,500 | $1,376 | $1,376 | 12 | 07-11 10:18 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +12,000 | $10,519 | $10,519 | 4 | 06-19 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6ed…6327 | No | +10,327 | $9,078 | $9,078 | 1 | 06-08 19:12 |
| Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | +9,203 | $8,463 | $10,632 | 60 | 08-12 07:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | Yes | +8,000 | $690 | $970 | 27 | 07-09 12:57 |
| Sophisticated-Turn 0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | +7,926 | $760 | $760 | 14 | 06-29 07:07 |
| Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | +7,570 | $6,829 | $6,953 | 26 | 07-10 02:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf79…d8ee | No | +5,776 | $5,355 | $8,342 | 41 | 08-13 18:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a3c…5089 | Yes | +5,224 | $763 | $763 | 6 | 06-12 16:57 |
| Lasting-Dessert 0x8e77…c4f3 | No | +5,000 | $4,700 | $4,700 | 1 | 08-13 02:10 |
| Avaricious-Summary 0x363c…9b0e | Yes | +4,983 | $349 | $349 | 1 | 07-29 15:29 |
| Dirty-Disclosure 0xab16…d5dc | Yes | +4,815 | $780 | $780 | 19 | 06-12 16:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c0c…d6ed | No | +4,064 | $3,781 | $3,781 | 3 | 07-06 14:43 |
| Embellished-Observatory 0x5371…76eb | No | +3,593 | $3,234 | $3,234 | 1 | 06-24 15:45 |
| Flaky-Lift 0xd0f1…6712 | No | +3,058 | $2,661 | $2,661 | 4 | 06-12 05:57 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +3,000 | $420 | $420 | 1 | 06-07 22:17 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +2,715 | $2,450 | $2,450 | 40 | 08-01 08:50 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +2,600 | $264 | $264 | 46 | 08-03 07:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xe144…fa7c | Yes | +2,581 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-21 22:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x27b3…01bb | No | +2,500 | $2,275 | $2,275 | 6 | 06-26 21:41 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +2,493 | $449 | $449 | 1 | 05-30 12:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x8dfe…b081 | Yes | +2,000 | $120 | $120 | 3 | 07-10 05:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x3f9a…8ece | No | +2,000 | $1,815 | $1,815 | 8 | 06-29 14:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x20ea…0d11 | Yes | +1,828 | $214 | $214 | 9 | 07-01 15:36 |
| Full-Gearshift 0xd71a…78c9 | No | +1,709 | $1,600 | $1,600 | 2 | 07-26 21:37 |
| Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | +1,500 | $1,325 | $1,325 | 10 | 06-22 22:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8b5…6123 | Yes | +1,500 | $155 | $155 | 3 | 07-01 15:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x1fb4…24a9 | Yes | +1,452 | $189 | $189 | 2 | 06-19 00:04 |
| Friendly-Choosing 0xca00…2256 | Yes | +1,398 | $210 | $210 | 1 | 06-02 13:56 |
| Intrepid-Holder 0x4f31…efa3 | No | +1,397 | $1,277 | $1,277 | 1 | 06-30 13:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xbae1…2f44 | Yes | +1,368 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-24 10:51 |
| Edible-Lot 0x635d…5025 | No | +1,200 | $1,070 | $1,070 | 12 | 08-01 08:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x410a…2643 | No | +1,118 | $1,051 | $1,051 | 7 | 08-05 18:14 |
| Fixed-Evolution 0x66ca…0db6 | No | +1,100 | $1,036 | $1,036 | 5 | 08-03 14:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e6c…e358 | No | +1,064 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 07-24 14:30 |
| Forthright-Kingfish 0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | +1,063 | $74 | $74 | 29 | 07-27 13:47 |
| Puny-Husband 0x7e47…ecf7 | Yes | +1,022 | $136 | $136 | 6 | 07-15 13:23 |
| Honest-Decrease 0x2df3…f6be | No | +1,000 | $938 | $938 | 4 | 08-03 13:40 |
| Hideous-Package 0x21c5…3533 | No | +1,000 | $930 | $930 | 10 | 07-21 09:29 |
| Loyal-Plan 0xd574…425d | No | +997 | $928 | $928 | 15 | 07-24 10:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xfbbe…fd4f | Yes | +969 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 07-01 11:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +927 | $75 | $355 | 10 | 07-29 15:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x495f…2482 | Yes | +899 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 06-29 13:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xb5a5…5d6a | Yes | +899 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 06-29 18:49 |
| Embarrassed-Crazy 0x6edb…a7c7 | No | +888 | $764 | $764 | 1 | 06-02 07:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x9566…84f1 | Yes | +880 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 06-29 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d6c…be6e | Yes | +873 | $87 | $87 | 1 | 06-29 13:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xb250…52d4 | Yes | +871 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 06-26 21:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x02ed…f654 | Yes | +870 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 06-26 21:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9fd…3221 | Yes | +828 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 07-01 12:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf8f…34d4 | Yes | +814 | $81 | $81 | 1 | 06-29 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x527b…110b | Yes | +803 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 06-29 14:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 18:56:49 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | SELL | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0xc0b771… |
| 08-13 18:56:49 | (anonymous) 0xaf79…d8ee | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0xc0b771… |
| 08-13 17:45:10 | (anonymous) 0xaf79…d8ee | No | SELL | 32 | 94¢ | $30 | 0x8202a9… |
| 08-13 17:45:10 | (anonymous) 0xb6fa…53cb | No | BUY | 32 | 94¢ | $30 | 0x8202a9… |
| 08-13 17:16:18 | (anonymous) 0xaf79…d8ee | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x31b64c… |
| 08-13 17:16:18 | (anonymous) 0xb6fa…53cb | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x31b64c… |
| 08-13 17:06:31 | (anonymous) 0xaf79…d8ee | No | BUY | 21 | 93¢ | $20 | 0x746002… |
| 08-13 17:06:31 | (anonymous) 0x46b1…428c | No | SELL | 21 | 93¢ | $20 | 0x746002… |
| 08-13 08:43:03 | (anonymous) 0x92e3…e820 | No | BUY | 54 | 94¢ | $51 | 0x741400… |
| 08-13 08:43:03 | (anonymous) 0xaf79…d8ee | No | SELL | 85 | 94¢ | $80 | 0x741400… |
| 08-13 08:43:03 | Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | No | BUY | 31 | 94¢ | $29 | 0x741400… |
| 08-13 02:10:33 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 500 | 94¢ | $470 | 0xa40ce1… |
| 08-13 02:10:33 | (anonymous) 0x771a…3659 | No | SELL | 12,354 | 93¢ | $11,550 | 0xa40ce1… |
| 08-13 02:10:33 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xa40ce1… |
| 08-13 02:10:33 | (anonymous) 0xfb99…3587 | No | BUY | 53 | 94¢ | $50 | 0xa40ce1… |
| 08-13 02:10:33 | Advanced-Shipper 0xa8b3…4484 | Yes | SELL | 984 | 7¢ | $69 | 0xa40ce1… |
| 08-13 02:10:33 | Velvety-Outlaw 0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0xa40ce1… |
| 08-13 02:10:33 | Lasting-Dessert 0x8e77…c4f3 | No | BUY | 5,000 | 94¢ | $4,700 | 0xa40ce1… |
| 08-13 02:10:33 | (anonymous) 0xaf79…d8ee | No | BUY | 118 | 93¢ | $110 | 0xa40ce1… |
| 08-13 02:10:33 | (anonymous) 0x088f…d953 | Yes | SELL | 431 | 6¢ | $26 | 0xa40ce1… |
| 08-12 15:02:03 | (anonymous) 0x088f…d953 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xfacf62… |
| 08-12 15:02:03 | (anonymous) 0x342b…c6b4 | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xfacf62… |
| 08-12 07:01:16 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x6cb533… |
| 08-12 07:01:16 | (anonymous) 0x342b…c6b4 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x6cb533… |
| 08-11 13:54:03 | (anonymous) 0xba69…adeb | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x9fc6b7… |
| 08-11 13:54:03 | (anonymous) 0x088f…d953 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x9fc6b7… |
| 08-11 10:18:15 | (anonymous) 0x4760…936f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x695d63… |
| 08-11 10:18:15 | (anonymous) 0x088f…d953 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x695d63… |
| 08-11 06:52:27 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x3457d3… |
| 08-11 06:52:27 | (anonymous) 0xba69…adeb | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x3457d3… |
| 08-11 00:35:13 | (anonymous) 0x088f…d953 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xaf44bc… |
| 08-11 00:35:13 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 16 | 94¢ | $15 | 0xaf44bc… |
| 08-10 13:51:31 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 16 | 95¢ | $15 | 0xa23cbc… |
| 08-10 13:51:31 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 16 | 95¢ | $15 | 0xa23cbc… |
| 08-10 10:47:57 | (anonymous) 0x088f…d953 | Yes | SELL | 252 | 6¢ | $15 | 0x8341b5… |
| 08-10 10:47:57 | (anonymous) 0xa357…f206 | Yes | BUY | 380 | 6¢ | $23 | 0x8341b5… |
| 08-10 10:47:57 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 128 | 94¢ | $121 | 0x8341b5… |
| 08-10 09:13:28 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 33 | 94¢ | $31 | 0xc37cc3… |
| 08-10 09:13:28 | (anonymous) 0x4760…936f | Yes | BUY | 33 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xc37cc3… |
| 08-10 00:50:18 | Valid-Bull 0x5ba8…5269 | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x310ea8… |
| 08-10 00:50:18 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x310ea8… |
| 08-09 18:57:52 | (anonymous) 0xe6a7…b905 | Yes | BUY | 375 | 6¢ | $22 | 0x8ba562… |
| 08-09 18:57:52 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 375 | 94¢ | $352 | 0x8ba562… |
| 08-09 17:44:43 | Valid-Bull 0x5ba8…5269 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xb6ddbd… |
| 08-09 17:44:43 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xb6ddbd… |
| 08-09 15:16:45 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 395 | 94¢ | $371 | 0x813a05… |
| 08-09 15:16:45 | (anonymous) 0x55ba…aefb | Yes | BUY | 395 | 6¢ | $24 | 0x813a05… |
| 08-09 13:55:18 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 83 | 94¢ | $78 | 0x71f43c… |
| 08-09 13:55:18 | (anonymous) 0x4760…936f | Yes | BUY | 83 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x71f43c… |
| 08-08 23:32:55 | (anonymous) 0x4760…936f | Yes | BUY | 109 | 6¢ | $7 | 0xa15557… |
| 08-08 23:32:55 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 109 | 94¢ | $102 | 0xa15557… |
| 08-08 22:42:49 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | BUY | 467 | 6¢ | $28 | 0xa2b943… |
| 08-08 22:42:49 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 467 | 94¢ | $439 | 0xa2b943… |
| 08-08 19:25:45 | (anonymous) 0x7833…f126 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x5353f5… |
| 08-08 19:25:45 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 13 | 95¢ | $12 | 0x5353f5… |
| 08-08 19:24:03 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 13 | 95¢ | $12 | 0x4e5102… |
| 08-08 19:24:03 | (anonymous) 0x7b14…6d17 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x4e5102… |
| 08-08 16:14:39 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 227 | 94¢ | $213 | 0xa05dcb… |
| 08-08 16:14:39 | Unsteady-Loop 0xe2c9…b7c0 | No | SELL | 227 | 94¢ | $213 | 0xa05dcb… |
| 08-07 17:34:39 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 94 | 94¢ | $89 | 0xe14234… |
| 08-07 17:34:39 | Sparkling-Self 0xf257…3ed5 | No | SELL | 94 | 94¢ | $89 | 0xe14234… |
| 08-07 13:52:15 | (anonymous) 0x7b14…6d17 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xdabfd0… |
| 08-07 13:52:15 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 13 | 94¢ | $12 | 0xdabfd0… |
| 08-07 13:51:58 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 13 | 94¢ | $12 | 0x10564d… |
| 08-07 13:51:58 | (anonymous) 0x7833…f126 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x10564d… |
| 08-07 12:00:06 | (anonymous) 0x7833…f126 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe591ed… |
| 08-07 12:00:06 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 13 | 95¢ | $12 | 0xe591ed… |
| 08-07 11:58:54 | (anonymous) 0x7b14…6d17 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x86f005… |
| 08-07 11:58:54 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 13 | 95¢ | $12 | 0x86f005… |
| 08-07 10:31:27 | (anonymous) 0x7b14…6d17 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe0303b… |
| 08-07 10:31:27 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 13 | 94¢ | $12 | 0xe0303b… |
| 08-07 10:31:10 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 13 | 94¢ | $12 | 0x50da91… |
| 08-07 10:31:10 | (anonymous) 0x7833…f126 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x50da91… |
| 08-06 15:03:09 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 8,000 | 94¢ | $7,520 | 0x0ba2a2… |
| 08-06 15:03:09 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | No | SELL | 8,000 | 94¢ | $7,520 | 0x0ba2a2… |
| 08-06 13:36:24 | (anonymous) 0x0c0b…43cb | No | SELL | 29 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x474ce8… |
| 08-06 13:36:24 | Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | BUY | 29 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x474ce8… |
| 08-05 21:03:53 | Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x1c6299… |
| 08-05 21:03:53 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x1c6299… |
| 08-05 21:02:57 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x382595… |
| 08-05 21:02:57 | Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x382595… |
| 08-05 21:02:03 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x7d1901… |
| 08-05 21:02:03 | Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x7d1901… |
| 08-05 21:01:21 | Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x1874e0… |
| 08-05 21:01:21 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x1874e0… |
| 08-05 21:00:26 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x361bd9… |
| 08-05 21:00:26 | Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x361bd9… |
| 08-05 18:14:51 | (anonymous) 0x1307…5b63 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x3c7ae0… |
| 08-05 18:14:51 | (anonymous) 0x410a…2643 | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x3c7ae0… |
| 08-05 17:53:57 | (anonymous) 0x1307…5b63 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x0e5fbf… |
| 08-05 17:53:57 | (anonymous) 0x410a…2643 | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x0e5fbf… |
| 08-05 13:49:53 | (anonymous) 0x2bf3…b5d6 | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xc5fa51… |
| 08-05 13:49:53 | (anonymous) 0x410a…2643 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xc5fa51… |
| 08-05 11:46:59 | Aggressive-Theism 0x81a5…a317 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xc7063f… |
| 08-05 11:46:59 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0xc7063f… |
| 08-05 08:24:08 | (anonymous) 0x410a…2643 | No | BUY | 325 | 94¢ | $306 | 0x5fe286… |
| 08-05 08:24:08 | (anonymous) 0xaf79…d8ee | No | SELL | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0x5fe286… |
| 08-05 08:24:08 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x5fe286… |
| 08-05 07:46:00 | (anonymous) 0x2bf3…b5d6 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x595b39… |
| 08-05 07:46:00 | (anonymous) 0xaf79…d8ee | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x595b39… |